Tearsheet

Evolv Technologies (EVLV)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $7.35 | Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Security & Alarm Services

Evolv Technologies (EVLV)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $7.35
Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Security & Alarm Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -53 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -39%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Edge AI, Show more.
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.1x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 198x
2  Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
3  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%
4  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 117%
5  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.0%
6  Key risks
EVLV key risks include [1] financial restatements and regulatory action stemming from sales misconduct and material weaknesses in internal controls, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Edge AI, Show more.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -53 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -39%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.1x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 198x
4 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 117%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.0%
8 Key risks
EVLV key risks include [1] financial restatements and regulatory action stemming from sales misconduct and material weaknesses in internal controls, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EVLV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025, Evolv Technologies (EVLV) experienced a stock movement of -12.5% due to several key factors.

1. Strategic Shift in Go-to-Market Model Leading to Margin Pressure: Evolv Technologies' implementation of a strategic shift in its go-to-market model, while aimed at boosting annual recurring revenue and cash flow, was anticipated to introduce near-term headwinds on gross margins. This strategic change was cited as a reason for the stock losing positive traction and declining by over 12% since August 2025.

2. Ongoing Impact of FTC Settlement on Product Claims and Customer Contracts: The Federal Trade Commission's settlement with Evolv Technologies, stemming from allegations of misleading claims about its AI-powered security scanners, continued to exert pressure. This settlement prohibited Evolv from making unsubstantiated claims and allowed certain K-12 school customers to opt out of their contracts, potentially limiting market reach and affecting investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EVLV Return2252%-55%-42%82%-16%86%1629%
Peers Return7%14%6%14%4%22%88%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EVLV Win Rate25%25%42%67%42%67% 
Peers Win Rate53%52%47%53%58%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EVLV Max Drawdown0%-56%-62%-8%-54%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-11%-17%-28%-16%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OSIS, LDOS, LHX, SSTI, NSSC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEVLVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven545.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-3.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven34 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-79.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven378.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven557 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-98.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven7200.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to BCO, MG, NL, CIX, ADT


In The Past

Evolv Technologies's stock fell -84.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/26/2021. A -84.5% loss requires a 545.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Evolv Technologies (EVLV)

Better Bets than Evolv Technologies (EVLV)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EVLV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Evolv Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EVLVOSISLDOSLHXSSTINSSCMedian
NameEvolv Te.OSI Syst.Leidos L3Harris.SoundThi.NAPCO Se. 
Mkt Price7.21264.53184.68287.457.8643.00113.84
Mkt Cap1.24.523.653.80.11.53.0
Rev LTM1371,75417,33221,373103187970
Op Inc LTM-532272,0412,366-1048138
FCF LTM-351111,3382,164-15281
FCF 3Y Avg-64-41,1491,82884426
CFO LTM61521,5062,507453103
CFO 3Y Avg-14351,3122,208134640

Growth & Margins

EVLVOSISLDOSLHXSSTINSSCMedian
NameEvolv Te.OSI Syst.Leidos L3Harris.SoundThi.NAPCO Se. 
Rev Chg LTM43.2%9.4%6.5%2.9%-1.8%-2.3%4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg51.7%14.6%6.9%8.4%12.0%7.3%10.2%
Rev Chg Q56.6%11.8%6.7%2.4%-4.4%11.7%9.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM12.8%2.4%1.6%0.6%-1.1%2.8%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM-38.7%13.0%11.8%11.1%-9.7%25.7%11.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-79.1%12.4%10.3%10.4%-7.3%25.4%10.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM11.3%-0.1%-0.1%0.2%-1.1%0.3%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM4.6%8.7%8.7%11.7%3.8%28.4%8.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-16.7%2.4%8.0%11.0%13.6%24.9%9.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-25.8%6.3%7.7%10.1%-1.0%27.6%7.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-69.0%-0.2%7.0%9.2%7.6%23.7%7.3%

Valuation

EVLVOSISLDOSLHXSSTINSSCMedian
NameEvolv Te.OSI Syst.Leidos L3Harris.SoundThi.NAPCO Se. 
Mkt Cap1.24.523.653.80.11.53.0
P/S9.12.51.42.51.08.22.5
P/EBIT-21.120.311.521.3-9.831.915.9
P/E-20.929.416.831.7-9.434.523.1
P/CFO197.729.415.721.425.428.927.1
Total Yield-4.8%3.4%6.8%4.8%-10.7%4.1%3.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.9%1.7%0.0%1.2%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.6%-0.5%6.0%4.2%4.7%3.5%3.9%
D/E0.00.20.20.20.10.00.1
Net D/E-0.00.10.20.2-0.1-0.10.1

Returns

EVLVOSISLDOSLHXSSTINSSCMedian
NameEvolv Te.OSI Syst.Leidos L3Harris.SoundThi.NAPCO Se. 
1M Rtn27.4%13.1%-0.3%1.1%33.4%13.5%13.3%
3M Rtn-10.2%12.4%-1.3%1.7%-36.0%1.2%-0.0%
6M Rtn25.8%23.1%25.0%16.1%-49.5%58.3%24.0%
12M Rtn90.2%51.1%28.8%37.2%-36.3%20.5%33.0%
3Y Rtn163.1%226.3%81.0%48.0%-76.9%68.1%74.5%
1M Excs Rtn18.9%8.3%-5.1%-2.1%22.7%6.1%7.2%
3M Excs Rtn-16.7%9.3%-3.6%-0.6%-39.7%-0.4%-2.1%
6M Excs Rtn5.5%9.2%9.7%2.0%-62.9%43.5%7.4%
12M Excs Rtn78.3%31.1%11.3%21.2%-51.1%4.6%16.2%
3Y Excs Rtn62.3%145.7%8.3%-30.6%-148.7%-7.7%0.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Develops, manufactures, markets and sells security screening products and specific services80    
Leased Equipment 1882 
License fees 0   
Product revenue 321414
Professional services and other revenue 1   
Service revenue 4   
Professional Services  100
Software-as-a-service (SaaS), maintenance, and other revenue  11 
Maintenance revenue    0
Subscription revenue    1
Total80552356


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Develops, manufactures, markets and sells security screening products and specific services-108    
Total-108    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,162,796
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-11.4%
Average Daily Volume3,203,380
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.55
Basic Shares Quantity172,790,098
Short % of Basic Shares4.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/2025-8.8%-14.0% 
8/14/20255.2%6.2%14.4%
4/28/2025-1.4%-1.2%33.9%
1/23/202522.7%20.8%11.5%
8/8/2024-5.0%18.8%23.1%
5/9/2024-38.5%-28.6%-34.9%
2/29/2024-16.8%-21.8%7.1%
11/9/2023-7.9%1.3%7.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81010
# Negative866
Median Positive20.3%12.1%15.5%
Median Negative-8.4%-17.9%-23.3%
Max Positive32.6%38.3%51.5%
Max Negative-43.1%-43.1%-34.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025520202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024428202510-K 12/31/2024
9302024428202510-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022324202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022818202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021328202210-K 12/31/2021