Tearsheet

Surf Air Mobility (SRFM)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $2.14 | Market Cap: $90.8 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines

Surf Air Mobility (SRFM)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $2.14
Market Cap: $90.8 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Airlines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -119%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -43 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -40%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 91%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -64%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -79%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -84%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 166%
6   Key risks
SRFM key risks include [1] substantial going concern risk driven by severe financial distress and debt, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -119%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -43 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -40%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 91%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -64%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -79%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -84%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 166%
9 Key risks
SRFM key risks include [1] substantial going concern risk driven by severe financial distress and debt, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SRFM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. Persistent Financial Distress and "Going Concern" Warning: Surf Air Mobility disclosed substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern in its Q2 2025 report, released in August 2025. This was accompanied by significant net losses and a declining cash position, with total liabilities exceeding total assets in both Q2 and Q3 2025.

2. Year-over-Year Revenue Decline in Airline Operations: Despite some growth in "On Demand" revenue, the company experienced an overall year-over-year revenue decline in its Q2 2025 results (down 15% year-over-year for Q2 2025 and 19% year-over-year for the first six months of 2025) as it strategically exited unprofitable routes.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -50.6% change in SRFM stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -103.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
924202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)4.312.13-50.58%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)107.37108.160.73%
P/S Multiple0.840.84-0.41%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)20.9042.43-102.99%
Cumulative Contribution-103.00%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SRFM-50.6% 
Market (SPY)4.4%47.7%
Sector (XLI)3.4%48.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -16.1% change in SRFM stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -151.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
625202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)2.542.13-16.14%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)112.31108.16-3.69%
P/S Multiple0.380.84118.55%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)16.9142.43-150.99%
Cumulative Contribution-207.31%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SRFM-16.1% 
Market (SPY)14.0%25.4%
Sector (XLI)10.0%29.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -39.3% change in SRFM stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -227.1% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
1224202412242025Change
Stock Price ($)3.512.13-39.32%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)118.21108.16-8.51%
P/S Multiple0.390.84116.96%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)12.9742.43-227.12%
Cumulative Contribution-352.36%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SRFM-39.3% 
Market (SPY)15.8%25.9%
Sector (XLI)18.6%27.4%

Fundamental Drivers

null
null

Market Drivers

12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SRFM-75.5% 
Market (SPY)48.9%20.5%
Sector (XLI)42.7%20.5%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SRFM Return-50%-61%-80%
Peers Return-51%86%16%0%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SRFM Win Rate40%42%33% 
Peers Win Rate39%37%63%48%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SRFM Max Drawdown-91%-67% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-28%-41%-39% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JOBY, ACHR, FLYX, UP, SKYW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

SRFM has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven273 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven312 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,463 days1,480 days

Compare to

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Surf Air Mobility (SRFM)

Surf Air Mobility is building a regional air mobility ecosystem that will aim to sustainably connect the world’s communities. Leveraging the combined operations of Surf Air and Southern, we intend to accelerate the adoption of green flying by developing, together with our commercial partners, hybrid-electric and fully-electric powertrain technology to upgrade existing fleets, and by creating a financing and services infrastructure to enable this transition on an industry-wide level. We believe bringing electrified aircraft to market at scale will substantially reduce the cost and environmental impact of regional flying, and that such reductions are achievable by the end of the decade. Additionally, we believe operating as a publicly traded company and having efficient access to growth capital will allow us to accelerate the implementation of our strategic plan. Surf Air Inc. was incorporated under the laws of Delaware in 2011, and Surf Air Global Limited (formerly incorporated as Surf Airlines Inc.) was formed under the laws of the British Virgin Islands and became the parent company of the Surf Air group in 2016. Surf Air Mobility Inc. was incorporated in 2021. Surf Air is expanding the category of regional air travel, connecting underutilized regional airports and private terminals to create a “shared private” customer experience and a high frequency “commercial-like” air service, using small turboprop aircraft. Surf Air currently provides a regional air mobility platform with scheduled routes and on-demand charter flights operated by third parties that operate under Part 135 of Title 14 of the U.S. Code of Federal Regulations (“Part 135”) and intends to develop powertrain technology with its commercial partners to electrify existing fleets, which it believes will reduce operating costs and emissions, starting with a hybrid-electric and a fully-electric variant of the Cessna Grand Caravan EX, which is one of the most prolific family of aircraft in the single engine turboprop category with approximately 3,000 aircraft in use worldwide. Founded in 2013 as a Delaware corporation, as of March 31, 2023, Southern is the largest commuter airline in the United States and the largest passenger operator of Cessna Caravans in the United States by scheduled departures. As of March 31, 2023, Southern served 40 U.S. cities across six U.S. time zones and in the Mariana Islands. Southern ceased serving the Mariana Islands as of April 1, 2023. Southern has multi-year contracts with the U.S. federal government to operate Essential Air Service (“EAS”) routes, which ensures small communities in the United States can maintain a minimum level of scheduled air services. The Southern Acquisition will result in a combined regional airline network servicing U.S. cities across the Mid-Atlantic, Gulf South, Midwest, Rocky Mountains, West Coast, New England and Hawaii. Surf Air and Southern together served over 99,000 passengers across 44 cities with over 18,000 departures for the three months ended March 31, 2023. For the three months ended March 31, 2023, Surf Air generated $5.5 million in revenue and Southern generated $22.7 million in revenue, an increase of 14.3% and an increase of 35.6%, respectively, compared to the three months ended March 31, 2022. Surf Air and Southern together served over 450,000 passengers across 48 cities with over 75,000 departures in 2022. Surf Air and Southern together served over 330,000 passengers in 2021, and over 150,000 passengers in 2020. For the year ended December 31, 2022, Surf Air generated $20.3 million in revenue and Southern generated $80.7 million in revenue, compared to $11.8 million in revenue and $57.7 million in revenue, respectively, for the year ended December 31, 2021 and $7.5 million in revenue and $38.2 million in revenue, respectively, for the year ended December 31, 2020. We expect the combination of Surf Air and Southern will provide the basis for SAM’s expanded, nationwide regional air mobility platform. SAM intends to electrify its existing fleet utilizing hybrid-electric and fully-electric powertrain technology once it is fully designed and developed, and certified by the Federal Aviation Administration (“FAA”) as part of the issuance of the Supplemental Type Certificate (“STC”). We are planning for FAA approval of our hybrid-electric and fully-electric Cessna Grand Caravan EX STCs to occur by the end of 2025, followed by the commercialization of the technology. SAM has relationships with leading players across the value chain, which SAM believes provides significant competitive advantages as it pursues the scaling of its point-to-point regional air mobility ecosystem and the implementation of its aircraft electrification plans. SAM intends to be the exclusive supplier of hybrid-electric and battery electric propulsion systems for the Cessna Grand Caravan EX to Textron Aviation Inc. (“TAI”), one of the largest general aviation OEMs in the world by units sold. The effectiveness of SAM’s agreements with TAI are contingent upon SAM’s shares being publicly traded on a U.S. national securities exchange. SAM’s electrification and certification partner, AeroTEC, a leading aerospace engineering firm with experience in fully-electrified aircraft, has agreed to work exclusively with SAM to develop and obtain STCs for modified Cessna Caravans, and magniX, developer of one of the most powerful electric motors currently being certified, has agreed to exclusively sell certain electrified propulsion systems to SAM, subject to completion of conceptual design review and the execution of definitive agreements. Upon completion of conceptual design review SAM, AeroTEC and magniX have agreed to enter into further definitive agreements in relation to the remaining development steps for the STC. SAM and Jetstream Aviation Capital have entered into a Master Agreement to finance up to $450 million to fund the planned growth of SAM’s fleet of turboprop aircraft. In addition, Southern and SkyWest Airlines are partnered to provide a pilot hiring and training pathway, SAM has entered into a Memorandum of Understanding with Signature Flight Support for Fixed Base Operator (“FBO”) services and the support of SAM’s existing and future network and SAM has contracted with Palantir to leverage Palantir’s Foundry platform to support SAM’s planned growth across a range of business applications. Surf Air, Inc. was incorporated under the laws of Delaware in 2011, and Surf Air Global Ltd. was formed under the laws of the British Virgin Islands and became the parent company of the Surf Air group in 2016. SAM was incorporated under the laws of Delaware on January 5, 2021. SAM is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Surf Air formed for the purpose of holding all of the equity securities, assets, business and operations of Surf Air and Southern. The mailing address of SAM’s principal executive office is 12111 S. Crenshaw Boulevard, Hawthorne, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Surf Air Mobility (SRFM):

  • Tesla for regional aviation: Like Tesla aims to electrify ground transport and build associated services, Surf Air Mobility is focused on bringing electric and hybrid-electric powertrains to regional air travel and operating those routes.
  • Rivian for regional planes: Similar to how Rivian develops electric vehicles for specific segments (trucks/SUVs) and integrates technology with operations, Surf Air Mobility is developing electric powertrains for regional aircraft and operating a network of flights.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Electric Powertrain Technology: Development and integration of proprietary electric and hybrid-electric powertrains for existing and new turboprop aircraft.
  • Regional Electric Air Travel Service: Operating a network of electric and hybrid-electric aircraft to provide short-haul, regional air travel, often on a subscription or on-demand basis.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Surf Air Mobility (SRFM) operates a regional air mobility platform, which includes a subscription-based air travel service and the development of electric powertrain technology for aircraft. While they engage in business-to-business (B2B) partnerships for aircraft electrification and sales/leases, their core revenue-generating "mobility" platform primarily sells air travel services directly to individuals (business-to-consumer or B2C).

Therefore, the company sells primarily to individuals, and its major customer categories can be described as:

  • Business Travelers: Professionals and executives who require efficient and flexible regional air travel for business meetings, site visits, or connecting between locations not well-served by major commercial airlines. These customers value time savings, convenience, and productivity while in transit.

  • Affluent Leisure Travelers: Individuals and families seeking a premium, hassle-free travel experience for personal trips, vacations, or visiting secondary markets. These customers prioritize comfort, privacy, and avoiding the complexities and delays often associated with traditional commercial air travel.

  • Premium Commuters/Frequent Regional Travelers: Individuals who regularly travel between specific regional destinations, such as those with second homes, or who commute for work in areas where road travel is extensive or commercial air options are inconvenient. They often seek a reliable, consistent, and time-saving travel solution.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Textron Inc. (NYSE: TXT)
  • MagniX
  • Palantir Technologies (NYSE: PLTR)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Deanna White Chief Executive Officer & Chief Operating Officer

Deanna White is a seasoned executive with extensive experience across aviation and technology, having led finance, operations, engineering, and manufacturing functions for both public and growth-stage companies. She previously served as COO of Kitty Hawk/CORA, where she transformed the eVTOL R&D program into a joint venture with Boeing, which was subsequently rebranded as Wisk Aero. She also served as CEO and CFO of Bombardier's Flexjet, where she drove profitability and led the company's sale to private equity, Directional Aviation Capital. Ms. White was appointed as Surf Air Mobility's Chief Executive Officer and Chief Operating Officer in December 2024, after serving as Interim CEO & COO since May 2024, and previously as the company's CFO from May 2022 to December 2023.

Oliver Reeves Chief Financial Officer

Oliver Reeves was appointed as Chief Financial Officer of Surf Air Mobility in January 2024. He brings nearly two decades of experience across investment management, enterprise technology, and insurance industries. Prior to joining Surf Air Mobility, Mr. Reeves served as Chief Strategy Officer at Xinuos, Inc., where he oversaw the development and licensing of UnixWare and OpenServer operating systems. His earlier career included investment management roles as an Investment Analyst at Coliseum Capital Management, Vice President at Gerson Global Advisors, and Senior Vice President at Phoenix Star Capital. He began his career as an Associate in the M&A Group at Aon.

Sudhin Shahani Co-Founder

Sudhin Shahani is a Co-Founder of Surf Air Mobility and has served as a director of the company since July 2023. He was the co-founder and Chief Executive Officer of Surf Air Global Limited from 2013 to July 2023. Before his role at Surf Air, Mr. Shahani was an Entrepreneur in Residence at Anthem Ventures, an early-stage venture capital firm, where he led investments and served on the board of Madefire and Panna, both of which were sold to Discovery Networks. He also co-founded Musicane, a digital music and social shopping network, from 2004 to 2009.

Liam Fayed Co-Founder, Chief Brand & Experience Officer

Liam Fayed is a serial entrepreneur and creative executive, serving as Co-Founder and Chief Brand & Experience Officer of Surf Air Mobility. In this role, he guides the company's trajectory toward becoming a sustainable air travel brand, overseeing brand, marketing, and platform, and has helped redesign the customer experience. Previously, he was the founder, creative director, and CEO of the menswear label BESPOKEN New York. He also serves as a board member of Turnbull & Asser and has been an early investor in fast-growing consumer brands, including Warby Parker, Harry's, and Away Luggage.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Surf Air Mobility (SRFM) are:

  1. Going Concern and Liquidity Risk: Surf Air Mobility faces significant doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to heavy and consistent net losses, a substantial working capital deficit, and material debt. The company's short-term recovery is contingent on its ability to secure continuous access to equity and successfully resolve tax and debt defaults.
  2. Electrification Program Challenges and Execution Risk: The company's strategic growth and future profitability are heavily dependent on the successful development and commercialization of unproven fully-electric and hybrid-electric powertrains. Delays, failures, or the inability to secure continued capital for these electrification programs, which the company and its partners have limited experience with, could severely impact its growth strategy and financial performance.
  3. Shareholder Dilution Risk: To address its ongoing liquidity needs and fund its ambitious initiatives, Surf Air Mobility frequently relies on raising capital through equity issuances. This practice has led to, and is expected to continue causing, significant dilution for existing shareholders, potentially reducing earnings per share and negatively impacting the stock price.

AI Analysis | Feedback

One clear emerging threat for Surf Air Mobility (SRFM) is the accelerating development and potential market entry of competing electric regional aircraft from other dedicated aerospace companies. Companies such as Heart Aerospace, with its ES-30 hybrid-electric regional aircraft, and Eviation, with its all-electric Alice, are actively developing, certifying, and securing orders for aircraft designed to serve the same regional air mobility market that SRFM is targeting. Should these or other startups achieve certification, production scale, or market adoption more quickly or efficiently than SRFM's own electrified aircraft or powertrain upgrades, they could capture significant market share and partnerships, directly challenging SRFM's growth strategy in both aircraft development and regional flight operations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Surf Air Mobility (SRFM) operates in several key markets related to regional air mobility, focusing on electrified aircraft, an AI-enabled operating system, and regional air travel services.

Electrified Aircraft (Hybrid-Electric and Fully Electric Powertrains)

The addressable market for hybrid-electric aircraft, a core offering of Surf Air Mobility, is projected to experience substantial growth. The global hybrid electric aircraft market was valued at approximately $2.80 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to reach an estimated $465.60 billion by 2050. More broadly, the global electric aircraft market, which includes both hybrid and fully electric models, was valued at $10.21 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $18.92 billion by 2029.

SurfOS AI-Enabled Operating System

Surf Air Mobility's proprietary SurfOS, an AI-enabled operating system designed to optimize regional air mobility, addresses a significant and growing market. The estimated value of the global regional air mobility market is projected to reach up to $115 billion by 2035.

Regional Air Travel/Commuter Airline Operations

As a regional air mobility platform and one of the largest commuter airlines in the U.S. by scheduled departures, Surf Air Mobility also operates within the broader regional air travel market. The global regional aircraft market was valued at $8.5 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to grow to $12.9 billion by 2032. Specifically for North America, a key region for Surf Air Mobility, the regional aircraft market held over 40% of the global revenue in 2023. Looking at the broader global airlines market, which includes regional operations, it was valued at $570.03 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $761.49 billion by 2033. The domestic transport segment, highly relevant to Surf Air Mobility's operations, captured 62.8% of this global market share in 2024. North America, where Surf Air Mobility primarily operates, accounted for 32% of the global airlines market in 2024.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Surf Air Mobility (SRFM) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:

  1. Expansion and Optimization of Air Mobility Operations: Surf Air Mobility, as the largest commuter airline in the U.S. by scheduled departures and the largest passenger operator of Cessna Caravans, plans to grow its core air mobility business. This includes a strategic focus on profitability over market penetration for its on-demand services and improving operational efficiencies within its scheduled service. The company's "Transformation Plan" aims to rightsize operations and implement new processes to achieve sustained profitability in its regional airline operations.
  2. Commercialization of SurfOS (AI-Powered Airline Software): In partnership with Palantir, Surf Air Mobility is developing and plans to commercialize its AI-powered airline software operating system, SurfOS, starting in 2026. This software is designed to enhance safety, efficiency, and profitability for the regional air mobility industry, and Surf Air Mobility has already secured six Letters of Intent (LOIs) from potential clients.
  3. Electrification of Aircraft and Proprietary Powertrain Technology: Surf Air Mobility is actively developing and pursuing certification for electric powertrain technology, with a specific focus on a Supplemental Type Certificate (STC) for its proprietary technology for the Cessna Grand Caravan. The company targets late 2027 for the market introduction of this electrification initiative, which is expected to reduce operating costs and expand margins.
  4. Strategic Partnerships and Technology Solutions: The company intends to offer its software and electrification solutions to the broader regional air mobility industry. This strategy positions Surf Air Mobility to not only enhance its own operations but also generate revenue by providing its technology solutions to other operators, aiming to improve industry-wide safety, efficiency, and profitability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • In November 2025, Surf Air Mobility raised $26 million through new equity issuances as part of a $100 million strategic transaction to fund the development and commercialization of its SurfOS software.
  • In June 2025, the company completed a registered direct offering, selling 10,800,002 shares of common stock (or pre-funded warrants) at $2.50 per share, generating approximately $27 million in gross proceeds to be used for debt reduction and general corporate purposes.
  • Surf Air Mobility went public on July 27, 2023, through an initial public offering (IPO) that raised $281 million by issuing 23,700,000 shares at $11.86 per share.

Inbound Investments

  • In November 2025, Surf Air Mobility secured a $100 million strategic transaction, which included the sale of a $74 million senior secured convertible note to an institutional investor in a private placement, generating gross proceeds of $65 million.
  • Prior to its IPO in June 2023, the company updated an investment commitment from GEM Global Yield LLC SCS, providing the right to direct GGY to purchase up to $400 million of common stock, including initial advances of up to $100 million.
  • Palantir Technologies received $6 million in common stock in November 2025 as a prepayment for continued access to its software and services, further strengthening their partnership.

Outbound Investments

  • As part of its public listing in August 2023, Surf Air Mobility completed the acquisition of Southern Airways Express.
  • In July 2021, Surf Air Mobility entered an exclusive relationship with Textron Aviation for the development of an electrified Cessna Grand Caravan and agreed to purchase up to 150 Cessna Grand Caravan EX single-engine turboprops.

Capital Expenditures

  • Surf Air Mobility reported capital expenditures of -$12.82 million over the last 12 months ending approximately November 2025.
  • For 2025, projected capital expenditures are $6 million, with expectations to increase to $9 million in 2026, $13 million in 2027, $18 million in 2028, and $24 million in 2029, consistently representing about 6% of revenue.
  • A primary focus of capital allocation includes the development and commercialization of the proprietary SurfOS software, scaling engineering and sales capabilities for a 2026 commercial rollout, and investing in new SurfOS modules.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Surf Air Mobility Earnings Notes 
2null 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to SRFM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.7%18.7%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.9%6.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
6.0%6.0%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Surf Air Mobility

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SRFMJOBYACHRFLYXUPSKYWMedian
NameSurf Air.Joby Avi.Archer A.flyExclu.Wheels U.SkyWest  
Mkt Price2.1314.278.133.380.70102.915.76
Mkt Cap0.112.15.40.10.54.12.3
Rev LTM1082303637573,978236
Op Inc LTM-43-663-619-56-272628-164
FCF LTM-85-533-487-24-287319-186
FCF 3Y Avg-67-434-398-70-363374-217
CFO LTM-69-477-40833-110895-90
CFO 3Y Avg-57-387-3372-278758-167

Growth & Margins

SRFMJOBYACHRFLYXUPSKYWMedian
NameSurf Air.Joby Avi.Archer A.flyExclu.Wheels U.SkyWest  
Rev Chg LTM-8.5%1,934.5%-16.4%-9.1%19.3%16.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-----19.0%9.4%-4.8%
Rev Chg Q2.8%80,521.4%-19.8%-4.3%15.0%15.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%23,006.1%-4.4%-1.1%3.6%3.6%
Op Mgn LTM-39.7%-2,926.6%--15.5%-35.9%15.8%-35.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-133.6%---18.0%-31.7%9.5%-24.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-7.0%647,806.1%-1.8%-3.5%0.5%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-64.1%-2,107.5%-9.1%-14.5%22.5%-14.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-78.2%--0.0%-23.8%22.4%-11.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-78.6%-2,352.7%--6.6%-37.9%8.0%-37.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-94.3%---22.3%-34.1%11.2%-28.2%

Valuation

SRFMJOBYACHRFLYXUPSKYWMedian
NameSurf Air.Joby Avi.Archer A.flyExclu.Wheels U.SkyWest  
Mkt Cap0.112.15.40.10.54.12.3
P/S0.8532.2-0.30.71.00.8
P/EBIT-1.5-18.2-8.7-1.7-1.86.1-1.8
P/E-1.2-11.4-8.6-5.1-1.49.5-3.3
P/CFO-1.3-25.3-13.22.8-4.54.6-2.9
Total Yield-80.1%-8.8%-11.7%-19.5%-71.6%10.5%-15.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-143.5%-8.0%-21.0%-69.2%-263.1%13.4%-45.1%
D/E1.00.00.02.81.00.60.8
Net D/E0.9-0.1-0.32.60.70.40.6

Returns

SRFMJOBYACHRFLYXUPSKYWMedian
NameSurf Air.Joby Avi.Archer A.flyExclu.Wheels U.SkyWest  
1M Rtn1.9%2.7%9.3%-0.6%-14.5%7.0%2.3%
3M Rtn-50.6%-10.6%-16.3%-31.6%-65.0%0.0%-23.9%
6M Rtn-16.1%67.5%-18.1%24.7%-48.6%3.9%-6.1%
12M Rtn-39.3%72.8%-24.7%31.0%-59.1%-0.4%-12.6%
3Y Rtn-326.0%351.7%-65.9%-93.0%559.7%326.0%
1M Excs Rtn-1.5%-0.6%5.9%-4.0%-17.9%3.6%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn-53.0%-15.0%-17.8%-38.3%-67.5%-3.7%-28.1%
6M Excs Rtn-50.4%37.6%-36.1%9.1%-62.6%-11.0%-23.6%
12M Excs Rtn-52.5%68.7%-31.2%28.2%-78.0%-15.8%-23.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-229.7%222.9%-147.6%-174.8%452.5%222.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Air Mobility segment61 
On-Demand 16
Scheduled 4
Total6120


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Air Mobility segment-251 
Total-251 


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$2.13 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.0 
First Trading Date07/27/2023 
Distance from 52W High-75.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$2.94$3.51
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-27.4%-39.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility86.1%166.8%
Downside Capture643.46357.05
Upside Capture193.74259.71
Correlation (SPY)47.1%26.0%
SRFM Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.652.922.914.192.26-0.03
Up Beta0.03-0.31-0.296.711.76-0.19
Down Beta4.032.423.603.071.991.12
Up Capture-198%67%76%374%458%118%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days6142348104253
Down Capture526%464%411%303%161%111%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days14284077141319

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
null
Based On 5-Year Data
null
Based On 10-Year Data
null

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,654,905
Short Interest: % Change Since 1130202549.3%
Average Daily Volume3,330,937
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.30
Basic Shares Quantity42,430,909
Short % of Basic Shares18.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/2025-8.5%-24.5%-34.0%
8/12/202516.5%0.2%-1.2%
3/18/20254.9%1.0%-36.2%
11/14/2024-4.7%45.9%100.6%
8/14/2024-16.7%-42.8%-41.6%
3/28/2024-11.0%3.3%-46.6%
11/14/20233.2%-42.3%-20.2%
8/16/2023-17.5%-3.5%62.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive342
# Negative546
Median Positive4.9%2.2%81.4%
Median Negative-11.0%-33.4%-35.1%
Max Positive16.5%45.9%100.6%
Max Negative-17.5%-42.8%-46.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024321202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023329202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023829202310-Q 6/30/2023
123120227262023424B4 12/31/2022
123120212092023DRS/A 12/31/2021