Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -119%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -139%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -60 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -17%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34%
  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 431%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech.
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.2%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -42%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -119%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -139%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -60 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -17%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 431%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.2%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -42%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FLYX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FLYX Return--3%-45%-43%6%-66%
Peers Return-22%-1%-19%6%49%3%2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FLYX Win Rate-60%58%75%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate32%40%35%37%45%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FLYX Max Drawdown---1%-45%-63%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-57%-11%-29%-14%-8%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RJET, AL, JBLU, DAL, UAL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFLYXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven117.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven59 days464 days

Compare to RJET, AL, JBLU, DAL, UAL


In The Past

flyExclusive's stock fell -54.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2023. A -54.1% loss requires a 117.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About flyExclusive (FLYX)

Better Bets than flyExclusive (FLYX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FLYX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for flyExclusive

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FLYXRJETALJBLUDALUALMedian
NameflyExclu.Republic.Air LeaseJetBlue .Delta Ai.United A. 
Mkt Price3.3519.0163.954.6567.24104.7341.48
Mkt Cap0.1-7.11.743.633.97.1
Rev LTM3481,3532,9089,09562,92058,3686,002
Op Inc LTM-60258601-2226,0725,165429
FCF LTM-25138-1,985-1,3543,0743,71057
FCF 3Y Avg--123-2,513-1,1561,8351,783-123
CFO LTM212221,751-1607,9769,369986
CFO 3Y Avg-2451,7231537,2538,2201,723

Growth & Margins

FLYXRJETALJBLUDALUALMedian
NameflyExclu.Republic.Air LeaseJetBlue .Delta Ai.United A. 
Rev Chg LTM17.1%3.7%6.2%-2.5%4.3%4.2%4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--0.1%8.0%2.3%10.8%13.2%8.0%
Rev Chg Q15.6%30.9%5.1%-1.8%6.4%2.6%5.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.7%7.4%1.2%-0.5%1.6%0.7%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM-17.4%19.1%20.7%-2.4%9.7%8.8%9.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-12.2%23.7%-1.0%9.5%9.2%9.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.5%2.1%-0.5%-0.9%0.3%-0.5%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM6.1%16.4%60.2%-1.8%12.7%16.1%14.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-18.1%63.0%1.5%12.1%14.8%14.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-7.2%10.2%-68.3%-14.9%4.9%6.4%-1.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--9.2%-92.3%-12.4%3.0%3.1%-9.2%

Valuation

FLYXRJETALJBLUDALUALMedian
NameflyExclu.Republic.Air LeaseJetBlue .Delta Ai.United A. 
Mkt Cap0.1-7.11.743.633.97.1
P/S0.2-2.40.20.60.50.5
P/EBIT-0.9-5.3-28.05.65.75.3
P/E-2.7-7.0-3.88.09.57.0
P/CFO2.6-4.1-11.24.63.33.3
Total Yield-37.5%-15.7%-26.2%13.2%10.5%10.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%-1.4%0.0%0.6%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg---48.4%-60.1%5.7%7.7%-21.4%
D/E4.6-2.85.30.61.02.8
Net D/E4.3-2.83.80.50.62.8

Returns

FLYXRJETALJBLUDALUALMedian
NameflyExclu.Republic.Air LeaseJetBlue .Delta Ai.United A. 
1M Rtn-7.2%-0.8%14.0%20.8%15.4%14.0%
3M Rtn-21.7%-0.8%-8.6%11.4%-1.2%-1.2%
6M Rtn14.3%-12.8%-4.7%38.6%30.3%14.3%
12M Rtn40.2%-27.0%-29.1%5.9%5.5%5.9%
3Y Rtn-66.1%-76.6%-41.9%93.1%132.6%76.6%
1M Excs Rtn-8.5%--0.4%12.7%19.6%14.1%12.7%
3M Excs Rtn-26.4%--5.1%-14.3%4.4%-7.5%-7.5%
6M Excs Rtn-1.1%--2.6%-20.2%23.1%14.9%-1.1%
12M Excs Rtn39.6%-15.5%-38.3%-6.1%-5.9%-5.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-139.4%-5.5%-113.2%26.4%66.4%5.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity315,934
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202520.4%
Average Daily Volume34,968
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.03
Basic Shares Quantity27,772,428
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024324202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024812202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023501202410-K 12/31/2023
123120228142023PRER14A 12/31/2022