Rockwell Medical (RMTI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.9895 | Market Cap: $34.0 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals
Rockwell Medical (RMTI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.9895Market Cap: $34.0 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Pharmaceuticals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -97%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76% | Penny stockMkt Price is 1.0 |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -50% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.5% | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 9.2% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -38% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Kidney Disease Management, Dialysis Solutions, and Specialized Biopharmaceuticals. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -50% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 9.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Kidney Disease Management, Dialysis Solutions, and Specialized Biopharmaceuticals. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -97%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 1.0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.5% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -38% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RMTI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -41.6% movement in Rockwell Medical (RMTI) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Poor Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Announced in November 2025
Rockwell Medical reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 12, 2025, which revealed a significant revenue miss and a wider-than-expected net loss. The company's net sales for Q3 2025 were $15.9 million, falling short of analyst estimates of $16.6 million. Additionally, Rockwell Medical announced a net loss of $1.8 million for the quarter, a substantial decline compared to a net income of $1.7 million in the same period of 2024.
2. Substantial Revenue Decline Driven by Customer Transition
The third quarter saw a significant 44% decrease in net sales compared to Q3 2024, which was primarily attributed to the loss of its largest customer to a competitor. This major customer (DaVita) accounted for only 12% of total revenues in Q3 2025, a steep drop from 52% in Q3 2024, indicating a substantial impact on the company's top-line performance. This customer transition also affected the second quarter 2025 results, with net sales decreasing by 38% over Q2 2024.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RMTI Return | -59% | -59% | -77% | 86% | 8% | -53% | -96% |
| Peers Return | 7% | 30% | 20% | -3% | 7% | 16% | 99% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RMTI Win Rate | 33% | 25% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 55% | 63% | 38% | 47% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RMTI Max Drawdown | -66% | -63% | -81% | 0% | -35% | -61% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -7% | -11% | -23% | -10% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RMTI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -96.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2419.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -76.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 324.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -79.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 375.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -81.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 434.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 226 days | 1480 days |
Compare to LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY
In The Past
Rockwell Medical's stock fell -96.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -96.0% loss requires a 2419.6% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold Rockwell Medical Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RMTI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Rockwell Medical
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 76.61 |
| Mkt Cap | 200.3 |
| Rev LTM | 58,022 |
| Op Inc LTM | 18,904 |
| FCF LTM | 11,712 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 11,262 |
| CFO LTM | 14,849 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 13,487 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 21.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 200.3 |
| P/S | 2.8 |
| P/EBIT | 10.7 |
| P/E | 15.0 |
| P/CFO | 11.7 |
| Total Yield | 10.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 12.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 23.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 5.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -6.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 10.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 7.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 8.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -72.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3302023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4082022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11152021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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