Tearsheet

Sturm Ruger (RGR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $31.42 | Market Cap: $503.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Products

Sturm Ruger (RGR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $31.42
Market Cap: $503.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Leisure Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.8%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 519x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 268x
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.1%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.0%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Personal Safety & Security, and Outdoor & Recreational Lifestyles. Themes include Firearms for Self-Defense, and Hunting & Sport Shooting Equipment.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.1%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Personal Safety & Security, and Outdoor & Recreational Lifestyles. Themes include Firearms for Self-Defense, and Hunting & Sport Shooting Equipment.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106%
6 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.8%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 519x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 268x
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.0%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RGR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Sturm Ruger (RGR) experienced a negative movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, with several factors contributing to this decline.

1. Q3 2025 Pre-Tax Loss and Decreased Diluted EPS: Sturm Ruger reported a pre-tax loss of $2.1 million in the third quarter of 2025, a significant decline from the previous year. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) also decreased substantially to $0.10 in Q3 2025, down from $0.28 in Q3 2024. This suggests a weakening financial performance that would negatively impact investor sentiment.

2. Increased Costs and Downturn in the Firearms Market: The company faced increased costs related to materials, technology, and sales promotions. This coincided with a downturn in the overall firearms market, which saw a decline of 10% to 15% in 2025. These combined factors likely pressured profitability and contributed to the stock's decrease.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RGR Return50%9%-15%-8%-21%-12%-11%
Peers Return21%23%-25%28%-5%22%65%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RGR Win Rate67%42%42%58%25%60% 
Peers Win Rate65%57%33%50%48%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RGR Max Drawdown-12%-3%-24%-12%-23%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-2%-33%-8%-17%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HAS, BC, MAT, THO, GOLF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRGRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-51.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven218 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-42.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven281 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-79.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven392.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven858 days1480 days

Compare to HAS, BC, MAT, THO, GOLF


In The Past

Sturm Ruger's stock fell -51.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/30/2021. A -51.6% loss requires a 106.6% gain to breakeven.

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About Sturm Ruger (RGR)

Better Bets than Sturm Ruger (RGR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RGR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sturm Ruger

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RGRHASBCMATTHOGOLFMedian
NameSturm Ru.Hasbro BrunswickMattel Thor Ind.Acushnet  
Mkt Price31.4482.4770.1121.2399.7683.7876.29
Mkt Cap0.511.64.66.75.35.05.1
Rev LTM5414,3575,1845,2289,5792,5274,770
Op Inc LTM-4833293564299312306
FCF LTM43550589488455110472
FCF 3Y Avg32525402546545161464
CFO LTM59750736659578194618
CFO 3Y Avg52725623728702268662

Growth & Margins

RGRHASBCMATTHOGOLFMedian
NameSturm Ru.Hasbro BrunswickMattel Thor Ind.Acushnet  
Rev Chg LTM3.9%0.8%-4.8%-2.4%-4.6%4.2%-0.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.0%-10.7%-7.7%-3.4%-15.4%4.1%-5.9%
Rev Chg Q3.7%8.3%6.8%-5.9%-0.4%6.0%4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%2.5%1.7%-2.0%-0.1%1.5%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM-0.8%19.1%5.6%10.8%3.1%12.4%8.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.3%11.6%9.4%11.0%4.2%12.5%10.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.3%0.4%-0.5%-1.8%-0.3%0.3%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM10.9%17.2%14.2%12.6%6.0%7.7%11.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.6%16.0%10.9%13.8%6.8%10.9%10.9%
FCF/Rev LTM7.9%12.6%11.4%9.3%4.7%4.4%8.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.9%11.7%7.1%10.3%5.2%6.6%6.9%

Valuation

RGRHASBCMATTHOGOLFMedian
NameSturm Ru.Hasbro BrunswickMattel Thor Ind.Acushnet  
Mkt Cap0.511.64.66.75.35.05.1
P/S1.32.40.81.00.51.91.2
P/EBIT518.5-40.4-32.08.813.614.211.2
P/E267.9-19.1-17.412.318.221.115.2
P/CFO11.914.25.68.18.124.310.0
Total Yield2.0%-1.6%-3.0%8.1%5.5%5.9%3.7%
Dividend Yield1.6%3.7%2.7%0.0%0.0%1.2%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.3%5.2%8.4%8.6%10.6%4.0%6.8%
D/E0.00.30.60.50.20.20.3
Net D/E-0.10.30.50.40.10.20.2

Returns

RGRHASBCMATTHOGOLFMedian
NameSturm Ru.Hasbro BrunswickMattel Thor Ind.Acushnet  
1M Rtn-23.8%9.7%6.8%15.1%-4.4%9.7%8.2%
3M Rtn-8.1%5.3%11.0%16.5%-7.8%12.5%8.2%
6M Rtn-11.5%28.3%29.8%13.8%17.3%18.5%17.9%
12M Rtn-15.0%31.3%-9.3%12.9%-5.9%15.7%3.5%
3Y Rtn-40.6%49.4%1.4%14.4%17.5%85.6%16.0%
1M Excs Rtn-23.8%9.8%6.8%15.2%-4.3%9.7%8.3%
3M Excs Rtn-15.2%-1.8%2.5%8.5%-15.6%4.6%0.3%
6M Excs Rtn-26.3%13.6%15.1%-0.9%2.6%3.7%3.2%
12M Excs Rtn-29.6%18.1%-24.0%-1.9%-22.1%2.5%-12.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-105.9%-19.7%-69.5%-54.1%-48.7%24.8%-51.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Firearms229223188174164
Corporate159250240162174
Castings1112141211
Total399485442348349


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,176,725
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120257.4%
Average Daily Volume267,569
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.40
Basic Shares Quantity16,031,340
Short % of Basic Shares7.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023503202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022803202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022504202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0ROSENTHAL AMIR 11172025Sell30.9650015,480620,717Form
1Pettet Bruce T. 8132025Buy33.1050016,550218,659Form
2Killoy Christopher John 6102025Sell37.018,583317,6161,537,903Form
3Colbert Sarah FVP, Gen Counsel, & Corp Secy6032025Sell35.808,000286,38420,190Form
4Lowney TimothyVP of Operations5082025Buy33.372,20073,414296,125Form