374Water (SCWO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.2864 | Market Cap: $41.5 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services
374Water (SCWO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.2864Market Cap: $41.5 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Environmental & Facilities Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 403% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -127%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -164% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.3 |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -82% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1300% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Wastewater Management, Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 38x | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1078%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1200% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -38% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 155% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 403% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -82% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Wastewater Management, Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -127%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -164% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.3 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1300% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 38x |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1078%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1200% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -38% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 155% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SCWO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -23.2% stock movement for 374Water (SCWO) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Poor Financial Results for 2024. 374Water reported a substantial 43% decrease in revenue for 2024, falling to $0.4 million from $0.7 million in 2023. Additionally, the company's net loss widened significantly to $12.4 million in 2024, compared to $8.1 million in the previous year, with operating expenses increasing by 59% to $11.9 million.
2. Announcement of Potential Reverse Stock Split. A preliminary proxy filing seeking approval for a discretionary reverse stock split, announced around five weeks prior to December 4, 2025 (approximately late October/early November 2025), likely contributed to negative investor sentiment. Reverse stock splits are often viewed as a measure to boost a low stock price, which can signal underlying financial difficulties or concerns about maintaining exchange listing requirements.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SCWO Return | - | - | - | -50% | -52% | -61% | -91% |
| Peers Return | 59% | -9% | 23% | 13% | 46% | 18% | 244% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SCWO Win Rate | - | - | 33% | 42% | 42% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 37% | 40% | 42% | 42% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SCWO Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -65% | -53% | -72% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -35% | -27% | -22% | -15% | -5% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CWST, GEO, CECO, FTEK, YDDL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SCWO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -79.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 389.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to CWST, GEO, CECO, FTEK, YDDL
In The Past
374Water's stock fell -79.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/3/2023. A -79.6% loss requires a 389.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SCWO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for 374Water
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.17 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.9 |
| Rev LTM | 718 |
| Op Inc LTM | 48 |
| FCF LTM | 3 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 13 |
| CFO LTM | 3 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 25 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 20.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 19.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.9 |
| P/S | 3.4 |
| P/EBIT | 5.9 |
| P/E | 11.9 |
| P/CFO | 13.6 |
| Total Yield | 0.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -16.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -18.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -16.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 27.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -24.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -33.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -29.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -30.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11022021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Nagar Yaacov | 10242025 | Sell | 0.42 | 61,000 | 25,681 | 13,718,640 | Form | |
| 1 | Nagar Yaacov | 10222025 | Sell | 0.42 | 13,330 | 5,609 | 13,871,263 | Form | |
| 2 | Nagar Yaacov | 10202025 | Sell | 0.51 | 85,419 | 43,786 | 16,971,693 | Form | |
| 3 | Nagar Yaacov | 10162025 | Sell | 0.52 | 700,000 | 361,410 | 17,326,163 | Form | |
| 4 | Nagar Yaacov | 10102025 | Sell | 0.46 | 1,499,000 | 695,686 | 15,899,289 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |