Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.7%, Dist 3Y High is -0.7%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 131%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
  Key risks
PAAS key risks include [1] heightened political and regulatory uncertainty within its key Latin American jurisdictions and [2] significant operational safety challenges, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.7%, Dist 3Y High is -0.7%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 131%
5 Key risks
PAAS key risks include [1] heightened political and regulatory uncertainty within its key Latin American jurisdictions and [2] significant operational safety challenges, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PAAS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 48% stock movement for Pan American Silver (PAAS) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Significant Surge in Silver Prices: The price of silver experienced a substantial increase during this period, reaching record highs. For instance, silver surged above $66 per ounce by December 2025, marking a significant breakout and a rally of approximately 26% since the beginning of the year. This commodity price surge directly and positively impacts silver mining companies like Pan American Silver.

2. Record-Breaking Q3 2025 Financial Performance: Pan American Silver reported exceptionally strong unaudited results for the third quarter of 2025, including record attributable revenue of $884.4 million and record attributable free cash flow of $251.7 million. The company also achieved net earnings of $169.2 million and adjusted earnings of $181.0 million.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PAAS Return47%-27%-33%2%27%148%131%
Peers Return83%14%-5%3%17%165%530%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PAAS Win Rate42%42%50%50%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate53%42%48%55%50%72% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PAAS Max Drawdown-50%-35%-44%-18%-25%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-22%-33%-28%-24%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GOLD, AEM, KGC, AG, HL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPAASS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-65.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven191.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven683 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven60 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-51.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven104.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven197 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-78.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven357.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven869 days1,480 days

Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM


In The Past

Pan American Silver's stock fell -65.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2021. A -65.7% loss requires a 191.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Pan American Silver (PAAS)

Better Bets than Pan American Silver (PAAS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PAAS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Pan American Silver

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PAASGOLDAEMKGCAGHLMedian
NamePan Amer.Gold.com Agnico E.Kinross .First Ma.Hecla Mi. 
Mkt Price50.0032.70167.5127.9416.3819.4130.32
Mkt Cap14.70.684.134.08.013.013.8
Rev LTM3,25511,94410,5686,4449711,2254,849
Op Inc LTM792425,2232,608166374583
FCF LTM7464633,6452,241147182605
FCF 3Y Avg282202,0411,274-114151
CFO LTM1,0514755,8373,348340413763
CFO 3Y Avg613333,8832,380150225419

Growth & Margins

PAASGOLDAEMKGCAGHLMedian
NamePan Amer.Gold.com Agnico E.Kinross .First Ma.Hecla Mi. 
Rev Chg LTM21.7%20.3%35.2%32.9%83.9%45.6%34.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg28.4%14.5%26.0%29.5%19.9%21.2%23.6%
Rev Chg Q19.3%35.6%41.9%25.8%95.1%67.1%38.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.4%8.8%9.4%6.1%16.8%15.5%9.1%
Op Mgn LTM24.3%0.4%49.4%40.5%17.1%30.5%27.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.4%0.9%36.0%25.0%-0.5%16.3%14.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.5%-0.1%3.6%1.8%5.5%6.2%3.0%
CFO/Rev LTM32.3%4.0%55.2%52.0%35.0%33.7%34.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.3%0.1%45.6%45.2%18.6%22.1%21.7%
FCF/Rev LTM22.9%3.9%34.5%34.8%15.1%14.9%19.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.2%-0.1%22.7%23.1%-5.4%-2.3%4.1%

Valuation

PAASGOLDAEMKGCAGHLMedian
NamePan Amer.Gold.com Agnico E.Kinross .First Ma.Hecla Mi. 
Mkt Cap14.70.684.134.08.013.013.8
P/S4.50.18.04.76.26.65.4
P/EBIT--16.211.335.722.419.3
P/E23.186.424.617.278.740.632.6
P/CFO14.01.314.59.017.719.614.2
Total Yield5.4%2.7%4.9%6.3%1.4%2.5%3.8%
Dividend Yield1.0%1.5%0.8%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--3.9%8.8%-3.2%-1.3%1.3%
D/E--0.00.00.00.00.0
Net D/E---0.0-0.0-0.10.0-0.0

Returns

PAASGOLDAEMKGCAGHLMedian
NamePan Amer.Gold.com Agnico E.Kinross .First Ma.Hecla Mi. 
1M Rtn33.7%29.9%1.8%12.2%41.8%38.8%31.8%
3M Rtn42.0%24.2%9.6%24.6%63.1%76.0%33.3%
6M Rtn73.9%56.1%37.3%80.6%96.4%227.0%77.2%
12M Rtn131.0%24.0%107.6%194.2%179.8%265.0%155.4%
3Y Rtn233.5%8.5%251.5%617.7%92.9%271.7%242.5%
1M Excs Rtn33.0%29.1%1.1%11.4%41.1%38.1%31.1%
3M Excs Rtn41.2%20.0%7.4%24.3%63.5%78.9%32.7%
6M Excs Rtn61.5%43.7%24.9%68.2%84.0%214.6%64.8%
12M Excs Rtn117.7%7.8%91.6%177.1%161.3%249.2%139.5%
3Y Excs Rtn155.7%-67.0%181.5%522.2%18.2%185.2%168.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Gold Segment5,2591,7682,0782,0331,312
Silver Segment1,1561,0229899131,673
Other segment798459452488477
Total7,2133,2483,5193,4343,462


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,230,529
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-16.4%
Average Daily Volume5,336,222
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.92
Basic Shares Quantity378,821,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025111220256-K 9/30/2025
630202580620256-K 6/30/2025
331202550720256-K 3/31/2025
12312024219202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110620246-K 9/30/2024
630202480720246-K 6/30/2024
331202450920246-K 3/31/2024
12312023326202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110720236-K 9/30/2023
630202380920236-K 6/30/2023
331202351020236-K 3/31/2023
12312022222202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022111020226-K 9/30/2022
630202281120226-K 6/30/2022
331202251120226-K 3/31/2022
12312021224202240-F 12/31/2021