Tearsheet

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB)


Market Price (2/20/2026): $3.72 | Market Cap: $66.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB)


Market Price (2/20/2026): $3.72
Market Cap: $66.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -45%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -101%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -128%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 758%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.49, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.5%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -84%
3   Key risks
RRGB key risks include [1] declining guest traffic and same-store sales and [2] high debt levels resulting in negative shareholder equity.
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -45%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -101%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -128%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.49, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 758%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.5%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -84%
7 Key risks
RRGB key risks include [1] declining guest traffic and same-store sales and [2] high debt levels resulting in negative shareholder equity.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB) stock has lost about 25% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Red Robin reported a decline in comparable restaurant revenue and guest traffic in its fiscal third quarter ended October 5, 2025. Total revenues decreased by $9.5 million year-over-year to $265.1 million. Comparable restaurant revenue declined 1.2% (or 1.3% excluding deferred loyalty revenue), with guest traffic falling 3%. The company also projected a further comparable restaurant sales decline of approximately 3% for the fiscal fourth quarter of 2025.

2. The broader casual dining sector experienced significant headwinds during the period. The restaurant industry entered a "clear downward trend" in sales and traffic from July through November 2025, with casual dining performance softening each month. This decline was attributed to consumers increasingly focusing on value due to rising inflation and unemployment, leading to a shift in spending away from higher-priced dining options.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -26.5% change in RRGB stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120252192026Change
Stock Price ($)5.063.72-26.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,2361,226-0.8%
P/S Multiple0.10.1-25.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1818-0.6%
Cumulative Contribution-26.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
RRGB-26.5% 
Market (SPY)0.4%40.9%
Sector (XLY)-3.1%32.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -36.0% change in RRGB stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -33.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120252192026Change
Stock Price ($)5.813.72-36.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,2521,226-2.1%
P/S Multiple0.10.1-33.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1818-2.1%
Cumulative Contribution-36.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
RRGB-36.0% 
Market (SPY)8.6%33.3%
Sector (XLY)5.2%29.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -38.1% change in RRGB stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -27.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120252192026Change
Stock Price ($)6.013.72-38.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,2721,226-3.6%
P/S Multiple0.10.1-27.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1618-12.1%
Cumulative Contribution-38.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
RRGB-38.1% 
Market (SPY)14.7%12.3%
Sector (XLY)0.8%14.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -58.4% change in RRGB stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -51.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120232192026Change
Stock Price ($)8.943.72-58.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,2591,226-2.6%
P/S Multiple0.10.1-51.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1618-11.3%
Cumulative Contribution-58.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
RRGB-58.4% 
Market (SPY)74.7%17.8%
Sector (XLY)60.1%20.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
RRGB Return-14%-66%123%-56%-26%-11%-81%
Peers Return1%-12%21%51%7%13%97%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%1%83%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RRGB Win Rate33%33%58%42%50%0% 
Peers Win Rate50%38%53%60%45%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RRGB Max Drawdown-21%-67%0%-76%-53%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-30%-13%-18%-20%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: EAT, DIN, BJRI, CAKE, TXRH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/19/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRRGBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven663.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-86.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven616.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven355 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-65.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven186.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-79.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven397.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,565 days1,480 days

Compare to EAT, DIN, BJRI, CAKE, TXRH

In The Past

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers's stock fell -86.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -86.9% loss requires a 663.3% gain to breakeven.

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About Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB)

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises full-service and casual-dining restaurants. The company's restaurants primarily offer burgers and shareable pizzas; various appetizers, salads, soups, sandwiches, seafood, and other entrees; and desserts, wings, milkshakes, alcoholic and non-alcoholic specialty drinks, cocktails, wine, and beers. As of December 26, 2021, it operated approximately 531 Red Robin restaurants, including 430 were company-owned and 101 were operated by franchisees in the United States and one Canadian province. Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is based in Greenwood Village, Colorado.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB):

  • Red Robin is like Chili's or Applebee's, but with a primary focus on gourmet burgers and bottomless fries.
  • Red Robin is like a sit-down, full-service version of Five Guys or Shake Shack.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Gourmet Burgers: Their primary offering features a wide selection of beef, chicken, and vegetarian burgers, often served with bottomless fries.
  • Casual Dining Service: Providing a full-service, sit-down restaurant experience for families and groups, along with take-out and delivery options.
  • Other Entrees: A variety of non-burger main dishes, including salads, sandwiches, and chicken platters.
  • Beverages: A selection of alcoholic and non-alcoholic drinks, including their popular Bottomless Root Beer Floats and milkshakes.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB) operates a chain of full-service casual dining restaurants. As such, the company primarily sells its food and beverage offerings directly to individual consumers.

The major categories of individual customers served by Red Robin include:

  • Families with Children: Red Robin is widely recognized for its family-friendly atmosphere, offering kids' menus, entertainment like crayons, and a welcoming environment that makes it a popular destination for families dining out.
  • Casual Diners/Lunch & Dinner Crowds: This category encompasses individuals and groups seeking a comfortable, sit-down meal for lunch or dinner. It includes office workers, shoppers, and local residents looking for a consistent casual dining experience with a focus on burgers and American comfort food.
  • Teenagers and Young Adults: With its menu centered around gourmet burgers, bottomless fries, milkshakes, and a lively, relaxed atmosphere, Red Robin frequently attracts younger demographics looking for a place to socialize and enjoy a hearty meal.

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  • Performance Food Group, Inc. (PFGC)
  • Shamrock Foods Company

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Dave Pace, President and Chief Executive Officer

Dave Pace was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Red Robin in April 2025 and has served on its Board of Directors since August 2019. He brings 35 years of leadership and turnaround experience across the food, beverage, and retail sectors. From 2020 to 2023, he co-led Tastemaker Acquisition Corporation, a special purpose acquisition company. From 2016 to 2018, Pace served as CEO of Jamba Juice, Inc., where he successfully repositioned the brand, tripled profit performance, and orchestrated its strategic sale. His prior roles include President of Carrabba's Italian Grill from 2014 to 2016 and Executive Vice President and Chief Resource Officer at Bloomin' Brands from 2010 to 2014. He also held leadership positions at Starbucks Corporation, PepsiCo, and YUM! Brands, Inc.

Todd Wilson, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Todd Wilson was named Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at Red Robin in November 2022, but will depart the company effective December 12, 2025. Red Robin has commenced a formal search for his successor, and he is slated to become CFO at BJ's Restaurants starting December 15, 2025. From 2018 to 2022, Wilson served as CFO for Hopdoddy Burger Bar, a privately held L Catterton Growth portfolio company, where he achieved significant operating margin expansion and doubled unit count. From 2016 to 2018, he was VP Finance for Jamba Juice, where he played a key role in the company's successful strategic sale. His experience also includes various financial leadership roles at Bloomin' Brands from 2006 to 2016, including Division CFO for Carrabba's Italian Grill.

Jesse Griffith, Chief Operations Officer

Jesse Griffith was promoted to Chief Operations Officer in November 2025. He joined Red Robin in March 2023 as Senior Vice President of Operations. Before his tenure at Red Robin, he served as Vice President of Operations for Torchy's Tacos, contributing to the company's doubling in restaurant unit growth. Griffith has also held senior operations positions at California Pizza Kitchen, Texas Roadhouse, Quaker Steak & Lube, and Bennigan's.

Sarah Mussetter, Chief Legal Officer

Sarah Mussetter has served as Chief Legal Officer for Red Robin since December 2022. In this role, she oversees all legal matters for the company, including litigation, licensing, risk, food safety, and commercial affairs. Mussetter previously worked at Red Robin from 2011 to 2021, holding positions such as Associate General Counsel and Vice President, Deputy General Counsel. She also served as Senior Vice President, Deputy General Counsel & Assistant Corporate Secretary at Skillsoft Corporation from 2021 to 2022, and began her legal career at the law firm Holme Roberts & Owen LLP (now Bryan Cave Leighton Paisner LLP).

Humera Kassem, Chief People Officer

Humera Kassem was appointed Chief People Officer in September 2025. She is responsible for Red Robin's organizational strategy, focusing on strengthening the company's culture and advancing its "First Choice Plan." With over 30 years of experience, Kassem has a distinguished career in cultivating organizational culture and talent development across various industries. Prior to Red Robin, she served as Chief People Officer at Dave & Buster's and held multiple senior human resource roles at iconic brands such as Coca-Cola, Delta Airlines, JCPenney, and Jamba Juice.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB) include declining guest traffic and same-store sales, high debt levels, and labor shortages and increased labor costs.

  1. Declining Guest Traffic and Same-Store Sales: Red Robin has experienced shrinking same-store sales and a decline in guest traffic, indicating waning demand for its restaurants. In the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, guest traffic declined by 3.5%, with management anticipating an approximate 4% annual decline. This trend is a significant concern as it measures organic growth and directly impacts revenue.
  2. High Debt Levels: The company operates with a significant debt burden. Its $523.2 million of debt exceeds the $24.37 million of cash on its balance sheet, and it has negative shareholder equity. This financial leverage increases the risk of permanent loss of capital and could make incremental borrowing more expensive, potentially leading to a credit rating downgrade if profitability falls.
  3. Labor Shortages and Higher Labor Costs: Red Robin continues to be impacted by labor shortages and increasing labor costs, which have adversely affected its financial performance and operations. The ability to attract and retain a sufficient number of qualified management and operating staff is crucial for providing the desired guest experience, and wage and benefit-cost inflation could further negatively impact the company.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The accelerating consumer shift towards fast-casual and quick-service restaurant (QSR+) concepts offering high-quality burgers and similar fare. These establishments often provide a compelling combination of speed, perceived value, and quality that increasingly draws customers away from traditional full-service casual dining models like Red Robin, eroding market share as preferences lean towards greater convenience and efficiency for everyday meals.

The rapid proliferation of virtual brands and ghost kitchens optimized exclusively for delivery and takeout. These agile, lower-overhead models are increasingly capturing the off-premise dining market, offering competitive pricing and specialized menus that directly challenge Red Robin's ability to compete effectively for delivery orders and mindshare in the growing at-home consumption segment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable market for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) main products in the U.S. is identified primarily by the Burger Restaurants industry.

The market size for Burger Restaurants in the U.S. is an estimated $173.6 billion in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next two to three years, primarily stemming from strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing customer experience, expanding sales channels, and optimizing offerings.

  1. Strategic Marketing Initiatives and Menu Innovation: Red Robin is focusing on its "First Choice" plan, which includes strategic marketing campaigns and new product introductions to drive traffic and sales. Successful promotions, such as the "Big Yummm" burger deal, have already shown positive results in boosting midweek dining and lunch dayparts. The company also plans ongoing menu innovation, exemplified by the launch of the "Hot Honey platform" featuring sandwiches, wings, and pizza, to attract new guests and provide value offerings. Data-driven marketing approaches are being expanded to prioritize restaurants and yield improvements in traffic and sales.
  2. Enhanced Loyalty Program (Loyalty 2.0): The revamped Red Robin Royalty program, or Loyalty 2.0, is a significant driver of future revenue. The program has continued to spur membership growth, with approximately 15.3 million members reported at the end of the first quarter of 2025. Loyalty transactions, which are generally more profitable, have increased, indicating both higher guest frequency and the successful addition of new loyalty members. This program is viewed as a long-term driver due to positive guest feedback.
  3. Growth in Off-Premise Business: The company is strategically growing its off-premise business, which includes takeout, delivery, and catering. This segment represented approximately 25% of sales in Q3 2025 and demonstrated 2.9% traffic growth. Continued focus on expanding and optimizing these channels is expected to contribute to overall revenue growth.
  4. Improved Guest Experience and Operational Execution: Efforts to enhance the overall guest experience and improve operational efficiency are expected to translate into increased traffic and repeat business. Initiatives under the "North Star" plan and the Managing Partner Compensation Program have led to improved dine-in guest satisfaction scores, which exceeded casual dining averages in 2024. While operational efficiency primarily impacts profitability by reducing labor costs, the resulting better hospitality and service quality contribute to higher guest satisfaction, thereby indirectly driving revenue through increased customer loyalty and visits.

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Share Repurchases

  • In 2023, Red Robin repurchased $10.0 million in shares under its share repurchase program.
  • The company did not complete any share repurchases in fiscal 2024.
  • As of December 29, 2024, Red Robin had $58.5 million remaining under its current share repurchase program, which was originally authorized for a total of $75 million in August 2018.

Share Issuance

  • During fiscal years 2022, 2023, and 2024, Red Robin issued time-based restricted stock units (RSUs) to certain participants under its stock plans.
  • On December 3, 2024, the company sold 1,600,909 shares of common stock for $5.19 per share, generating $8.3 million in gross proceeds, primarily to JCP Investment Management, LLC and Jumana Capital, LLC.
  • On November 10, 2025, Red Robin announced an "at-the-market equity offering" program to sell up to $40 million of its common stock, with proceeds intended for working capital, debt repayment, and general corporate purposes.

Inbound Investments

  • On December 3, 2024, JCP Investment Management, LLC and Jumana Capital, LLC collectively purchased 1,600,909 shares of Red Robin's common stock, resulting in $8.3 million in gross proceeds to the company.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2020, Red Robin partnered with Donatos®, a pizza brand, to offer Donatos® pizzas within its restaurants.
  • The company invested $8.6 million in fiscal 2023 and $6.1 million in fiscal 2022 for the expansion of the Donatos partnership.
  • As of December 29, 2024, Donatos® pizzas have been introduced to 269 Red Robin restaurants.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for fiscal 2024 were guided to be between $25 million and $30 million.
  • Expected capital expenditures for fiscal 2025 are approximately $33 million, an increase reflecting accelerated investment in restaurant refreshes and technology.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures in recent years has been on restaurant refresh and remodel programs, Donatos expansion, menu innovations, and operational efficiency.

Better Bets vs. Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Trade Ideas

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Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LULU_1302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01302026LULULululemon AthleticaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-2.8%
KSS_1302026_Short_Squeeze01302026KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
13.6%13.6%-1.0%
AAP_1022026_Short_Squeeze01022026AAPAdvance Auto PartsSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
51.3%51.3%-0.4%
KTB_12192025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12192025KTBKontoor BrandsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-10.3%
COUR_12192025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG12192025COURCourseraDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-21.8%-21.8%-24.2%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RRGBEATDINBJRICAKETXRHMedian
NameRed Robi.Brinker .Dine Bra.BJ's Res.Cheeseca.Texas Ro. 
Mkt Price3.72150.6133.6241.9262.42182.5352.17
Mkt Cap0.16.60.50.92.912.11.9
Rev LTM1,2265,6888661,3883,7115,8342,550
Op Inc LTM1360813747250517193
FCF LTM-04568849158341123
FCF 3Y Avg-28318861810229194
CFO LTM31738114124320747222
CFO 3Y Avg10543116106259648187

Growth & Margins

RRGBEATDINBJRICAKETXRHMedian
NameRed Robi.Brinker .Dine Bra.BJ's Res.Cheeseca.Texas Ro. 
Rev Chg LTM-3.6%17.9%6.5%3.9%4.9%14.4%5.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.9%12.8%-2.1%4.2%5.2%14.4%4.7%
Rev Chg Q-3.5%6.9%10.8%1.4%4.8%12.8%5.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.8%1.7%2.5%0.3%1.1%2.9%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM1.1%10.7%15.8%3.4%6.7%8.9%7.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.3%8.3%19.8%2.4%5.7%8.6%7.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%-0.2%-2.0%0.1%0.1%-0.4%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM2.5%13.0%13.1%8.9%8.6%12.8%10.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg0.8%10.8%13.9%7.8%7.2%12.6%9.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.0%8.0%10.1%3.5%4.3%5.8%5.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.2%6.3%10.3%1.3%2.8%5.6%4.2%

Valuation

RRGBEATDINBJRICAKETXRHMedian
NameRed Robi.Brinker .Dine Bra.BJ's Res.Cheeseca.Texas Ro. 
Mkt Cap0.16.60.50.92.912.11.9
P/S0.11.20.60.70.82.10.7
P/EBIT-2.511.33.929.915.523.413.4
P/E-1.314.614.029.718.127.716.3
P/CFO2.19.04.37.49.116.28.2
Total Yield-79.4%6.9%13.6%3.4%7.3%4.4%5.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%6.5%0.0%1.8%0.7%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-24.7%7.1%17.3%2.2%4.8%2.8%3.8%
D/E7.90.33.40.50.70.10.6
Net D/E7.60.33.00.50.70.10.6

Returns

RRGBEATDINBJRICAKETXRHMedian
NameRed Robi.Brinker .Dine Bra.BJ's Res.Cheeseca.Texas Ro. 
1M Rtn-7.2%-5.7%-8.6%-5.4%8.2%-6.3%-6.0%
3M Rtn-1.8%18.5%29.8%23.9%44.7%10.2%21.2%
6M Rtn-39.5%-1.0%63.0%22.1%1.0%5.8%3.4%
12M Rtn-22.2%-6.7%32.0%16.9%17.4%6.5%11.7%
3Y Rtn-61.2%282.3%-51.5%24.5%68.7%84.0%46.6%
1M Excs Rtn-8.2%-6.7%-9.6%-6.3%7.3%-7.2%-6.9%
3M Excs Rtn-10.1%21.5%25.1%12.8%37.9%5.1%17.2%
6M Excs Rtn-51.2%-9.1%52.5%11.4%-5.9%-2.4%-4.2%
12M Excs Rtn-37.7%-21.8%18.6%4.1%2.3%-7.5%-2.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-128.3%204.5%-115.1%-35.3%9.6%21.7%-12.8%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Restaurant revenue1,2741,2301,1388541,290
Franchise revenue161917917
Gift card breakage1014557
Other revenue32211
Total1,3031,2661,1628691,315


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$3.72 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.1 
First Trading Date07/19/2002 
Distance from 52W High-50.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$3.94$5.13
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-5.6%-27.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility50.5%97.2%
Downside Capture298.7189.18
Upside Capture209.9252.22
Correlation (SPY)54.8%12.2%
RRGB Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.311.381.111.110.540.86
Up Beta-1.320.852.372.310.230.58
Down Beta1.541.490.791.660.921.14
Up Capture63%58%-12%-16%22%34%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days919255298339
Down Capture301%217%170%113%101%105%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days11223670143396

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with RRGB
RRGB-19.8%97.0%0.14-
Sector ETF (XLY)3.4%24.2%0.0813.9%
Equity (SPY)13.0%19.4%0.5111.9%
Gold (GLD)71.2%25.5%2.08-6.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.3%16.9%0.251.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.4%16.7%0.2013.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-30.2%44.9%-0.668.7%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with RRGB
RRGB-32.5%73.3%-0.24-
Sector ETF (XLY)7.3%23.7%0.2732.8%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.0%0.6229.5%
Gold (GLD)22.0%17.1%1.050.6%
Commodities (DBC)11.0%19.0%0.474.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%18.8%0.1628.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)6.9%57.1%0.3413.5%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with RRGB
RRGB-23.4%72.2%-0.05-
Sector ETF (XLY)14.2%21.9%0.5938.5%
Equity (SPY)15.8%17.9%0.7635.3%
Gold (GLD)15.0%15.6%0.800.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.7%17.6%0.4114.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.8%20.7%0.2935.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.7%66.7%1.0711.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 11520263.6%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity17.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares12.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20253.2%-6.0%-16.1%
8/13/20251.3%7.5%12.3%
5/29/202562.9%93.9%85.0%
2/26/202534.5%6.9%-14.2%
11/6/2024-15.0%-15.8%-8.7%
8/22/2024-8.2%-23.9%-7.4%
5/29/202414.9%30.0%12.5%
2/28/2024-13.0%-14.8%-10.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141110
# Negative101314
Median Positive10.9%23.0%14.6%
Median Negative-13.0%-13.0%-12.5%
Max Positive62.9%93.9%85.0%
Max Negative-18.1%-23.9%-59.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/14/202510-Q
03/31/202505/29/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202411/06/202410-Q
06/30/202408/22/202410-Q
03/31/202405/29/202410-Q
12/31/202302/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/17/202310-Q
04/30/202305/24/202310-Q
12/31/202202/28/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/10/202210-Q
04/30/202205/26/202210-Q
12/31/202103/10/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Mussetter, Sarah ACHIEF LEGAL OFFICERDirectSell121120253.882,80010,864429,438Form
2Wilson, Joshua ToddCHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICERDirectSell111820254.156,01524,962811,271Form
3Martin, Christopher RossBy: Jumana Capital Investments LLCBuy82520256.1418,351112,61810,023,135Form
4Martin, Christopher RossBy: Jumana Capital Investments LLCBuy82520256.2934,649217,85210,486,792Form
5Ackil, Anthony SDirectBuy62320255.0314,91074,997522,124Form