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BILL (BILL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $51.84 | Market Cap: $5.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

BILL (BILL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $51.84
Market Cap: $5.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -74%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -128%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -85 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.7%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.7%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 142x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 453x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and Digital Payments.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.7%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and Digital Payments.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -74%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -128%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -85 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.7%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 142x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 453x
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BILL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of BILL (symbol: BILL) experienced significant movements between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, influenced by several key developments.

1. Strong Fiscal Year 2025 and Q4 Financial Results. On August 27, 2025, BILL reported its fiscal year 2025 financial results, with total revenue reaching $1.5 billion, a 13% increase year-over-year. The company's core revenue for the fiscal year grew by 16% to $1.3 billion. For the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, total revenue increased 12% year-over-year to $383.3 million, and core revenue rose by 15% to $345.9 million. While total revenue was slightly below analyst expectations, non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.53 significantly exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.41.

2. Announcement of a $300 Million Share Repurchase Program. Alongside its Q4 and fiscal year 2025 earnings report, BILL announced a new share repurchase program amounting to $300 million. This action signals management's confidence in the company's future prospects and its commitment to returning value to shareholders.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BILL Return259%83%-56%-25%4%-41%32%
Peers Return21%7%-10%13%55%861%1872%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BILL Win Rate83%50%33%42%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate40%35%27%53%52%30% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BILL Max Drawdown-23%-17%-61%-49%-46%-55% 
Peers Max Drawdown-11%-10%-16%-20%-11%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TTWO, JKHY, FDS, BMR, BTTC. See BILL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBILLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-83.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven511.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven49 days148 days

Compare to TTWO, JKHY, FDS, BMR, BTTC


In The Past

BILL's stock fell -83.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -83.6% loss requires a 511.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About BILL (BILL)

Better Bets than BILL (BILL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BILL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for BILL

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BILLTTWOJKHYFDSBMRBTTCMedian
NameBILL Take-Two.Jack Hen.FactSet .Beamr Im.Black Ti. 
Mkt Price51.76244.95176.13279.152.223.42113.94
Mkt Cap5.345.212.810.5--11.7
Rev LTM1,5006,2202,4192,322-22,322
Op Inc LTM-85-404602748--0-0
FCF LTM310203413617--362
FCF 3Y Avg265-202298605--281
CFO LTM359358645726--502
CFO 3Y Avg299-44525691--412

Growth & Margins

BILLTTWOJKHYFDSBMRBTTCMedian
NameBILL Take-Two.Jack Hen.FactSet .Beamr Im.Black Ti. 
Rev Chg LTM11.6%14.0%7.7%5.4%--9.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg26.9%13.3%6.8%8.0%--10.7%
Rev Chg Q10.4%31.1%7.3%6.2%--8.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%7.3%1.8%1.5%--2.2%
Op Mgn LTM-5.7%-6.5%24.9%32.2%--3.8%-3.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-12.1%-17.0%23.3%31.4%--5.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%3.6%0.9%1.7%--1.3%
CFO/Rev LTM23.9%5.8%26.7%31.3%--25.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg22.3%-1.1%23.0%31.3%--22.7%
FCF/Rev LTM20.7%3.3%17.1%26.6%--18.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.8%-3.9%13.0%27.5%--16.4%

Valuation

BILLTTWOJKHYFDSBMRBTTCMedian
NameBILL Take-Two.Jack Hen.FactSet .Beamr Im.Black Ti. 
Mkt Cap5.345.212.810.5--11.7
P/S3.67.74.54.7--4.6
P/EBIT142.4-12.017.313.9--15.6
P/E452.7-11.922.518.1--20.3
P/CFO15.0133.316.814.9--15.9
Total Yield0.2%-8.4%5.2%7.0%--2.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.8%1.5%--0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.2%-0.9%2.6%4.2%--3.4%
D/E0.40.10.00.1--0.1
Net D/E-0.10.0-0.00.1--0.0

Returns

BILLTTWOJKHYFDSBMRBTTCMedian
NameBILL Take-Two.Jack Hen.FactSet .Beamr Im.Black Ti. 
1M Rtn5.2%-4.2%17.3%5.9%-12.3%-3.1%1.0%
3M Rtn12.2%2.5%9.8%-24.4%-20.1%-14.5%-6.0%
6M Rtn13.5%6.9%-2.3%-35.2%-30.6%-14.5%-8.4%
12M Rtn-41.5%30.3%1.8%-41.8%-27.5%4,785.7%-12.8%
3Y Rtn-57.4%125.2%-4.4%-39.0%-3,320.0%-4.4%
1M Excs Rtn5.2%-4.2%17.4%6.0%-12.2%-3.1%1.1%
3M Excs Rtn5.5%-3.6%4.2%-29.5%-23.1%-19.8%-11.7%
6M Excs Rtn-1.2%-7.8%-17.0%-49.9%-45.3%-29.2%-23.1%
12M Excs Rtn-56.2%16.5%-11.9%-56.0%-45.7%4,643.1%-28.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-128.0%69.1%-75.5%-109.1%-3,299.3%-75.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment1,2901,058   
Interest on funds held for customers  9621
Subscription and transaction fees  633232136
Total1,2901,058642238158


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,546,464
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.9%
Average Daily Volume3,200,650
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.54
Basic Shares Quantity101,922,000
Short % of Basic Shares14.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025828202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024823202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023209202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023829202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022203202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022822202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021204202210-Q 12/31/2021