Tearsheet

XCF Global (SAFX)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $0.92 | Market Cap: $122.9 Mil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Renewable Electricity

XCF Global (SAFX)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $0.92
Market Cap: $122.9 Mil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Renewable Electricity

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 90%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 86%
  Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.9
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -368%
2   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 214%
3   Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 18x
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 90%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 86%
1 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.9
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -368%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 214%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 18x

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

SAFX Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SAFX Return------0%
Peers Return21%-7%-18%-14%-19%56%1%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SAFX Win Rate-----33% 
Peers Win Rate42%23%25%40%50%71% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SAFX Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-14%-15%-29%-27%-32%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: STEM, ELLO, BEPC, ORA, ENLT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/30/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

SAFX has limited trading history. Below is the Utilities sector ETF (XLU) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven347 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven633 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven308 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-48.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2058 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -28.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/12/2022. A -28.1% loss requires a 39.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About XCF Global (SAFX)

Better Bets than XCF Global (SAFX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SAFX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
AES_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.5%6.5%0.0%
VST_5312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312025VSTVistraQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
18.4%18.4%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
AES_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.5%6.5%0.0%
VST_5312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312025VSTVistraQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
18.4%18.4%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for XCF Global

Financials

SAFXSTEMELLOBEPCORAENLTMedian
NameXCF Glob.Stem Ellomay .Brookfie.Ormat Te.Enlight . 
Mkt Price0.8916.9420.5042.18105.1134.6027.55
Mkt Cap0.10.10.37.66.44.12.2
Rev LTM7156413,887906450303
Op Inc LTM-24-122-195917519887
FCF LTM--47-81-622-115-426-115
FCF 3Y Avg--125-5950-221-466-125
CFO LTM--3713401450193193
CFO 3Y Avg--11081,037357164164

Growth & Margins

SAFXSTEMELLOBEPCORAENLTMedian
NameXCF Glob.Stem Ellomay .Brookfie.Ormat Te.Enlight . 
Rev Chg LTM--56.7%-5.0%-5.5%2.2%43.8%-5.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-12.4%-8.4%2.4%9.0%52.0%9.0%
Rev Chg Q-12.9%0.6%-3.7%9.9%37.1%9.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.9%0.2%-0.9%2.4%7.5%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM-367.9%-78.2%-1.8%24.7%19.3%44.1%8.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--56.3%-3.2%26.5%21.1%42.6%21.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-15.0%0.8%0.7%-0.7%1.3%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM--23.6%30.5%10.3%49.6%43.0%30.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--31.6%19.0%26.4%41.7%50.8%26.4%
FCF/Rev LTM--29.8%-196.7%-16.0%-12.7%-94.8%-29.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--36.7%-135.9%1.4%-26.5%-154.9%-36.7%

Valuation

SAFXSTEMELLOBEPCORAENLTMedian
NameXCF Glob.Stem Ellomay .Brookfie.Ormat Te.Enlight . 
Mkt Cap0.10.10.37.66.44.12.2
P/S18.10.96.41.97.09.26.7
P/EBIT-4.9-35.825.59.924.913.511.7
P/E1.1-6.4-54.9-5.748.635.9-2.3
P/CFO--3.820.918.914.221.418.9
Total Yield90.0%-15.5%-1.8%-17.4%2.5%2.8%0.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--374.4%-30.3%--4.7%-21.3%-25.8%
D/E2.12.32.11.90.41.02.0
Net D/E2.12.01.91.80.40.91.9

Returns

SAFXSTEMELLOBEPCORAENLTMedian
NameXCF Glob.Stem Ellomay .Brookfie.Ormat Te.Enlight . 
1M Rtn-31.7%-3.3%13.8%22.5%9.2%11.1%10.1%
3M Rtn-36.1%30.1%14.8%16.4%17.6%40.5%17.0%
6M Rtn-57.8%31.4%50.6%46.6%111.4%50.6%
12M Rtn-75.9%47.8%-31.8%116.0%61.9%
3Y Rtn--93.8%7.8%-18.2%-7.8%
1M Excs Rtn-30.1%-17.8%5.7%16.2%3.1%8.2%4.4%
3M Excs Rtn-41.6%29.1%4.2%16.6%9.1%32.0%12.8%
6M Excs Rtn-36.0%9.7%28.9%24.9%89.7%28.9%
12M Excs Rtn-30.2%29.8%-12.5%100.6%30.0%
3Y Excs Rtn--170.3%-72.1%--55.7%--72.1%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity649,825
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-12.2%
Average Daily Volume1,100,200
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity133,638,081
Short % of Basic Shares0.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
63020251016202510-Q 6/30/2025
93020242062025424B3 9/30/2024
630202410312024S-4/A 6/30/2024
33120247312024S-4 3/31/2024

Insider Activity

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