DaVita (DVA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $118.24 | Market Cap: $8.5 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Services
DaVita (DVA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $118.24Market Cap: $8.5 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Geriatric Care, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Geriatric Care, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DVA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
DaVita (DVA) experienced a stock price decline of approximately 14.7% between September 2024 and October 2024, with its adjusted price moving from $163.93 in September 2024 to $139.81 in October 2024. This movement can be attributed to several key factors, primarily stemming from its third-quarter 2024 earnings report and associated operational challenges.
1. DaVita's third-quarter 2024 earnings per share (EPS) missed analysts' expectations. The company reported an EPS of $2.59, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.76 by $0.17 when results were released on October 29, 2024.
2. Operational disruptions caused by hurricanes impacted DaVita's business. During the third-quarter 2024 earnings call in October 2024, management confirmed that Hurricanes Helene and Milton affected operations, leading to a temporary halt in new patient starts on peritoneal dialysis (PD) and disruptions in key supply lines due to the closure of a Baxter facility.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DVA Return | 56% | -3% | -34% | 40% | 43% | -20% | 59% |
| Peers Return | 37% | 31% | -15% | -3% | 13% | 21% | 103% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DVA Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 57% | 48% | 47% | 53% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DVA Max Drawdown | -13% | -20% | -42% | -2% | -1% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -42% | -7% | -39% | -22% | -6% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HCA, UHS, HSIC, SEM, CYH. See DVA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DVA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -51.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 104.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 482 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -26.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 131 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 236 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -36.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 454 days | 1480 days |
Compare to HCA, UHS, HSIC, SEM, CYH
In The Past
DaVita's stock fell -51.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/4/2021. A -51.1% loss requires a 104.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DVA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| 10312023 | DVA | DaVita | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 80.0% | 82.9% | 0.0% |
| 12312018 | DVA | DaVita | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.0% | 45.8% | -15.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| 10312023 | DVA | DaVita | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 80.0% | 82.9% | 0.0% |
| 12312018 | DVA | DaVita | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.0% | 45.8% | -15.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for DaVita
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Valuation
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States (US) dialysis | 10,937 | 10,563 | |||
| Other - Ancillary services | 1,299 | 972 | |||
| Elimination of intersegment revenues | -96 | -146 | |||
| Total | 12,140 | 11,388 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States (US) dialysis | 1,775 | 1,925 | |||
| Other - Ancillary services | -9 | -189 | |||
| Corporate administrative support | -163 | -92 | |||
| Total | 1,603 | 1,643 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10312022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
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