Tearsheet

Republic Airways (RJET)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $19.73 | Market Cap: $1.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines

Republic Airways (RJET)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $19.73
Market Cap: $1.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Airlines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%
1  Key risks
RJET key risks include [1] significant financial leverage, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
1 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%
2 Key risks
RJET key risks include [1] significant financial leverage, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RJET Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Republic Airways Holdings Inc. (RJET) returned to being a publicly traded company on November 25, 2025, after completing its merger with Mesa Air Group, Inc. and relisting on the Nasdaq Global Select Market. Therefore, any stock movement analysis for RJET in the specified period, from approximately August 31, 2025, to today, December 18, 2025, primarily focuses on events from November 25, 2025, onwards.

1. Completion of Merger and Relisting on Nasdaq: Republic Airways Holdings Inc. completed its merger with Mesa Air Group, Inc. on November 25, 2025. This significant event marked the return of the combined company to the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the ticker symbol RJET.

2. Formation of a Major Regional Airline Operator: The merger created one of the largest regional airline operators in the United States, operating a combined fleet of over 300 Embraer 170/175 aircraft. This expanded operational scale and fleet size were key factors influencing investor perception of the newly formed entity.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RJET Return
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RJET Win Rate0% 
Peers Win Rate 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RJET Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UAL, AL, JBLU, CAKR, RJET.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

RJET has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven273 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven312 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,463 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Republic Airways (RJET)

Better Bets than Republic Airways (RJET)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Republic Airways Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RJET. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Republic Airways

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RJETUALALJBLUCAKRMedian
NameRepublic.United A.Air LeaseJetBlue .Cambodia. 
Mkt Price19.94110.2764.104.77-42.02
Mkt Cap-35.77.21.7-7.2
Rev LTM1,35358,3682,9089,095-6,002
Op Inc LTM2585,165601-222-429
FCF LTM1383,710-1,985-1,354--608
FCF 3Y Avg-1231,783-2,513-1,156--639
CFO LTM2229,3691,751-160-986
CFO 3Y Avg2458,2201,723153-984

Growth & Margins

RJETUALALJBLUCAKRMedian
NameRepublic.United A.Air LeaseJetBlue .Cambodia. 
Rev Chg LTM3.7%4.2%6.2%-2.5%-4.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.1%13.2%8.0%2.3%-5.1%
Rev Chg Q30.9%2.6%5.1%-1.8%-3.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.4%0.7%1.2%-0.5%-0.9%
Op Mgn LTM19.1%8.8%20.7%-2.4%-14.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.2%9.2%23.7%-1.0%-10.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.1%-0.5%-0.5%-0.9%--0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM16.4%16.1%60.2%-1.8%-16.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.1%14.8%63.0%1.5%-16.5%
FCF/Rev LTM10.2%6.4%-68.3%-14.9%--4.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-9.2%3.1%-92.3%-12.4%--10.8%

Valuation

RJETUALALJBLUCAKRMedian
NameRepublic.United A.Air LeaseJetBlue .Cambodia. 
Mkt Cap-35.77.21.7-7.2
P/S-0.52.40.2-0.5
P/EBIT-5.75.3-28.0-5.3
P/E-9.57.0-3.8-7.0
P/CFO-3.34.1-11.2-3.3
Total Yield-10.5%15.7%-26.2%-10.5%
Dividend Yield-0.0%1.4%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.7%-48.4%-60.1%--48.4%
D/E-1.02.85.3-2.8
Net D/E-0.62.83.8-2.8

Returns

RJETUALALJBLUCAKRMedian
NameRepublic.United A.Air LeaseJetBlue .Cambodia. 
1M Rtn-22.6%1.0%17.8%-17.8%
3M Rtn-4.5%1.2%-5.9%-1.2%
6M Rtn-48.4%14.4%16.3%-16.3%
12M Rtn-16.1%32.6%-34.7%-16.1%
3Y Rtn-186.9%80.1%-30.3%-80.1%
1M Excs Rtn-21.9%0.3%17.0%-17.0%
3M Excs Rtn-3.3%-0.1%-7.6%--0.1%
6M Excs Rtn-36.0%2.1%4.0%-4.0%
12M Excs Rtn-4.9%20.6%-43.3%-4.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-80.8%7.9%-106.4%-7.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Providing scheduled flight services1,4291,327
Total1,4291,327


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity23,053
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-92.4%
Average Daily Volume19,629
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.17
Basic Shares Quantity50,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/24/2025 
8/13/2025   
5/14/2025   
10/16/2024   
5/20/2024   
1/26/2024   
8/14/2023   
5/10/2023   
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive110
# Negative171718
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive 
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
123120247112025S-4 12/31/2024
93020161020201610-Q 9/30/2016
6302016726201610-Q 6/30/2016
3312016510201610-Q 3/31/2016
12312015311201610-K 12/31/2015
93020151105201510-Q 9/30/2015
6302015807201510-Q 6/30/2015
3312015508201510-Q 3/31/2015
12312014227201510-K 12/31/2014
93020141029201410-Q 9/30/2014
6302014807201410-Q 6/30/2014
3312014501201410-Q 3/31/2014
12312013311201410-K 12/31/2013
93020131108201310-Q 9/30/2013
6302013802201310-Q 6/30/2013
3312013430201310-Q 3/31/2013