First Majestic Silver (AG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $15.4 | Market Cap: $7.5 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Silver
First Majestic Silver (AG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $15.4Market Cap: $7.5 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Silver
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 84% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 79x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 116%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 148% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Battery Technology & Metals, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 84% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Battery Technology & Metals, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 79x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 116%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 148% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for First Majestic Silver's stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Production and Financial Performance in Q2 and Q3 2025: First Majestic Silver reported record financial results for Q2 2025, including producing 7.9 million silver equivalent (AgEq) ounces. This contributed to the stock trending up in early September. In Q3 2025, the company achieved a record silver production of 3.9 million ounces, marking a 96% year-over-year increase, and swung to a net income of $43 million from a loss in the prior year, with revenues soaring by 95% to $285.1 million. This record revenue was primarily driven by a 45% increase in silver equivalent payable ounces sold and a 31% increase in the average realized silver price. 2. Acquisition of Los Gatos Mine and Positive Production Guidance: The acquisition of the Los Gatos mine in January 2025 significantly contributed to the company's silver output, which jumped 96% year-over-year in Q3. This acquisition, along with improvements at other mines, led to an expected overall production increase of approximately 82% compared to 2024, with tightened cost ranges. The company's 2025 production guidance projected between 27.8 to 31.2 million AgEq ounces, including 13.6 to 15.3 million ounces of silver. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AG Return | 10% | -17% | -25% | -26% | -10% | 191% | 32% |
| Peers Return | 41% | -22% | -17% | -21% | 11% | 182% | 125% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AG Win Rate | 50% | 25% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 27% | 48% | 40% | 48% | 72% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AG Max Drawdown | -59% | -23% | -41% | -47% | -32% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -57% | -30% | -39% | -37% | -31% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HL, EXK, SVM, NEWP, AG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -79.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 397.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -59.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 145.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 130 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -55.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 124.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 254 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -87.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 719.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 693 days | 1480 days |
Compare to HL, EXK, SVM, NEWP, AG
In The Past
First Majestic Silver's stock fell -79.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/1/2021. A -79.9% loss requires a 397.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for First Majestic Silver
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.92 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.6 |
| Rev LTM | 337 |
| Op Inc LTM | 114 |
| FCF LTM | 38 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -11 |
| CFO LTM | 163 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 116 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 47.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 20.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 81.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 16.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 23.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 34.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -3.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.6 |
| P/S | 6.4 |
| P/EBIT | 16.1 |
| P/E | 40.6 |
| P/CFO | 17.7 |
| Total Yield | 1.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.2% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 25.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 56.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 110.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 144.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 156.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 25.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 55.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 96.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 128.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 114.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4012025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4022024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 40-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 40-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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