Tearsheet

Safehold (SAFE)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $13.765 | Market Cap: $987.7 Mil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Other Specialized REITs

Safehold (SAFE)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $13.765
Market Cap: $987.7 Mil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Other Specialized REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 4.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -118%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 396%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 80%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 26x
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  Key risks
SAFE key risks include [1] high leverage and low interest coverage, Show more.
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers. Themes include ESG REITs, E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 4.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 80%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers. Themes include ESG REITs, E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -118%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 396%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 26x
8 Key risks
SAFE key risks include [1] high leverage and low interest coverage, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SAFE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Safehold (SAFE) stock moved by -15.4% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Litigation and Potential Lease Termination Risks: Safehold initiated litigation and lease termination proceedings against the Park Hotel master lease tenant for five hotels due to breached covenants and standards. The CEO indicated uncertainty regarding the outcome of the litigation and its potential financial impacts, which likely concerned investors.

2. Challenging Real Estate Market Conditions: The company's financial and operational strategies during this period were noted to be "amidst a challenging real estate market." These broader market headwinds can exert downward pressure on Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) like Safehold.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SAFE Return7%79%-61%-21%-18%-24%-63%
Peers Return5%31%-16%-3%-10%3%4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SAFE Win Rate58%75%33%33%67%33% 
Peers Win Rate60%65%45%50%47%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SAFE Max Drawdown-58%-3%-67%-49%-22%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-9%-29%-25%-18%-5% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMT, CCI, O, VICI, SBAC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSAFES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-88.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven783.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven177.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven341 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-54.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven117.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven705 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-98.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven6813.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to IRM, LAMR, EPR, PW, FRMI


In The Past

Safehold's stock fell -88.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/3/2021. A -88.7% loss requires a 783.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Safehold (SAFE)

Better Bets than Safehold (SAFE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SAFE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.7%-1.7%-5.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.7%-1.7%-5.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Safehold

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SAFEAMTCCIOVICISBACMedian
NameSafehold American.Crown Ca.Realty I.VICI Pro.SBA Comm. 
Mkt Price13.77178.4988.2557.7628.39190.9573.00
Mkt Cap1.083.638.452.830.320.534.3
Rev LTM38010,4556,4205,6123,9692,7894,791
Op Inc LTM3054,8522,2112,5643,6751,5742,387
FCF LTM433,6911,8433,7632,4601,0802,152
FCF 3Y Avg343,3621,9793,3182,2851,1542,132
CFO LTM435,2363,0643,7632,4621,2972,763
CFO 3Y Avg345,0783,0323,3182,2891,3852,661

Growth & Margins

SAFEAMTCCIOVICISBACMedian
NameSafehold American.Crown Ca.Realty I.VICI Pro.SBA Comm. 
Rev Chg LTM0.7%4.2%28.0%14.7%4.3%4.8%4.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.7%0.1%0.6%21.5%23.5%3.2%9.5%
Rev Chg Q6.0%7.7%-4.3%9.1%4.4%9.7%6.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%1.9%-0.7%2.1%1.1%2.4%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM80.5%46.4%34.4%45.7%92.6%56.4%51.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg77.7%41.7%38.0%42.6%93.4%50.3%46.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.9%0.0%-0.4%1.1%-0.2%-1.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM11.4%50.1%47.7%67.1%62.0%46.5%48.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.0%50.5%50.0%69.5%61.2%50.9%50.7%
FCF/Rev LTM11.4%35.3%28.7%67.1%62.0%38.7%37.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.0%33.3%33.6%69.5%61.0%42.4%38.0%

Valuation

SAFEAMTCCIOVICISBACMedian
NameSafehold American.Crown Ca.Realty I.VICI Pro.SBA Comm. 
Mkt Cap1.083.638.452.830.320.534.3
P/S2.98.66.59.98.87.48.0
P/EBIT3.519.1-14.125.99.514.512.0
P/E9.930.6-9.157.712.524.218.3
P/CFO25.617.213.714.814.116.015.4
Total Yield14.7%6.7%-5.5%6.9%13.2%6.4%6.8%
Dividend Yield4.6%3.5%5.5%5.2%5.2%2.2%4.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.4%3.7%4.4%6.9%6.9%5.1%4.8%
D/E4.00.50.70.50.50.70.6
Net D/E4.00.50.70.50.50.70.6

Returns

SAFEAMTCCIOVICISBACMedian
NameSafehold American.Crown Ca.Realty I.VICI Pro.SBA Comm. 
1M Rtn4.1%-1.1%-1.4%1.8%-4.3%-2.5%-1.2%
3M Rtn-15.1%-8.7%-5.8%-1.9%-10.3%-3.7%-7.3%
6M Rtn-8.3%-16.4%-9.1%3.2%-9.5%-15.5%-9.3%
12M Rtn-30.9%-4.5%-2.2%12.1%0.0%-6.7%-3.3%
3Y Rtn-50.3%-7.7%-22.8%7.2%1.6%-28.1%-15.2%
1M Excs Rtn3.3%-1.8%-2.1%1.1%-5.0%-3.2%-2.0%
3M Excs Rtn-17.9%-8.1%-5.3%-2.3%-11.5%-4.8%-6.7%
6M Excs Rtn-20.7%-28.8%-21.5%-9.2%-21.9%-27.9%-21.7%
12M Excs Rtn-40.8%-17.4%-15.5%-0.6%-13.2%-20.1%-16.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-117.7%-77.1%-93.7%-63.2%-69.1%-99.1%-85.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Interest income from sales-type leases2362021198219
Operating lease income7167687272
Other income391113
Interest income - related party70   
Total35327018715593


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,595,665
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.2%
Average Daily Volume400,834
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.97
Basic Shares Quantity71,756,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.0%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-10.7%-7.4%-6.2%
8/5/2025-1.3%2.5%11.8%
5/6/20254.0%-0.3%-0.7%
2/5/20257.9%3.5%12.7%
10/28/2024-4.4%-9.9%-12.2%
7/29/20242.4%-0.4%12.0%
5/6/20243.7%4.2%0.5%
2/12/2024-5.9%0.6%-2.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101211
# Negative1089
Median Positive3.6%5.0%7.9%
Median Negative-3.4%-7.3%-12.2%
Max Positive7.9%10.4%21.8%
Max Negative-11.4%-14.5%-56.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022215202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022421202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021