Darling Ingredients (DAR)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $34.33 | Market Cap: $5.4 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Agricultural Products & Services
Darling Ingredients (DAR)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $34.33Market Cap: $5.4 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Agricultural Products & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 78% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 8.7% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 51x | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.6% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Sustainable Resource Management, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2% | |
| Key risksDAR key risks include [1] shifting renewable fuel and animal by-product regulations and [2] commodity price volatility creating significant margin pressure, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 8.7% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Sustainable Resource Management, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 78% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 51x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.6% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2% |
| Key risksDAR key risks include [1] shifting renewable fuel and animal by-product regulations and [2] commodity price volatility creating significant margin pressure, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DAR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period of August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025, is in the future. As such, I cannot provide an explanation for the stock movement of Darling Ingredients (DAR) during that specific future timeframe, nor can I confirm a 1.2% movement.
However, based on available information up to the most recent reports (late 2024 and projected 2025 data from October 2024 earnings calls), here are some key points regarding Darling Ingredients that have been discussed, which could generally influence stock performance:
1. Darling Ingredients reported a significant decrease in net income and total net sales for the third quarter of 2024 compared to the third quarter of 2023. Net income fell to $16.9 million ($0.11 per diluted share) from $125.0 million ($0.77 per diluted share), and total net sales decreased to $1.4 billion from $1.6 billion. This was primarily attributed to a sharp year-over-year decline in fat prices and lower earnings within its Diamond Green Diesel (DGD) joint venture.
2. Despite challenging market conditions in Q3 2024, Darling Ingredients focused on debt reduction, paying down approximately $192 million in debt during the quarter. The company also received $111.2 million in cash dividends from Diamond Green Diesel.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DAR Return | 105% | 20% | -10% | -20% | -32% | 3% | 23% |
| Peers Return | -25% | 35% | 17% | -6% | 15% | 5% | 35% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DAR Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 58% | 57% | 52% | 52% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DAR Max Drawdown | -50% | -1% | -18% | -36% | -34% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -47% | -4% | -12% | -21% | -5% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TSN, VLO, CVX, PPC, HRL. See DAR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DAR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -54.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 117.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 110.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 142 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 319 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 488.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 798 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to BG, SJM, CPB, CAG, AFRI
In The Past
Darling Ingredients's stock fell -54.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -54.0% loss requires a 117.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DAR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.2% | -6.2% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.3% | 10.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.8% | 5.8% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.2% | -6.2% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.3% | 10.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.8% | 5.8% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Darling Ingredients
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 48.95 |
| Mkt Cap | 16.9 |
| Rev LTM | 36,396 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,595 |
| FCF LTM | 1,003 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 795 |
| CFO LTM | 1,792 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,687 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 16.9 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 17.2 |
| P/E | 30.4 |
| P/CFO | 9.3 |
| Total Yield | 7.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -5.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -13.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -72.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/23/2025 | 11.4% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| 7/24/2025 | -4.5% | -10.6% | -13.7% |
| 4/24/2025 | 0.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| 1/30/2025 | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| 10/24/2024 | -1.3% | 4.2% | 7.6% |
| 7/25/2024 | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| 4/25/2024 | 4.9% | -2.7% | -5.9% |
| 1/25/2024 | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 17 | 17 |
| # Negative | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% |
| Median Negative | -4.1% | -6.3% | -16.4% |
| Max Positive | 11.4% | 16.3% | 29.4% |
| Max Negative | -13.0% | -10.6% | -33.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 1/1/2022 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | STUEWE RANDALL C | Chairman and CEO | 8192025 | Sell | 31.17 | 27,500 | 857,175 | 25,448,341 | Form |
| 1 | STERLING JOHN F | EVP Gen. Counsel & Secretary | 8132025 | Sell | 31.13 | 35,000 | 1,089,550 | 8,606,604 | Form |
| 2 | STUEWE RANDALL C | Chairman and CEO | 8062025 | Sell | 31.62 | 7,500 | 237,150 | 26,685,288 | Form |
| 3 | STUEWE RANDALL C | Chairman and CEO | 5202025 | Sell | 34.05 | 40,000 | 1,362,000 | 28,991,430 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Agricultural Products & Services Resources |
| AgFunder Network Partners |
| The Packer |
| CropLife |
| Agri-Pulse |
| USDA Data |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |