Darling Ingredients (DAR)
Market Price (4/5/2026): $64.68 | Market Cap: $10.2 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Agricultural Products & Services
Darling Ingredients (DAR)
Market Price (4/5/2026): $64.68Market Cap: $10.2 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Agricultural Products & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.6% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Sustainable Resource Management, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -49% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 163x Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 104%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 121% Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.5% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 99% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4% Key risksDAR key risks include [1] shifting renewable fuel and animal by-product regulations and [2] commodity price volatility creating significant margin pressure, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.6% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Sustainable Resource Management, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -49% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 163x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 104%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 121% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.5% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 99% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4% |
| Key risksDAR key risks include [1] shifting renewable fuel and animal by-product regulations and [2] commodity price volatility creating significant margin pressure, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Favorable Regulatory Environment and Strong Growth in Renewable Fuels Market: The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) finalized new Renewable Fuel Standards ("Set 2") on March 27, 2026, establishing the highest volume requirements in the program's history for 2026 and 2027. This is projected to increase biodiesel and renewable diesel production and use by over 60% compared to 2025 volumes, generating over $10 billion for rural economies and creating over 100,000 new jobs. Darling Ingredients, a key player in sustainable fuel ingredients through its Diamond Green Diesel (DGD) segment, is well-positioned to benefit from this, alongside the growing renewable diesel market which is expected to reach $27.3 billion in 2026 and grow at an 8.7% CAGR to $57.9 billion by 2035. Additionally, the 45Z clean fuel production credit was extended through 2029, with final regulations anticipated in Q2 2026, further supporting the industry.
2. Robust Q4 2025 Financial Performance and Positive Outlook from Management: Darling Ingredients reported strong Q4 2025 results with total net sales increasing by 20.6% to $1.7 billion compared to the same period in 2024. The company's combined Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 rose 16.1% year-over-year to $336.1 million. This solid performance was further bolstered by the monetization of $255 million of the $285 million in Production Tax Credit (PTC) sales during fiscal year 2025, which enhanced cash generation for deleveraging in 2026. Management expressed a positive outlook for 2026, anticipating that the EPA's upcoming Renewable Volume Obligation would create a constructive environment for fat prices.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 79.6% change in DAR stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 208.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 36.00 | 64.65 | 79.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,844 | 6,136 | 5.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.8% | 1.0% | -44.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 52.9 | 163.0 | 208.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 158 | 158 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 79.6% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DAR | 79.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 28.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | 5.4% | 20.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 109.4% change in DAR stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 251.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 30.87 | 64.65 | 109.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,702 | 6,136 | 7.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.8% | 1.0% | -44.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 46.4 | 163.0 | 251.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 158 | 158 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 109.4% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DAR | 109.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 31.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 5.3% | 25.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 106.9% change in DAR stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 814.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 31.24 | 64.65 | 106.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,715 | 6,136 | 7.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.9% | 1.0% | -79.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.8 | 163.0 | 814.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 159 | 158 | 0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 106.9% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DAR | 106.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 42.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.5% | 26.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 10.7% change in DAR stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 1184.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 58.40 | 64.65 | 10.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,532 | 6,136 | -6.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.3% | 1.0% | -90.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.7 | 163.0 | 1184.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 160 | 158 | 1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 10.7% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DAR | 10.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 35.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 18.3% | 24.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DAR Return | 20% | -10% | -20% | -32% | 7% | 73% | 8% |
| Peers Return | 35% | 17% | -6% | 15% | 6% | 16% | 111% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -4% | 75% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DAR Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 57% | 52% | 52% | 53% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DAR Max Drawdown | -1% | -18% | -36% | -34% | -18% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -4% | -12% | -21% | -5% | -14% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TSN, VLO, CVX, PPC, HRL. See DAR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DAR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -54.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 117.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 110.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 142 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 319 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 488.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 798 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to TSN, VLO, CVX, PPC, HRL
In The Past
Darling Ingredients's stock fell -54.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -54.0% loss requires a 117.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Darling Ingredients (DAR)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Darling Ingredients is like a specialized version of Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) or Cargill, but instead of processing primary crops, it transforms animal by-products and used cooking oil into a wide range of valuable ingredients and renewable fuels.
Think of Darling Ingredients as a bio-circular economy version of a major chemical company like DuPont or BASF, expertly turning animal by-products and used cooking oil into high-value specialty ingredients and sustainable fuels for diverse industries.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Feed Ingredients: Provides a variety of animal proteins, fats, and specialty meals for the animal feed and pet food industries.
- Food Ingredients: Offers natural ingredients such as collagen, edible fats, and natural casings for human food and pharmaceutical applications.
- Fuel Ingredients: Produces sustainable feedstocks like yellow grease and animal fats for the production of renewable fuels and bioenergy.
- Environmental Services: Provides essential grease trap collection and disposal services to food service establishments.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major Customers of Darling Ingredients (DAR)
Darling Ingredients Inc. primarily operates on a business-to-business (B2B) model, developing, producing, and selling natural ingredients and providing specialized services to other companies globally. While the company serves a diverse range of clients across multiple sectors, specific major customer company names are not typically publicly disclosed in detail and are not provided in the background information.
Based on the company description, Darling Ingredients' customers are predominantly companies operating within the following industries and sectors:
- Pharmaceutical industry
- Food industry
- Pet food industry
- Feed industry
- Industrial sector (for various customized specialty solutions)
- Fuel industry
- Bioenergy industry
- Fertilizer industry
- Food service establishments (for environmental services such as grease trap collection and disposal)
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here is the management team for Darling Ingredients Inc.:Randall C. Stuewe, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Randall C. Stuewe has served as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Darling Ingredients Inc. since February 2003. Prior to joining Darling Ingredients, he held several senior executive roles at ConAgra Foods, including Executive Vice President and President of Gilroy Foods, from 1996 to 2002. He also spent 12 years in various management, sales, and trading positions at Cargill, Incorporated. Mr. Stuewe is a graduate of Kansas State University with a degree in Finance and currently serves as a director of Teays River Investments, a privately held agribusiness holding company. Under his leadership, Darling Ingredients has transformed from a regional U.S. company into a global leader.
Robert Day, Executive Vice President – Chief Financial Officer
Robert Day assumed the role of Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Darling Ingredients effective after the company filed its 2024 Form 10-K, which was expected on February 25, 2025. He joined Darling Ingredients in August 2023 as Chief Strategy Officer. Before joining Darling Ingredients, he was a partner at Ascendant Partners, an investment bank and advisory firm. From 2015 to 2022, Mr. Day served as Chief Executive Officer at Ceres Global Ag. Corp. His career also includes serving as Managing Director Asia at ED&F Man and holding various executive and senior management roles with Cargill, Incorporated over a 19-year period across Asia, Latin America, and the United States. He holds an MBA from St. Thomas University and a bachelor's degree from the University of Minnesota.
Sandra Dudley, Executive Vice President – Chief Strategy Officer, M&A and AI
Sandra Dudley has served as Executive Vice President – Chief Strategy Officer, M&A and AI since January 2026, where she oversees the company's long-term strategic planning, identifies growth opportunities, and drives innovation globally. She succeeded Robert Day as Chief Strategy Officer after his transition to CFO. Ms. Dudley joined Darling Ingredients in 2015 and previously held roles including Executive Vice President – Renewables and U.S. Specialty Operations, where she oversaw the company's renewable energy initiatives and the Diamond Green Diesel joint venture. Prior to Darling Ingredients, she held strategy and financial roles at ConAgra Foods (1998-2004) and worked at Tenaska Marketing Ventures (2004-2015), analyzing long-term deals, developing deal structures, and trading natural gas.
Carlos Paz, Executive Vice President – Global Risk Management, Ingredients
Carlos Paz joined Darling Ingredients as Executive Vice President, Global Risk Management, Ingredients. In this role, he oversees global risk-taking and trading activities, as well as the management and mitigation of risks related to commodity price fluctuations, supply chain disruptions, and market volatility. Before joining Darling Ingredients, he served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Ceres Global Ag. Corp. from August 2022 until December 2024. Mr. Paz also spent over 20 years at Cargill, Incorporated, in various leadership roles where he successfully led trading and merchandising.
Patrick McNutt, Executive Vice President – Chief Administrative Officer
Patrick McNutt was named Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer in October 2022. He joined Darling Ingredients in 2000 as Director, Safety Management, and later became Vice President, Fleet Operations in 2010. Before his tenure at Darling Ingredients, Mr. McNutt held several operations and safety leadership roles for Coca-Cola and Argonaut Insurance Company. He is a veteran of the U.S. Navy, having served on the USS John Adams, a ballistic missile submarine. Mr. McNutt holds both a Bachelor of Business Administration and a Master of Business Administration from Dallas Baptist University.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Darling Ingredients (DAR):
- Regulatory and Policy Shifts Affecting Renewable Fuels: Darling Ingredients' Fuel Ingredients segment, particularly its investments in renewable diesel through the Diamond Green Diesel (DGD) joint venture, is significantly exposed to changes in governmental energy policies and programs. Shifts in incentives such as the U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS), Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) tax credits, or California's Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) could materially impact the profitability and margins of this segment.
- Feedstock and Commodity Price Volatility and Supply Chain Risks: The company's operations across its Feed, Food, and Fuel segments are heavily reliant on the consistent supply and stable pricing of raw materials, primarily animal by-products and used cooking oil. Fluctuations in the availability or cost of these commodities can significantly squeeze profit margins. Additionally, the nature of these raw materials exposes Darling to biosecurity, environmental, and contamination risks that could disrupt supply chains or increase operational costs if not managed effectively.
- High Leverage and Interest Rate Risk: Darling Ingredients carries a net debt/EBITDA ratio that is noted to be above the market average, which poses financial risk. Elevated leverage could limit the company's financial flexibility, especially if cash flows weaken or if interest rates remain high, impacting its ability to service debt or invest in growth initiatives.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The growing global shift towards plant-based ingredients and alternative proteins (e.g., cultivated meat, insect protein) across the food, pet food, feed, and even pharmaceutical and industrial sectors. This trend directly challenges the demand for Darling Ingredients' core product offerings derived from animal by-products, such as collagen, animal proteins and meals, feed-grade fats, and pet food ingredients. As industries increasingly adopt non-animal alternatives driven by consumer preferences, sustainability goals, and technological advancements, the market for animal-derived ingredients could contract or see reduced value, impacting Darling's primary business model.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the addressable market sizes for Darling Ingredients' main products and services:
- Animal Protein: The global animal protein market size was USD 23.22 billion in 2025. Another estimate for the global animal protein market size was USD 47.09 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 49.77 billion in 2025. Europe dominated the animal protein industry in 2024, accounting for approximately 30% of the global market. North America accounted for 30.87% of the global animal protein market share in 2025.
- Collagen: The global collagen market size was estimated at USD 10,376.1 million in 2024. Another source valued the global collagen market size at USD 11.71 billion in 2025. Europe's collagen industry accounts for the largest revenue share of 35.34% in 2024. North America holds approximately 29% of the global collagen market share.
- Rendered Products (including grease and protein meal): The global rendered products market size was valued at USD 22.97 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 23.61 billion in 2025.
- Edible Animal Fat: The global edible animal fat market size was valued at USD 56.41 billion in 2025. The U.S. edible animal fat market is projected to reach an estimated value of USD 19.86 billion by 2032.
- Pet Food Ingredients: The global pet food ingredients market size was estimated at USD 63.30 billion in 2025. Another estimate for the global market was USD 66.8 billion in 2024. North America is expected to dominate the global pet food ingredients market with the largest market share of 38.6%.
- Organic Fertilizers: The global organic fertilizers market size was estimated at USD 13,153.2 million in 2025. North America was the largest region in the organic fertilizers market in 2025. Asia-Pacific dominated the organic fertilizers market with a market share of 47.13% in 2025.
- Used Cooking Oil (UCO) Market: The global used cooking oil market size was estimated at USD 8.00 billion in 2024. The market is valued at USD 8.56 billion in 2025. North America dominated the global used cooking oil industry with a revenue share of 41.7% in 2024.
- Renewable Diesel: The global renewable diesel market was estimated at USD 25.8 billion in 2025. Another estimate for the global renewable diesel market size was USD 33.91 billion in 2025. North America accounted for 48.9% of the revenue in 2024.
- Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF): The global sustainable aviation fuel market size was valued at USD 2.72 billion in 2025. Another source valued the global market at USD 2.25 billion in 2025. North America dominated the sustainable aviation fuel market, accounting for 46.43% of the market share in 2025. The global market for SAF could grow to around USD 50 billion over the next 10 years.
- Biogas (Green Energy): The global biogas market size was valued at USD 68.31 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 71.31 billion in 2025. Another source valued the global biogas market size at USD 77.2 billion in 2025. Europe dominated the global market with a share of 48.66% in 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Darling Ingredients (DAR) over the next 2-3 years:
- Increased Demand and Strategic Expansion in Food Ingredients: Darling Ingredients anticipates continued revenue growth within its Food Ingredients segment, primarily driven by rising demand for hydrolyzed collagen and gelatin. The strategic acquisition of Gelnex has further strengthened this position, with analysts noting double-digit growth potential in this area. The segment experienced a significant increase in total sales and improved gross margins in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the prior year.
- Recovery and Improved Performance in Feed Ingredients: The Feed Ingredients segment is expected to contribute to revenue growth through higher prices, the restart of the Ward, SC plant, and updated contracts. In Q4 2025, this segment saw its total net sales surpass expectations and adjusted EBITDA increase significantly, supported by higher raw material volumes.
- Growth and Margin Improvement in Fuel Ingredients (Biofuels): Darling Ingredients is focused on improving margins within its biofuel business, including its Diamond Green Diesel (DGD) segment, and expects potential upside from D4 RIN and LCFS credit values. Despite prior challenges, the DGD segment delivered its strongest quarter in Q4 2025, benefiting from increased confidence in policy and more disciplined market behavior, leading to improved margins. The company is optimistic about future growth due to positive global demand trends and a constructive policy backdrop.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Global Market Expansion: The company's strategy of expanding its global footprint through strategic acquisitions and joint ventures, such as the acquisition of Miropasz Group in Poland and the formation of Nextida to accelerate growth in collagen-based health and nutrition, is a key driver of future revenue. These initiatives are central to capitalizing on emerging market trends and expanding the company's reach.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- On June 21, 2024, Darling Ingredients' Board of Directors refreshed its share repurchase program up to an aggregate amount of $500 million and extended it until August 13, 2026.
- The company repurchased approximately 807,000 shares of its common stock for about $29.2 million during the second quarter of 2024.
- In fiscal year 2025, Darling Ingredients withheld 339,411 shares from equity award recipients to cover payroll taxes on the vesting of restricted stock, restricted stock units, and exercised options.
Outbound Investments
- Darling Ingredients completed the acquisition of Gelnex, a global producer of gelatin and collagen products, on March 31, 2023, for approximately $1.2 billion in cash, acquiring five facilities in South America and one in the United States.
- In December 2025, Darling Ingredients signed a definitive agreement with Tessenderlo Group to combine their collagen and gelatin segments into a new company, with Darling holding an 85% ownership stake. This joint venture is projected to have annual revenue of approximately $1.5 billion and a total capacity of around 200,000 metric tons across 22 facilities, requiring no initial cash investment from either party.
- The Diamond Green Diesel (DGD) joint venture completed a capital project in November 2024 at its Port Arthur Plant to enable the upgrade of approximately 50% of its 470 million gallon annual production capacity to Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF).
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 totaled $380.5 million, with $156.4 million occurring in the fourth quarter of 2025.
- For fiscal year 2024, capital expenditures were $332.5 million.
- The Super Diamond Phase III expansion of the DGD joint venture to 675 million gallons annually, including additional renewable naphtha, was estimated to cost approximately $1.1 billion and was expected to be completed in the fourth quarter of 2021, funded by DGD's operations.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to DAR.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03272026 | MZTI | Marzetti | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -1.1% |
| 03202026 | KHC | Kraft Heinz | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.3% | 4.3% | -1.7% |
| 03202026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.8% | -1.8% | -1.9% |
| 03202026 | MKC | McCormick | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| 03312024 | DAR | Darling Ingredients | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | -18.8% | -32.8% | -38.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 64.64 |
| Mkt Cap | 17.5 |
| Rev LTM | 36,814 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,404 |
| FCF LTM | 893 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 900 |
| CFO LTM | 1,719 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,786 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 17.5 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 19.8 |
| P/E | 31.9 |
| P/CFO | 11.3 |
| Total Yield | 5.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 26.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 28.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 26.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 9.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 25.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 28.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -2.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -32.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $64.65 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 10.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/09/1994 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $52.46 | $38.89 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 23.2% | 66.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 28.0% | 40.9% |
| Downside Capture | -0.63 | 0.14 |
| Upside Capture | 206.44 | 102.63 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 25.0% | 40.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.77 | 0.70 | 0.66 | 0.88 | 0.92 | 0.94 |
| Up Beta | -1.91 | -0.14 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.88 | 0.97 |
| Down Beta | 1.74 | 1.22 | 0.85 | 1.12 | 1.14 | 1.10 |
| Up Capture | 167% | 187% | 258% | 235% | 115% | 47% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 30 | 45 | 77 | 136 | 364 |
| Down Capture | -30% | -41% | -77% | 16% | 62% | 97% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 12 | 18 | 49 | 115 | 385 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DAR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAR | 108.4% | 41.7% | 1.88 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 2.3% | 13.8% | -0.07 | 26.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.1% | 19.0% | 0.67 | 41.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.5% | 28.0% | 1.46 | 7.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 16.2% | 17.7% | 0.77 | 36.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.6% | 16.5% | 0.04 | 41.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -21.5% | 44.0% | -0.42 | 16.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DAR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAR | -1.9% | 40.7% | 0.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.3% | 13.1% | 0.26 | 26.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.6% | 17.0% | 0.53 | 43.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.7% | 17.8% | 1.00 | 9.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 31.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.3% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 38.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.9% | 56.5% | 0.29 | 18.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DAR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAR | 18.3% | 38.7% | 0.56 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.4% | 14.7% | 0.37 | 36.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 51.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.0% | 15.9% | 0.73 | 8.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 33.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 45.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.2% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 16.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/29/2026 | 4.3% | 9.0% | 20.8% |
| 10/23/2025 | 11.4% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| 7/24/2025 | -4.5% | -10.6% | -13.7% |
| 4/24/2025 | 0.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| 1/30/2025 | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| 10/24/2024 | -1.3% | 4.2% | 7.6% |
| 7/25/2024 | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| 4/25/2024 | 4.9% | -2.7% | -5.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 17 | 17 |
| # Negative | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% |
| Median Negative | -3.7% | -6.7% | -14.8% |
| Max Positive | 11.4% | 16.3% | 29.4% |
| Max Negative | -13.0% | -10.6% | -24.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/03/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/11/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Core Ingredients Business Adjusted EBITDA | 240.00 Mil | 245.00 Mil | 250.00 Mil | ||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/23/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 PTC Credit Sales | 125.00 Mil | 150.00 Mil | 175.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| 2025 Core Ingredients Adjusted EBITDA | 875.00 Mil | 887.50 Mil | 900.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stuewe, Randall C | Chairman and CEO | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 31.17 | 27,500 | 857,175 | 25,448,341 | Form |
| 2 | Stuewe, Randall C | Chairman and CEO | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 30.92 | 35,000 | 1,082,200 | 24,162,032 | Form |
| 3 | Sterling, John F | EVP Gen. Counsel & Secretary | Direct | Sell | 8132025 | 31.13 | 35,000 | 1,089,550 | 8,606,604 | Form |
| 4 | Stuewe, Randall C | Chairman and CEO | Direct | Sell | 8062025 | 31.62 | 7,500 | 237,150 | 26,685,288 | Form |
| 5 | Stuewe, Randall C | Chairman and CEO | Direct | Sell | 5202025 | 34.05 | 40,000 | 1,362,000 | 28,991,430 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Agricultural Products & Services Resources |
| AgFunder Network Partners |
| The Packer |
| CropLife |
| Agri-Pulse |
| USDA Data |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.