Tearsheet

Sherwin-Williams (SHW)


Market Price (12/22/2025): $320.86 | Market Cap: $79.0 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Sherwin-Williams (SHW)


Market Price (12/22/2025): $320.86
Market Cap: $79.0 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 24x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  Key risks
SHW key risks include [1] high sensitivity to housing market downturns, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 24x
5 Key risks
SHW key risks include [1] high sensitivity to housing market downturns, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SHW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

While information for the exact period of August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025, is in the future, an analysis of Sherwin-Williams' (SHW) recent historical performance and outlook, particularly around its Q3 2024 earnings, can provide insight into factors that could lead to a stock decline.

1. Q3 2024 Earnings and Sales Miss: Sherwin-Williams reported third-quarter 2024 diluted net income per share of $3.18, which was below analyst estimates. Consolidated net sales for the quarter, reaching $6.16 billion, also fell short of analyst expectations.

2. Weakness in the Consumer Brands Group: The company's Consumer Brands Group segment experienced a 7.5% decrease in net sales during Q3 2024. This decline was primarily attributed to continued softness in the North American do-it-yourself (DIY) market, indicating subdued consumer spending in this area.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SHW Return27%45%-32%33%10%-3%76%
Peers Return15%14%-19%13%4%-12%10%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SHW Win Rate50%67%33%50%58%42% 
Peers Win Rate62%52%42%43%53%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SHW Max Drawdown-32%-10%-42%-12%-6%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-45%-7%-32%-12%-15%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MMM, PPG, DOW, RPM, EMN. See SHW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSHWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-42.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven648 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven71 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven171 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-41.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven405 days1,480 days

Compare to MMM, PPG, DOW, RPM, EMN


In The Past

Sherwin-Williams's stock fell -42.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -42.9% loss requires a 75.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sherwin-Williams (SHW)

Better Bets than Sherwin-Williams (SHW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SHW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.6%7.6%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.2%0.2%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
47.0%47.0%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
24.2%24.2%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.6%7.6%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.2%0.2%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
47.0%47.0%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
24.2%24.2%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sherwin-Williams

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SHWMMMPPGDOWRPMEMNMedian
NameSherwin-.3M PPG Indu.Dow RPM Inte.Eastman . 
Mkt Price320.86161.96102.6823.26105.1363.56103.91
Mkt Cap79.086.523.216.613.47.319.9
Rev LTM23,27624,82515,69040,9137,5189,02419,483
Op Inc LTM3,6805,0822,1724729091,1901,681
FCF LTM2,4261,588715-1,120516395615
FCF 3Y Avg2,3052,3931,2139036605111,058
CFO LTM3,2942,5411,4001,5627581,0081,481
CFO 3Y Avg3,2253,7151,8243,6458941,1952,525

Growth & Margins

SHWMMMPPGDOWRPMEMNMedian
NameSherwin-.3M PPG Indu.Dow RPM Inte.Eastman . 
Rev Chg LTM1.0%1.1%8.5%-5.3%3.1%-3.4%1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.4%-10.3%-3.5%-11.3%2.5%-5.9%-4.7%
Rev Chg Q3.2%3.5%1.2%-8.3%7.4%-10.6%2.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%0.9%0.3%-2.2%2.0%-2.8%0.6%
Op Mgn LTM15.8%20.5%13.8%1.2%12.1%13.2%13.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.8%1.1%13.8%3.5%12.0%12.6%12.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%1.0%-0.0%-0.5%-0.1%-1.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM14.2%10.2%8.9%3.8%10.1%11.2%10.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.9%13.8%11.9%8.3%12.1%12.9%12.5%
FCF/Rev LTM10.4%6.4%4.6%-2.7%6.9%4.4%5.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.0%8.8%7.9%1.9%9.0%5.5%8.3%

Valuation

SHWMMMPPGDOWRPMEMNMedian
NameSherwin-.3M PPG Indu.Dow RPM Inte.Eastman . 
Mkt Cap79.086.523.216.613.47.319.9
P/S3.43.51.50.41.80.81.6
P/EBIT21.116.711.7140.314.86.815.8
P/E30.725.423.3-14.619.410.421.4
P/CFO24.034.016.610.617.77.217.1
Total Yield4.2%4.8%7.0%3.6%5.1%12.2%5.0%
Dividend Yield1.0%0.9%2.7%10.5%0.0%2.6%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.9%4.7%4.2%1.2%4.7%5.3%4.4%
D/E0.20.20.31.20.20.70.3
Net D/E0.20.10.30.90.20.60.2

Returns

SHWMMMPPGDOWRPMEMNMedian
NameSherwin-.3M PPG Indu.Dow RPM Inte.Eastman . 
1M Rtn-4.8%-3.6%4.0%6.3%-0.0%8.2%2.0%
3M Rtn-7.3%3.9%-5.5%0.5%-13.7%-1.1%-3.3%
6M Rtn-3.4%13.5%-4.2%-13.7%-0.7%-12.2%-3.8%
12M Rtn-6.3%27.6%-12.3%-37.4%-14.5%-27.5%-13.4%
3Y Rtn36.6%77.9%-12.9%-44.6%12.7%-12.2%0.2%
1M Excs Rtn-5.6%-5.7%5.9%7.9%-0.3%9.2%2.8%
3M Excs Rtn-9.3%3.6%-7.6%-0.2%-14.9%-2.0%-4.8%
6M Excs Rtn-19.7%-2.7%-20.7%-24.3%-16.0%-26.5%-20.2%
12M Excs Rtn-23.7%15.9%-26.6%-51.3%-31.5%-43.2%-29.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-38.5%0.5%-88.5%-116.9%-61.9%-88.3%-75.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Paint Stores Group12,84011,96311,21710,38310,172
Consumer Brands Group8,6008,6037,1336,7426,284
Performance Coatings Group7,0416,9976,1545,0605,165
Administrative-5,428-5,415-4,559-3,823-3,720
Total23,05222,14919,94518,36217,901


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Performance Coatings Group8,2678,2978,3898,0718,176
Consumer Brands Group6,6326,7505,1615,3875,601
Paint Stores Group5,7455,8745,6285,3875,399
Administrative2,3111,6741,4891,5561,321
Total22,95422,59420,66720,40220,496


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,344,627
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.4%
Average Daily Volume1,896,923
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.29
Basic Shares Quantity246,200,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/20255.5%2.8%2.2%
7/22/2025-0.4%-1.5%8.0%
4/29/20254.8%8.3%7.0%
1/30/20251.4%1.1%0.5%
10/22/2024-5.3%-4.8%-2.0%
7/23/20246.9%9.4%10.5%
4/23/2024-2.2%-1.0%0.5%
1/25/20240.9%1.1%7.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131417
# Negative11107
Median Positive3.0%3.1%7.0%
Median Negative-2.2%-1.8%-5.6%
Max Positive9.4%9.4%16.3%
Max Negative-8.9%-7.7%-14.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241022202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024723202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231024202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023725202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023425202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221025202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022426202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021