Sow Good (SOWG)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $0.5165 | Market Cap: $6.3 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Sow Good (SOWG)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $0.5165Market Cap: $6.3 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -141%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -158% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.5 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -319% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -82%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -56% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -91%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -115% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 155% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 144% | ||
| Key risksSOWG key risks include [1] a dramatic collapse in revenue and a shift to negative gross margins, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -141%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -158% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.5 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -319% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -82%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -56% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -91%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -115% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 155% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 144% |
| Key risksSOWG key risks include [1] a dramatic collapse in revenue and a shift to negative gross margins, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SOWG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Poor Q3 2025 Financial Results
Sow Good (SOWG) reported significantly weaker-than-expected financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 14, 2025. The company posted an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.90, substantially missing the forecasted -$0.06. Revenue also fell short at $1.6 million against an anticipated $8.55 million, triggering a notable stock decline.
2. Steep Decline in Revenue and Negative Gross Margin
The third quarter of 2025 saw a substantial year-over-year decrease in revenue, dropping to $1.6 million from $3.6 million in Q3 2024. This revenue decline contributed to a gross loss of $8.9 million and a negative gross margin of 576% for the quarter.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SOWG Return | 20456% | -39% | 11% | 302% | -80% | -75% | 2678% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | 3% | 13% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SOWG Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 42% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | 30% | 43% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SOWG Max Drawdown | -27% | -41% | -24% | -20% | -80% | -75% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | -18% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BOF, MDLZ, HSY, GIS, SJM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SOWG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -75.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 309.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 496 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -62.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 166.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 58 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -77.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 347.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 181 days | 120 days |
Compare to K, GIS, FLO, WEST, MEHA
In The Past
Sow Good's stock fell -75.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/23/2021. A -75.6% loss requires a 309.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Sow Good Earnings Notes | ||
| Sow Good Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SOWG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.9% | -5.9% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.4% | 15.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.7% | 6.7% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.7% | -3.7% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.9% | -5.9% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.4% | 15.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.7% | 6.7% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.7% | -3.7% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sow Good
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 50.50 |
| Mkt Cap | 18.5 |
| Rev LTM | 10,034 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,744 |
| FCF LTM | 1,107 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,167 |
| CFO LTM | 1,557 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,730 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 18.5 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 13.8 |
| P/E | 4.6 |
| P/CFO | 11.2 |
| Total Yield | 0.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -28.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -101.1% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/27/2025 | 10.4% | 9.6% | -19.0% |
| 8/14/2025 | -19.4% | -37.4% | -11.3% |
| 11/14/2024 | -56.8% | -63.2% | -72.5% |
| 8/14/2024 | -34.8% | -27.1% | -46.9% |
| 3/22/2024 | -6.8% | 27.6% | 65.7% |
| 11/14/2023 | 45.4% | 25.5% | 45.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| # Negative | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 27.9% | 25.5% | 55.5% |
| Median Negative | -27.1% | -37.4% | -32.9% |
| Max Positive | 45.4% | 27.6% | 65.7% |
| Max Negative | -56.8% | -63.2% | -72.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11142025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5222023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4142023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3292022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |