Tearsheet

Semtech (SMTC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $78.15 | Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Semtech (SMTC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $78.15
Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.8%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 72x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 164x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.6%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.8%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 72x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 164x
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SMTC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Semtech (SMTC) stock moved by 26.5% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Beat.

Semtech announced its third quarter fiscal year 2026 results on November 24, 2025, reporting record net sales of $267.0 million, representing 13% year-over-year growth. The company also achieved a GAAP gross margin of 51.9% and a Non-GAAP gross margin of 53.0%. This positive financial performance, including a narrowed net loss to $2.9 million, surpassed analyst expectations and signaled robust operational execution. 2. Record Growth and Strategic Focus on AI Data Center Solutions.

A significant driver was the record data center sales, which reached $56.2 million in Q3 FY2026, marking a 30% year-over-year increase. Semtech is strategically positioning itself in the booming artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure market with its 1.6T Receiver Optical Engines and CopperEdge technology for Active Copper Cables (ACCs). The company secured a major design win with a leading hyperscaler for its AI-enabling technology, with ramp-up expected in 2026, further reinforcing its role in high-growth segments.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SMTC Return36%23%-68%-24%182%18%38%
Peers Return28%42%-19%27%-6%5%84%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SMTC Win Rate58%58%25%50%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate53%53%28%52%37%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SMTC Max Drawdown-49%-19%-71%-53%-16%-61% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-1%-30%-4%-13%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMAT, TXN, ON, SWKS, AMBQ. See SMTC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSMTCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven585.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven81 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven437 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-58.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven138.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven707 days1480 days

Compare to AMAT, TXN, ON, SWKS, AMBQ


In The Past

Semtech's stock fell -85.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -85.4% loss requires a 585.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Semtech (SMTC)

Better Bets than Semtech (SMTC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SMTC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
SMTC_3312023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE03312023SMTCSemtechDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%13.9%-44.4%
SMTC_6302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302022SMTCSemtechDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-47.9%-53.7%-67.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
SMTC_3312023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE03312023SMTCSemtechDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%13.9%-44.4%
SMTC_6302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302022SMTCSemtechDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-47.9%-53.7%-67.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Semtech

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SMTCAMATTXNONSWKSAMBQMedian
NameSemtech Applied .Texas In.ON Semic.Skyworks.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Price73.46268.63182.6057.1569.3727.5371.41
Mkt Cap6.4214.4166.023.710.3-23.7
Rev LTM99628,61317,2666,3994,087695,243
Op Inc LTM1128,6236,0121,122524-38823
FCF LTM1245,8232,0801,2871,076-211,182
FCF 3Y Avg-106,4571,7321,1111,446-1,446
CFO LTM1357,7056,8971,8321,301-161,566
CFO 3Y Avg127,7886,5602,1351,661-2,135

Growth & Margins

SMTCAMATTXNONSWKSAMBQMedian
NameSemtech Applied .Texas In.ON Semic.Skyworks.Ambiq Mi. 
Rev Chg LTM22.2%6.6%9.9%-17.9%-2.2%-6.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.2%4.4%-4.6%-5.0%-9.2%--4.6%
Rev Chg Q19.6%7.7%14.2%-15.4%7.3%-7.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.4%1.9%3.5%-4.0%1.9%-1.9%
Op Mgn LTM11.2%30.1%34.8%17.5%12.8%-54.6%15.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1.1%29.4%38.0%26.6%18.6%-26.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.4%0.5%-0.1%-2.6%-2.2%--0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM13.6%26.9%39.9%28.6%31.8%-22.6%27.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg0.5%28.5%38.6%28.4%38.1%-28.5%
FCF/Rev LTM12.4%20.4%12.0%20.1%26.3%-29.7%16.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.1%23.7%10.2%15.1%33.2%-15.1%

Valuation

SMTCAMATTXNONSWKSAMBQMedian
NameSemtech Applied .Texas In.ON Semic.Skyworks.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Cap6.4214.4166.023.710.3-23.7
P/S3.95.19.73.42.8-3.9
P/EBIT71.715.926.835.920.7-26.8
P/E164.221.433.146.624.0-33.1
P/CFO28.919.024.211.98.8-19.0
Total Yield0.6%5.6%6.0%2.1%7.9%-5.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%3.0%0.0%3.8%-0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.0%4.4%1.1%3.9%10.0%-3.9%
D/E0.10.00.10.20.1-0.1
Net D/E0.1-0.00.10.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

SMTCAMATTXNONSWKSAMBQMedian
NameSemtech Applied .Texas In.ON Semic.Skyworks.Ambiq Mi. 
1M Rtn9.2%13.2%13.1%13.3%-8.3%-6.0%11.2%
3M Rtn26.8%72.3%-5.9%19.6%-4.6%-28.3%7.5%
6M Rtn91.6%66.7%-2.7%13.7%-0.5%-13.7%
12M Rtn9.7%48.1%-4.4%-18.1%-17.5%--4.4%
3Y Rtn150.2%158.6%12.6%-21.8%-18.8%-12.6%
1M Excs Rtn9.3%13.3%13.1%13.3%-8.3%-6.0%11.2%
3M Excs Rtn17.3%64.7%-7.0%13.6%-11.4%-37.5%3.3%
6M Excs Rtn76.8%52.0%-17.4%-1.1%-15.3%--1.1%
12M Excs Rtn1.2%41.7%-19.8%-33.2%-30.4%--19.8%
3Y Excs Rtn79.3%93.9%-57.2%-91.1%-89.2%--57.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Internet of things (IoT) Systems and Connectivity431150  
Analog Mixed Signal and Wireless260443455  
Signal Integrity177298286  
Internet of things (IoT) System Products Group  0  
High-Performance Analog Group   433 
System Protection Group   162 
Semiconductor Products Group    548
Total869757741595548


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,121,132
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.0%
Average Daily Volume1,704,543
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.59
Basic Shares Quantity86,707,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025826202510-Q 7/27/2025
4302025529202510-Q 4/27/2025
1312025325202510-K 1/26/2025
103120241203202410-Q 10/27/2024
7312024828202410-Q 7/28/2024
4302024605202410-Q 4/28/2024
1312024328202410-K 1/28/2024
103120231206202310-Q 10/29/2023
7312023913202310-Q 7/30/2023
4302023607202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023330202310-K 1/29/2023
103120221130202210-Q 10/30/2022
7312022831202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022601202210-Q 5/1/2022
1312022316202210-K 1/30/2022
103120211201202110-Q 10/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Silberstein AsafEVP and COO9022025Sell60.001,00060,0006,299,760Form
1Fischer Gregory Michael9022025Sell58.251,26873,862240,168Form
2Silberstein AsafEVP and COO6262025Sell42.491,00042,4904,546,260Form
3Cardenuto Rodolpho C 6202025Sell41.8213,123548,743 Form
4Lin MarkEVP and CFO1312025Sell59.262,476146,729353,193Form