Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 84%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.6%, Dist 3Y High is -2.6%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 79x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 180%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Battery Technology & Metals, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7%
3   Key risks
AG key risks include [1] its heavy operational concentration and ongoing tax disputes in Mexico, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 84%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Battery Technology & Metals, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.6%, Dist 3Y High is -2.6%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 79x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 180%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7%
7 Key risks
AG key risks include [1] its heavy operational concentration and ongoing tax disputes in Mexico, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 79.3% movement in First Majestic Silver (AG) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Soaring Silver Prices and Market Demand

The price of silver experienced a significant rally during this period, reaching fresh all-time highs of over $66 per ounce by mid-December 2025. This surge was driven by robust industrial demand, particularly from the solar, electric vehicle, and data center sectors, coupled with persistent supply deficits in the silver market. The average realized silver price for First Majestic in Q3 2025 increased by 31% compared to the prior year, reaching $39.03 per silver equivalent ounce. 2. Record Silver Production and Operational Efficiencies

First Majestic Silver reported record quarterly silver production of 3.9 million ounces in Q3 2025, marking a substantial 96% increase year-over-year. The company also demonstrated operational efficiencies by maintaining stable costs, with All-In Sustaining Costs (AISC) decreasing by 1% to $20.90 per silver equivalent ounce.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AG Return10%-17%-25%-26%-10%200%36%
Peers Return41%-22%-17%-21%11%208%147%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AG Win Rate50%25%50%42%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate43%27%48%40%48%75% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AG Max Drawdown-59%-23%-41%-47%-32%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-57%-30%-39%-37%-31%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HL, EXK, SVM, NEWP, AG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-79.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven397.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven145.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven130 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-55.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven254 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-87.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven719.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven693 days1480 days

Compare to HL, EXK, SVM, NEWP, AG


In The Past

First Majestic Silver's stock fell -79.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/1/2021. A -79.9% loss requires a 397.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About First Majestic Silver (AG)

Better Bets than First Majestic Silver (AG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for First Majestic Silver

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AGHLEXKSVMNEWPMedian
NameFirst Ma.Hecla Mi.Endeavou.Silverco.New Paci. 
Mkt Price16.3619.419.378.693.639.37
Mkt Cap8.013.02.71.90.52.7
Rev LTM9711,2253373230337
Op Inc LTM1663740114-6114
FCF LTM147182-12938-638
FCF 3Y Avg-114-11422-12-11
CFO LTM34041347163-3163
CFO 3Y Avg15022543116-4116

Growth & Margins

AGHLEXKSVMNEWPMedian
NameFirst Ma.Hecla Mi.Endeavou.Silverco.New Paci. 
Rev Chg LTM83.9%45.6%49.2%34.0%-47.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg19.9%21.2%26.2%15.5%-20.5%
Rev Chg Q95.1%67.1%167.3%22.5%-81.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM16.8%15.5%36.1%5.0%-16.2%
Op Mgn LTM17.1%30.5%0.0%35.2%-23.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.5%16.3%4.4%32.6%-10.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.5%6.2%-0.8%1.6%-3.5%
CFO/Rev LTM35.0%33.7%14.0%50.4%-34.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.6%22.1%16.4%44.6%-20.4%
FCF/Rev LTM15.1%14.9%-38.3%11.7%-13.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.4%-2.3%-44.0%8.7%--3.8%

Valuation

AGHLEXKSVMNEWPMedian
NameFirst Ma.Hecla Mi.Endeavou.Silverco.New Paci. 
Mkt Cap8.013.02.71.90.52.7
P/S6.26.66.84.3-6.4
P/EBIT35.622.5-28.916.1-19.3
P/E78.640.7-24.354.9-143.540.7
P/CFO17.719.648.58.5-141.617.7
Total Yield1.4%2.5%-4.1%2.0%-0.7%1.4%
Dividend Yield0.1%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.2%-1.3%-11.2%3.4%--2.2%
D/E0.00.00.10.1-0.1
Net D/E-0.10.00.0-0.2--0.0

Returns

AGHLEXKSVMNEWPMedian
NameFirst Ma.Hecla Mi.Endeavou.Silverco.New Paci. 
1M Rtn41.6%38.9%24.6%31.9%56.7%38.9%
3M Rtn62.9%76.1%44.2%68.7%55.3%62.9%
6M Rtn96.1%227.1%91.2%102.0%161.5%102.0%
12M Rtn179.5%265.1%133.7%184.4%161.5%179.5%
3Y Rtn92.7%271.8%200.3%195.8%25.8%195.8%
1M Excs Rtn40.9%38.1%23.9%31.2%55.9%38.1%
3M Excs Rtn63.3%79.0%50.3%67.0%56.0%63.3%
6M Excs Rtn83.7%214.7%78.8%89.6%149.1%89.6%
12M Excs Rtn161.0%249.3%127.9%175.2%136.2%161.0%
3Y Excs Rtn18.1%185.3%117.2%139.7%-18.1%117.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Jerritt Canyon600756734  
San Dimas582490495439360
Santa Elena363295257167135
Others165256308314234
Non-producing Properties142207216219213
La Encantada1121061159971
First Mint12    
Total1,9762,1102,1251,2381,013


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity22,115,818
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.1%
Average Daily Volume14,371,562
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.54
Basic Shares Quantity488,722,642
Short % of Basic Shares4.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110520256-K 9/30/2025
630202581420256-K 6/30/2025
331202550820256-K 3/31/2025
12312024401202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110720246-K 9/30/2024
630202480120246-K 6/30/2024
331202450820246-K 3/31/2024
12312023402202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110220236-K 9/30/2023
630202380320236-K 6/30/2023
331202350420236-K 3/31/2023
12312022331202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110920226-K 9/30/2022
630202280420226-K 6/30/2022
331202251220226-K 3/31/2022
12312021331202240-F 12/31/2021