Santacruz Silver Mining (SCZM)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $7.67 | Market Cap: $690.3 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Santacruz Silver Mining (SCZM)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $7.67Market Cap: $690.3 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99% | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 116% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Mineral Resources. Themes include Precious Metals Production, Industrial Silver Supply, and Metals for Energy Transition. | Key risksSCZM key risks include [1] limited production visibility stemming from short remaining mine lives at its core assets, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Mineral Resources. Themes include Precious Metals Production, Industrial Silver Supply, and Metals for Energy Transition. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 116% |
| Key risksSCZM key risks include [1] limited production visibility stemming from short remaining mine lives at its core assets, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Precipitous Decline in Silver Prices.
The primary macroeconomic factor impacting Santacruz Silver Mining was the sharp downturn in global silver prices. After reaching an all-time peak of approximately $120 per ounce in early January 2026, silver prices experienced a significant decline of over 40%, stabilizing around $70 per ounce by late March 2026. This rapid fall included a single-day drop of about 30% in late January, which directly reduced the revenue potential and profitability outlook for silver producers.
2. Lingering Operational Challenges and Reduced Profit Margins.
Despite a 9% quarter-over-quarter increase in Q4 2025 silver equivalent production, reaching 3.74 million ounces, the company's full-year 2025 production was 11% lower than in 2024 due to the ongoing recovery from a May 2025 flooding event at its Bolívar mine. Furthermore, Santacruz Silver Mining's profit margins significantly decreased to 19.5% from 54.4% in the previous year, indicating pressure on profitability.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SCZM | ||
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | 43.5% |
| Sector (XLB) | 10.0% | 59.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SCZM | ||
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 43.5% |
| Sector (XLB) | 7.1% | 59.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SCZM | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 43.5% |
| Sector (XLB) | 12.4% | 59.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SCZM | ||
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 43.5% |
| Sector (XLB) | 26.8% | 59.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SCZM Return | - | - | - | - | - | -41% | -41% |
| Peers Return | -26% | -16% | -15% | 23% | 188% | -3% | 83% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SCZM Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 32% | 50% | 43% | 47% | 67% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SCZM Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -42% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -41% | -34% | -29% | -5% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PAAS, HL, AG, FSM, EXK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
SCZM has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.
| Event | XLB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 534 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -37.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 121 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 617 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,761 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to PAAS, HL, AG, FSM, EXK
In The Past
Materials Select Sector SPDR's stock fell -25.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -25.7% loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.
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About Santacruz Silver Mining (SCZM)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Santacruz Silver Mining (SCZM):
- Like an early-stage First Majestic Silver, focused on developing silver and other metal mines in Mexico.
- Think of it as a smaller, Mexico-centric version of Pan American Silver.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Silver: The primary precious metal extracted, processed, and sold by the company.
- Gold: A valuable precious metal extracted and sold alongside silver.
- Zinc: A base metal extracted and sold from the company's mineral properties.
- Lead: A base metal extracted and sold from the company's mineral properties.
- Copper: A base metal extracted and sold from the company's mineral properties.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. (SCZM) is a mining company that extracts and produces silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper. These are raw materials, typically sold in the form of concentrates or doré bars.
The company primarily sells its products to other companies, specifically to third-party smelters and refiners. These entities process the raw concentrates and doré bars into refined metals.
Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. does not publicly disclose the specific names of its major customer companies (smelters and refiners) in its financial reports or investor communications. Therefore, it is not possible to list their names or corresponding public company symbols.
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Arturo Préstamo Elizondo, Executive Chairman & CEO
Mr. Préstamo Elizondo holds a C.P.A. degree from the University of Monterrey, a Master Degree from EGADE University and a professional degree from I.P.A.D.E. Business School. He has more than 20 years of executive and operational experience in the precious metals mining industry, having worked for various public companies as Director of Planning, Corporate Finance, and Investor Relations. He is also a member of Mexico's Mining Chamber. He was appointed CEO in August 2023.
Andres Bedregal, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Bedregal was appointed Chief Financial Officer effective June 16, 2025, after serving as interim CFO since October 15, 2024. He also currently serves as CFO for Sinchi Wayra S.A., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Santacruz Silver Mining, Ltd., a position he has held since joining in 2022. His expertise includes financial planning, investment analysis, mergers and acquisitions (M&A), risk assessment, and the execution of complex financial strategies.
Eduardo Torrecillas, Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Torrecillas has over 18 years of senior leadership experience in mining. Prior to his role as Chief Operating Officer, he served as Executive Chairman and President of Santacruz's Bolivian operations since 2022. He previously spent 12 years at Minera San Cristóbal S.A., where he held key leadership roles. Since 2022, he has been President of the National Association of Mid-Tier Miners, a position to which he was re-elected in 2024.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Santacruz Silver Mining (SCZM) are primarily related to its operational jurisdictions, ongoing operational challenges, and issues concerning transparency and financial volatility.
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Jurisdictional and Security Risks in Mexico and Bolivia
Santacruz Silver Mining faces significant jurisdictional and security risks, particularly in Mexico and Bolivia, where its primary operations are located. In Bolivia, the company holds only a 45% economic interest in its key Bolívar and Porco mines through a joint venture with the state mining company COMIBOL, with the venture agreement set to expire in 2028, adding considerable uncertainty and risk to future upside. Furthermore, Bolivia is noted for its low policy attractiveness rating by the Fraser Institute, indicating a challenging operating environment. In Mexico, the company's operations, including the Veta Grande project in the Zacatecas Mining District, are exposed to escalating security concerns, with organized crime groups systematically exploiting mining operations through extortion and other criminal activities. Zacatecas, specifically, faces the highest security risk level due to the presence of multiple criminal cartels, leading to unpredictable security conditions and operational uncertainty. Recent incidents in the broader Mexican mining sector, such as the abduction and killing of mine workers, underscore the heightened risks in the region.
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Operational Challenges and Production Volatility
The company has experienced significant operational challenges, leading to production volatility and increased costs. A notable incident in May 2025 involved severe flooding at the Bolívar mine, which restricted access to high-grade zones, causing a substantial drop in silver production and a sharp increase in all-in sustaining cash costs (AISC). This event contributed to an overall production decrease from 18.65 million AgEq ounces in 2024 to 14.40 million ounces in 2025. Such operational setbacks and the associated remediation costs have compressed the company's margins. Additionally, Santacruz faces risks related to the limited visibility of future production and short mine lives at some core assets, requiring continuous exploration and development to maintain output.
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Transparency and Financial Performance Volatility
Santacruz Silver Mining has demonstrated issues with transparency and experienced volatility in its financial performance. The company has a history of repeated trading suspensions, including in 2023 and spring 2025, due to late annual financial reports, which has been identified as a "red flag" signaling potentially loose internal controls or audit problems. The company's profit margins have also seen significant contraction, falling from 54.4% to 19.5% in recent periods. This financial volatility is further compounded by the inherent commodity price volatility for silver and other metals, which can cause profitability to "evaporate" if prices drop, exerting pressure on the share price. The company's share price has also been characterized as volatile compared to the broader market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. primarily engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of mineral properties in Mexico, focusing on silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper deposits.
Product: Silver
- Global Market Size: The global silver market size was valued at USD 87.12 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 202.07 billion by 2033, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.86%. Another estimate indicates the global silver market size was USD 21.21 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 28.43 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 3.31% from 2025 to 2033.
- Regional Market Size (Mexico): The precious metal market in Mexico, which includes silver and gold, generated a revenue of USD 91,855.6 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 167,696.8 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 11.2% from 2025 to 2030. Mexico is recognized as the leading silver mine-producing country globally and accounts for 22% of the world's silver market. In 2024, Mexico exported $3.09 billion of silver.
Product: Gold
- Global Market Size: The global gold market was valued at USD 291.68 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 400 billion by the end of 2030, with a CAGR of 6.51% from 2025-2030. The market size was 4,890.0 tons in 2025 and is expected to reach 7,424.4 tons by 2034, with a CAGR of 4.70%.
- Regional Market Size (Mexico): The precious metal market in Mexico, which includes gold and silver, generated a revenue of USD 91,855.6 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 167,696.8 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 11.2% from 2025 to 2030. Mexican exports of raw, semi-finished, and powdered gold reached US$3.4 billion between January and July 2025. In 2024, Mexico exported $7.37 billion of gold.
Product: Zinc
- Global Market Size: The global zinc market is projected to grow from USD 38.14 billion in 2025 to USD 55.11 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 5.39%. Another estimate indicates the global zinc market size was valued at USD 27.2 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow from USD 29.24 billion in 2025 to USD 52.14 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 7.5% during the forecast period (2026–2033). In terms of volume, the zinc market size was valued at 13.78 million tons in 2025 and is estimated to grow to 15.06 million tons by 2031, at a CAGR of 1.57%.
- Regional Market Size (Mexico): While a specific overall market size in monetary terms for zinc in Mexico is not readily available, Mexico was the world's sixth-largest producer of zinc in 2023, accounting for 5% of global production.
Product: Lead
- Global Market Size: The global lead market size was valued at USD 23.55 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 39.26 billion by 2034, projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.84%. Another report states the global lead market was valued at USD 29.9 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to approximately USD 47.1 billion by 2036, at a CAGR of 4.2%.
- Regional Market Size (Mexico): The lead mining market in Mexico is expected to reach a projected revenue of US$ 1,306.5 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 1.9% from 2023 to 2030. In 2024, Mexico exported $1.12 billion of Lead Ore, making it the largest exporter of Lead Ore in the world.
Product: Copper
- Global Market Size: The global copper market size was calculated at USD 349.14 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach around USD 573.24 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 5.08% from 2026 to 2035. Another source indicates the global copper market was valued at USD 291.12 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach USD 442.04 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 4.75%.
- Regional Market Size (Mexico): The Mexico copper market size was valued at USD 2.97 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.70% during the forecast period of 2026-2035 to reach a value of USD 5.17 billion by 2035. The copper mining market in Mexico is expected to reach a projected revenue of US$ 12,075.6 million by 2030.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. (SCZM) is expected to drive its future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market factors:
- Increased Production from Existing Operations: A significant driver will be the anticipated full recovery of the Bolivar mine from the May 2025 flooding event, with management expecting a complete return to normal production levels by Q4 2026. This recovery is projected to lead to higher silver equivalent ounce production. Additionally, efforts such as increased ore mining from Level 960 at the Zimapan mine and the planned resumption of production at the Esperanza Mine, part of the Caballo Blanco group, are expected to contribute to overall output growth.
- Development and Commencement of Production at the Soracaya Project: The Soracaya project in Bolivia is identified as a key catalyst for future growth. Santacruz Silver is targeting permitting for this project by Q3 2026 and aims for initial production by Q4 2026, which is expected to meaningfully boost the company's overall output.
- Favorable Commodity Prices: Santacruz Silver is well-positioned to benefit from strong silver prices and anticipated robust demand. A sustained rise in silver prices is expected to have a significant positive impact on the company's earnings and, consequently, its revenue. The company also produces zinc, lead, and copper, so favorable market prices for these base metals would further support revenue growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- As of December 17, 2025, Santacruz Silver Mining had 91,502,478 shares issued and outstanding.
- The company announced the issuance of stock options on February 27, 2026.
- Santacruz Silver also granted Restricted Share Units on January 5, 2026.
Outbound Investments
- Trailing twelve months (TTM) as of September 30, 2025, cash acquisitions amounted to -$40 million.
- The company reported -$18.92 million in investment in securities for the TTM ended September 30, 2025.
- In fiscal year 2022, cash acquisitions were $11.67 million.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended September 30, 2025, were $27.9 million.
- In 2024, the company's capital expenditures were $22.619 million, followed by $22.135 million in 2023.
- A primary focus of capital expenditures in 2024 included significant investments in operations, particularly at the Zimapán mine and milling facility, and strategic one-time capital expenditures across key assets.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to SCZM.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01312026 | IP | International Paper | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 01302026 | B | Barrick Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 11.7% | 11.7% | -4.0% |
| 12312025 | AMR | Alpha Metallurgical Resources | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | -18.6% | -18.6% | -18.6% |
| 12262025 | EMN | Eastman Chemical | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.9% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| 12122025 | AMCR | Amcor | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 19.2% | 19.2% | -0.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 13.72 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.2 |
| Rev LTM | 1,154 |
| Op Inc LTM | 377 |
| FCF LTM | 293 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 70 |
| CFO LTM | 491 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 265 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 47.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 31.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 62.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 13.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 29.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 7.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 38.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 23.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.2 |
| P/S | 6.0 |
| P/EBIT | 16.9 |
| P/E | 22.3 |
| P/CFO | 19.3 |
| Total Yield | 2.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -32.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 24.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 103.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 167.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -24.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 32.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 91.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 136.5% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolivar | 94 | 136 | |||
| Caballo Blanco Group | 72 | 75 | |||
| Porco | 54 | 58 | |||
| Corporate and Other | 50 | 22 | 5 | ||
| San Lucas Group | 50 | 46 | |||
| Zimapan | 43 | 36 | 46 | 16 | 12 |
| Inter-company eliminations | 0 | 0 | |||
| Illapa Joint Operation eliminations | -24 | -35 | |||
| Corporate | 0 | 2 | |||
| Other | 15 | ||||
| Sinchi Wayra and Illapa | 0 | ||||
| Exploration and evaluation | 3 | 2 | |||
| Rosario Project | 9 | 6 | |||
| Veta Grande Project | 0 | 2 | |||
| Total | 339 | 338 | 61 | 33 | 25 |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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