Regal Rexnord (RRX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $141.43 | Market Cap: $9.4 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Regal Rexnord (RRX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $141.43Market Cap: $9.4 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -61% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 9.8% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 9.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -61% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RRX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Regal Rexnord (RRX) stock moved by -7.4% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share (EPS) Miss: Regal Rexnord reported adjusted diluted EPS of $2.51 for the third quarter of 2025, which fell slightly below analyst consensus estimates ranging from $2.53 to $2.57. This profit miss was a significant factor that triggered a negative market reaction, including a notable after-hours selloff of over 7% following the earnings announcement.
2. Lowered Full-Year EPS and EBITDA Guidance: Management narrowed and reduced its full-year adjusted EPS guidance for fiscal year 2025 to a range of $9.50–$9.80, down from the previous range of $9.70–$10.30. Additionally, the adjusted EBITDA margin guidance was lowered to approximately 22.0% from 22.5%. This downward revision of future financial expectations contributed to investor concerns.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RRX Return | 46% | 55% | -29% | 25% | 6% | -7% | 97% |
| Peers Return | 274% | 34% | -23% | 5% | -17% | 36% | 352% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RRX Win Rate | 67% | 83% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 48% | 43% | 52% | 50% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RRX Max Drawdown | -38% | -0% | -35% | -16% | -10% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -23% | -40% | -30% | -34% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WWD, AYI, RUN, ATKR, PLUG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RRX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -43.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 139 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -40.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 113 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 130 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -54.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 120.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 345 days | 1480 days |
Compare to WWD, AYI, RUN, ATKR, PLUG
In The Past
Regal Rexnord's stock fell -43.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -43.3% loss requires a 76.5% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RRX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 04302025 | RRX | Regal Rexnord | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 43.0% | 36.1% | 0.0% |
| 10312023 | RRX | Regal Rexnord | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 36.9% | 44.0% | -15.9% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 04302025 | RRX | Regal Rexnord | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 43.0% | 36.1% | 0.0% |
| 10312023 | RRX | Regal Rexnord | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 36.9% | 44.0% | -15.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Regal Rexnord
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 102.14 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.6 |
| Rev LTM | 3,156 |
| Op Inc LTM | 367 |
| FCF LTM | 269 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 380 |
| CFO LTM | 386 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 482 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.6 |
| P/S | 2.1 |
| P/EBIT | 14.0 |
| P/E | 23.9 |
| P/CFO | 7.6 |
| Total Yield | 3.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 14.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 32.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -15.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 17.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -87.3% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industrial Powertrain Solutions | 8,009 | 5,028 | |||
| Automation & Motion Control | 4,909 | 2,202 | |||
| Power Efficiency Solutions | 2,036 | 2,234 | |||
| Industrial Systems | 476 | 860 | 838 | 797 | |
| Eliminations | 804 | ||||
| Climate Solutions | 983 | 890 | 878 | ||
| Commercial Systems | 1,264 | 1,320 | 1,204 | ||
| Motion Control Solutions | 7,261 | 1,542 | 1,551 | ||
| Total | 15,431 | 10,269 | 10,367 | 4,589 | 4,431 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3022022 | 10-K 1/1/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |