Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -10%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 126%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Key risks
DVA key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on government reimbursement policies for approximately two-thirds of its revenue and [2] a persistent failure to meet its treatment volume targets.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Geriatric Care, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 13%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Geriatric Care, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -10%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 126%
7 Key risks
DVA key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on government reimbursement policies for approximately two-thirds of its revenue and [2] a persistent failure to meet its treatment volume targets.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DVA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the approximate 14% stock movement for DaVita (DVA) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss

On October 29, 2025, DaVita reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, revealing that its non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $2.51 fell significantly short of analyst consensus estimates of $3.25, representing an approximate 23% miss. This substantial earnings shortfall triggered a negative market reaction. 2. Lower Treatment Volumes and Margin Pressures

During Q3 2025, DaVita experienced a decrease in U.S. dialysis treatment volumes, with a per-day decline of 0.5% compared to the second quarter of 2025. Management attributed this underperformance primarily to factors such as a severe flu season, the impact of Hurricane Helene, and ongoing disruptions from a prior cybersecurity incident. Additionally, the company noted an increase in patient care costs per treatment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DVA Return56%-3%-34%40%43%-21%57%
Peers Return-16%-1%16%18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DVA Win Rate58%50%50%67%67%33% 
Peers Win Rate52%45%48%58%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DVA Max Drawdown-13%-20%-42%-2%-1%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-19%-9%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HCA, EHC, SEM, CYH, PRVA. See DVA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDVAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-51.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven104.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven482 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-26.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven131 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven236 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-36.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven57.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven454 days1,480 days

Compare to HCA, UHS, HSIC, SEM, CYH


In The Past

DaVita's stock fell -51.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/4/2021. A -51.1% loss requires a 104.5% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About DaVita (DVA)

Better Bets than DaVita (DVA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DVA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
DVA_10312023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312023DVADaVitaDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
80.0%82.9%0.0%
DVA_12312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312018DVADaVitaDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.0%45.8%-15.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
DVA_10312023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312023DVADaVitaDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
80.0%82.9%0.0%
DVA_12312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312018DVADaVitaDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.0%45.8%-15.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for DaVita

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DVAHCAEHCSEMCYHPRVAMedian
NameDaVita HCA Heal.Encompas.Select M.Communit.Privia H. 
Mkt Price118.42471.85108.7815.013.2023.9266.35
Mkt Cap8.5112.910.91.80.42.95.7
Rev LTM13,31872,6985,7965,36912,6442,0439,220
Op Inc LTM1,94011,0781,0022931,082281,042
FCF LTM1,2927,292403174143111288
FCF 3Y Avg1,3415,704304239-7485272
CFO LTM1,89311,9351,108408493111801
CFO 3Y Avg1,92410,45195246532585708

Growth & Margins

DVAHCAEHCSEMCYHPRVAMedian
NameDaVita HCA Heal.Encompas.Select M.Communit.Privia H. 
Rev Chg LTM5.1%6.4%11.1%45.3%0.7%19.0%8.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.6%6.6%10.9%-0.6%0.9%17.4%5.6%
Rev Chg Q4.8%6.4%9.4%7.2%-0.1%32.5%6.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%1.6%2.2%1.7%-0.0%7.5%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM14.6%15.2%17.3%5.5%8.6%1.4%11.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.9%15.0%16.1%4.3%7.3%1.2%10.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%0.1%0.2%0.2%1.6%0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM14.2%16.4%19.1%7.6%3.9%5.4%10.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.3%15.4%18.1%10.5%2.6%4.7%12.9%
FCF/Rev LTM9.7%10.0%6.9%3.2%1.1%5.4%6.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.6%8.4%5.8%5.6%-0.6%4.7%5.7%

Valuation

DVAHCAEHCSEMCYHPRVAMedian
NameDaVita HCA Heal.Encompas.Select M.Communit.Privia H. 
Mkt Cap8.5112.910.91.80.42.95.7
P/S0.71.42.20.30.01.51.1
P/EBIT4.99.312.54.80.3108.47.1
P/E12.417.123.614.11.3168.315.6
P/CFO5.18.511.53.80.927.66.8
Total Yield8.1%6.5%4.8%9.7%76.6%0.6%7.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%0.5%2.6%0.0%0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.0%6.4%3.2%8.5%-20.8%3.3%4.8%
D/E1.30.50.21.826.20.00.9
Net D/E1.30.40.21.825.9-0.10.9

Returns

DVAHCAEHCSEMCYHPRVAMedian
NameDaVita HCA Heal.Encompas.Select M.Communit.Privia H. 
1M Rtn1.0%-1.0%-2.9%17.8%6.3%3.0%2.0%
3M Rtn-7.5%18.3%-12.3%22.9%8.5%7.7%8.1%
6M Rtn-12.8%25.6%-8.9%1.6%-3.3%9.7%-0.9%
12M Rtn-19.8%54.5%12.9%-20.1%-0.3%15.1%6.3%
3Y Rtn63.5%102.3%93.3%16.3%-16.0%0.5%39.9%
1M Excs Rtn0.2%-1.7%-3.6%17.1%5.6%2.3%1.3%
3M Excs Rtn-10.4%16.5%-14.4%18.0%2.5%4.5%3.5%
6M Excs Rtn-25.2%13.2%-21.3%-10.8%-15.7%-2.7%-13.3%
12M Excs Rtn-33.5%40.4%0.4%-32.7%-18.9%3.0%-9.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-10.3%31.2%28.2%-50.3%-77.0%-69.1%-30.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
United States (US) dialysis10,937   10,563
Other - Ancillary services1,299   972
Elimination of intersegment revenues-96   -146
Total12,140   11,388


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
United States (US) dialysis1,775   1,925
Other - Ancillary services-9   -189
Corporate administrative support-163   -92
Total1,603   1,643


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,279,920
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.0%
Average Daily Volume1,228,947
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.92
Basic Shares Quantity72,075,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-6.2%-4.3%-5.8%
8/5/2025-9.0%-6.0%-3.5%
5/12/2025-0.3%0.4%-4.3%
2/13/2025-11.1%-19.6%-15.7%
10/29/2024-10.8%-7.1%4.6%
8/6/2024-2.2%6.5%8.6%
5/2/2024-5.5%-3.0%2.4%
2/13/20248.6%6.4%19.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121413
# Negative131112
Median Positive6.4%6.6%6.2%
Median Negative-6.2%-7.1%-7.7%
Max Positive12.9%15.0%32.0%
Max Negative-27.1%-29.2%-25.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021