Stoneridge (SRI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.71 | Market Cap: $159.1 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Stoneridge (SRI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.71Market Cap: $159.1 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -148% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.5% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Future of Freight. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Autonomous Trucks, Show more. | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.7% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 70% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Future of Freight. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Autonomous Trucks, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -148% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.5% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.7% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 70% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SRI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period for the stock movement of Stoneridge (SRI) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. As an AI, I do not have access to real-time future events or stock market data. Therefore, I cannot provide an analysis of why the stock moved by -30.7% during this specified future period. However, I can share some relevant information regarding Stoneridge's reported earnings and other announcements that occurred or were scheduled during parts of late 2025, which *would* typically influence stock performance. Please note that this information reflects past announcements about future events and does not constitute an explanation for a future stock decline. Here are some key points that were announced regarding Stoneridge (SRI) during the latter part of 2025: 1. Stoneridge reported its Third Quarter 2025 Results on November 5, 2025. The company reported an EPS of -$0.18, with quarterly revenue of $210.27 million, which was above analysts' expectations. However, one report indicated that following this announcement on November 6, 2025, SRI shares declined -16.3% to close at $5.76. Another source indicated a decline of 8.94% to close at $6.88. This suggests that despite revenue beating expectations, other factors within the earnings report or market sentiment led to a significant negative reaction. 2. Q3 2025 Earnings Presentation Highlighted Challenges in Commercial Vehicle Markets. Stoneridge's Q3 2025 earnings presentation, released on November 6, 2025, indicated sequential margin improvements despite "significant headwinds in commercial vehicle markets." The company also reported an earnings per share (EPS) loss of $0.34, falling short of forecasts. The updated guidance for full-year 2025 also reflected ongoing challenges in commercial vehicle markets and the impact of non-operating foreign exchange expenses.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SRI Return | 3% | -35% | 9% | -9% | -68% | -8% | -80% |
| Peers Return | 37% | 9% | -19% | 15% | -25% | 14% | 18% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SRI Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 53% | 38% | 47% | 35% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SRI Max Drawdown | -53% | -38% | -27% | -34% | -71% | -42% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -63% | -9% | -41% | -14% | -37% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SRI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -61.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 161.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 117.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 249 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -39.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 870 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -92.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1162.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2963 days | 1480 days |
Compare to PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA
In The Past
Stoneridge's stock fell -61.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -61.7% loss requires a 161.3% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is Stoneridge Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SRI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Stoneridge
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 63.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
| Rev LTM | 3,816 |
| Op Inc LTM | 300 |
| FCF LTM | 275 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 274 |
| CFO LTM | 398 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 378 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 8.0 |
| P/E | 11.8 |
| P/CFO | 5.7 |
| Total Yield | 5.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 23.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 10.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -28.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 8.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -1.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -98.8% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3012024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3022023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |