Tearsheet

Republic Airways (RJET)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.66 | Market Cap: $949.8 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines

Republic Airways (RJET)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.66
Market Cap: $949.8 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Airlines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
1 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RJET Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Republic Airways (symbol: RJET) experienced significant activity between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, primarily driven by a major corporate merger and financial reporting. 1. Republic Airways Completed its Merger with Mesa Airlines

A pivotal event was the closing of the all-stock merger with Mesa Airlines on November 25, 2025. This acquisition, initially announced on April 7, 2025, significantly expanded Republic Airways' operational scale and market reach. Following the merger, Republic shareholders retained approximately 88% of the combined company. 2. Potential Impact of Q3 2025 Earnings Report

An earnings report was indicated around September 29, 2025, likely covering the third quarter of 2025. While specific details on the quarterly earnings per share were listed as 0 in one report, overall earnings were noted at $93.20 million, suggesting financial performance data was available that could influence stock valuation.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RJET Return0%0%0%0%0%- 
Peers Return-19%0%-20%2%49%0%-2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RJET Win Rate0%0%0%0%0%0% 
Peers Win Rate31%38%31%35%42%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RJET Max Drawdown0%0%0%0%0%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-9%-29%-16%-8%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UAL, AL, JBLU, CAKR, RJET.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

RJET has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven273 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven312 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1463 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Republic Airways (RJET)

Better Bets than Republic Airways (RJET)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RJET. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Republic Airways

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RJETUALALJBLUCAKRMedian
NameRepublic.United A.Air LeaseJetBlue .Cambodia. 
Mkt Price19.01108.4863.844.71-41.43
Mkt Cap-35.17.11.7-7.1
Rev LTM1,35358,3682,9089,095-6,002
Op Inc LTM2585,165601-222-429
FCF LTM1383,710-1,985-1,354--608
FCF 3Y Avg-1231,783-2,513-1,156--639
CFO LTM2229,3691,751-160-986
CFO 3Y Avg2458,2201,723153-984

Growth & Margins

RJETUALALJBLUCAKRMedian
NameRepublic.United A.Air LeaseJetBlue .Cambodia. 
Rev Chg LTM3.7%4.2%6.2%-2.5%-4.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.1%13.2%8.0%2.3%-5.1%
Rev Chg Q30.9%2.6%5.1%-1.8%-3.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.4%0.7%1.2%-0.5%-0.9%
Op Mgn LTM19.1%8.8%20.7%-2.4%-14.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.2%9.2%23.7%-1.0%-10.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.1%-0.5%-0.5%-0.9%--0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM16.4%16.1%60.2%-1.8%-16.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.1%14.8%63.0%1.5%-16.5%
FCF/Rev LTM10.2%6.4%-68.3%-14.9%--4.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-9.2%3.1%-92.3%-12.4%--10.8%

Valuation

RJETUALALJBLUCAKRMedian
NameRepublic.United A.Air LeaseJetBlue .Cambodia. 
Mkt Cap-35.17.11.7-7.1
P/S-0.52.40.2-0.5
P/EBIT-5.75.3-28.0-5.3
P/E-9.57.0-3.8-7.0
P/CFO-3.34.1-11.2-3.3
Total Yield-10.5%15.7%-26.2%-10.5%
Dividend Yield-0.0%1.4%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.7%-48.4%-60.1%--48.4%
D/E-1.02.85.3-2.8
Net D/E-0.62.83.8-2.8

Returns

RJETUALALJBLUCAKRMedian
NameRepublic.United A.Air LeaseJetBlue .Cambodia. 
1M Rtn-12.9%-0.0%12.7%-12.7%
3M Rtn-2.2%0.1%-13.6%-0.1%
6M Rtn-32.9%12.9%-6.4%-12.9%
12M Rtn-13.2%28.7%-22.3%-13.2%
3Y Rtn-147.2%72.7%-40.7%-72.7%
1M Excs Rtn-12.9%0.0%12.7%-12.7%
3M Excs Rtn--3.1%-5.0%-12.8%--5.0%
6M Excs Rtn-18.2%-1.8%-21.1%--1.8%
12M Excs Rtn--1.5%13.9%-34.7%--1.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-79.4%7.1%-111.4%-7.1%

Financials

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
123120247112025S-4 12/31/2024
93020161020201610-Q 9/30/2016
6302016726201610-Q 6/30/2016
3312016510201610-Q 3/31/2016
12312015311201610-K 12/31/2015
93020151105201510-Q 9/30/2015
6302015807201510-Q 6/30/2015
3312015508201510-Q 3/31/2015
12312014227201510-K 12/31/2014
93020141029201410-Q 9/30/2014
6302014807201410-Q 6/30/2014
3312014501201410-Q 3/31/2014
12312013311201410-K 12/31/2013
93020131108201310-Q 9/30/2013
6302013802201310-Q 6/30/2013
3312013430201310-Q 3/31/2013