Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.3%, Dist 3Y High is -0.3%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.8%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -64%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.3%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.0%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, CFO LTM is 4.0 Bil
  Key risks
ALLY key risks include [1] substantial credit risk and potential asset quality deterioration stemming from its heavy concentration in consumer auto loans, Show more.
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  
4 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 15%
  
5 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 8.4%
  
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, AI for Fraud Detection, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -64%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, CFO LTM is 4.0 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
4 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 15%
5 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 8.4%
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, AI for Fraud Detection, Show more.
7 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.3%, Dist 3Y High is -0.3%
8 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.3%
9 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.8%
10 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.0%
11 Key risks
ALLY key risks include [1] substantial credit risk and potential asset quality deterioration stemming from its heavy concentration in consumer auto loans, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALLY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Ally Financial (ALLY) experienced notable movements between August 31, 2025, and December 21, 2025, with several key factors contributing to its performance.

1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat Expectations
Ally Financial reported better-than-expected results for the third quarter of 2025, with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.15, surpassing the forecasted $1.00. Revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $2.17 billion against a forecast of $2.12 billion. This strong performance, which included a 166% year-over-year increase in adjusted EPS and a 3% increase in net revenue, led to a significant pre-market stock surge of 5.49% following the announcement on October 17, 2025. The improved financial health was driven by an expanded net interest margin and robust consumer originations.

2. Authorization of a $2 Billion Share Repurchase Program
On December 10, 2025, Ally Financial announced that its board had authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $2.00 billion with no expiration date. This program allows the company to repurchase up to 15.3% of its outstanding shares and is often seen as a signal from management that they believe the stock is undervalued, boosting investor confidence. This announcement, coupled with an improving auto lending outlook, contributed to an upgrade in analyst ratings.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALLY Return21%36%-47%49%6%30%80%
Peers Return-7%43%-26%25%51%38%157%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALLY Win Rate83%67%42%58%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%43%57%67%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALLY Max Drawdown-61%-1%-49%-8%-8%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-2%-36%-13%-4%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COF, JPM, WFC, SYF, GM. See ALLY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven151.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven182.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven264 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-32.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven186 days120 days

Compare to BAC, WFC, COF, AXP, SOFI


In The Past

Ally Financial's stock fell -60.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2021. A -60.3% loss requires a 151.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ally Financial (ALLY)

Better Bets than Ally Financial (ALLY)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALLY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ally Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALLYCOFJPMWFCSYFGMMedian
NameAlly Fin.Capital .JPMorgan.Wells Fa.Synchron.General . 
Mkt Price45.67243.63316.4092.7284.3181.9288.52
Mkt Cap14.2155.7874.0295.130.877.3116.5
Rev LTM8,64848,231179,43082,53214,989187,43565,382
Op Inc LTM-----8,0788,078
FCF LTM-26120,845-119,748-14,2189,750-1,749-1,005
FCF 3Y Avg1,01721,063-65,1079,1729,228-2,9495,095
CFO LTM4,04022,335-119,748-14,2189,75024,2126,895
CFO 3Y Avg4,44922,259-65,1079,1729,22822,2529,200

Growth & Margins

ALLYCOFJPMWFCSYFGMMedian
NameAlly Fin.Capital .JPMorgan.Wells Fa.Synchron.General . 
Rev Chg LTM-3.3%25.4%8.6%0.2%0.5%2.6%1.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.8%13.4%13.4%2.9%10.1%8.6%9.3%
Rev Chg Q3.3%54.4%8.8%5.3%0.2%-0.3%4.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.9%12.7%2.1%1.3%0.1%-0.1%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM-----4.3%4.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-----5.8%5.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM------1.4%-1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM46.7%46.3%-66.7%-17.2%65.0%12.9%29.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg49.6%55.1%-36.4%11.2%64.3%12.3%31.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-3.0%43.2%-66.7%-17.2%65.0%-0.9%-2.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.0%52.2%-36.4%11.2%64.3%-1.6%11.1%

Valuation

ALLYCOFJPMWFCSYFGMMedian
NameAlly Fin.Capital .JPMorgan.Wells Fa.Synchron.General . 
Mkt Cap14.2155.7874.0295.130.877.3116.5
P/S1.63.24.93.62.10.42.6
P/EBIT-----13.913.9
P/E22.4110.015.114.08.625.418.7
P/CFO3.57.0-7.3-20.83.23.23.2
Total Yield7.1%1.7%6.6%8.9%12.9%4.7%6.9%
Dividend Yield2.7%0.8%0.0%1.8%1.3%0.8%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.5%36.3%-7.5%6.9%50.5%-5.8%9.7%
D/E1.40.30.60.70.51.70.6
Net D/E-0.6-0.1-0.3-0.6-0.11.3-0.2

Returns

ALLYCOFJPMWFCSYFGMMedian
NameAlly Fin.Capital .JPMorgan.Wells Fa.Synchron.General . 
1M Rtn21.6%20.5%6.0%12.5%16.7%20.6%18.6%
3M Rtn4.1%7.1%1.0%10.1%10.5%39.2%8.6%
6M Rtn25.6%23.6%16.2%24.3%36.4%70.7%25.0%
12M Rtn35.3%38.1%36.0%34.7%31.1%59.8%35.7%
3Y Rtn111.6%186.0%157.8%143.9%171.6%135.4%150.8%
1M Excs Rtn16.0%17.5%1.4%7.3%13.3%16.9%14.7%
3M Excs Rtn3.7%6.4%-0.3%7.4%9.9%37.3%6.9%
6M Excs Rtn11.9%8.2%1.4%8.4%21.1%56.2%10.1%
12M Excs Rtn16.0%23.2%22.6%20.9%14.8%48.9%21.8%
3Y Excs Rtn28.5%94.6%84.5%66.9%92.4%49.7%75.7%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Automotive Finance operations5,8385,5305,4604,4884,390
Insurance operations1,5321,1121,4041,3761,328
Corporate Finance operations534456436344284
Corporate and Other3301,082688258199
Mortgage Finance operations 248218220193
Total8,2348,4288,2066,6866,394


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Automotive Finance operations115,301111,463103,653104,794113,863
Corporate and Other60,73541,63143,28347,23736,168
Corporate Finance operations11,21210,5447,9506,1085,787
Insurance operations9,0818,6599,3819,1378,547
Mortgage Finance operations 19,52917,84714,88916,279
Total196,329191,826182,114182,165180,644


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,034,571
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-20.3%
Average Daily Volume2,781,066
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.61
Basic Shares Quantity310,342,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/17/20253.6%6.7%3.0%
7/18/2025-0.9%-4.6%-2.7%
4/17/2025-1.7%3.1%13.0%
1/22/20253.9%2.3%2.7%
10/18/2024-2.3%-3.8%1.9%
7/17/2024-2.3%-4.9%-7.0%
4/18/20246.7%9.6%12.2%
1/19/202410.7%14.8%12.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131116
# Negative11138
Median Positive3.9%4.9%8.5%
Median Negative-3.6%-4.6%-4.1%
Max Positive20.0%23.3%19.7%
Max Negative-7.9%-15.2%-12.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021