Tearsheet

Timken (TKR)


Market Price (7/9/2026): $137.25 | Market Cap: $9.6 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Timken (TKR)


Market Price (7/9/2026): $137.25
Market Cap: $9.6 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -11%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.3%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 60%

Key risks
TKR key risks include [1] an estimated direct financial impact of approximately $25 million from tariffs for 2025.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -11%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.3%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 60%
6 Key risks
TKR key risks include [1] an estimated direct financial impact of approximately $25 million from tariffs for 2025.

TKR in ETFs

Weight = TKR's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
IJH0.25%
VIG0.04%
VYM0.03%
VB0.10%
IYM0.90%
+17 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/1/2026

Timken (TKR) stock has gained about 35% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Beat and Raised Full-Year Guidance.

Timken reported its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on May 6, 2026, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.67, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.50 by $0.17. Revenue for the quarter also outperformed, reaching $1.23 billion against an anticipated $1.17 billion, marking an 8.0% increase year-over-year. Following these strong results, Timken raised its fiscal year 2026 guidance, projecting revenue growth of approximately 5% at the midpoint from fiscal 2025 and adjusted EPS in the range of $5.75 to $6.25, an increase from its prior outlook of 3% growth.

2. Numerous Analyst Upgrades and Increased Price Targets.

During the period, several investment firms upgraded Timken's stock and increased their price targets, signaling heightened confidence in the company's prospects. On May 26, 2026, JPMorgan upgraded Timken from "Neutral" to "Overweight" and raised its price target from $130.00 to $150.00. Oppenheimer followed suit on June 5, 2026, boosting its price objective from $137.00 to $147.00 with an "outperform" rating. Additionally, KeyCorp increased its price objective from $130.00 to $140.00 with an "overweight" rating on May 7, 2026, and Citigroup lifted its target price from $125.00 to $140.00 with a "buy" rating on the same day.

Show more
Updated on 7/1/2026

Timken (TKR) stock has gained about 35% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Beat and Raised Full-Year Guidance.

Timken reported its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on May 6, 2026, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.67, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.50 by $0.17. Revenue for the quarter also outperformed, reaching $1.23 billion against an anticipated $1.17 billion, marking an 8.0% increase year-over-year. Following these strong results, Timken raised its fiscal year 2026 guidance, projecting revenue growth of approximately 5% at the midpoint from fiscal 2025 and adjusted EPS in the range of $5.75 to $6.25, an increase from its prior outlook of 3% growth.

2. Numerous Analyst Upgrades and Increased Price Targets.

During the period, several investment firms upgraded Timken's stock and increased their price targets, signaling heightened confidence in the company's prospects. On May 26, 2026, JPMorgan upgraded Timken from "Neutral" to "Overweight" and raised its price target from $130.00 to $150.00. Oppenheimer followed suit on June 5, 2026, boosting its price objective from $137.00 to $147.00 with an "outperform" rating. Additionally, KeyCorp increased its price objective from $130.00 to $140.00 with an "overweight" rating on May 7, 2026, and Citigroup lifted its target price from $125.00 to $140.00 with a "buy" rating on the same day.

3. Favorable Industrial Sector Trends Driven by AI Infrastructure and Defense Spending.

The industrial sector, a key operating area for Timken, experienced robust tailwinds from macroeconomic factors. Analysts maintained a positive outlook on Industrials in fiscal Q2 2026, attributing this to the accelerating buildout of AI-driven infrastructure, increased defense spending, and supportive capital expenditure (CapEx) fiscal policies. Specifically, AI-related capital spending projections for 2026 were revised up 29% since November to $651 billion, marking a 53% increase over the 2025 level, positioning industrial companies like Timken to benefit from demand in areas such as power infrastructure and electrical equipment.

4. Strategic Portfolio Optimization and Ambitious 2028 Financial Targets.

At its Investor Day on May 20, 2026, Timken unveiled its "Elevate to Outperform" strategy, outlining compelling fiscal 2028 financial targets. These targets include total sales of $5.0 billion to $5.2 billion, aiming for a mid-single-digit organic net sales compound annual growth rate. The company also projected an adjusted EBITDA margin for its Industrial Motion segment of 25% to 27% (up from 19% in fiscal 2025) and for its Engineered Bearings segment of 21% to 23% (up from 18.9% in fiscal 2025). Adjusted earnings per share are targeted at approximately $8.50, representing a greater than 55% increase compared to fiscal 2025. This strategic direction, emphasizing portfolio optimization and investment in high-growth verticals, instilled confidence in future profitability and growth.

5. Increase in Quarterly Dividend.

On May 8, 2026, Timken demonstrated confidence in its financial stability and commitment to shareholder returns by increasing its quarterly dividend to $0.36 per share, up from the previous $0.35 per share. This marks the thirteenth consecutive year of dividend increases.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 36.9% change in TKR stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267082026Change
Stock Price ($)100.25137.2336.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,5824,6732.0%
Net Income Margin (%)6.3%6.6%4.8%
P/E Multiple24.231.028.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)70700.1%
Cumulative Contribution36.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TKR36.9% 
Market (SPY)14.6%58.0%
Sector (XLI)11.6%81.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 64.2% change in TKR stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 58.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257082026Change
Stock Price ($)83.59137.2364.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,5444,6732.8%
Net Income Margin (%)6.5%6.6%0.9%
P/E Multiple19.631.058.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)70700.1%
Cumulative Contribution64.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TKR64.2% 
Market (SPY)9.6%59.6%
Sector (XLI)16.6%80.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 92.1% change in TKR stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 102.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257082026Change
Stock Price ($)71.44137.2392.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,5234,6733.3%
Net Income Margin (%)7.2%6.6%-8.9%
P/E Multiple15.331.0102.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)70700.6%
Cumulative Contribution92.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TKR92.1% 
Market (SPY)21.7%56.9%
Sector (XLI)23.6%76.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 57.6% change in TKR stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 101.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237082026Change
Stock Price ($)87.09137.2357.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,6354,6730.8%
Net Income Margin (%)8.9%6.6%-25.7%
P/E Multiple15.331.0101.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)72704.2%
Cumulative Contribution57.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TKR57.6% 
Market (SPY)74.1%58.3%
Sector (XLI)75.1%72.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TKR Return-9%4%15%-9%20%65%96%
Peers Return34%-15%37%19%22%22%177%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%100%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TKR Win Rate50%33%50%42%75%71% 
Peers Win Rate63%40%57%58%65%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TKR Max Drawdown-29%-30%-27%-23%-31%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-33%-23%-15%-28%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RBC, RRX, PH, ITT, DOV. See TKR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/8/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventTKRS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-30.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven239 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-24.9%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven195 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-15.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.4%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven13 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-24.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven50 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-53.4%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven114.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven142 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-30.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven128 days105 days

Compare to RBC, RRX, PH, ITT, DOV

In The Past

Timken's stock fell -30.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 44.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventTKRS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-30.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven239 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-24.9%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven195 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-24.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven50 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-53.4%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven114.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven142 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-30.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven128 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-28.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven57 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-46.5%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven86.9%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven357 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-36.3%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven57.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven114 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-24.0%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.6%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven27 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-68.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven217.6%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven404 days1085 days

Compare to RBC, RRX, PH, ITT, DOV

In The Past

Timken's stock fell -30.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 44.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Timken (TKR)

Timken (TKR) is a global industrial company specializing in engineered bearings and power transmission products. The company designs, manufactures, and manages these critical components, which are essential for enabling machinery and equipment to operate efficiently and reliably. Timken serves a wide array of markets worldwide through two primary segments: Mobile Industries and Process Industries.

The Mobile Industries segment focuses on components for various vehicles and heavy equipment. This includes a comprehensive portfolio of bearings, seals, lubrication systems, and power transmission products like chains, belts, and clutches. Its customers are primarily original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and end-users in off-highway markets such as agriculture, construction, and mining, as well as on-highway vehicles including passenger cars, light and heavy-duty trucks, and rail. Additionally, this segment supplies flight-critical components and transmission systems for civil and military aircraft, selling parts through authorized distributors to end-users and maintenance shops.

The Process Industries segment caters to a broad range of industrial applications. It provides industrial bearings, assemblies, gears, gearboxes, linear motion products, and other power transmission components such as couplings and seals. This segment supports OEMs and end-users across diverse industries, offering both new products and essential aftermarket sales and services through authorized industrial distributors. Timken also provides specialized repair and maintenance services for industrial bearings, gearboxes, and electric motors, ensuring the longevity and performance of critical industrial machinery.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Analogy 1: The Bosch of industrial and mobile bearings and power transmission.

Analogy 2: The Intel for how the world's heavy equipment, vehicles, and factory machines rotate and move.

Analogy 3: A specialized version of Dana Inc. or ZF Friedrichshafen, focused on the bearings and gear systems that power a wide range of vehicles and industrial machinery.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Timken Company (TKR) major products and services include:

  • Engineered Bearings: Designs and manufactures a wide range of bearings, seals, and assemblies for various mobile and industrial applications.
  • Power Transmission Products: Provides components such as gears, gearboxes, chains, belts, couplings, clutches, brakes, and linear motion products for power transfer.
  • Lubrication Systems & Lubricants: Offers lubrication devices, systems, and lubricants essential for the performance and longevity of machinery.
  • Aerospace Flight-Critical Components: Develops specialized bearings, gears, housings, and complete power transmission systems for civil and military aircraft.
  • Industrial Repair & Maintenance Services: Provides repair, service, and maintenance for bearings, gearboxes, and electric motors, ensuring operational efficiency for end-users.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Timken Company (TKR) primarily sells its products and services to other companies (Business-to-Business or B2B). The provided company description does not list specific customer company names. However, it identifies several major categories of corporate customers:

  • Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs): These customers integrate Timken's engineered bearings and power transmission products into a wide array of equipment and vehicles. This includes OEMs for:
    • Off-highway equipment for agricultural, construction, mining, outdoor power, and power sports markets.
    • On-highway vehicles, including passenger cars, light trucks, medium- and heavy-duty trucks, rail cars, and locomotives.
    • Civil and military aircraft, requiring flight-critical components like bearings, rotor-head assemblies, and transmission systems.
    • Various industrial machinery and systems across diverse industries.
  • Industrial End-Users: These are companies across various industries that utilize and maintain industrial machinery and equipment. They purchase Timken's products and services, including industrial bearings and assemblies, power transmission components, linear motion products, couplings, seals, lubricants, chains, belts, and related services (such as repair and service for bearings, gearboxes, and electric motor rewind).
  • Authorized Distributors: Timken utilizes networks of authorized automotive, heavy-truck, and industrial distributors. These distributors serve as key intermediaries for aftermarket sales and service, reaching individual end-users, equipment owners, operators, and maintenance shops.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Lucian Boldea - President and Chief Executive Officer

Lucian Boldea joined The Timken Company in 2025 as President and Chief Executive Officer. He brings over 25 years of global leadership experience across industrial technology, advanced manufacturing, and digital automation. Prior to Timken, Boldea served as President and CEO of Honeywell Industrial Automation, a global business segment with over $10 billion in sales. He also previously led Honeywell Performance Materials and Technologies. Before his time at Honeywell, Boldea was an executive vice president at Eastman Chemical Company, where he was noted for scaling businesses, accelerating innovation, and instilling operational and financial discipline across global teams.

Michael A. Discenza - Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Michael A. Discenza was named Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of The Timken Company in 2025. In this role, he is responsible for overseeing the company's global finance and accounting organizations, managing investor relations, and contributing to Timken's strategy focused on profitable organic growth, operational excellence, and effective capital deployment.

Timothy A. Graham - Executive Vice President and President of Industrial Motion

Timothy A. Graham serves as Executive Vice President and President of Industrial Motion at The Timken Company.

Hansal N. Patel - Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary

Hansal N. Patel is Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary of The Timken Company, having been named an executive officer in 2019. He acts as a legal advisor to the company's senior leadership and Board of Directors. Patel oversees a global legal team responsible for Timken's worldwide legal affairs, which include securities, mergers and acquisitions, corporate counseling, litigation, ethics, compliance, and government affairs. He is also responsible for the company's corporate governance initiatives and global Environmental, Health & Safety (EH&S).

Natasha Pollock - Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer

Natasha Pollock holds the position of Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer at The Timken Company, a role she assumed in 2022. She leads a global HR team focused on fostering a performance-driven environment that encourages new ideas and impactful solutions. Pollock has been instrumental in the company's geographic expansion through her development of Timken's global HR strategy, talent, and culture, and is recognized for her expertise in leadership and talent development, complex organizational change management, and employee engagement.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Timken Company (TKR) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from its exposure to global industrial markets and competitive pressures. Here are the key risks to Timken's business:
  1. Dependence on Economic Cycles and Industrial Demand: The demand for Timken's engineered bearings and power transmission products is closely tied to global industrial business cycles. Economic downturns or slowdowns in key sectors, such as automotive, agriculture, construction, mining, and heavy industry, can adversely affect the company's sales and profitability. The company has experienced slight year-over-year revenue declines due to softness in global industrial markets, particularly in Europe and a downturn in China's renewable energy market.
  2. Intense Competition and Pricing Pressure: Timken operates in a highly competitive global market, facing significant competition from both domestic and international players, including major rivals like SKF, Schaeffler, NSK, NTN, and JTEKT. This intense competition can impact market penetration, pricing strategies, and overall profitability, especially from Asian manufacturers offering commoditized bearings.
  3. Supply Chain Disruptions, Tariffs, and Raw Material/Energy Cost Volatility: As a global manufacturer, Timken's operations are susceptible to disruptions in its supply chain, which can arise from factors such as trade conflicts, tariffs, and logistical challenges. These disruptions can lead to increased costs and production delays. Furthermore, fluctuations in raw material and energy costs can compress profit margins.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The Timken Company operates in addressable markets that include industrial bearings, aerospace bearings, and mechanical power transmission products globally.

Addressable Markets for The Timken Company (TKR)

  • Industrial Bearings: The global industrial bearings market was valued at approximately US$ 185.5 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow to about US$ 398.7 billion by the end of 2035, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.2% from 2025 to 2035.
  • Aerospace Bearings: The global aerospace bearings market is estimated to be valued at approximately US$ 13.9 billion in 2026. This market is expected to grow to about US$ 21.7 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 6.6% between 2026 and 2033.
  • Mechanical Power Transmission Products: The global mechanical power transmission products market is projected to expand from approximately US$ 65.15 billion in 2025 to about US$ 91.30 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 4.31%.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Timken Company (TKR) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of strategic pricing, expansion in high-growth industrial markets, portfolio optimization, and new product and service introductions. Here are the key drivers:
  • Strategic Pricing Actions: Timken anticipates continued organic revenue growth through strategic pricing initiatives across both its Engineered Bearings and Industrial Motion segments. Pricing actions consistently contributed to top-line benefits in previous quarters and are projected to be a factor in the company's 2026 revenue outlook.
  • Expansion in High-Growth and Automation Markets: The company is focusing on and experiencing growth in high-value sectors, including renewable energy, aerospace, and general industrial markets. Notably, the Industrial Motion segment has shown strong organic growth, particularly driven by increasing demand in industrial automation and linear motion technologies. Timken is also actively exploring new high-value verticals, such as medical robotics.
  • Portfolio Optimization and Strategic Acquisitions: Timken's "80/20" portfolio discipline is a key strategy aimed at structurally improving margins by focusing on higher-growth and higher-margin businesses. This simplification and focus on lucrative sectors are expected to contribute to more efficient and profitable revenue generation. Furthermore, the company continues to integrate acquisitions, such as the CGI acquisition, and seeks to drive synergies from these strategic additions to accelerate global revenue growth.
  • New Product and Service Innovation: A stated focus for Timken is to launch new products and services to enhance its organic growth algorithm. These innovations are expected to fuel better top-line performance by addressing evolving customer needs and market demands.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • The Timken Company's board approved a new share repurchase plan, effective March 1, 2026, authorizing the buyback of up to 10 million outstanding common shares through February 28, 2031.
  • Timken repurchased $250.9 million of its stock in 2023.
  • The company repurchased $57.4 million of its stock in 2025 and $40.5 million in 2024.

Share Issuance

  • Timken's Net Issuance of Common Stock for December 31, 2025, was -$55.5 million, indicating that repurchases exceeded issuances.

Outbound Investments

  • In September 2024, Timken finalized the acquisition of CGI, Inc., a manufacturer of precision drive systems, expanding its presence in the automation market, particularly in medical robotics.
  • During 2023, Timken completed the acquisition of Nadella Group, a European manufacturer of linear guides and specialized industrial motion solutions, which had approximately €100 million in revenue in 2022.
  • In early 2023, Timken acquired Engineered Solutions Group (iMECH) for an undisclosed amount, a manufacturer of thrust and radial bearings for the energy industry, which projected around $30 million in revenue for that year. The company also acquired the assets of American Roller Bearing Company for $32 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures totaled $148.2 million in 2025, $170 million in 2024, and $187.8 million in 2023.
  • Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are approximately 3.5% of sales.

Better Bets vs. Timken (TKR)

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TKRRBCRRXPHITTDOVMedian
NameTimken RBC Bear.Regal Re.Parker H.ITT Dover  
Mkt Price137.23593.89208.44939.13185.33211.47209.95
Mkt Cap9.518.713.9118.516.228.517.4
Rev LTM4,6731,7915,99620,9874,2378,2805,334
Op Inc LTM5834136784,3886751,383677
FCF LTM3833308053,6784841,136645
FCF 3Y Avg3442736333,248467928550
CFO LTM5354009034,0955951,368749
CFO 3Y Avg5123237413,6585831,123662

Growth & Margins

TKRRBCRRXPHITTDOVMedian
NameTimken RBC Bear.Regal Re.Parker H.ITT Dover  
Rev Chg LTM3.3%11.1%1.5%6.0%16.6%7.1%6.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.3%7.7%6.4%5.0%11.5%1.8%5.7%
Rev Chg Q8.0%17.0%4.3%10.6%32.7%10.1%10.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%3.9%1.0%2.6%7.6%2.3%2.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM0.8%6.7%5.5%10.3%6.9%10.8%6.8%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-5.4%11.9%4.8%16.1%12.0%2.4%8.3%
Op Mgn LTM12.5%23.1%11.3%20.9%15.9%16.7%16.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.2%23.8%10.5%20.0%16.7%16.1%16.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-1.5%-0.3%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM11.4%22.3%15.1%19.5%14.0%16.5%15.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.1%19.5%12.1%18.1%15.6%14.0%14.8%
FCF/Rev LTM8.2%18.4%13.4%17.5%11.4%13.7%13.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.4%16.5%10.3%16.0%12.5%11.6%12.0%

Valuation

TKRRBCRRXPHITTDOVMedian
NameTimken RBC Bear.Regal Re.Parker H.ITT Dover  
Mkt Cap9.518.713.9118.516.228.517.4
P/S2.010.52.35.63.83.43.6
P/Op Inc16.445.320.427.023.920.622.3
P/EBIT17.446.819.925.223.119.221.5
P/E31.069.748.334.135.325.934.7
P/CFO17.846.815.328.927.220.924.0
Total Yield4.3%1.4%2.2%3.7%3.6%4.8%3.6%
Dividend Yield1.0%0.0%0.2%0.8%0.7%1.0%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.7%2.5%6.1%3.8%3.8%3.6%3.8%
D/E0.20.10.40.10.20.10.2
Net D/E0.20.10.30.10.20.10.1

Returns

TKRRBCRRXPHITTDOVMedian
NameTimken RBC Bear.Regal Re.Parker H.ITT Dover  
1M Rtn1.9%0.5%-0.7%6.3%-2.9%-2.2%-0.1%
3M Rtn30.0%2.3%2.3%-2.6%-11.6%-2.2%0.0%
6M Rtn56.9%27.1%39.1%3.8%4.6%6.6%16.8%
12M Rtn81.1%55.6%40.6%34.0%18.5%13.4%37.3%
3Y Rtn59.3%175.0%43.1%152.4%103.6%49.8%81.5%
1M Excs Rtn2.8%-0.7%0.8%5.1%-4.3%-2.9%0.1%
3M Excs Rtn25.7%-5.8%-0.5%-10.0%-18.5%-10.9%-7.9%
6M Excs Rtn47.9%20.4%32.2%-4.4%-4.7%-3.4%8.5%
12M Excs Rtn64.4%33.4%21.0%14.0%-2.5%-6.1%17.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-10.6%105.0%-28.9%80.5%36.3%-19.9%12.9%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Engineered Bearings3,0183,0343,258  
Industrial Motion1,5641,5391,511  
Mobile Industries   2,1061,966
Process Industries   2,3902,167
Total4,5824,5734,7694,4974,133


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20022001199919981997
Industrial Bearings73    
Steel Operation2994474126
Automotive Bearings15    
Bearing Operation  80133163
Total1169124207289


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Engineered Bearings3,2943,1263,2973,270 
Industrial Motion2,9632,8232,7442,070 
Corporate420462500432406
Mobile Industries    2,216
Process Industries    2,548
Total6,6776,4116,5425,7725,171


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$137.23 
Market Cap ($ Bil)9.5 
First Trading Date07/01/1985 
Distance from 52W High-5.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$127.23$99.11
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA7.9%38.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility39.7%33.7%
Downside Capture174.19134.41
Upside Capture212.14174.70
Correlation (SPY)59.2%57.5%
TKR Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.271.851.661.551.511.22
Up Beta0.031.901.961.951.901.28
Down Beta1.350.871.031.271.321.06
Up Capture266%337%229%250%244%194%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days12213567129379
Down Capture84%150%128%100%111%106%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days9202858123372

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TKR
TKR85.0%33.6%1.86-
Sector ETF (XLI)22.5%16.7%1.0477.2%
Equity (SPY)21.2%12.5%1.2657.3%
Gold (GLD)21.9%27.8%0.7025.0%
Commodities (DBC)25.0%18.7%1.06-18.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.7%13.9%0.6236.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-41.4%42.8%-1.1321.7%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TKR
TKR13.7%32.9%0.44-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.8%17.6%0.6275.2%
Equity (SPY)13.2%17.1%0.6061.4%
Gold (GLD)17.8%18.3%0.798.9%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%19.5%0.3013.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.8%18.9%0.0549.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.1%53.5%0.4123.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TKR
TKR19.2%35.7%0.59-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.9%20.0%0.6677.1%
Equity (SPY)15.9%17.9%0.7665.0%
Gold (GLD)11.5%16.1%0.583.7%
Commodities (DBC)6.4%18.0%0.2825.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2251.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.0%66.2%0.9816.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 53120265.9%
Average Daily Volume1.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity69.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/9/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/6/20269.2%6.8%22.3%
2/4/20263.0%13.8%7.5%
10/29/20252.6%-1.2%5.8%
7/30/2025-7.7%-7.8%-2.0%
2/5/20253.5%4.1%-2.6%
11/5/2024-12.9%-8.2%-6.9%
7/31/20241.6%-5.3%-2.7%
4/30/20242.9%3.4%-2.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131312
# Negative101011
Median Positive2.8%4.1%7.0%
Median Negative-5.2%-4.8%-4.3%
Max Positive9.2%13.8%32.6%
Max Negative-12.9%-14.3%-16.0%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/6/20269.2%6.8%22.3%
2/4/20263.0%13.8%7.5%
10/29/20252.6%-1.2%5.8%
7/30/2025-7.7%-7.8%-2.0%
2/5/20253.5%4.1%-2.6%
11/5/2024-12.9%-8.2%-6.9%
7/31/20241.6%-5.3%-2.7%
4/30/20242.9%3.4%-2.7%
2/5/2024-4.4%-3.9%-2.8%
11/1/2023-0.5%2.2%5.2%
8/3/2023-9.2%-14.3%-16.0%
5/3/2023-0.7%-2.6%-5.1%
2/6/2023-4.2%-3.2%0.7%
10/26/2022-0.8%5.4%9.3%
7/28/20221.9%2.9%8.3%
5/2/20222.7%2.4%6.5%
2/3/20220.3%0.7%-4.3%
11/1/20212.1%2.5%-6.8%
8/2/2021-6.0%-4.4%-5.2%
4/28/20213.6%5.0%3.0%
2/4/2021-8.4%-7.7%1.1%
10/29/20202.8%6.4%32.6%
8/3/20209.1%13.5%19.3%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131312
# Negative101011
Median Positive2.8%4.1%7.0%
Median Negative-5.2%-4.8%-4.3%
Max Positive9.2%13.8%32.6%
Max Negative-12.9%-14.3%-16.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/13/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/26/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202210/26/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/13/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/26/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202210/26/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
03/31/202205/02/202210-Q
12/31/202102/15/202210-K
09/30/202111/01/202110-Q
06/30/202108/02/202110-Q
03/31/202104/28/202110-Q
12/31/202002/16/202110-K
09/30/202010/29/202010-Q
06/30/202008/03/202010-Q
03/31/202005/01/202010-Q
12/31/201902/14/202010-K
09/30/201910/31/201910-Q
06/30/201907/31/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/8/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 EPS4.74.955.24.2% RaisedGuidance: 4.75 for 2026
2026 Adjusted EPS5.7566.254.3% RaisedGuidance: 5.75 for 2026
2026 Revenue Growth 5.0%  2.0%RaisedGuidance: 3.0% for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 EPS4.54.75520.3% Higher NewGuidance: 3.95 for 2025
2026 Adjusted EPS5.55.7569.5% Higher NewGuidance: 5.25 for 2025
2026 Revenue Growth2.0%3.0%4.0% 3.8%Higher NewGuidance: -0.75% for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/29/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 EPS3.93.954-2.5% LoweredGuidance: 4.05 for 2025
2025 Adjusted EPS5.25.255.30.0% AffirmedGuidance: 5.25 for 2025
2025 Revenue Growth -0.75%  0.5%RaisedGuidance: -1.25% for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 6/9/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Rajendra, Ajita G DirectSell6082026131.348,4501,109,8232,656,352Form
2Kyle, Richard G DirectSell5282026127.358,4481,075,85325,133,923Form
3Kyle, Richard G DirectSell5112026117.3437,1814,362,81924,225,430Form
4Timken, John M JR DirectSell5112026116.5115,0001,747,65030,845,323Form
5Discenza, Michael AnthonyEVP, Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell2262026109.591,532167,8921,959,140Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Rajendra, Ajita G DirectSell6082026131.348,4501,109,8232,656,352Form
2Kyle, Richard G DirectSell5282026127.358,4481,075,85325,133,923Form
3Kyle, Richard G DirectSell5112026117.3437,1814,362,81924,225,430Form
4Timken, John M JR DirectSell5112026116.5115,0001,747,65030,845,323Form
5Discenza, Michael AnthonyEVP, Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell2262026109.591,532167,8921,959,140Form
6Kyle, Richard G DirectSell2242026107.9919,6362,120,42826,309,465Form
7Kyle, Richard G DirectSell2232026106.7210,0001,067,20028,096,388Form
8Patel, Hansal NEVP, GC and SecretaryDirectSell2102026108.012,500270,0252,250,388Form
9Kyle, Richard G DirectSell2102026106.5230,2063,217,54325,148,307Form
10Kyle, Richard G DirectSell1126202581.0315,8371,283,27221,630,310Form
11Patel, Hansal NEVP, GC and SecretaryDirectSell827202579.154,869385,3811,785,703Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/8/2026