Tearsheet

Rekor Systems (REKR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.63 | Market Cap: $204.8 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Rekor Systems (REKR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.63
Market Cap: $204.8 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Edge AI, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -86%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -30 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -61%
1   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -58%
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 93%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 129%
4   Key risks
REKR key risks include [1] significant financial distress, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Edge AI, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -86%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -30 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -61%
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -58%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 93%
5 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 129%
6 Key risks
REKR key risks include [1] significant financial distress, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

REKR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Rekor Systems (REKR) stock moved significantly in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Strong Financial Performance and Positive Outlook: Rekor Systems reported better-than-expected Q3 2025 earnings, with both EPS and revenue surpassing analyst estimates. This positive momentum was reinforced by preliminary year-end 2024 results, which projected record annual revenue exceeding $45.5 million, marking over a 30% increase from 2023, and strong Q4 2024 revenue growth.

2. Strategic Operational Realignment and Cost Reduction Efforts: The company announced significant cost reduction initiatives aimed at improving financial performance and reducing operating losses. Furthermore, an Executive Committee was established to strategically realign company resources, focusing on accelerating revenue growth and reducing dependency on external capital.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
REKR Return111%-19%-82%178%-53%5%-57%
Peers Return16%26%-3%32%38%2%163%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
REKR Win Rate50%58%25%58%25%42% 
Peers Win Rate55%60%42%60%70%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
REKR Max Drawdown-34%-25%-91%-17%-76%-56% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-6%-23%-6%-8%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSI, AXON, VRRM, TDY, LHX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventREKRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4140.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven133.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven54 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-88.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven776.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven218 days120 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK


In The Past

Rekor Systems's stock fell -97.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/27/2021. A -97.6% loss requires a 4140.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Rekor Systems (REKR)

Better Bets than Rekor Systems (REKR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to REKR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Rekor Systems

Peers to compare with:

Financials

REKRMSIAXONVRRMTDYLHXMedian
NameRekor Sy.Motorola.Axon Ent.Verra Mo.Teledyne.L3Harris. 
Mkt Price1.62374.49550.0022.01502.82278.72326.61
Mkt Cap0.262.543.13.523.652.133.4
Rev LTM4911,0942,5589436,00521,3734,282
Op Inc LTM-302,785-282491,1102,366679
FCF LTM-282,3841451531,0382,164595
FCF 3Y Avg-342,0471661639231,828544
CFO LTM-252,6122442561,1452,507701
CFO 3Y Avg-322,2932412381,0262,208633

Growth & Margins

REKRMSIAXONVRRMTDYLHXMedian
NameRekor Sy.Motorola.Axon Ent.Verra Mo.Teledyne.L3Harris. 
Rev Chg LTM11.9%6.4%32.0%8.5%7.4%2.9%7.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg58.1%9.5%33.7%9.1%3.6%8.4%9.3%
Rev Chg Q34.6%5.2%30.6%16.1%6.7%2.4%11.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.0%1.3%7.0%4.0%1.6%0.6%2.8%
Op Mgn LTM-61.4%25.1%-1.1%26.4%18.5%11.1%14.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-101.9%23.8%4.8%25.3%18.4%10.4%14.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM24.5%0.1%-1.0%0.1%-0.1%0.2%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-52.0%23.5%9.5%27.2%19.1%11.7%15.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-82.8%21.9%12.4%27.6%17.8%11.0%15.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-57.9%21.5%5.7%16.2%17.3%10.1%13.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-87.8%19.6%8.7%19.0%16.0%9.2%12.6%

Valuation

REKRMSIAXONVRRMTDYLHXMedian
NameRekor Sy.Motorola.Axon Ent.Verra Mo.Teledyne.L3Harris. 
Mkt Cap0.262.543.13.523.652.133.4
P/S4.06.922.04.24.62.74.4
P/EBIT-25.5237.422.825.822.625.5
P/E-4.536.0218.977.133.633.734.9
P/CFO-7.729.2230.415.424.022.823.4
Total Yield-22.3%3.7%0.5%1.3%3.0%4.5%2.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.6%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.1%0.6%4.4%4.2%4.2%4.2%
D/E-0.10.00.30.10.20.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.00.20.10.20.1

Returns

REKRMSIAXONVRRMTDYLHXMedian
NameRekor Sy.Motorola.Axon Ent.Verra Mo.Teledyne.L3Harris. 
1M Rtn-16.1%-0.5%1.2%-2.5%0.7%-3.1%-1.5%
3M Rtn10.2%-21.4%-26.8%-8.7%-8.7%-0.7%-8.7%
6M Rtn30.6%-7.0%-28.6%-8.3%2.8%13.0%-2.1%
12M Rtn95.2%-18.0%-13.5%-8.1%6.8%30.0%-0.7%
3Y Rtn165.4%53.4%224.8%57.8%26.8%39.3%55.6%
1M Excs Rtn-16.8%-1.3%0.5%-3.3%-0.1%-3.9%-2.3%
3M Excs Rtn-2.0%-22.2%-29.6%-12.0%-12.0%-2.4%-12.0%
6M Excs Rtn18.3%-19.3%-41.0%-20.6%-9.5%0.6%-14.4%
12M Excs Rtn80.6%-30.5%-25.8%-18.6%-5.2%16.2%-11.9%
3Y Excs Rtn34.1%-25.0%157.8%-14.2%-48.7%-31.9%-19.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment35    
Product and service revenue 776 
Recurring revenue 1354 
Automated traffic safety enforcement    3
Licensing and subscription revenue    2
Total35201295


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,289,120
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-7.7%
Average Daily Volume3,035,588
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.72
Basic Shares Quantity125,639,665
Short % of Basic Shares9.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/20254.9%-14.2% 
8/12/20254.5%-5.4%7.2%
3/17/2025-4.6%-8.3%-27.8%
11/14/2024-17.1%-10.0%-23.1%
8/14/2024-7.9%0.7%-12.2%
5/15/2024-24.2%-10.4%-19.8%
2/9/2024-1.8%-7.3%-22.2%
11/14/2023-8.3%-4.5%-1.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive555
# Negative151515
Median Positive4.2%5.2%35.2%
Median Negative-9.2%-10.4%-21.0%
Max Positive4.9%25.6%63.7%
Max Negative-35.9%-35.7%-46.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023325202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022329202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021