Tearsheet

Akebia Therapeutics (AKBA)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $1.66 | Market Cap: $439.5 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Akebia Therapeutics (AKBA)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $1.66
Market Cap: $439.5 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -26%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.7%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 40x
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.32, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.7%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.8%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -58%
  Key risks
AKBA key risks include [1] the severely constrained market for its key drug Vafseo, Show more.
4 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.3%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Renal Disease Therapeutics, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -26%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -58%
4 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.3%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Renal Disease Therapeutics, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.7%
7 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.32, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
8 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 40x
9 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.7%
10 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.8%
11 Key risks
AKBA key risks include [1] the severely constrained market for its key drug Vafseo, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AKBA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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Akebia Therapeutics (AKBA) experienced a significant stock movement of -47.1% during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 29, 2025, driven by several key factors:


1. Setback in FDA label expansion for Vafseo.

On October 29, 2025, Akebia Therapeutics' shares experienced a substantial slump of 24% after the company announced that discussions with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) did not result in a clear path forward for expanding the label of its drug Vafseo to treat anemia in late-stage chronic kidney disease patients not on dialysis.


2. Significant overall selling pressure and stock decline in late 2025.

In the four weeks leading up to November 11, 2025, Akebia Therapeutics' stock saw a substantial decline of 39.9%, reflecting considerable selling pressure in the market during this period. This suggests a sustained negative investor sentiment.


Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -39.4% change in AKBA stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -44.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
928202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)2.741.66-39.42%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)203.73225.0710.47%
P/S Multiple3.531.95-44.70%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)262.57264.79-0.85%
Cumulative Contribution-39.42%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AKBA-39.4% 
Market (SPY)4.3%14.9%
Sector (XLV)15.2%22.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -54.5% change in AKBA stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -58.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
629202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)3.651.66-54.52%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)184.91225.0721.72%
P/S Multiple4.651.95-57.99%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)235.50264.79-12.44%
Cumulative Contribution-55.22%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AKBA-54.5% 
Market (SPY)12.6%16.6%
Sector (XLV)17.0%22.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -14.9% change in AKBA stock from 12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -25.9% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
1228202412282025Change
Stock Price ($)1.951.66-14.87%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)169.88225.0732.49%
P/S Multiple2.411.95-19.12%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)210.35264.79-25.88%
Cumulative Contribution-20.57%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AKBA-14.9% 
Market (SPY)17.0%24.9%
Sector (XLV)13.8%23.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 228.2% change in AKBA stock from 12/29/2022 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 518.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1229202212282025Change
Stock Price ($)0.511.66228.19%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)294.45225.07-23.56%
P/S Multiple0.321.95518.28%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)183.88264.79-44.00%
Cumulative Contribution164.66%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AKBA33.9% 
Market (SPY)48.4%24.5%
Sector (XLV)17.8%22.1%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AKBA Return-56%-19%-74%115%53%-11%-73%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AKBA Win Rate50%42%33%58%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AKBA Max Drawdown-65%-19%-89%-12%-31%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See AKBA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAKBAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-95.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1924.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-83.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven511.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-83.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven522.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

Akebia Therapeutics's stock fell -95.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -95.1% loss requires a 1924.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Akebia Therapeutics (AKBA)

Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutics for patients with kidney diseases. The company's lead product investigational product candidate is vadadustat, an oral therapy, which is in Phase III development for the treatment of anemia due to chronic kidney disease (CKD) in dialysis-dependent and non-dialysis dependent adult patients. It also offers Auryxia, a ferric citrate that is used to control the serum phosphorus levels in adult patients with DD-CKD on dialysis; and the treatment of iron deficiency anemia in adult patients with CKD not on dialysis. Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. has collaboration agreements with Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. for the development and commercialization of vadadustat in the United States, the European Union, Russia, China, Australia, Canada, the Middle East, and other countries; and Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corporation for the development and commercialization of vadadustat in Japan and other Asian countries, as well as research and license agreement with Janssen Pharmaceutica NV for the development and commercialization of hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase targeted compounds worldwide. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

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  • Vertex Pharmaceuticals for kidney disease.
  • A specialized biotech company developing and commercializing drugs for kidney conditions, akin to a focused, smaller version of Amgen.

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  • Auryxia (ferric citrate): A prescription medication used to manage elevated phosphorus levels in adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD) on dialysis, and to treat iron deficiency anemia in adults with CKD not on dialysis.
  • Vadadustat: An oral medication developed to treat anemia caused by chronic kidney disease (CKD) by stimulating the production of red blood cells.

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Major Customers of Akebia Therapeutics (AKBA)

Akebia Therapeutics primarily sells its pharmaceutical products to other companies, specifically large pharmaceutical wholesale distributors. These distributors then supply pharmacies, hospitals, and other healthcare providers.

Based on Akebia Therapeutics' public filings, a substantial portion of their revenue from product sales is generated from the following three major wholesale drug distributors:

  • Cencora (formerly AmerisourceBergen Corporation) (Symbol: COR)
  • Cardinal Health, Inc. (Symbol: CAH)
  • McKesson Corporation (Symbol: MCK)

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  • F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd. (Symbol: ROG)
  • Norwich Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

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Here is the management team of Akebia Therapeutics: Akebia Therapeutics Management Team John P. Butler, President and Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Butler joined Akebia as a director in July 2013 and was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer in September 2013. Prior to Akebia, he served as Chief Executive Officer of Inspiration Biopharmaceuticals, Inc. from 2011 to 2013, where he led transactions that resulted in the sale of its hemophilia assets to Cangene Corporation and Baxter International for total aggregate consideration that could exceed $1 billion. From 1997 to 2011, Mr. Butler held various positions at Genzyme Corporation, including President of the rare genetic diseases business and leading the renal division, growing it to $1 billion in revenue. He also held sales and marketing positions at Amgen and Hoffmann-La Roche. Mr. Butler led Akebia's Initial Public Offering in 2014 and the 2018 merger with Keryx Biopharmaceuticals. He has also served on the boards of Zynerba Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Relypsa, Inc., and was Chairman of Keryx Biopharmaceuticals.

Erik Ostrowski, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Business Officer

Mr. Ostrowski was appointed Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Chief Business Officer in June 2024. Before joining Akebia, he served as President, Interim Chief Executive Officer, and Chief Financial Officer at Avrobio, where he led the execution of its merger with Tectonic Therapeutic. Prior to Avrobio, Mr. Ostrowski was Chief Financial Officer of Summit Therapeutics, where he led its initial public offering on Nasdaq. He also has over ten years of experience in investment banking, including at Leerink Partners and Robertson Stephens.

Steven K. Burke, M.D., Senior Vice President, Chief Research & Development Officer

Dr. Burke serves as Senior Vice President, Chief Research & Development Officer. His background includes significant experience in research and development within the biopharmaceutical industry.

Kimberly Garko, Senior Vice President, Chief Technical Officer

Ms. Garko is the Senior Vice President, Chief Technical Officer. She is responsible for the technical operations of Akebia Therapeutics.

Nicholas Grund, Senior Vice President, Chief Commercial Officer

Mr. Grund holds the position of Senior Vice President, Chief Commercial Officer. He is responsible for Akebia's commercial strategy and operations.

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  1. Regulatory and Commercial Limitations of Vafseo (Vadadustat)

    Akebia Therapeutics' lead product, Vafseo (vadadustat), received a limited approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in March 2024 for the treatment of anemia due to chronic kidney disease (CKD) exclusively in adult patients on dialysis. This approval came with a boxed warning highlighting an increased risk of death, myocardial infarction, stroke, venous thromboembolism, and thrombosis of vascular access. Furthermore, in November 2025, Akebia announced a strategic decision to discontinue its efforts to gain a broader label for Vafseo for non-dialysis CKD patients, citing a misalignment with the FDA regarding the VALOR trial. This decision significantly constrains the drug's market potential to the dialysis setting, limiting its overall revenue-generating capacity and future growth opportunities.
  2. Intense Competition and Limited Market Expansion

    Even within its approved indication for dialysis patients, Vafseo faces substantial competition from existing and new therapies in the hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase (HIF-PH) inhibitor class, including daprodustat (Jesduvroq), which was approved by the FDA prior to Vafseo. The decision to cease pursuit of the non-dialysis CKD market for Vafseo further restricts Akebia's ability to expand its market share and diversify its revenue streams, leaving it highly dependent on a competitive and segment-limited market.
  3. Ongoing Financial Losses and Need for Additional Capital

    Akebia Therapeutics has a history of accumulating significant operating losses, and its path to sustained profitability remains challenging. Financial reports indicate negative pre-tax and total profit margins as of November 2025. The company also carries a high total debt-to-equity ratio and significant leverage. There is an ongoing risk that Akebia may need to raise additional capital to fund its operations and pipeline development, which could lead to further dilution for existing shareholders or require the company to enter into unfavorable financing agreements.

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The clear emerging threat for Akebia Therapeutics (AKBA) is the U.S. market dominance established by **GSK's Jesduvroq (daprodustat)**. Jesduvroq is an oral hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase (HIF-PH) inhibitor, the same novel class of drugs as Akebia's Vafseo (vadadustat). Jesduvroq received FDA approval in February 2023 for the treatment of anemia due to chronic kidney disease (CKD) in adult patients on dialysis in the United States. In contrast, Akebia's vadadustat received a Complete Response Letter from the FDA in March 2022, effectively denying its approval in the U.S. due to safety concerns. This means GSK has secured a significant first-mover advantage and is the only approved HIF-PH inhibitor available in the crucial U.S. market, thereby directly competing with and largely precluding Akebia's core product (vadadustat) from its largest potential market.

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Akebia Therapeutics (symbol: AKBA) focuses on developing and commercializing therapies for patients with kidney disease, with its main products being Vafseo (vadadustat) and Auryxia (ferric citrate). The addressable markets for their main products are as follows: * **Vafseo (vadadustat):** * For the treatment of anemia due to chronic kidney disease (CKD) in adult patients on dialysis, the estimated U.S. dialysis market potential is approximately $1 billion. * For the potential expansion into the non-dialysis CKD market for anemic patients, this represents approximately 550,000 patients with Stage 4 and 5 CKD in the U.S. This market is considered a "potentially 4x to 5x larger addressable market than the dialysis market", with a potential price point of around $10,000+ per patient per year in the U.S. * In Europe (EU5), there is a potential multi-billion Euro opportunity, encompassing approximately 203,000 dialysis-dependent patients and at least 300,000 non-dialysis-dependent patients treated with erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs). * **Auryxia (ferric citrate):** * Auryxia is approved and marketed in the U.S. for two indications: the control of serum phosphorus levels in adult patients with dialysis-dependent CKD and the treatment of iron deficiency anemia in adult patients with non-dialysis-dependent CKD. While the search results highlight its market presence and competition within the hyperphosphatemia market in the U.S., a specific overall addressable market size in dollar figures for Auryxia was not identified.

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Akebia Therapeutics (AKBA) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors related to its primary products, Vafseo and Auryxia, as well as pipeline expansion.

  1. Accelerated U.S. Adoption and Market Penetration of Vafseo (vadadustat)
    Vafseo, launched in the U.S. in the first quarter of 2025, has shown strong initial performance, exceeding revenue guidance with $12.0 million in net product revenue in Q1 2025 and $13.3 million in Q2 2025, representing a 55% sequential increase in demand sales. Akebia has secured commercial supply contracts with dialysis organizations covering nearly 100% of dialysis patients in the U.S. The company anticipates a significant expansion of Vafseo prescribing access, projecting an increase from approximately 40,000 patients at the end of Q2 2025 to over 75,000 by the end of Q3 2025, and further to over 275,000 patients by Q4 2025, bolstered by an operational pilot with major dialysis providers like DaVita.

  2. Vafseo Label Expansion to Non-Dialysis Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) Patients
    A significant future revenue driver is the potential expansion of Vafseo's label to include late-stage CKD patients who are not on dialysis. Akebia plans to initiate the Phase 3 VALOR clinical trial in the second half of 2025 to study vadadustat in this larger market segment. This expansion could unlock a substantial new patient population and drive considerable revenue growth beyond the current dialysis-dependent indication.

  3. Resilience and Continued Performance of Auryxia (ferric citrate)
    Despite losing IP exclusivity in March 2025, Auryxia has demonstrated unexpected resilience, with net product revenues increasing to $43.8 million in Q1 2025 (from $31.0 million in Q1 2024) and $47.2 million in Q2 2025 (from $41.2 million in Q2 2024). This sustained performance is attributed to the absence of significant generic approvals (only one authorized generic) and Auryxia qualifying for Transitional Drug Add-on Payment Adjustment (TDAPA) reimbursement. While future sales could be impacted by additional generic competition, Auryxia's strong current performance continues to contribute to Akebia's revenue stream.

  4. International Expansion of Vafseo and XOANACYL
    Vafseo's international presence is growing, with its recommendation by the United Kingdom's National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) in January 2025 for symptomatic anemia in adults undergoing dialysis for CKD. Akebia's partner, Medice, has subsequently launched Vafseo in the U.K. Additionally, the European Medicines Agency's Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use adopted a positive opinion in April 2025, recommending the approval of XOANACYL (Ferric Citrate as Coordination Complex) for treating elevated serum phosphorous and iron deficiency in adult CKD patients. These international approvals and launches represent opportunities for revenue growth outside the U.S.

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Share Issuance

  • In March 2025, Akebia Therapeutics priced an underwritten public offering of 25,000,000 shares of common stock at $2.00 per share, expecting to raise $50.0 million in gross proceeds.
  • In May 2020, the company announced an upsized underwritten public offering of 11,000,000 shares of common stock at a price of $12.00 per share, with expected gross proceeds of $132,000,000.
  • Akebia granted stock options to newly hired employees as inducement awards, including 51,825 options in October 2025 and 47,000 options in July 2024.

Capital Expenditures

  • Akebia Therapeutics reported capital expenditures of $0.32 million in 2020, $0.06 million in 2021, and $0.11 million in 2022.
  • The company's capital expenditures were $0.00 million in 2023 and $0.03 million in 2024.
  • As of June 30, 2025, capital expenditures amounted to $0.15 million.

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Trade Ideas

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Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
21.4%21.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.4%-7.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
18.0%18.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.9%3.9%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-5.1%

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Peer Comparisons for Akebia Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AKBAHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameAkebia T.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price1.6623.3024.36305.0978.02273.0051.19
Mkt Cap0.421.932.5284.9308.64,068.5158.7
Rev LTM22555,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM183,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM322,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg-272,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM323,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg-273,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

AKBAHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameAkebia T.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM32.5%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.7%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%2.2%
Rev Chg Q57.0%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%9.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM10.5%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM7.9%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%12.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-13.0%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM7.5%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM14.4%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%17.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-15.8%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%17.1%
FCF/Rev LTM14.3%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%16.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-15.8%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%12.1%

Valuation

AKBAHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameAkebia T.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap0.421.932.5284.9308.64,068.5158.7
P/S2.00.40.94.45.310.03.2
P/EBIT40.26.819.825.122.431.223.8
P/E-27.68.7569.736.029.941.033.0
P/CFO13.65.911.121.122.537.517.3
Total Yield-3.6%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-14.9%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%5.7%
D/E0.10.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E-0.30.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

AKBAHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameAkebia T.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn5.1%-3.5%12.1%-1.1%1.4%-2.1%0.1%
3M Rtn-39.4%-11.7%2.1%7.9%16.8%7.0%4.5%
6M Rtn-54.5%-3.9%33.8%6.6%15.0%36.1%10.8%
12M Rtn-14.9%-26.9%15.5%40.5%34.3%7.3%11.4%
3Y Rtn228.2%-3.6%66.4%141.3%79.3%113.8%96.6%
1M Excs Rtn3.3%-5.5%12.3%-2.2%-0.2%-3.9%-1.2%
3M Excs Rtn-43.7%-16.0%-2.2%3.6%12.5%2.7%0.2%
6M Excs Rtn-66.8%-16.1%21.6%-5.7%2.8%23.8%-1.4%
12M Excs Rtn-26.3%-42.8%-1.3%25.0%19.7%-8.5%-4.9%
3Y Excs Rtn213.8%-83.5%-11.7%59.6%-1.4%28.2%13.4%

FDA Approved Drugs Data

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Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
NDA215192  VAFSEOvadadustattablet3272024-58.7%-41.1%-13.8%-25.9%-25.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Developing and commercializing innovative therapeutics195    
License, collaboration and other revenue 11671166224
Product revenue, net 177142129111
Total195292214295335


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Developing and commercializing innovative therapeutics-46    
Total-46    


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Developing and commercializing innovative therapeutics-52    
Total-52    


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$1.66 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.4 
First Trading Date03/20/2014 
Distance from 52W High-58.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$1.96$2.69
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-15.3%-38.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility91.8%85.1%
Downside Capture209.71203.37
Upside Capture-72.81156.48
Correlation (SPY)14.7%25.1%
AKBA Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.090.991.031.421.111.41
Up Beta-6.530.840.801.640.611.19
Down Beta-0.481.821.480.990.841.43
Up Capture-83%-143%-108%19%197%803%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days9202759121363
Down Capture274%196%221%226%141%107%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days10203462115351

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of AKBA With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 AKBASector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-9.3%15.1%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.2%
Annualized Volatility84.5%17.2%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.280.650.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 23.7%25.1%-0.9%5.8%29.5%26.0%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of AKBA With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 AKBASector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-11.8%8.4%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility91.8%14.5%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.6%
Sharpe Ratio0.330.400.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 18.8%27.2%-0.5%3.4%25.3%20.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of AKBA With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 AKBASector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-17.7%9.9%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility84.1%16.6%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.210.490.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 27.4%31.5%0.1%10.9%23.4%15.2%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity34,581,801
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-3.7%
Average Daily Volume3,351,672
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.32
Basic Shares Quantity264,786,432
Short % of Basic Shares13.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/2025-18.1%-18.1%-20.1%
8/7/2025-20.5%-12.8%-21.8%
3/13/2025-12.4%47.2%-19.7%
11/7/2024-6.8%-4.0%2.5%
8/8/20247.2%21.6%21.6%
3/14/202424.1%48.9%1.5%
11/8/2023-11.9%-5.5%7.3%
8/25/2023-8.0%11.2%-9.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive488
# Negative151111
Median Positive14.8%14.4%11.4%
Median Negative-8.0%-12.8%-21.8%
Max Positive24.1%48.9%26.6%
Max Negative-22.3%-37.5%-75.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023828202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022310202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Malabre Richard CSVP, Chief Accounting Officer6052025Sell3.5313,33447,069942,206Form
1Butler John P.CEO and President3042025Sell1.8346,40984,9284,680,995Form
2Burke Steven KeithSVP, Chief Medical Officer3042025Sell1.837,14413,0741,480,635Form