Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.75
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -84 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 192%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.0%
4   Key risks
SION key risks include [1] uncertainty surrounding the clinical and regulatory success of its NBD1 stabilizer and CFTR modulator drug candidates and [2] intense competition from entrenched market leader Vertex Pharmaceuticals and its dominant therapy, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.75
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -84 Mil
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 192%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.0%
7 Key risks
SION key risks include [1] uncertainty surrounding the clinical and regulatory success of its NBD1 stabilizer and CFTR modulator drug candidates and [2] intense competition from entrenched market leader Vertex Pharmaceuticals and its dominant therapy, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SION Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the stock movement of Sionna Therapeutics (SION) between August 31, 2025, and December 21, 2025: 1. Positive Phase 1 Data and Advancement of Clinical Programs. Sionna Therapeutics announced positive Phase 1 data for its NBD1 stabilizers, SION-719 and SION-451, demonstrating they were generally well tolerated and exceeded pharmacokinetic targets. The company initiated a Phase 2a proof-of-concept trial for SION-719 and advanced combination studies for SION-451, with topline data anticipated in mid-2026 for both programs.

2. Strong Financial Position. In its Second Quarter 2025 financial results reported on August 11, 2025, Sionna Therapeutics reported a robust cash and cash equivalents position of approximately $337.3 million, which is expected to fund operations into 2028.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SION Return
Peers Return-17%-9%34%-28%15%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SION Win Rate80% 
Peers Win Rate42%55%52%47%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SION Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-38%-19%-34%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ARCT, FDMT, ABBV, CRSP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

SION has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-16.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven599 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-15.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-40.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,100 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.

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About Sionna Therapeutics (SION)

Better Bets than Sionna Therapeutics (SION)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Sionna Therapeutics Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SION. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sionna Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SIONVRTXARCTFDMTABBVCRSPMedian
NameSionna T.Vertex P.Arcturus.4D Molec.AbbVie CRISPR T. 
Mkt Price42.37456.206.538.68226.8255.8649.11
Mkt Cap1.9116.60.20.5401.25.13.5
Rev LTM011,72385059,6443560
Op Inc LTM-84-92-78-23014,366-574-88
FCF LTM-623,337-59-18519,684-328-60
FCF 3Y Avg-2,0646-12620,012-2716
CFO LTM-613,718-58-18320,860-302-60
CFO 3Y Avg-2,4198-12320,962-2568

Growth & Margins

SIONVRTXARCTFDMTABBVCRSPMedian
NameSionna T.Vertex P.Arcturus.4D Molec.AbbVie CRISPR T. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%-40.2%605.9%7.4%-82.5%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%125.6%506.8%1.2%388.5%125.6%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%-63.5%2,900.0%9.1%-10.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%-22.5%263.6%2.3%0.0%2.3%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%-92.0%-191,982.5%24.1%-1,641.1%-92.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%-42.5%-394,302.3%27.0%-685.5%-42.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%-25.9%475,672.0%0.6%-62.7%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%-68.5%-152,913.3%35.0%-864.3%-68.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%-20.6%-273,380.4%37.0%-374.0%-20.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%-68.9%-154,285.0%33.0%-937.6%-68.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%-21.8%-280,481.8%35.3%-402.2%-21.8%

Valuation

SIONVRTXARCTFDMTABBVCRSPMedian
NameSionna T.Vertex P.Arcturus.4D Molec.AbbVie CRISPR T. 
Mkt Cap1.9116.60.20.5401.25.13.5
P/S-9.92.14,059.86.7145.79.9
P/EBIT-22.526.1-2.8-2.188.4-8.9-2.5
P/E-26.531.7-2.7-2.3168.0-10.4-2.5
P/CFO-30.531.4-3.0-2.719.2-16.9-2.8
Total Yield-3.8%3.2%-37.6%-42.9%3.5%-9.6%-6.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.9%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.3%-0.4%-23.9%6.2%-6.2%-0.4%
D/E0.00.00.10.00.20.00.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-0.9-0.60.2-0.3-0.2

Returns

SIONVRTXARCTFDMTABBVCRSPMedian
NameSionna T.Vertex P.Arcturus.4D Molec.AbbVie CRISPR T. 
1M Rtn8.8%8.0%10.7%-16.1%-1.1%13.3%8.4%
3M Rtn83.1%19.1%-68.1%31.5%2.7%-10.4%10.9%
6M Rtn192.4%3.5%-46.9%110.2%24.4%26.2%25.3%
12M Rtn-14.8%-57.8%37.6%33.7%37.2%33.7%
3Y Rtn-57.0%-65.2%-57.6%56.1%23.0%23.0%
1M Excs Rtn7.4%5.5%5.2%-22.5%-5.5%7.2%5.3%
3M Excs Rtn61.6%17.0%-71.1%15.2%0.5%-12.2%7.9%
6M Excs Rtn187.1%-10.6%-61.2%116.8%12.0%9.2%10.6%
12M Excs Rtn--15.7%-71.4%24.4%20.9%12.2%12.2%
3Y Excs Rtn--24.9%-136.4%-135.5%-17.5%-59.8%-59.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Single Segment 0
Total 0


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Single Segment47 
Total47 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Single Segment 87
Total 87


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,862,557
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-3.7%
Average Daily Volume266,254
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.75
Basic Shares Quantity44,255,053
Short % of Basic Shares6.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-1.6%2.3%13.0%
8/11/202513.4%17.8%38.7%
3/20/20250.0%-13.3%-20.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive222
# Negative111
Median Positive6.7%10.1%25.9%
Median Negative-1.6%-13.3%-20.2%
Max Positive13.4%17.8%38.7%
Max Negative-1.6%-13.3%-20.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024320202510-K 12/31/2024
123120232072025424B4 12/31/2023