Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -98%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -8.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.9%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 19%
  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 109%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Cloud Computing, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.8%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -42%
4   Key risks
RPAY key risks include [1] a high revenue concentration (approx. Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 19%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Cloud Computing, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -98%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -8.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.9%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 109%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.8%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -42%
8 Key risks
RPAY key risks include [1] a high revenue concentration (approx. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RPAY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss and Stock Dip. Repay Holdings reported a significant miss on its Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS), with an actual EPS of -$0.08 against a forecasted $0.21, representing a negative surprise of 138.1% and causing the stock to dip. While revenue for the quarter surpassed expectations, the substantial EPS miss raised investor concerns about profitability.

2. Persistent Impact of Client Losses and Gross Profit Margin Compression. The company's Q3 2025 gross profit growth was negatively affected by approximately 4% due to previously discussed client losses from 2024, and gross profit margins experienced a compression of about 3.4% year-over-year. This continued a trend, as reported gross profit also declined year-over-year in Q2 2025 due to client losses.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RPAY Return86%-33%-56%6%-11%-49%-73%
Peers Return1%-24%20%31%-35%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RPAY Win Rate67%42%25%58%33%42% 
Peers Win Rate65%40%42%57%58%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RPAY Max Drawdown-23%-41%-76%-29%-17%-61% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-39%-18%-20%-45% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GPN, FISV, FOUR, BILL, ACIW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRPAYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-83.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven522.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven53 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-15.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven17.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven32 days120 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK


In The Past

Repay's stock fell -83.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -83.9% loss requires a 522.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Repay (RPAY)

Better Bets than Repay (RPAY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RPAY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.3%15.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.3%15.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Repay

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RPAYGPNFISVFOURBILLACIWMedian
NameRepay Global P.Fiserv Shift4 P.BILL ACI Worl. 
Mkt Price3.7980.8567.9464.0755.9848.1460.02
Mkt Cap0.319.436.74.45.75.05.3
Rev LTM30910,68021,1603,8781,5001,7312,805
Op Inc LTM-92,1116,078302-85343323
FCF LTM592,8664,619299310288305
FCF 3Y Avg642,2324,312280265216272
CFO LTM1023,5006,339541359328450
CFO 3Y Avg1142,8775,848465299257382

Growth & Margins

RPAYGPNFISVFOURBILLACIWMedian
NameRepay Global P.Fiserv Shift4 P.BILL ACI Worl. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.6%21.0%5.2%23.2%11.6%7.0%9.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.8%6.8%6.8%27.9%26.9%6.6%6.8%
Rev Chg Q-1.8%0.5%0.9%29.4%10.4%6.8%3.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.5%0.1%0.2%7.4%2.5%1.8%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM-2.9%19.8%28.7%7.8%-5.7%19.8%13.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-5.6%19.8%27.0%6.8%-12.1%18.6%12.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.8%-0.1%-1.3%0.3%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM33.0%32.8%30.0%14.0%23.9%18.9%26.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg37.5%29.7%29.1%15.1%22.3%15.8%25.7%
FCF/Rev LTM19.0%26.8%21.8%7.7%20.7%16.6%19.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.8%23.0%21.5%9.2%19.8%13.2%20.3%

Valuation

RPAYGPNFISVFOURBILLACIWMedian
NameRepay Global P.Fiserv Shift4 P.BILL ACI Worl. 
Mkt Cap0.319.436.74.45.75.05.3
P/S1.01.81.71.13.82.91.8
P/EBIT-2.66.76.210.8150.513.18.8
P/E-2.611.110.222.6478.519.115.1
P/CFO3.15.55.88.115.915.27.0
Total Yield-37.8%10.3%9.8%4.4%0.2%5.2%4.8%
Dividend Yield0.8%1.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.7%9.4%5.5%6.2%4.2%4.6%5.9%
D/E1.40.80.81.10.30.20.8
Net D/E1.10.70.80.7-0.10.10.7

Returns

RPAYGPNFISVFOURBILLACIWMedian
NameRepay Global P.Fiserv Shift4 P.BILL ACI Worl. 
1M Rtn26.3%13.5%13.7%-2.3%19.0%5.4%13.6%
3M Rtn-30.5%-6.3%-48.5%-26.3%7.0%-5.4%-16.3%
6M Rtn-18.1%6.1%-58.4%-30.5%28.1%8.0%-6.0%
12M Rtn-51.3%-27.0%-67.0%-38.1%-37.5%-9.2%-37.8%
3Y Rtn-53.0%-13.0%-32.8%20.1%-48.4%125.3%-22.9%
1M Excs Rtn20.6%9.7%8.2%-5.2%12.5%1.0%8.9%
3M Excs Rtn-35.3%-8.8%-50.0%-27.3%2.8%-11.1%-19.2%
6M Excs Rtn-31.4%-6.9%-73.6%-44.9%13.0%-7.3%-19.4%
12M Excs Rtn-65.8%-41.6%-79.7%-51.0%-48.9%-23.4%-50.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-123.7%-85.6%-104.4%-50.0%-125.9%57.3%-95.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Consumer Payments276248194 
Business Payments384334 
Elimination of intersegment revenues-17-12-9 
Merchant services   155
Total297279219155


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,178,885
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.6%
Average Daily Volume1,198,850
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.32
Basic Shares Quantity82,579,954
Short % of Basic Shares6.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/20251.3%-10.2%-7.2%
8/11/2025-0.2%3.2%5.6%
5/12/2025-2.2%2.0%27.5%
3/3/2025-14.2%-19.2%-20.8%
11/12/2024-1.4%-10.2%-7.3%
8/8/2024-10.1%-8.9%-12.1%
5/9/2024-2.4%-4.6%1.1%
2/29/202413.8%10.1%24.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121114
# Negative121310
Median Positive9.0%8.6%11.6%
Median Negative-6.5%-9.9%-8.5%
Max Positive50.7%86.5%85.4%
Max Negative-20.8%-19.2%-36.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0THORNBURGH RICHARD E 11192025Sell3.504,50015,750460,096Form