Tearsheet

Fuel Tech (FTEK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.78 | Market Cap: $55.3 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Fuel Tech (FTEK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.78
Market Cap: $55.3 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -18%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 32x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Industrial Emissions Control, Combustion Optimization, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.6%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 211%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Industrial Emissions Control, Combustion Optimization, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -18%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 32x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.6%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 211%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FTEK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Fuel Tech (FTEK)'s stock movement of -37.3% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Disappointing Q2 2025 Revenue Performance.

Fuel Tech reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results on August 5, 2025, just before the start of the period in question. The company announced revenues of $5.56 million, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.74% and represented a decline from the $7.04 million reported in the same quarter the previous year. This revenue miss likely set a negative tone for the stock. 2. Missed Q3 2025 Revenue Estimates Despite Improved Net Income.

On November 4, 2025, Fuel Tech released its third-quarter 2025 earnings, reporting consolidated revenues of $7.5 million. This was a slight decrease from $7.9 million in the prior year's third quarter and fell short of the estimated $9.39 million. The revenue shortfall was primarily attributed to delays in Air Pollution Control (APC) projects. While the company's net income improved to $303,000, or $0.01 per share, meeting EPS estimates, the revenue miss contributed to investor concerns.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FTEK Return308%-64%-9%-18%0%69%86%
Peers Return-2%15%29%24%61%8%215%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FTEK Win Rate50%25%50%33%50%70% 
Peers Win Rate48%58%48%56%56%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FTEK Max Drawdown-59%-65%-23%-23%-8%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-19%-26%-14%-4%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WM, CWST, GEO, CECO, MDRN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFTEKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven557.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven40 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-70.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven241.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven453 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-82.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven454.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to WM, CWST, GEO, CECO, MDRN


In The Past

Fuel Tech's stock fell -84.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/25/2021. A -84.8% loss requires a 557.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Fuel Tech (FTEK)

Better Bets than Fuel Tech (FTEK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FTEK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Fuel Tech

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FTEKWMCWSTGEOCECOMDRNMedian
NameFuel TechWaste Ma.Casella .GEO CECO Env.Modern M. 
Mkt Price1.83216.1595.6817.1054.50-54.50
Mkt Cap0.187.16.12.41.9-2.4
Rev LTM2524,7841,7952,531718-1,795
Op Inc LTM-44,3729327948-93
FCF LTM32,4027826-17-26
FCF 3Y Avg-02,0597414713-74
CFO LTM35,856343208-2-208
CFO 3Y Avg05,16827125725-257

Growth & Margins

FTEKWMCWSTGEOCECOMDRNMedian
NameFuel TechWaste Ma.Casella .GEO CECO Env.Modern M. 
Rev Chg LTM-5.7%15.9%20.5%4.4%29.9%-15.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.0%8.6%19.6%3.1%21.9%-8.6%
Rev Chg Q-4.6%14.9%17.9%13.1%45.8%-14.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.4%3.5%4.3%3.2%9.5%-3.5%
Op Mgn LTM-17.7%17.6%5.2%11.0%6.7%-6.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-12.7%18.4%6.9%13.3%7.0%-7.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%-0.2%-0.5%-0.5%-0.3%--0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM11.9%23.6%19.1%8.2%-0.3%-11.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg0.7%23.3%18.2%10.5%4.8%-10.5%
FCF/Rev LTM10.7%9.7%4.4%1.0%-2.4%-4.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.7%9.3%5.2%6.0%2.8%-5.2%

Valuation

FTEKWMCWSTGEOCECOMDRNMedian
NameFuel TechWaste Ma.Casella .GEO CECO Env.Modern M. 
Mkt Cap0.187.16.12.41.9-2.4
P/S3.83.63.41.12.5-3.4
P/EBIT-60.721.873.15.918.6-18.6
P/E-31.034.7394.811.934.9-34.7
P/CFO31.815.217.613.6-796.8-15.2
Total Yield-3.2%4.3%0.3%8.4%2.9%-2.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.4%2.6%1.4%11.3%2.5%-2.5%
D/E0.00.30.20.60.1-0.2
Net D/E-0.30.30.20.50.1-0.2

Returns

FTEKWMCWSTGEOCECOMDRNMedian
NameFuel TechWaste Ma.Casella .GEO CECO Env.Modern M. 
1M Rtn-30.7%9.8%7.8%1.7%4.8%-4.8%
3M Rtn-36.0%-3.3%0.1%-18.7%17.4%--3.3%
6M Rtn9.6%-8.9%-18.3%-36.2%104.0%--8.9%
12M Rtn77.7%-2.6%-16.0%-36.5%68.9%--2.6%
3Y Rtn27.1%32.9%10.4%49.6%346.7%-32.9%
1M Excs Rtn-30.6%9.9%7.9%1.8%4.8%-4.8%
3M Excs Rtn-42.0%-8.9%-5.2%-24.5%6.4%--8.9%
6M Excs Rtn-5.1%-23.6%-33.0%-50.9%89.2%--23.6%
12M Excs Rtn57.5%-17.5%-29.0%-53.6%56.5%--17.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-30.9%-35.2%-60.1%-5.6%272.5%--30.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
FUEL CHEM Segment1416171416
Air Pollution Control Segment13117914
Other00000
Total2727242330


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
FUEL CHEM Segment78978
Air Pollution Control Segment54342
Other-14-13-13-15-18
Total-3-2-1-4-8


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity421,181
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-28.1%
Average Daily Volume352,989
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.19
Basic Shares Quantity31,074,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024304202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023311202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022307202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021308202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Jones Sharon L 6062025Sell1.6712,62721,043139,940Form
1ARNONE VINCENT JPresident & CEO4012025Buy1.0515,00015,750510,173Form