Smithfield Foods (SFD)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $22.785 | Market Cap: $9.0 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Smithfield Foods (SFD)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $22.785Market Cap: $9.0 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%, FCF Yield is 5.2% | Key risksSFD key risks include [1] geopolitical tensions and potential trade disruptions due to its majority ownership by a China-based parent and [2] governance concerns related to its 'controlled company' status. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Vegan Products, Sustainable Packaging, and Ethical Sourcing. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%, FCF Yield is 5.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Vegan Products, Sustainable Packaging, and Ethical Sourcing. |
| Key risksSFD key risks include [1] geopolitical tensions and potential trade disruptions due to its majority ownership by a China-based parent and [2] governance concerns related to its 'controlled company' status. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SFD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Smithfield Foods (symbol: SFD) is no longer a publicly traded company. It was acquired by Shuanghui International Holdings (now WH Group Limited) in 2013 and subsequently delisted from the New York Stock Exchange. Therefore, there is no stock movement to analyze for the period of August 31, 2025, to today.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SFD Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Peers Return | -16% | 23% | -7% | -10% | 9% | 6% | 1% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SFD Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 55% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 55% | 53% | 48% | 52% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SFD Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -6% | -17% | -22% | -11% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TSN, HRL, PPC, SEB, CAG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
SFD has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Staples sector ETF (XLP) in its place.
| Event | XLP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -17.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 682 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -24.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 154 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -16.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 404 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -33.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 605 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -17.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -17.5% loss requires a 21.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Smithfield Foods Earnings Notes | ||
| How Low Can Smithfield Foods Stock Really Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SFD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 14.0% | 14.0% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.5% | 7.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 14.0% | 14.0% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.5% | 7.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Smithfield Foods
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 31.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.2 |
| Rev LTM | 13,681 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,247 |
| FCF LTM | 682 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 724 |
| CFO LTM | 1,138 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,131 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.2 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 6.5 |
| P/E | 10.5 |
| P/CFO | 7.9 |
| Total Yield | 12.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -6.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -11.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 5.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -19.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -21.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -67.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| Packaged Meats | 9,262 | 8,515 |
| Fresh Pork | 9,190 | 9,145 |
| Hog Production | 4,456 | 3,866 |
| Other | 524 | 247 |
| Unallocated | 0 | 0 |
| Intersegment | -7,234 | -6,765 |
| Total | 16,198 | 15,008 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| Packaged Meats | 1,047 | 879 |
| Unallocated | 111 | -462 |
| Other | 61 | 61 |
| Fresh Pork | 31 | -9 |
| Intersegment | 0 | 0 |
| Hog Production | -134 | 52 |
| Total | 1,116 | 521 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/28/2025 | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| 8/12/2025 | -2.6% | 2.4% | -3.1% |
| 3/25/2025 | -2.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| # Negative | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Median Positive | 4.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.5% | -3.1% | |
| Max Positive | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% |
| Max Negative | -2.6% | -3.1% | |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/28/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4292025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3252025 | 10-K 12/29/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1292025 | 424B4 12/31/2023 |
| 9302016 | 10262016 | 10-Q 10/2/2016 |
| 6302016 | 8162016 | 10-Q 7/3/2016 |
| 3312016 | 4282016 | 10-Q 4/3/2016 |
| 12312015 | 3292016 | 10-K 1/3/2016 |
| 9302015 | 10282015 | 10-Q 9/27/2015 |
| 6302015 | 8122015 | 10-Q 6/28/2015 |
| 3312015 | 4292015 | 10-Q 3/29/2015 |
| 12312014 | 3252015 | 10-K 12/28/2014 |
| 9302014 | 11072014 | 10-Q 9/28/2014 |
| 6302014 | 8112014 | 10-Q 6/29/2014 |
| 3312014 | 5142014 | 10-Q 3/30/2014 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |