Tearsheet

Timken (TKR)


Market Price (4/10/2026): $106.91 | Market Cap: $7.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Timken (TKR)


Market Price (4/10/2026): $106.91
Market Cap: $7.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 5.5%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.8%, Dist 3Y High is -2.8%

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -27%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7%

Key risks
TKR key risks include [1] an estimated direct financial impact of approximately $25 million from tariffs for 2025.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 5.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.8%, Dist 3Y High is -2.8%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -27%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7%
7 Key risks
TKR key risks include [1] an estimated direct financial impact of approximately $25 million from tariffs for 2025.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Timken (TKR) stock has gained about 30% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Outperforming Q4 2025 Earnings and Strong 2026 Guidance.

The Timken Company (TKR) significantly exceeded analyst expectations in its Q4 2025 earnings report on February 4, 2026, posting an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.14 against an estimated $1.09, beating by $0.05. Quarterly revenue reached $1.11 billion, surpassing analyst estimates of $1.07 billion. Furthermore, the company provided an optimistic initial 2026 guidance, forecasting adjusted EPS of $5.50–$6.00 (midpoint $5.75, an approximate 8% increase from 2025) and total revenue growth of 2–4%.

2. Strategic Acquisition to Bolster Industrial Motion Segment.

On March 18, 2026, Timken acquired Bijur Delimon International (BDI), a global provider of automated lubrication systems. This acquisition is anticipated to generate over $60 million in sales in 2026, strengthening Timken's high-growth Industrial Motion segment and expanding its presence in critical sectors such as rail, power generation, and mining. This strategic move contributes to an enhanced recurring revenue profile and diversification into higher-value activities.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 27.5% change in TKR stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 31.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254092026Change
Stock Price ($)83.86106.9227.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,5444,5820.8%
Net Income Margin (%)6.5%6.3%-3.8%
P/E Multiple19.625.831.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)70700.0%
Cumulative Contribution27.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TKR27.5% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%58.6%
Sector (XLI)11.0%81.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 43.3% change in TKR stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 53.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254092026Change
Stock Price ($)74.61106.9243.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,5144,5821.5%
Net Income Margin (%)6.9%6.3%-8.3%
P/E Multiple16.825.853.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)70700.2%
Cumulative Contribution43.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TKR43.3% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%60.2%
Sector (XLI)12.0%80.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 51.3% change in TKR stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 84.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254092026Change
Stock Price ($)70.66106.9251.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,5734,5820.2%
Net Income Margin (%)7.7%6.3%-18.4%
P/E Multiple14.025.884.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)70700.6%
Cumulative Contribution51.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TKR51.3% 
Market (SPY)16.3%70.3%
Sector (XLI)32.8%79.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 37.7% change in TKR stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 86.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120234092026Change
Stock Price ($)77.65106.9237.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,4974,5821.9%
Net Income Margin (%)9.1%6.3%-30.5%
P/E Multiple13.925.886.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)73704.5%
Cumulative Contribution37.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TKR37.7% 
Market (SPY)63.3%57.8%
Sector (XLI)77.5%72.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TKR Return-9%4%15%-9%20%26%50%
Peers Return34%-15%37%19%22%24%180%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-1%81%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TKR Win Rate50%33%50%42%75%75% 
Peers Win Rate63%40%57%58%65%75% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TKR Max Drawdown-16%-24%-2%-10%-19%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-5%-31%-6%-8%-20%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RBC, RRX, PH, ITT, DOV. See TKR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/9/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTKRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven371 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven140.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven203 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-38.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven353 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven274.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven563 days1,480 days

Compare to RBC, RRX, PH, ITT, DOV

In The Past

Timken's stock fell -43.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -43.3% loss requires a 76.3% gain to breakeven.

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About Timken (TKR)

The Timken Company designs, manufactures, and manages engineered bearings and power transmission products worldwide. It operates in two segments, Mobile Industries and Process Industries. The Mobile Industries segment offers a portfolio of bearings, seals, and lubrication devices and systems, as well as power transmission components, engineered chains, augers, belts, couplings, clutches, brakes, and related products and maintenance services to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and end-users of off-highway equipment for the agricultural, construction, mining, outdoor power equipment, and power sports markets; and on-highway vehicles, including passenger cars, light trucks, and medium- and heavy-duty trucks, as well as rail cars and locomotives. It also provides power transmission systems and flight-critical components for civil and military aircraft, which include bearings, rotor-head assemblies, helicopter transmission systems, turbine engine components, gears, and housings. This segment sells its parts through a network of authorized automotive and heavy-truck distributors to individual end-users, equipment owners, operators, and maintenance shops. The Process Industries segment provides industrial bearings and assemblies; power transmission components, such as gears and gearboxes; and linear motion products, couplings, seals, lubricants, chains, belts, and related products and services to OEMs and end-users in various industries. It also offers aftermarket sales and service needs through a network of authorized industrial distributors; and repair and service for bearings and gearboxes, as well as electric motor rewind, repair, and services to end-users. The company offers its products under the Timken, Philadelphia Gear, Drives, Cone Drive, Rollon, Lovejoy, Diamond, BEKA, and Groeneveld brands. The Timken Company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in North Canton, Ohio.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Analogy 1: The Bosch of industrial and mobile bearings and power transmission.

Analogy 2: The Intel for how the world's heavy equipment, vehicles, and factory machines rotate and move.

Analogy 3: A specialized version of Dana Inc. or ZF Friedrichshafen, focused on the bearings and gear systems that power a wide range of vehicles and industrial machinery.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Timken Company (TKR) major products and services include:

  • Engineered Bearings: Designs and manufactures a wide range of bearings, seals, and assemblies for various mobile and industrial applications.
  • Power Transmission Products: Provides components such as gears, gearboxes, chains, belts, couplings, clutches, brakes, and linear motion products for power transfer.
  • Lubrication Systems & Lubricants: Offers lubrication devices, systems, and lubricants essential for the performance and longevity of machinery.
  • Aerospace Flight-Critical Components: Develops specialized bearings, gears, housings, and complete power transmission systems for civil and military aircraft.
  • Industrial Repair & Maintenance Services: Provides repair, service, and maintenance for bearings, gearboxes, and electric motors, ensuring operational efficiency for end-users.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Timken Company (TKR) primarily sells its products and services to other companies (Business-to-Business or B2B). The provided company description does not list specific customer company names. However, it identifies several major categories of corporate customers:

  • Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs): These customers integrate Timken's engineered bearings and power transmission products into a wide array of equipment and vehicles. This includes OEMs for:
    • Off-highway equipment for agricultural, construction, mining, outdoor power, and power sports markets.
    • On-highway vehicles, including passenger cars, light trucks, medium- and heavy-duty trucks, rail cars, and locomotives.
    • Civil and military aircraft, requiring flight-critical components like bearings, rotor-head assemblies, and transmission systems.
    • Various industrial machinery and systems across diverse industries.
  • Industrial End-Users: These are companies across various industries that utilize and maintain industrial machinery and equipment. They purchase Timken's products and services, including industrial bearings and assemblies, power transmission components, linear motion products, couplings, seals, lubricants, chains, belts, and related services (such as repair and service for bearings, gearboxes, and electric motor rewind).
  • Authorized Distributors: Timken utilizes networks of authorized automotive, heavy-truck, and industrial distributors. These distributors serve as key intermediaries for aftermarket sales and service, reaching individual end-users, equipment owners, operators, and maintenance shops.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Lucian Boldea - President and Chief Executive Officer

Lucian Boldea joined The Timken Company in 2025 as President and Chief Executive Officer. He brings over 25 years of global leadership experience across industrial technology, advanced manufacturing, and digital automation. Prior to Timken, Boldea served as President and CEO of Honeywell Industrial Automation, a global business segment with over $10 billion in sales. He also previously led Honeywell Performance Materials and Technologies. Before his time at Honeywell, Boldea was an executive vice president at Eastman Chemical Company, where he was noted for scaling businesses, accelerating innovation, and instilling operational and financial discipline across global teams.

Michael A. Discenza - Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Michael A. Discenza was named Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of The Timken Company in 2025. In this role, he is responsible for overseeing the company's global finance and accounting organizations, managing investor relations, and contributing to Timken's strategy focused on profitable organic growth, operational excellence, and effective capital deployment.

Timothy A. Graham - Executive Vice President and President of Industrial Motion

Timothy A. Graham serves as Executive Vice President and President of Industrial Motion at The Timken Company.

Hansal N. Patel - Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary

Hansal N. Patel is Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary of The Timken Company, having been named an executive officer in 2019. He acts as a legal advisor to the company's senior leadership and Board of Directors. Patel oversees a global legal team responsible for Timken's worldwide legal affairs, which include securities, mergers and acquisitions, corporate counseling, litigation, ethics, compliance, and government affairs. He is also responsible for the company's corporate governance initiatives and global Environmental, Health & Safety (EH&S).

Natasha Pollock - Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer

Natasha Pollock holds the position of Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer at The Timken Company, a role she assumed in 2022. She leads a global HR team focused on fostering a performance-driven environment that encourages new ideas and impactful solutions. Pollock has been instrumental in the company's geographic expansion through her development of Timken's global HR strategy, talent, and culture, and is recognized for her expertise in leadership and talent development, complex organizational change management, and employee engagement.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Timken Company (TKR) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from its exposure to global industrial markets and competitive pressures. Here are the key risks to Timken's business:
  1. Dependence on Economic Cycles and Industrial Demand: The demand for Timken's engineered bearings and power transmission products is closely tied to global industrial business cycles. Economic downturns or slowdowns in key sectors, such as automotive, agriculture, construction, mining, and heavy industry, can adversely affect the company's sales and profitability. The company has experienced slight year-over-year revenue declines due to softness in global industrial markets, particularly in Europe and a downturn in China's renewable energy market.
  2. Intense Competition and Pricing Pressure: Timken operates in a highly competitive global market, facing significant competition from both domestic and international players, including major rivals like SKF, Schaeffler, NSK, NTN, and JTEKT. This intense competition can impact market penetration, pricing strategies, and overall profitability, especially from Asian manufacturers offering commoditized bearings.
  3. Supply Chain Disruptions, Tariffs, and Raw Material/Energy Cost Volatility: As a global manufacturer, Timken's operations are susceptible to disruptions in its supply chain, which can arise from factors such as trade conflicts, tariffs, and logistical challenges. These disruptions can lead to increased costs and production delays. Furthermore, fluctuations in raw material and energy costs can compress profit margins.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The Timken Company operates in addressable markets that include industrial bearings, aerospace bearings, and mechanical power transmission products globally.

Addressable Markets for The Timken Company (TKR)

  • Industrial Bearings: The global industrial bearings market was valued at approximately US$ 185.5 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow to about US$ 398.7 billion by the end of 2035, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.2% from 2025 to 2035.
  • Aerospace Bearings: The global aerospace bearings market is estimated to be valued at approximately US$ 13.9 billion in 2026. This market is expected to grow to about US$ 21.7 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 6.6% between 2026 and 2033.
  • Mechanical Power Transmission Products: The global mechanical power transmission products market is projected to expand from approximately US$ 65.15 billion in 2025 to about US$ 91.30 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 4.31%.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Timken Company (TKR) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of strategic pricing, expansion in high-growth industrial markets, portfolio optimization, and new product and service introductions. Here are the key drivers:
  • Strategic Pricing Actions: Timken anticipates continued organic revenue growth through strategic pricing initiatives across both its Engineered Bearings and Industrial Motion segments. Pricing actions consistently contributed to top-line benefits in previous quarters and are projected to be a factor in the company's 2026 revenue outlook.
  • Expansion in High-Growth and Automation Markets: The company is focusing on and experiencing growth in high-value sectors, including renewable energy, aerospace, and general industrial markets. Notably, the Industrial Motion segment has shown strong organic growth, particularly driven by increasing demand in industrial automation and linear motion technologies. Timken is also actively exploring new high-value verticals, such as medical robotics.
  • Portfolio Optimization and Strategic Acquisitions: Timken's "80/20" portfolio discipline is a key strategy aimed at structurally improving margins by focusing on higher-growth and higher-margin businesses. This simplification and focus on lucrative sectors are expected to contribute to more efficient and profitable revenue generation. Furthermore, the company continues to integrate acquisitions, such as the CGI acquisition, and seeks to drive synergies from these strategic additions to accelerate global revenue growth.
  • New Product and Service Innovation: A stated focus for Timken is to launch new products and services to enhance its organic growth algorithm. These innovations are expected to fuel better top-line performance by addressing evolving customer needs and market demands.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • The Timken Company's board approved a new share repurchase plan, effective March 1, 2026, authorizing the buyback of up to 10 million outstanding common shares through February 28, 2031.
  • Timken repurchased $250.9 million of its stock in 2023.
  • The company repurchased $57.4 million of its stock in 2025 and $40.5 million in 2024.

Share Issuance

  • Timken's Net Issuance of Common Stock for December 31, 2025, was -$55.5 million, indicating that repurchases exceeded issuances.

Outbound Investments

  • In September 2024, Timken finalized the acquisition of CGI, Inc., a manufacturer of precision drive systems, expanding its presence in the automation market, particularly in medical robotics.
  • During 2023, Timken completed the acquisition of Nadella Group, a European manufacturer of linear guides and specialized industrial motion solutions, which had approximately €100 million in revenue in 2022.
  • In early 2023, Timken acquired Engineered Solutions Group (iMECH) for an undisclosed amount, a manufacturer of thrust and radial bearings for the energy industry, which projected around $30 million in revenue for that year. The company also acquired the assets of American Roller Bearing Company for $32 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures totaled $148.2 million in 2025, $170 million in 2024, and $187.8 million in 2023.
  • Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are approximately 3.5% of sales.

Better Bets vs. Timken (TKR)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to TKR.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
NSP_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026NSPInsperityInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
TNC_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026TNCTennantInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ADP_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.0%1.0%0.0%
HURN_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026HURNHuron ConsultingDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.0%4.0%0.0%
TRU_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026TRUTransUnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%0.0%
TKR_4302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302025TKRTimkenDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%59.2%0.0%
TKR_6302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302022TKRTimkenDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
34.9%75.5%-0.7%
TKR_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018TKRTimkenDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
38.9%54.7%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TKRRBCRRXPHITTDOVMedian
NameTimken RBC Bear.Regal Re.Parker H.ITT Dover  
Mkt Price106.92595.11207.65982.99215.80218.32217.06
Mkt Cap7.418.813.8124.117.129.717.9
Rev LTM4,5821,7915,93420,4613,9388,0935,258
Op Inc LTM5664136854,2936841,373685
FCF LTM4063308933,3395471,113720
FCF 3Y Avg3562736633,165472949567
CFO LTM5544009913,7416681,334830
CFO 3Y Avg5253237723,5695891,139681

Growth & Margins

TKRRBCRRXPHITTDOVMedian
NameTimken RBC Bear.Regal Re.Parker H.ITT Dover  
Rev Chg LTM0.2%11.1%-1.6%2.8%8.5%4.5%3.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.7%7.7%4.9%6.2%9.7%1.1%5.5%
Rev Chg Q3.5%17.0%4.3%9.1%13.5%8.8%8.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%3.9%1.1%2.2%3.3%2.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM12.4%23.1%11.5%21.0%17.4%17.0%17.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.5%23.8%10.1%19.7%17.1%16.2%16.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.2%0.5%0.3%-0.1%0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM12.1%22.3%16.7%18.3%17.0%16.5%16.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.3%19.5%12.7%17.8%16.3%14.3%15.3%
FCF/Rev LTM8.9%18.4%15.0%16.3%13.9%13.8%14.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.7%16.5%11.0%15.8%13.0%11.9%12.4%

Valuation

TKRRBCRRXPHITTDOVMedian
NameTimken RBC Bear.Regal Re.Parker H.ITT Dover  
Mkt Cap7.418.813.8124.117.129.717.9
P/S1.610.52.36.14.43.74.0
P/EBIT14.146.919.627.124.520.022.2
P/E25.869.849.235.135.127.135.1
P/CFO13.446.913.933.225.622.323.9
Total Yield5.2%1.4%2.2%3.6%3.5%4.6%3.5%
Dividend Yield1.3%0.0%0.2%0.7%0.6%1.0%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.5%2.6%6.8%4.0%4.0%3.9%4.0%
D/E0.30.10.40.10.10.10.1
Net D/E0.20.10.30.1-0.10.10.1

Returns

TKRRBCRRXPHITTDOVMedian
NameTimken RBC Bear.Regal Re.Parker H.ITT Dover  
1M Rtn4.6%6.2%3.3%3.4%13.6%3.8%4.2%
3M Rtn18.4%22.7%34.9%8.6%20.0%8.3%19.2%
6M Rtn45.0%54.8%43.6%33.6%25.2%35.2%39.4%
12M Rtn71.0%78.5%95.5%66.4%73.5%33.1%72.3%
3Y Rtn48.1%171.3%64.3%222.8%171.3%57.0%117.8%
1M Excs Rtn4.0%5.6%2.7%2.8%13.0%3.2%3.6%
3M Excs Rtn23.2%28.7%39.7%9.8%22.9%11.1%23.1%
6M Excs Rtn40.4%57.7%43.2%29.8%19.6%31.7%36.1%
12M Excs Rtn49.2%58.6%84.0%51.8%56.5%10.9%54.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-27.3%92.7%-13.4%134.5%93.0%-15.2%39.6%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Engineered Bearings3,1263,2973,270  
Industrial Motion2,8232,7442,070  
Corporate462500432406477
Mobile Industries   2,2162,082
Process Industries   2,5482,483
Total6,4116,5425,7725,1715,042


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$106.92 
Market Cap ($ Bil)7.4 
First Trading Date07/01/1985 
Distance from 52W High-2.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$102.20$84.87
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA4.6%26.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility33.3%31.3%
Downside Capture0.140.60
Upside Capture158.73147.50
Correlation (SPY)48.0%64.8%
TKR Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.741.271.441.381.281.20
Up Beta1.511.811.901.301.211.22
Down Beta2.151.571.561.511.351.08
Up Capture162%165%209%212%171%162%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days9213364126378
Down Capture148%65%75%97%114%107%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days13213062126373

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TKR
TKR84.5%33.1%1.88-
Sector ETF (XLI)48.5%17.9%2.0679.2%
Equity (SPY)29.1%17.4%1.3667.7%
Gold (GLD)61.3%27.8%1.7210.2%
Commodities (DBC)26.9%16.7%1.4117.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)17.7%15.4%0.8653.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-10.9%43.9%-0.1431.6%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TKR
TKR7.2%32.2%0.27-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.4%17.3%0.6174.8%
Equity (SPY)11.4%17.0%0.5261.2%
Gold (GLD)22.2%17.8%1.026.8%
Commodities (DBC)11.5%18.8%0.5020.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.7%18.8%0.1050.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)3.6%56.5%0.2921.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TKR
TKR14.6%35.5%0.49-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.9%19.9%0.6277.1%
Equity (SPY)13.9%17.9%0.6765.3%
Gold (GLD)14.1%15.9%0.741.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.5%17.6%0.4030.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2151.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.1%66.9%1.0616.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2282026-4.3%
Average Daily Volume0.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity69.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/4/20263.0%13.8%7.5%
10/29/20252.6%-1.2%5.8%
7/30/2025-7.7%-7.8%-2.0%
2/5/20253.5%4.1%-2.6%
11/5/2024-12.9%-8.2%-6.9%
7/31/20241.6%-5.3%-2.7%
4/30/20242.9%3.4%-2.7%
2/5/2024-4.4%-3.9%-2.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121212
# Negative111111
Median Positive2.7%3.7%7.0%
Median Negative-4.4%-4.4%-4.3%
Max Positive9.1%13.8%32.6%
Max Negative-12.9%-14.3%-16.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/13/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/26/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202210/26/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
03/31/202205/02/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 EPS4.54.75520.2% Higher NewGuidance: 3.95 for 2025
2026 Adjusted EPS5.55.7569.5% Higher NewGuidance: 5.25 for 2025
2026 Revenue Growth2.0%3.0%4.0%-500.0%3.8%Higher NewGuidance: -0.75% for 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/29/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 EPS3.93.954-2.5% LoweredGuidance: 4.05 for 2025
2025 Adjusted EPS5.25.255.30.0% AffirmedGuidance: 5.25 for 2025
2025 Revenue Growth -0.75% -40.0%0.5%RaisedGuidance: -1.25% for 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Kyle, Richard G DirectSell1126202581.0315,8371,283,27221,630,310Form
2Patel, Hansal NEVP, GC and SecretaryDirectSell827202579.154,869385,3811,785,703Form
3Kyle, Richard G DirectSell226202579.2015,0001,188,00012,723,401Form
4Kyle, Richard G DirectSell221202583.1510,380863,09714,605,214Form
5Kyle, Richard G DirectSell219202582.5017,0011,402,58216,172,392Form