Tearsheet

Sphere Entertainment (SPHR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $88.3 | Market Cap: $3.2 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Sphere Entertainment (SPHR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $88.3
Market Cap: $3.2 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Travel & Leisure Tech.
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.0%, Dist 3Y High is -4.0%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -293 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 124%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 127%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.0%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 99%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%
5   Key risks
SPHR key risks include [1] significant financial instability due to ongoing operational losses and substantial debt, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Travel & Leisure Tech.
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.0%, Dist 3Y High is -4.0%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -293 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 124%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 127%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.0%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 99%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%
8 Key risks
SPHR key risks include [1] significant financial instability due to ongoing operational losses and substantial debt, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SPHR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Successful Launch and High Demand for "The Wizard of Oz at Sphere"

The debut of "The Wizard of Oz at Sphere" on August 28, 2025, significantly boosted Sphere Entertainment's performance, drawing strong consumer demand and surpassing one million tickets sold by mid-October, and over 1.5 million tickets by early December 2025. This new Sphere Experience substantially contributed to the Sphere segment's revenue growth. 2. Increased Event Volume and Diversified Programming at the Sphere Venue

Sphere Entertainment demonstrated a strategy of maximizing venue utilization by planning to host over 100 concerts in 2025, a notable increase from 70 in 2024. The venue also featured new residencies and corporate events, indicating a diversified and robust entertainment calendar.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SPHR Return-33%-36%-24%19%117%
Peers Return8%-15%-13%44%31%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SPHR Win Rate38%33%42%50%42%75% 
Peers Win Rate48%45%18%38%58%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SPHR Max Drawdown-41%-43%-52%-11%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-20%-26%-7%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSGE, LYV, FOXA, SBGI, IMAX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSPHRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-81.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven446.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven129 days148 days

Compare to NFLX, ANGX, DCR, INHI, SUKE


In The Past

Sphere Entertainment's stock fell -81.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/8/2021. A -81.7% loss requires a 446.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sphere Entertainment (SPHR)

Better Bets than Sphere Entertainment (SPHR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SPHR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.3%-4.3%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.4%-3.4%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.3%-0.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-27.9%-27.9%-29.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.3%-4.3%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.4%-3.4%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.3%-0.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-27.9%-27.9%-29.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sphere Entertainment

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SPHRMSGELYVFOXASBGIIMAXMedian
NameSphere E.Madison .Live Nat.Fox Sinclair Imax  
Mkt Price86.2751.56136.4171.1715.7837.4261.37
Mkt Cap3.12.431.731.81.12.02.8
Rev LTM1,05496224,56916,4743,3373782,195
Op Inc LTM-2931381,1313,24333174235
FCF LTM421401,5802,66521164176
FCF 3Y Avg-4301261,1411,83416842147
CFO LTM971622,4943,036289109226
CFO 3Y Avg771461,8152,18825581201

Growth & Margins

SPHRMSGELYVFOXASBGIIMAXMedian
NameSphere E.Madison .Live Nat.Fox Sinclair Imax  
Rev Chg LTM2.6%0.7%5.5%14.9%-1.0%9.3%4.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.5%-18.6%5.6%-8.1%7.6%7.6%
Rev Chg Q-4.0%14.1%11.1%4.9%-15.7%16.6%8.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.0%2.1%3.6%1.1%-4.1%4.2%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM-27.8%14.4%4.6%19.7%9.9%19.7%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-30.6%13.5%4.6%18.4%5.2%15.2%9.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%0.1%0.4%-0.1%-3.7%1.8%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM9.2%16.9%10.2%18.4%8.7%28.9%13.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.4%16.2%7.8%14.2%7.7%21.9%12.8%
FCF/Rev LTM3.9%14.6%6.4%16.2%6.3%16.8%10.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-68.1%13.9%4.9%11.9%5.1%11.1%8.1%

Valuation

SPHRMSGELYVFOXASBGIIMAXMedian
NameSphere E.Madison .Live Nat.Fox Sinclair Imax  
Mkt Cap3.12.431.731.81.12.02.8
P/S2.12.21.51.70.34.71.9
P/EBIT-149.520.431.09.03.124.414.7
P/E-16.561.242.213.9-23.444.528.0
P/CFO23.113.215.29.33.616.114.2
Total Yield-6.1%1.6%2.4%8.2%2.3%2.2%2.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%1.0%6.6%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-32.3%6.7%4.3%8.5%21.7%3.1%5.5%
D/E0.40.60.20.34.00.10.4
Net D/E0.30.60.10.13.50.10.2

Returns

SPHRMSGELYVFOXASBGIIMAXMedian
NameSphere E.Madison .Live Nat.Fox Sinclair Imax  
1M Rtn14.8%14.2%3.0%10.3%-5.0%6.4%8.3%
3M Rtn40.4%14.8%-19.5%20.2%12.4%15.5%15.2%
6M Rtn124.4%37.9%-8.0%30.7%24.8%28.2%29.4%
12M Rtn127.0%49.8%-1.1%46.4%-1.0%47.9%47.2%
3Y Rtn100.7%-26.8%96.6%141.0%-28.1%154.4%98.7%
1M Excs Rtn14.1%13.4%2.3%9.5%-5.7%5.7%7.6%
3M Excs Rtn40.7%10.9%-18.5%17.6%10.3%14.5%12.7%
6M Excs Rtn112.0%25.5%-20.4%18.3%12.4%15.8%17.0%
12M Excs Rtn117.1%38.9%-10.7%41.5%-13.0%32.7%35.8%
3Y Excs Rtn45.6%-95.3%16.9%66.5%-96.5%64.9%31.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Madison Square Garden (MSG) Networks571608  
Sphere32  
Entertainment  82585
Inter-segment eliminations  -2-2
Tao Group Hospitality  100180
Total574610180763


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Madison Square Garden (MSG) Networks97152  
Sphere-370-318  
Entertainment  -39171
Inter-segment eliminations  -1-0
Purchase accounting adjustments  -29-28
Tao Group Hospitality  -29-103
Total-273-166-450-60


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Total    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,022,342
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.9%
Average Daily Volume807,002
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.70
Basic Shares Quantity36,200,000
Short % of Basic Shares19.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20254.7%15.9%24.8%
8/11/2025-3.9%-1.0%28.6%
3/3/2025-13.6%-18.8%-25.0%
11/12/2024-7.0%-7.7%-14.2%
8/14/20249.3%18.9%1.5%
5/10/2024-4.8%-9.4%-11.3%
2/5/202410.1%13.8%34.3%
11/8/2023-4.5%9.0%-4.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive7810
# Negative151412
Median Positive6.6%8.3%7.2%
Median Negative-3.9%-6.2%-6.3%
Max Positive10.1%18.9%34.3%
Max Negative-13.6%-18.8%-25.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-KT 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023205202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023822202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022819202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-Q 12/31/2021