Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -105%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -157%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -263 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -652%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Non-opioid Pain Management, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 221%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -27%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 9894%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 3575%
5   Key risks
SCLX key risks include [1] severe financial distress, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Non-opioid Pain Management, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -105%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -157%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -263 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -652%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 221%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -27%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 9894%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 3575%
8 Key risks
SCLX key risks include [1] severe financial distress, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SCLX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Significant Q3 2025 Earnings Miss. On November 14, 2025, Scilex reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of -$22.17, which substantially missed the consensus analyst estimate of -$0.41 by $21.76. The company's quarterly revenue of $10.56 million also fell below the consensus estimate of $26.25 million, indicating underperformance that could trigger a negative market reaction.

2. Dilution from Warrant Exercises. Scilex announced the closing of exercises of warrants for $20.3 million in gross proceeds on November 24 and 25, 2025. While these exercises brought capital to the company, the issuance of new shares upon warrant exercise typically leads to stock dilution, which can put downward pressure on the existing share price.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SCLX Return-60%-49%-79%6%
Peers Return0%-14%-30%38%-10%21%-9%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SCLX Win Rate78%67%33%33%58% 
Peers Win Rate50%47%38%53%43%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SCLX Max Drawdown-71%-76%-81%-99% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-25%-42%-35%-29%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PRGO, AMRX, PCRX, COLL, HRTX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSCLXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1461.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven615 days464 days

Compare to LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY


In The Past

Scilex's stock fell -93.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/12/2023. A -93.6% loss requires a 1461.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Scilex (SCLX)

Better Bets than Scilex (SCLX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SCLX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Scilex

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SCLXPRGOAMRXPCRXCOLLHRTXMedian
NameScilex Perrigo Amneal P.Pacira B.Collegiu.Heron Th. 
Mkt Price15.3913.3612.3326.5548.901.2714.38
Mkt Cap0.21.93.91.21.50.21.4
Rev LTM404,2822,935717757155737
Op Inc LTM-263393361601532106
FCF LTM23271237124289-31180
FCF 3Y Avg6235201149249-47175
CFO LTM24376328141291-30216
CFO 3Y Avg6339276165251-46208

Growth & Margins

SCLXPRGOAMRXPCRXCOLLHRTXMedian
NameScilex Perrigo Amneal P.Pacira B.Collegiu.Heron Th. 
Rev Chg LTM-26.8%-2.5%9.5%3.1%26.3%12.6%6.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--0.8%11.1%3.1%29.0%16.6%11.1%
Rev Chg Q-26.8%-4.1%11.7%6.5%31.4%16.5%9.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-8.8%-1.0%2.9%1.6%7.1%3.6%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM-652.1%9.2%12.3%8.4%20.2%1.0%8.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-346.2%6.5%11.5%11.1%24.6%-38.7%8.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-428.1%-0.4%-1.0%-1.4%2.4%0.2%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM59.0%8.8%11.2%19.7%38.4%-19.5%15.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.7%7.6%10.2%23.8%39.9%-35.3%12.5%
FCF/Rev LTM57.0%6.3%8.1%17.3%38.2%-20.1%12.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.6%5.3%7.5%21.6%39.7%-36.1%10.5%

Valuation

SCLXPRGOAMRXPCRXCOLLHRTXMedian
NameScilex Perrigo Amneal P.Pacira B.Collegiu.Heron Th. 
Mkt Cap0.21.93.91.21.50.21.4
P/S5.70.71.11.61.51.41.4
P/EBIT-11.610.019.96.638.511.6
P/E-0.7-59.5533.052.918.9-15.89.1
P/CFO9.68.29.68.03.8-7.18.1
Total Yield-145.4%-0.4%0.2%1.9%5.3%-6.3%-0.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.5%12.5%16.0%25.7%-28.2%12.5%
D/E-1.20.90.40.70.70.7
Net D/E-1.00.80.20.50.40.5

Returns

SCLXPRGOAMRXPCRXCOLLHRTXMedian
NameScilex Perrigo Amneal P.Pacira B.Collegiu.Heron Th. 
1M Rtn-0.8%0.7%6.5%11.2%7.9%16.5%7.2%
3M Rtn-38.3%-35.4%28.3%1.8%37.6%5.0%3.4%
6M Rtn221.3%-47.5%55.3%9.9%65.2%-36.5%32.6%
12M Rtn-12.8%-46.6%52.8%33.9%58.3%-23.0%10.5%
3Y Rtn-86.5%-51.9%452.9%-30.9%114.9%-53.6%-41.4%
1M Excs Rtn-1.5%-0.0%5.7%10.4%7.1%15.8%6.4%
3M Excs Rtn-41.4%-37.5%24.3%-1.7%33.9%-2.9%-2.3%
6M Excs Rtn208.9%-59.9%42.9%-2.4%52.8%-48.9%20.2%
12M Excs Rtn-24.4%-59.7%46.4%22.6%51.4%-31.7%-0.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-157.2%-120.8%336.9%-110.1%55.4%-117.0%-113.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil202420232022
ZTlido46  
ELYXYB0  
GLOPERBA0  
Single Segment 3831
Total473831


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity134,845
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-50.3%
Average Daily Volume178,768
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity11,604,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/8/2024-2.5%-3.7%27.5%
7/1/2024-2.6%-2.6%-19.7%
4/16/20240.9%-15.8%-29.5%
1/2/20240.0%4.9%-19.6%
10/2/2023-5.0%12.1%32.1%
7/5/2023-0.2%-0.7%5.4%
4/3/2023-0.6%72.6%-40.6%
1/3/202333.2%47.1%75.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive344
# Negative544
Median Positive0.9%29.6%29.8%
Median Negative-2.5%-3.2%-24.6%
Max Positive33.2%72.6%75.4%
Max Negative-5.0%-15.8%-40.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
9302024117202510-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023312202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023512202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022307202310-K 12/31/2022
123120215132022S-4 12/31/2021