Tearsheet

Surf Air Mobility (SRFM)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $1.97 | Market Cap: $83.6 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines

Surf Air Mobility (SRFM)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $1.97
Market Cap: $83.6 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Airlines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -115%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -43 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -40%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -64%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -79%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 319%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 168%
5   Key risks
SRFM key risks include [1] substantial going concern risk driven by severe financial distress and debt, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -115%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -43 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -40%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -64%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -79%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 319%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 168%
8 Key risks
SRFM key risks include [1] substantial going concern risk driven by severe financial distress and debt, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SRFM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why Surf Air Mobility (SRFM) stock experienced a significant decline for the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 17, 2025: 1. Delayed Electrification Certification and Associated Losses

Surf Air Mobility faced a setback with its core electrification strategy, delaying the certification of its electric engine system to 2027 due to limitations in current technology. This delay contributed to a substantial net loss in previous periods and continued to raise concerns about the company's timeline for bringing electrified aircraft to market and achieving its long-term goals. 2. Persistent Cash Flow Challenges and Funding Needs

Despite securing a $50 million term loan in Q3 2024 and $100 million in strategic financing in Q3 2025, the company's cash position remained fragile, with a notable decrease in its cash balance by Q1 2025. This indicated ongoing capital constraints and a need for further funding, which could lead to dilution risks and investor apprehension about the company's financial stability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SRFM Return-50%-64%
Peers Return-51%86%16%4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SRFM Win Rate40%42%25% 
Peers Win Rate39%37%63%48%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SRFM Max Drawdown-91%-65% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-28%-41%-39% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JOBY, ACHR, FLYX, UP, SKYW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

SRFM has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven273 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven312 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1463 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Surf Air Mobility (SRFM)

Better Bets than Surf Air Mobility (SRFM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SRFM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Surf Air Mobility

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SRFMJOBYACHRFLYXUPSKYWMedian
NameSurf Air.Joby Avi.Archer A.flyExclu.Wheels U.SkyWest  
Mkt Price1.9414.077.953.340.69103.515.64
Mkt Cap0.211.95.30.10.54.22.3
Rev LTM1082303637573,978236
Op Inc LTM-43-663-619-56-272628-164
FCF LTM-85-533-487-24-287319-186
FCF 3Y Avg-67-434-398-70-363374-217
CFO LTM-69-477-40833-110895-90
CFO 3Y Avg-57-387-3372-278758-167

Growth & Margins

SRFMJOBYACHRFLYXUPSKYWMedian
NameSurf Air.Joby Avi.Archer A.flyExclu.Wheels U.SkyWest  
Rev Chg LTM-8.5%1,934.5%-16.4%-9.1%19.3%16.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-----19.0%9.4%-4.8%
Rev Chg Q2.8%80,521.4%-19.8%-4.3%15.0%15.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%23,006.1%-4.4%-1.1%3.6%3.6%
Op Mgn LTM-39.7%-2,926.6%--15.5%-35.9%15.8%-35.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-133.6%---18.0%-31.7%9.5%-24.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-7.0%647,806.1%-1.8%-3.5%0.5%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-64.1%-2,107.5%-9.1%-14.5%22.5%-14.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-78.2%--0.0%-23.8%22.4%-11.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-78.6%-2,352.7%--6.6%-37.9%8.0%-37.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-94.3%---22.3%-34.1%11.2%-28.2%

Valuation

SRFMJOBYACHRFLYXUPSKYWMedian
NameSurf Air.Joby Avi.Archer A.flyExclu.Wheels U.SkyWest  
Mkt Cap0.211.95.30.10.54.22.3
P/S1.7602.0-0.31.71.01.7
P/EBIT--20.6-10.2-2.4-4.96.0-4.9
P/E-2.5-12.9-10.1-5.1-3.79.3-4.4
P/CFO-2.6-28.6-15.52.8-11.84.5-7.2
Total Yield-39.8%-7.7%-9.9%-19.7%-27.2%10.7%-14.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--8.0%-21.0%-69.2%-263.1%13.4%-21.0%
D/E-0.00.01.90.40.60.4
Net D/E--0.1-0.21.80.30.40.3

Returns

SRFMJOBYACHRFLYXUPSKYWMedian
NameSurf Air.Joby Avi.Archer A.flyExclu.Wheels U.SkyWest  
1M Rtn-26.2%-2.4%0.9%5.4%-36.2%7.2%-0.7%
3M Rtn-55.3%-2.2%-12.7%-33.3%-66.6%-0.6%-23.0%
6M Rtn-3.5%62.7%-19.9%33.6%-52.2%7.3%1.9%
12M Rtn-43.8%76.3%-10.4%39.2%-65.6%-1.8%-6.1%
3Y Rtn-288.7%275.0%-66.5%-93.8%521.7%275.0%
1M Excs Rtn-27.2%-3.3%-0.1%4.4%-37.2%6.2%-1.7%
3M Excs Rtn-57.6%-3.7%-14.7%-41.4%-71.6%-3.1%-28.1%
6M Excs Rtn-17.1%49.0%-33.5%19.9%-65.8%-6.3%-11.7%
12M Excs Rtn-61.6%72.0%-1.5%45.2%-79.3%-15.9%-8.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-228.0%198.7%-139.0%-166.2%396.8%198.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Air Mobility segment61 
On-Demand 16
Scheduled 4
Total6120


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Air Mobility segment-251 
Total-251 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,128,662
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.9%
Average Daily Volume2,940,050
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.74
Basic Shares Quantity42,430,909
Short % of Basic Shares12.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/2025-8.5%-24.5%-34.0%
8/12/202516.5%0.2%-1.2%
3/18/20254.9%1.0%-36.2%
11/14/2024-4.7%45.9%100.6%
8/14/2024-16.7%-42.8%-41.6%
3/28/2024-11.0%3.3%-46.6%
11/14/20233.2%-42.3%-20.2%
8/16/2023-17.5%-3.5%62.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive342
# Negative546
Median Positive4.9%2.2%81.4%
Median Negative-11.0%-33.4%-35.1%
Max Positive16.5%45.9%100.6%
Max Negative-17.5%-42.8%-46.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024321202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023329202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023829202310-Q 6/30/2023
123120227262023424B4 12/31/2022
123120212092023DRS/A 12/31/2021