Tearsheet

Semtech (SMTC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $67.13 | Market Cap: $5.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Semtech (SMTC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $67.13
Market Cap: $5.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 219x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 96%
2  Key risks
SMTC key risks include [1] significant financial and operational strain from the Sierra Wireless acquisition, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 219x
3 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 96%
4 Key risks
SMTC key risks include [1] significant financial and operational strain from the Sierra Wireless acquisition, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SMTC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. A double-digit percentage revenue increase in the latest reported quarter.

2. A much narrower net loss in the latest reported quarter.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SMTC Return36%23%-68%-24%182%15%34%
Peers Return26%53%-19%27%-13%12%93%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SMTC Win Rate58%58%25%50%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate62%63%35%60%35%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SMTC Max Drawdown-49%-19%-71%-53%-16%-61% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-2%-34%-10%-22%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SLAB, MCHP, ADI, NXPI, ON. See SMTC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSMTCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven585.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven81 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven437 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-58.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven138.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven707 days1,480 days

Compare to AMAT, TXN, ON, SWKS, GLSA


In The Past

Semtech's stock fell -85.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -85.4% loss requires a 585.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Semtech (SMTC)

Better Bets than Semtech (SMTC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SMTC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
SMTC_3312023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE03312023SMTCSemtechDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%13.9%-44.4%
SMTC_6302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302022SMTCSemtechDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-47.9%-53.7%-67.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
SMTC_3312023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE03312023SMTCSemtechDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%13.9%-44.4%
SMTC_6302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302022SMTCSemtechDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-47.9%-53.7%-67.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Semtech

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SMTCSLABMCHPADINXPIONMedian
NameSemtech Silicon .Microchi.Analog D.NXP Semi.ON Semic. 
Mkt Price67.13132.4663.99271.04223.2353.3399.80
Mkt Cap6.34.334.6120.656.320.127.3
Rev LTM1,0277434,21211,02012,0456,1885,200
Op Inc LTM125-961553,0023,001932543
FCF LTM137747544,2791,7701,3561,055
FCF 3Y Avg0-11,8073,6522,2559991,403
CFO LTM153978414,8122,3201,7851,313
CFO 3Y Avg22192,0474,4943,1001,9401,994

Growth & Margins

SMTCSLABMCHPADINXPIONMedian
NameSemtech Silicon .Microchi.Analog D.NXP Semi.ON Semic. 
Rev Chg LTM20.6%47.1%-23.4%16.9%-6.8%-16.1%5.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.9%-0.7%-14.9%-1.4%-2.3%-8.1%-1.8%
Rev Chg Q12.7%23.8%-2.0%25.9%-2.4%-12.0%5.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.0%5.6%-0.6%6.1%-0.6%-3.3%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM12.2%-12.9%3.7%27.2%24.9%15.1%13.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1.4%-15.6%21.0%27.2%27.2%25.2%23.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%3.2%-1.2%1.9%-0.7%-2.5%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM14.9%13.1%20.0%43.7%19.3%28.8%19.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.5%2.8%30.4%41.2%24.3%26.8%25.5%
FCF/Rev LTM13.4%9.9%17.9%38.8%14.7%21.9%16.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.9%0.1%26.9%33.6%17.7%14.4%16.0%

Valuation

SMTCSLABMCHPADINXPIONMedian
NameSemtech Silicon .Microchi.Analog D.NXP Semi.ON Semic. 
Mkt Cap6.34.334.6120.656.320.127.3
P/S6.15.88.210.94.83.25.9
P/EBIT--52.3731.6-18.8-18.8
P/E219.3-50.0-187.453.227.962.940.5
P/CFO40.944.241.225.124.811.233.0
Total Yield0.5%-2.0%1.6%3.5%5.4%1.6%1.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.1%1.6%1.8%0.0%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--0.1%4.4%-4.0%-4.0%
D/E-0.00.2-0.2-0.2
Net D/E--0.10.1-0.1-0.1

Returns

SMTCSLABMCHPADINXPIONMedian
NameSemtech Silicon .Microchi.Analog D.NXP Semi.ON Semic. 
1M Rtn3.8%12.8%23.8%18.3%17.7%15.9%16.8%
3M Rtn7.9%-2.7%-1.8%10.4%1.1%7.1%4.1%
6M Rtn60.2%-6.1%-4.4%18.9%7.0%2.0%4.5%
12M Rtn2.1%2.7%13.2%28.9%3.8%-21.3%3.3%
3Y Rtn142.3%-3.7%-5.3%71.2%44.2%-18.4%20.3%
1M Excs Rtn3.1%12.1%23.0%17.6%17.0%15.1%16.1%
3M Excs Rtn8.4%-7.6%-3.9%7.9%-2.4%1.5%-0.4%
6M Excs Rtn47.8%-18.5%-16.8%6.5%-5.4%-10.3%-7.8%
12M Excs Rtn-8.0%-7.8%-0.9%16.1%-6.2%-30.2%-7.0%
3Y Excs Rtn55.5%-76.1%-79.4%-2.7%-31.3%-93.3%-53.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Internet of things (IoT) Systems and Connectivity4315   
Analog Mixed Signal and Wireless260443   
Signal Integrity177298291  
Internet of things (IoT) System Products Group 10143  
Advanced Sensing and Protection Products Group  307  
High-Performance Analog Group   433 
System Protection Group   162 
Semiconductor Products Group    548
Total869757741595548


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,182,867
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.0%
Average Daily Volume2,391,472
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.59
Basic Shares Quantity87,682,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/24/20252.5%4.9% 
8/25/202515.1%13.3%17.3%
5/27/2025-4.6%-1.7%17.6%
3/13/202521.1%24.2%-18.7%
11/25/202418.1%25.3%22.9%
8/27/202411.2%11.3%24.2%
3/28/20246.8%18.4%34.8%
12/6/202316.3%28.7%25.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151615
# Negative989
Median Positive6.8%7.7%17.3%
Median Negative-4.8%-8.0%-18.6%
Max Positive21.1%28.7%34.8%
Max Negative-27.1%-33.1%-39.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251125202510-Q 10/26/2025
7312025826202510-Q 7/27/2025
4302025529202510-Q 4/27/2025
1312025325202510-K 1/26/2025
103120241203202410-Q 10/27/2024
7312024828202410-Q 7/28/2024
4302024605202410-Q 4/28/2024
1312024328202410-K 1/28/2024
103120231206202310-Q 10/29/2023
7312023913202310-Q 7/30/2023
4302023607202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023330202310-K 1/29/2023
103120221130202210-Q 10/30/2022
7312022831202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022601202210-Q 5/1/2022
1312022316202210-K 1/30/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Silberstein AsafEVP and COO9022025Sell60.001,00060,0006,299,760Form
1Fischer Gregory Michael9022025Sell58.251,26873,862240,168Form
2Silberstein AsafEVP and COO6262025Sell42.491,00042,4904,546,260Form
3Cardenuto Rodolpho C 6202025Sell41.8213,123548,743 Form
4Lin MarkEVP and CFO1312025Sell59.262,476146,729353,193Form