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Semtech (SMTC)


Market Price (7/10/2026): $135.44 | Market Cap: $12.6 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Semtech (SMTC)


Market Price (7/10/2026): $135.44
Market Cap: $12.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.

Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 67x

Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 184%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 80%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.6%

Key risks
SMTC key risks include [1] significant financial and operational strain from the Sierra Wireless acquisition, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 67x
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 184%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 80%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.6%
6 Key risks
SMTC key risks include [1] significant financial and operational strain from the Sierra Wireless acquisition, Show more.

SMTC in ETFs

Weight = SMTC's share of each fund

VTI0.02%
ITOT0.02%
IWB0.02%
IJH0.41%
VB0.18%
IJK0.55%
MDYG0.51%
VIOV0.49%
+18 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/9/2026

Semtech (SMTC) stock has gained about 80% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Semtech reported a strong beat for its fiscal Q1 2027 earnings and provided optimistic guidance for fiscal Q2 2027.

The company's non-GAAP adjusted diluted EPS for fiscal Q1 2027 (ended April 26, 2026) was $0.51, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.42 by 21.43%. Net sales reached a record $291.0 million, marking a 16% year-over-year increase. Semtech also issued robust guidance for fiscal Q2 2027, projecting net sales of approximately $328.0 million and adjusted diluted EPS of around $0.61, exceeding analyst projections.

2. The company demonstrated accelerated growth driven by strong demand in the data center and AI infrastructure markets.

Semtech's Signal Integrity segment, critical for high-speed data center applications, saw its revenue jump by 39% year-over-year in fiscal Q1 2027, reaching $102.0 million. This aligns with the broader semiconductor industry trend where AI infrastructure investment is projected to drive total semiconductor revenues past $1.3 trillion in 2026, with data center semiconductors alone expected to reach $477.1 billion. Further solidifying its position, Semtech launched a 224Gbps IC family for linear optics, enabling 800G, 1.6T, and 3.2T transceivers essential for AI/ML clusters and hyperscale data centers, a market forecast to double from $5 billion in 2024 to over $10 billion by 2026.

Show more
Updated on 7/9/2026

Semtech (SMTC) stock has gained about 80% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Semtech reported a strong beat for its fiscal Q1 2027 earnings and provided optimistic guidance for fiscal Q2 2027.

The company's non-GAAP adjusted diluted EPS for fiscal Q1 2027 (ended April 26, 2026) was $0.51, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.42 by 21.43%. Net sales reached a record $291.0 million, marking a 16% year-over-year increase. Semtech also issued robust guidance for fiscal Q2 2027, projecting net sales of approximately $328.0 million and adjusted diluted EPS of around $0.61, exceeding analyst projections.

2. The company demonstrated accelerated growth driven by strong demand in the data center and AI infrastructure markets.

Semtech's Signal Integrity segment, critical for high-speed data center applications, saw its revenue jump by 39% year-over-year in fiscal Q1 2027, reaching $102.0 million. This aligns with the broader semiconductor industry trend where AI infrastructure investment is projected to drive total semiconductor revenues past $1.3 trillion in 2026, with data center semiconductors alone expected to reach $477.1 billion. Further solidifying its position, Semtech launched a 224Gbps IC family for linear optics, enabling 800G, 1.6T, and 3.2T transceivers essential for AI/ML clusters and hyperscale data centers, a market forecast to double from $5 billion in 2024 to over $10 billion by 2026.

3. Analysts issued multiple upgrades and significantly raised price targets for Semtech.

Following the positive fiscal Q1 2027 results and favorable outlook, several prominent analyst firms increased their price targets. UBS raised its target to $225, Benchmark to $230, TD Cowen to $210, Needham to $200, and Stifel to $188, citing strong demand for 800G optical products, accelerating data center growth, and the performance of LoRa platforms. Zacks Research also upgraded Semtech from a "hold" to a "strong-buy" rating.

4. Semtech's LoRa technology expanded its strategic presence in the global IoT market.

LoRa technology was designated as the core radio modulation for Amazon Sidewalk's international expansion, set to begin in Canada and Mexico in 2026. This strategic adoption underscores the continued market acceptance and growth potential for Semtech's low-power, long-range Internet of Things solutions.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 78.8% change in SMTC stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 72.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267092026Change
Stock Price ($)76.89137.5078.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,0501,0903.8%
P/S Multiple6.811.772.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)9393-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution78.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SMTC78.8% 
Market (SPY)15.6%57.7%
Sector (XLK)39.5%66.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 86.6% change in SMTC stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 86.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257092026Change
Stock Price ($)73.69137.5086.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,0271,0906.2%
P/S Multiple6.311.786.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8893-5.6%
Cumulative Contribution86.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SMTC86.6% 
Market (SPY)10.5%58.5%
Sector (XLK)28.9%65.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 204.6% change in SMTC stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 186.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257092026Change
Stock Price ($)45.14137.50204.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9541,09014.2%
P/S Multiple4.111.7186.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8693-7.0%
Cumulative Contribution204.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SMTC204.6% 
Market (SPY)22.7%56.2%
Sector (XLK)47.0%62.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 440.1% change in SMTC stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 469.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237092026Change
Stock Price ($)25.46137.50440.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7911,09037.8%
P/S Multiple2.111.7469.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6493-31.2%
Cumulative Contribution440.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SMTC440.1% 
Market (SPY)75.6%54.7%
Sector (XLK)117.2%57.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
SMTC Return23%-68%-24%182%19%75%79%
Peers Return53%-19%27%-13%8%50%122%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%99%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SMTC Win Rate58%25%50%67%58%71% 
Peers Win Rate63%35%60%35%47%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SMTC Max Drawdown-29%-71%-61%-32%-68%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-36%-33%-31%-42%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SLAB, MCHP, ADI, NXPI, ON. See SMTC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/9/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventSMTCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-35.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven21 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-21.4%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.3%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven8 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-51.9%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven108.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven152 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-43.7%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven77.7%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven336 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-71.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven250.8%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1229 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-44.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven71 days140 days

Compare to SLAB, MCHP, ADI, NXPI, ON

In The Past

Semtech's stock fell -35.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 55.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventSMTCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-35.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven21 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-21.4%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.3%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven8 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-51.9%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven108.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven152 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-43.7%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven77.7%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven336 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-71.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven250.8%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1229 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-44.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven71 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-24.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.2%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven59 days105 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-44.8%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.1%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven319 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-30.4%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.8%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven1036 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-24.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.5%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven143 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-44.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven80.2%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven168 days1085 days

Compare to SLAB, MCHP, ADI, NXPI, ON

In The Past

Semtech's stock fell -35.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 55.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Semtech (SMTC)

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Semtech Corporation is a semiconductor company that designs, develops, manufactures, and markets analog and mixed-signal semiconductor products and advanced algorithms. The company's core business involves providing essential electronic components and technologies that enable efficient and reliable operation across a broad spectrum of modern electronic systems.

Semtech's product portfolio is diverse, addressing critical functionalities in various industries. Its offerings include signal integrity products for optical data communications and video transport in applications such as data centers, enterprise networks, and broadcast. The company also provides protection products, like transient voltage suppressors, to safeguard electronic systems from voltage spikes. Furthermore, Semtech offers specialized wireless and sensing products for industrial, medical, and consumer uses, alongside power products designed to regulate and condition power within electronic systems, including wireless charging solutions.

The company primarily serves original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their suppliers across key end-markets. These markets encompass enterprise computing, communications infrastructure, and a variety of industrial and consumer applications. Semtech distributes its products globally, reaching customers in North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and other international regions.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Semtech is like a specialized Texas Instruments (TI), providing essential analog and mixed-signal chips that manage power, protect electronics, and enable high-speed data and specialized wireless communication for various electronic devices and infrastructure.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • Signal Integrity Products: These include optical data communications and video transport products, as well as integrated circuits for data centers, enterprise networks, and high-speed interface applications.
  • Protection Products: These are filter and termination devices integrated with transient voltage suppressor devices to protect electronic systems from voltage spikes.
  • Wireless and Sensing Products: This portfolio comprises specialized radio frequency products and specialized sensing products for industrial, medical, communications, and consumer applications.
  • Power Products: These consist of various regulators, isolated switches, and wireless charging solutions that control, alter, regulate, and condition power within electronic systems.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM)
  • UMC (UMC)
  • Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. (SSNLF)
  • ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. (ASX)
  • Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR)
  • Siliconware Precision Industries Co., Ltd.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Dr. Hong Q. Hou, President and Chief Executive Officer

Dr. Hou was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Semtech in June 2024, having served on Semtech's Board of Directors since July 2023. He possesses extensive experience in the semiconductor and hyperscale industries. Prior to Semtech, Dr. Hou was president of the Semiconductor Group at Brooks Automation, where he drove improvements in customer satisfaction and accelerated growth, operating in a leveraged buyout environment. He also served as corporate vice president and general manager of the Cloud and Edge Networking Group at Intel Corporation. Earlier in his career, he held executive leadership positions as Chief Operating Officer at AXT, Inc. and President and Chief Executive Officer at EMCORE Corporation, where he also served on the board of directors. Dr. Hou holds a Ph.D. in Electrical Engineering from the University of California, San Diego, and completed executive management coursework at Stanford Graduate School of Business.

Mark Lin, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Lin joined Semtech in October 2023 as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Before his tenure at Semtech, he served as vice president and corporate controller of MKS Instruments Inc. from November 2019 to October 2023. Prior to MKS Instruments, Mr. Lin spent from June 2005 to July 2019 at Microsemi, where he held various accounting and finance roles, including vice president, finance and corporate controller, a position he assumed in 2014. He earned a Bachelor of Arts in business-economics from the University of California, Los Angeles, and is a certified public accountant.

Asaf Silberstein, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Mr. Silberstein was promoted to the role of Chief Operating Officer in March 2023, having previously served as executive vice president, worldwide operations and information technology. He joined Semtech in 2011 as vice president of operations. With over two decades of operations experience in the semiconductor industry, Mr. Silberstein's prior roles include vice president of operations and information technology at Microsemi Corporation and Chief Operating Officer at PowerDsine Ltd., which was acquired by Microsemi. He holds an MBA from Bar-Ilan University and an undergraduate degree from Ben-Gurion University of the Negev.

Jason Green, Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer

Mr. Green was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, effective February 2025. He brings extensive experience in driving profitable growth and operational excellence within the semiconductor and technology sectors. Most recently, he was managing partner at Stratosphere Management, providing counsel on business transformation and growth strategies. His previous experience includes leading the go-to-market transformation at National Instruments (now part of Emerson) as executive vice president, chief revenue officer and business unit general manager. Mr. Green also spent two decades at Maxim Integrated (now part of Analog Devices), where he held senior commercial leadership positions, contributing significantly to its expansion. He holds a business degree from the University of Florida and completed the Advanced Management Program at Harvard Business School.

Imran Sherazi, Senior Vice President and General Manager, Signal Integrity Products Group

Mr. Sherazi assumed the role of Senior Vice President and General Manager of Semtech's Signal Integrity Products Group in September 2023. He previously served as vice president of business development and strategy within the same group. Since joining Semtech following its 2012 acquisition of Gennum Corporation, Mr. Sherazi has held numerous leadership positions in M&A and marketing. Before the acquisition, he led product marketing, definition, and strategy at Gennum Corporation. Mr. Sherazi holds a Bachelor of Engineering in Microelectronics from Brunel University London and is the holder of several U.S. patents.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Semtech's business include:

  1. Cyclicality of the Semiconductor Industry and Dependence on AI Capital Expenditure: As a semiconductor company, Semtech is inherently exposed to the cyclical nature of the industry and fluctuating market dynamics. Any slowdown in capital expenditure from major hyperscalers for artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure could significantly impact its Signal Integrity segment.

  2. Integration Risks from Acquisitions: Semtech has faced challenges with past acquisitions, notably the Sierra Wireless acquisition in 2023, which resulted in a significant goodwill write-off and a reduction in gross profit margins. The company must also successfully integrate new technologies, such as the HieFo laser technology, without experiencing similar "indigestion" seen in previous deals.

  3. Geopolitical Exposure and Supply Chain Risks: A significant portion of the global IoT supply chain, crucial for Semtech's wireless and sensing products, is concentrated in China. This exposure makes the company vulnerable to escalations in trade tensions and potential supply chain disruptions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) operates in several key addressable markets for its analog and mixed-signal semiconductor products and advanced algorithms. The market sizes for their main products and services are as follows:

Signal Integrity Products

  • Optical Data Communications: The global optical communication systems and networking market was valued at USD 36.87 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 74.21 billion by 2034, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8.38% during the forecast period. Other estimates place the global optical data transmission devices market at approximately USD 10.5 billion in 2023, projected to reach around USD 22.7 billion by 2032 with a CAGR of 8.7%.
  • Video Transport Products and Video-over-IP for Professional AV Applications: The global professional AV (Pro AV) market size was valued at USD 292.3 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 501.76 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 6.19%. The global AV-over-IP market was valued at USD 28.24 billion in 2026 and is steadily progressing to USD 1,728.69 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 57.94%.
  • Integrated Circuits for Data Centers: The global data center interconnect (DCI) market is projected to reach USD 14.6 billion in 2025 and grow to USD 79.4 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 20.7%. Another estimate valued the global data center interconnect market at USD 16.24 billion in 2025, growing to USD 42.45 billion by 2032 at a CAGR of 14.73%.
  • Enterprise Networks: The global enterprise networking market size was estimated at USD 207.69 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 385.45 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 5.78%. Other analyses value the global enterprise networking market at USD 128.4 billion in 2025, projected to grow to USD 287.32 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 9.36%.
  • Passive Optical Networks (PON): The global passive optical network (PON) market size was valued at USD 17.61 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 60.52 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 14.80%. The global passive optical network (PON) equipment market was valued at USD 35.72 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10.27% from 2026 to 2032, reaching nearly USD 70.82 billion.
  • High-Speed Interface Applications: The global high-speed interconnects market size was valued at USD 40.2 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 87.6 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 10.25%. The global interface IC market was valued at USD 3.1 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 3.6% to reach USD 4.3 billion by 2034.

Protection Products

  • Transient Voltage Suppressor (TVS) Devices: The global transient voltage suppressor diode market was valued at USD 3.01 billion in 2026 and is expected to climb to USD 4.57 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 4.7% during the forecast period. Another source estimated the global transient voltage suppressor diode market at USD 1.0 billion in 2023, anticipated to reach USD 2.1 billion by 2032 with a CAGR of 8.1%.
    Note: Specific market sizes for "filter and termination devices" were not explicitly identified.

Wireless and Sensing Products

  • Specialized Radio Frequency Products: null
  • Specialized Sensing Products: null

  • Note: Specific addressable market sizes for "specialized radio frequency products" and "specialized sensing products" were not explicitly identified within the provided search results beyond very broad categories.

Power Products

  • Switching Voltage Regulators: The global switching commercial voltage regulator market was valued at USD 653.1 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 1.41 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 8.1% from 2025 to 2034. The global switching voltage regulators market size has grown from USD 5.63 billion in 2025 to USD 6.09 billion in 2026 at a CAGR of 8.1%, and is expected to grow to USD 8.39 billion in 2030 at a CAGR of 8.4%.
  • Linear Regulators: The global linear regulators (LDO regulators) market is anticipated to grow to USD 0.79 billion in 2025, with further expansion to USD 1.13 billion by 2034 at a CAGR of 4%. The global linear regulator ICs (LDOs) market is valued at USD 3.2 billion in 2025 and is set to reach USD 5.6 billion by 2035, recording a CAGR of 5.80% between 2025 and 2035.
  • Wireless Charging: The global wireless charging market size was valued at USD 8.41 billion in 2024. The market is projected to grow from USD 10.15 billion in 2025 to USD 57.16 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 21.2% during the forecast period. Another report calculated the global wireless charging market size at USD 23.60 billion in 2025 and predicted it to increase to approximately USD 192.06 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 23.33% from 2026 to 2035.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) is poised for future revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven by several key strategic initiatives and market expansions. Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Semtech: * Growth in High-Speed Data Center Interconnects: Semtech anticipates significant revenue growth from its signal integrity products, particularly those serving the data center market. The increasing demand for higher bandwidth in hyperscale data centers, driven by artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing, is fueling the adoption of 800G and the upcoming 1.6T and 3.2T optical transceivers. The company's focus on solutions like Linear Pluggable Optics (LPO) and Active Copper Cable (ACC) is expected to capture major design wins and contribute to this growth. * Expansion of LoRa Technology: Semtech's LoRa (Long Range) technology continues to be a crucial growth driver, with projections indicating annual growth of 15%-20% for the LoRa business. The technology is seeing expanded adoption across diverse applications, including smart metering, asset tracking, smart buildings, smart cities, and security. Recent collaborations, such as the agreement with Trident IoT for multi-protocol smart home solutions and LoRa's continued role in Amazon Sidewalk's international rollout, are expected to broaden its market reach and drive further revenue. * Advancements in 5G RedCap Modules and IoT Systems: The ongoing transition of the Internet of Things (IoT) from 4G to 5G is expected to generate growth for Semtech's IoT Systems and Connectivity segment. The company has completed certifications for 5G RedCap modules, which are now commercially available, and is observing strong design win momentum and expanding partnerships for routers, gateways, and AirLink services. * Strategic Acquisitions to Enhance Optical Solutions: Semtech's inorganic growth strategy, including the recent acquisition of Hyfo (HieFo), is aimed at bolstering its capabilities in high-bandwidth, low-power optical solutions. This acquisition specifically enhances Semtech's offerings for 1.6T and 3.2T architectures, allowing the company to provide more comprehensive component solutions, including lasers, for the evolving optical transceiver market. * Increased Penetration in Industrial and Infrastructure End-Markets: Beyond specific product lines, Semtech anticipates continued robust performance and growth within its broader industrial and infrastructure end-markets. This includes diversified applications within smart infrastructure, utilities, enterprise networks, and wireless base stations, where the company's analog and mixed-signal semiconductor products provide disruptive solutions and performance differentiation.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here's a summary of Semtech's capital allocation decisions over the last 3-5 years:

Share Repurchases

  • Semtech's Board of Directors approved an expansion of its stock repurchase program by an additional $350.0 million on March 11, 2021.
  • As of January 26, 2025, the remaining authorization under the stock repurchase program was $209.4 million.
  • The company did not repurchase any shares of its common stock under the program during fiscal year 2025.

Share Issuance

  • Semtech completed an upsized follow-on offering of common stock in December 2024, generating gross proceeds of approximately $661 million from 10,496,032 shares, including the full exercise of the underwriters' overallotment option. The net proceeds were primarily intended for the repayment of certain indebtedness.
  • In October 2025, Semtech announced a private offering of $350 million in 0% convertible senior notes due 2030. This offering, along with the issuance of approximately 5.2 million shares of common stock, was primarily used for the exchange of existing convertible senior notes due 2027 and 2028, and to repay a portion of term loans.
  • Semtech's shares outstanding for the quarter ending October 31, 2025, increased by 16.41% year-over-year to 0.088 billion. Annually, shares outstanding for 2025 were 0.072 billion, an 11.66% increase from 2024.

Outbound Investments

  • In August 2022, Semtech acquired Sierra Wireless, a provider of communication modules for IoT applications.
  • In March 2026, Semtech acquired HieFo Corporation, a California-based private manufacturer of high-efficiency Indium Phosphide optoelectronic devices for optical transceivers, for approximately $34 million in cash. This acquisition aims to bolster U.S. technology supply chains and expand Semtech's data center portfolio.
  • Semtech is focusing on divestitures of non-core assets to reduce leverage and optimize its portfolio, with components of the Sierra Wireless business expected to be sold in the first half of fiscal year 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Quarterly purchases of property, plant & equipment were approximately $2.8 million or less in recent quarters, indicating a modest and disciplined capital intensity.
  • For fiscal year 2025, Semtech's operating cash flow was $33.5 million and free cash flow was $30.9 million.
  • In fiscal year 2025, Semtech's capital allocation priorities included strategic investment in research and development to accelerate innovation and drive long-term growth.

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Financials

SMTCSLABMCHPADINXPIONMedian
NameSemtech Silicon .Microchi.Analog D.NXP Semi.ON Semic. 
Mkt Price137.50218.6888.26393.64290.5497.87178.09
Mkt Cap12.87.247.8191.973.438.643.2
Rev LTM1,0908214,71312,74012,6156,0635,388
Op Inc LTM113-565304,1923,2141,061796
FCF LTM162188714,5652,5541,1811,026
FCF 3Y Avg7011,4173,6412,3431,0721,244
CFO LTM190539625,1063,0481,3971,179
CFO 3Y Avg90231,5844,4123,0921,8251,704

Growth & Margins

SMTCSLABMCHPADINXPIONMedian
NameSemtech Silicon .Microchi.Analog D.NXP Semi.ON Semic. 
Rev Chg LTM14.2%25.1%7.1%29.8%2.4%-9.0%10.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.3%-3.6%-14.9%1.6%-1.4%-9.8%-2.5%
Rev Chg Q15.9%20.1%35.1%37.2%12.2%4.7%18.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.8%4.6%7.8%8.4%2.8%1.1%4.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM20.2%59.9%41.1%81.4%-3.0%-20.8%30.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-92.4%-57.5%-20.7%9.3%-4.9%-25.3%-23.0%
Op Mgn LTM10.4%-6.8%11.2%32.9%25.5%17.5%14.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.4%-14.6%17.8%27.4%26.8%22.9%20.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.4%2.2%4.9%3.2%0.7%5.0%2.7%
CFO/Rev LTM17.4%6.4%20.4%40.1%24.2%23.0%21.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.6%2.9%26.2%40.1%24.2%26.2%25.2%
FCF/Rev LTM14.9%2.1%18.5%35.8%20.2%19.5%19.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.5%-0.1%23.4%32.9%18.3%16.1%17.2%

Valuation

SMTCSLABMCHPADINXPIONMedian
NameSemtech Silicon .Microchi.Analog D.NXP Semi.ON Semic. 
Mkt Cap12.87.247.8191.973.438.643.2
P/S11.78.810.115.15.86.49.5
P/Op Inc112.9-129.890.245.822.836.341.1
P/EBIT-1,156.5-171.297.845.018.854.131.9
P/E-385.3-143.2207.857.927.767.242.8
P/CFO67.4137.349.737.624.127.643.6
Total Yield-0.3%-0.7%2.5%2.8%5.0%1.5%2.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.1%1.0%1.4%0.0%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.1%0.2%3.6%3.1%4.3%5.0%3.4%
D/E0.00.00.10.00.20.10.1
Net D/E0.0-0.10.10.00.10.00.0

Returns

SMTCSLABMCHPADINXPIONMedian
NameSemtech Silicon .Microchi.Analog D.NXP Semi.ON Semic. 
1M Rtn-12.7%-0.1%-3.5%-2.7%-2.0%-16.4%-3.1%
3M Rtn55.1%3.9%24.5%12.3%41.7%42.9%33.1%
6M Rtn90.5%48.9%21.3%32.4%23.2%60.7%40.6%
12M Rtn183.5%54.7%21.4%64.4%28.3%69.4%59.5%
3Y Rtn411.9%36.6%7.0%116.3%45.7%2.0%41.1%
1M Excs Rtn-15.3%-1.6%-5.3%-4.4%-5.1%-20.9%-5.2%
3M Excs Rtn46.9%-7.3%14.2%2.8%31.5%31.9%22.8%
6M Excs Rtn68.9%38.6%10.6%26.5%10.5%49.8%32.6%
12M Excs Rtn183.7%34.8%0.4%41.6%6.1%48.7%38.2%
3Y Excs Rtn356.3%-32.9%-64.4%43.3%-21.3%-68.2%-27.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Analog Mixed Signal and Wireless373323260443 
Internet of things (IoT) Systems and Connectivity3543254315 
Signal Integrity323262177298291
Unallocated00   
Internet of things (IoT) System Products Group   10143
Advanced Sensing and Protection Products Group    307
Total1,050909869757741


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20212020201920182017
Semiconductor Products Group140125187161126
Changes in the fair value of contingent earn-out obligations029-40
Transaction and integration related-1-1   
Litigation cost, net of recoveries-1-1   
Restructuring and other reserves-1-5   
Intangible amortization-8-17-27-28-25
Share-based compensation-53-52-74-48-31
Other non-segment related expenses  3-12-4
Amortization of fair value adjustments related to acquired property, plant and equipment   -0-2
All others    23
Environmental and other reserves    -1
Restructuring charges    -2
Total7552986984


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$137.50 
Market Cap ($ Bil)12.8 
First Trading Date03/17/1992 
Distance from 52W High-21.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$142.30$94.12
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-3.4%46.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility89.1%67.8%
Downside Capture548.45316.82
Upside Capture516.15371.71
Correlation (SPY)58.3%56.3%
SMTC Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.853.803.363.132.982.56
Up Beta0.480.721.421.792.442.08
Down Beta4.333.383.472.652.742.45
Up Capture654%876%870%1066%1606%24446%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days11253969133392
Down Capture352%338%338%224%176%113%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days10162355117356

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SMTC
SMTC206.2%68.0%1.92-
Sector ETF (XLK)45.4%24.3%1.4961.9%
Equity (SPY)22.3%12.5%1.3356.3%
Gold (GLD)24.4%27.8%0.7719.9%
Commodities (DBC)23.6%18.7%1.00-7.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.2%13.9%0.6512.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-42.8%42.8%-1.1822.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SMTC
SMTC15.6%63.9%0.50-
Sector ETF (XLK)21.1%25.5%0.7456.8%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.1%0.6153.3%
Gold (GLD)18.0%18.3%0.8010.6%
Commodities (DBC)7.5%19.5%0.289.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%18.9%0.0632.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.3%53.5%0.4222.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SMTC
SMTC20.4%54.3%0.57-
Sector ETF (XLK)25.6%24.7%0.9360.6%
Equity (SPY)15.8%17.9%0.7557.1%
Gold (GLD)11.7%16.1%0.597.3%
Commodities (DBC)6.1%18.0%0.2716.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.2236.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.0%66.2%0.9816.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 531202613.8%
Average Daily Volume3.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity92.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.8%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/29/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/26/2026-4.4%1.3%-1.3%
3/16/2026-11.0%-14.0%4.8%
11/24/20252.5%4.9%8.2%
8/25/202515.1%13.3%17.3%
5/27/2025-4.6%-1.7%17.6%
3/13/202521.1%24.2%-18.7%
11/25/202418.1%25.3%22.9%
8/27/202411.2%11.3%24.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131413
# Negative111011
Median Positive6.8%6.6%17.3%
Median Negative-5.3%-12.0%-18.6%
Max Positive21.1%28.7%34.8%
Max Negative-27.1%-33.1%-39.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/26/2026-4.4%1.3%-1.3%
3/16/2026-11.0%-14.0%4.8%
11/24/20252.5%4.9%8.2%
8/25/202515.1%13.3%17.3%
5/27/2025-4.6%-1.7%17.6%
3/13/202521.1%24.2%-18.7%
11/25/202418.1%25.3%22.9%
8/27/202411.2%11.3%24.2%
6/5/2024-1.8%-21.5%-12.6%
3/28/20246.8%18.4%34.8%
12/6/202316.3%28.7%25.9%
10/19/2023-19.8%-23.3%-20.1%
6/7/20234.9%2.9%19.8%
3/29/2023-21.4%-33.1%-39.3%
11/30/2022-3.0%-6.7%-6.7%
8/31/2022-27.1%-26.6%-36.3%
6/1/2022-0.0%-5.8%-19.3%
3/16/20224.1%3.3%-7.2%
12/1/20212.9%4.6%2.6%
9/1/202110.9%5.5%10.9%
6/2/20215.1%7.8%9.9%
3/17/2021-5.8%-10.0%-3.6%
12/2/20202.2%2.3%4.8%
8/26/2020-5.3%-3.4%-18.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131413
# Negative111011
Median Positive6.8%6.6%17.3%
Median Negative-5.3%-12.0%-18.6%
Max Positive21.1%28.7%34.8%
Max Negative-27.1%-33.1%-39.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
04/30/202605/27/202610-Q
01/31/202603/23/202610-K
10/31/202511/25/202510-Q
07/31/202508/26/202510-Q
04/30/202505/29/202510-Q
01/31/202503/25/202510-K
10/31/202412/03/202410-Q
07/31/202408/28/202410-Q
04/30/202406/05/202410-Q
01/31/202403/28/202410-K
10/31/202312/06/202310-Q
07/31/202309/13/202310-Q
04/30/202306/07/202310-Q
01/31/202303/30/202310-K
10/31/202211/30/202210-Q
07/31/202208/31/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
04/30/202605/27/202610-Q
01/31/202603/23/202610-K
10/31/202511/25/202510-Q
07/31/202508/26/202510-Q
04/30/202505/29/202510-Q
01/31/202503/25/202510-K
10/31/202412/03/202410-Q
07/31/202408/28/202410-Q
04/30/202406/05/202410-Q
01/31/202403/28/202410-K
10/31/202312/06/202310-Q
07/31/202309/13/202310-Q
04/30/202306/07/202310-Q
01/31/202303/30/202310-K
10/31/202211/30/202210-Q
07/31/202208/31/202210-Q
04/30/202206/01/202210-Q
01/31/202203/16/202210-K
10/31/202112/01/202110-Q
07/31/202109/01/202110-Q
04/30/202106/02/202110-Q
01/31/202103/24/202110-K
10/31/202012/02/202010-Q
07/31/202008/26/202010-Q
04/30/202005/27/202010-Q
01/31/202003/20/202010-K
10/31/201912/04/201910-Q
07/31/201908/28/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/8/2026

Latest: Q1 2027 Earnings Reported 5/26/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2027 Net sales323.00 Mil328.00 Mil333.00 Mil15.9% Higher NewGuidance: 283.00 Mil for Q1 2027
Q2 2027 Adjusted gross margin53.5%54.0%54.5% 1.2%Higher NewGuidance: 52.8% for Q1 2027
Q2 2027 Adjusted operating income69.60 Mil71.90 Mil74.20 Mil37.0% Higher NewGuidance: 52.50 Mil for Q1 2027
Q2 2027 Adjusted diluted earnings per share0.590.610.6335.6% Higher NewGuidance: 0.45 for Q1 2027
Q2 2027 Adjusted EBITDA76.90 Mil79.20 Mil81.50 Mil33.1% Higher NewGuidance: 59.50 Mil for Q1 2027

Prior: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 3/16/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2027 Net sales278.00 Mil283.00 Mil288.00 Mil3.7% Higher NewGuidance: 273.00 Mil for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 Adjusted gross margin52.3%52.8%53.3% 1.6%Higher NewGuidance: 51.2% for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 Adjusted operating expenses, net95.90 Mil96.90 Mil97.90 Mil6.2% Higher NewGuidance: 91.20 Mil for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 Adjusted operating income49.50 Mil52.50 Mil55.50 Mil8.0% Higher NewGuidance: 48.60 Mil for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 Adjusted operating margin17.9%18.6%19.3% 0.8%Higher NewGuidance: 17.8% for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 Adjusted diluted earnings per share0.420.450.484.7% Higher NewGuidance: 0.43 for Q4 2026
Q1 2027 Adjusted EBITDA56.50 Mil59.50 Mil62.50 Mil6.2% Higher NewGuidance: 56.00 Mil for Q4 2026
2027 Adjusted normalized tax rate 17.0%    

Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 11/24/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 Net sales268.00 Mil273.00 Mil278.00 Mil2.6% Higher NewGuidance: 266.00 Mil for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Adjusted gross margin50.7%51.2%51.7% -1.8%Lower NewGuidance: 53.0% for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Total semiconductor products gross margin60.0%60.5%61.0%   
Q4 2026 Adjusted operating expenses, net90.20 Mil91.20 Mil92.20 Mil2.7% Higher NewGuidance: 88.80 Mil for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Adjusted operating income45.60 Mil48.60 Mil51.60 Mil-6.9% Lower NewGuidance: 52.20 Mil for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Adjusted operating margin17.0%17.8%18.6% -1.8%Lower NewGuidance: 19.6% for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Adjusted diluted earnings per share0.40.430.46-2.3% Lower NewGuidance: 0.44 for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Adjusted EBITDA53.00 Mil56.00 Mil59.00 Mil-6.7% Lower NewGuidance: 60.00 Mil for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Adjusted EBITDA margin19.7%20.5%21.3% -2.0%Lower NewGuidance: 22.5% for Q3 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 7/9/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Green, Jason ElliotEVP and CCODirectSell7092026129.902,264294,0861,118,539Form
2Lin, MarkEVP and CFODirectSell7062026150.41970145,8935,248,533Form
3Fischer, Gregory MichaelDirectSell7022026156.241,500234,360887,131Form
4Hou, Hong QPresident and CEODirectSell7012026152.579,6051,465,4089,705,562Form
5Walsh, Paul V JRDirectSell6262026164.9950082,4954,636,219Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Green, Jason ElliotEVP and CCODirectSell7092026129.902,264294,0861,118,539Form
2Lin, MarkEVP and CFODirectSell7062026150.41970145,8935,248,533Form
3Fischer, Gregory MichaelDirectSell7022026156.241,500234,360887,131Form
4Hou, Hong QPresident and CEODirectSell7012026152.579,6051,465,4089,705,562Form
5Walsh, Paul V JRDirectSell6262026164.9950082,4954,636,219Form
6Wilson, John MichaelChief Quality Officer and CTODirectSell6242026170.005,500935,00013,748,920Form
7Lin, MarkEVP and CFODirectSell6122026155.16683105,9745,316,247Form
8Hou, Hong QPresident and CEODirectSell6092026162.102,000324,20011,221,859Form
9Silberstein, AsafEVP and COODirectSell6052026164.002,000328,00017,083,060Form
10Li, Ye Jane DirectSell6012026166.845,285881,758121,628Form
11Fischer, Gregory MichaelDirectSell6012026164.691,000164,685305,820Form
12Walsh, Paul V JRDirectSell5222026138.2150069,1053,217,391Form
13Hou, Hong QPresident and CEODirectSell5052026103.012,000206,0207,337,196Form
14Walsh, Paul V JRDirectSell4242026105.9350052,9652,518,909Form
15Burvill, Martin DirectSell413202688.982,500222,449392,311Form
16Lin, MarkEVP and CFODirectSell402202678.4297476,3812,614,758Form
17Green, Jason ElliotEVP and CCODirectSell402202681.737,500612,992720,143Form
18Lin, MarkEVP and CFODirectSell325202675.059,186689,4092,454,886Form
19Walsh, Paul V JRDirectSell320202680.8750040,4351,963,443Form
20Lin, MarkEVP and CFODirectSell312202687.243,908340,9342,315,001Form
21Lin, MarkEVP and CFODirectSell312202685.272,734233,1282,595,960Form
22Lin, MarkEVP and CFODirectSell309202683.756,582551,2421,852,969Form
23Walsh, Paul V JRDirectSell220202688.2450044,1202,186,499Form
24Silberstein, AsafEVP and COODirectSell211202692.0010,000920,0006,301,632Form
25Silberstein, AsafEVP and COODirectSell204202688.0010,000880,0006,907,648Form
26Silberstein, AsafEVP and COODirectSell126202683.005,000415,0007,345,168Form
27Walsh, Paul V JRDirectSell123202678.2550039,1251,978,082Form
28Fischer, Gregory MichaelDirectSell113202675.501,03478,067215,704Form
29Wilson, John MichaelChief Quality Officer and CTODirectSell112202675.125,000375,6004,512,158Form
30Lin, MarkEVP and CFODirectSell106202676.201,333101,5751,407,947Form
31Walsh, Paul V JRDirectSell1219202571.6150035,8051,846,034Form
32Silberstein, AsafEVP and COODirectSell1209202579.6410,500836,2467,446,253Form
33Hou, Hong QPresident and CEODirectSell1205202574.0810,000740,7681,597,022Form
34Walsh, Paul V JRDirectSell1121202563.0850031,5401,657,679Form
35Walsh, Paul V JRDirectSell1024202566.2450033,1201,773,841Form
36Lin, MarkEVP and CFODirectSell1003202572.8397170,7131,299,492Form
37Burvill, Martin DirectSell918202562.753,500219,638433,565Form
38Silberstein, AsafEVP and COODirectSell902202558.421,00058,4186,075,251Form
39Fischer, Gregory MichaelDirectSell902202558.441,50087,653227,373Form
40Silberstein, AsafEVP and COODirectSell902202560.001,00060,0006,299,760Form
41Lin, MarkEVP and CFODirectSell703202543.8499943,792754,456Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/9/2026