Construction Partners (ROAD)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $108.89 | Market Cap: $6.0 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering
Construction Partners (ROAD)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $108.89Market Cap: $6.0 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Construction & Engineering
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 59x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% | Key risksROAD key risks include [1] its significant dependence on fluctuating public infrastructure funding and [2] the integration challenges and increased debt leverage resulting from its aggressive acquisition strategy. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Infrastructure Modernization & Expansion. Themes include Road & Highway Infrastructure, Infrastructure Maintenance & Upgrades, and Sustainable Paving Solutions. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Infrastructure Modernization & Expansion. Themes include Road & Highway Infrastructure, Infrastructure Maintenance & Upgrades, and Sustainable Paving Solutions. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 59x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5% |
| Key risksROAD key risks include [1] its significant dependence on fluctuating public infrastructure funding and [2] the integration challenges and increased debt leverage resulting from its aggressive acquisition strategy. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ROAD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For Construction Partners (ROAD), the stock's approximate -9% movement between August 31, 2025, and December 22, 2025, can be attributed to several key factors, primarily stemming from its fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 earnings report.
1. Q4 2025 Earnings Per Share Miss: On November 20, 2025, Construction Partners reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.02, which fell short of analyst estimates of $1.09. The reported EPS of $1.07 also missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.11 per share.
2. Negative Investor Reaction to EPS Miss: Despite the company reporting higher-than-expected revenue of $899.5 million (or $899.85 million) for Q4 2025, investors primarily focused on the earnings shortfall, leading to an immediate negative market reaction. Construction Partners' shares tumbled 4.69% in pre-market trading following the earnings release.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ROAD Return | 73% | 1% | -9% | 63% | 103% | 23% | 547% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | 47% | 24% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ROAD Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 75% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | 63% | 57% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ROAD Max Drawdown | -28% | -9% | -35% | -9% | -7% | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | -9% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VMC, MLM, GVA, STRL, KNF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ROAD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -54.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 120.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 510 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 28 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 148 days | 120 days |
Compare to DY, FLR, GVA, CDNL, KWF
In The Past
Construction Partners's stock fell -54.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -54.5% loss requires a 120.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ROAD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 3.6% | 3.6% | -0.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 3.6% | 3.6% | -0.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Construction Partners
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 203.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.7 |
| Rev LTM | 3,642 |
| Op Inc LTM | 311 |
| FCF LTM | 354 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 285 |
| CFO LTM | 445 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 385 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.7 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/EBIT | 21.0 |
| P/E | 31.5 |
| P/CFO | 20.7 |
| Total Yield | 3.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.8% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 16.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 237.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 159.5% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/22/2025 | -2.1% | -3.6% | -14.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | 11.9% | 24.3% | 31.1% |
| 5/9/2025 | 3.5% | 7.1% | 13.2% |
| 2/7/2025 | 2.7% | -7.2% | -19.9% |
| 10/21/2024 | 13.4% | 3.7% | 20.6% |
| 8/9/2024 | 1.8% | 7.0% | -1.1% |
| 5/10/2024 | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| 2/9/2024 | -7.0% | -6.9% | 2.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 4.5% | 7.1% | 15.5% |
| Median Negative | -4.8% | -7.2% | -14.7% |
| Max Positive | 14.4% | 24.3% | 31.1% |
| Max Negative | -18.7% | -19.6% | -25.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11252025 | 10-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2072025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11252024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2092024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11292023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11222022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2042022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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