Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance (REFI)


Market Price (10/15/2026): $9.125 | Market Cap: $193.8 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance (REFI)


Market Price (10/15/2026): $9.125
Market Cap: $193.8 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Mortgage REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 36%, Dividend Yield is 21%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 32%, FCF Yield is 14%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Cannabis Industry Growth. Themes include Private Credit, and Cannabis Finance & Real Estate.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -84%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 65%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14%

Key risks
REFI key risks include [1] its dependence on the cannabis industry, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 36%, Dividend Yield is 21%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 32%, FCF Yield is 14%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Cannabis Industry Growth. Themes include Private Credit, and Cannabis Finance & Real Estate.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -84%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 65%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14%
7 Key risks
REFI key risks include [1] its dependence on the cannabis industry, Show more.

REFI in ETFs

Weight = REFI's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
IWM0.01%
VTWO0.01%
IWN0.00%
IWV0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 10/12/2026

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance (REFI) stock has lost about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance reported a significant miss on its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings, announced on August 11, 2026. The company reported diluted distributable earnings of $0.43 per share, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.48 per share by $0.05, representing a 10.42% negative surprise. Furthermore, fiscal Q2 2026 net income declined to $7.5 million, or $0.34 per share, from $8.9 million, or $0.41 per share, in the prior-year quarter. The reported basic distributable earnings of $0.44 per share were also below the declared quarterly dividend of $0.47 per share. This was partially attributed to the timing of capital deployment, with repayments occurring earlier and new deployments later in the period. Additionally, the current expected credit loss reserve increased to $9.4 million as of June 30, 2026, up from $5.1 million at December 31, 2025, indicating higher provisioning.

2. The company experienced significant share dilution in early fiscal Q3 2026 due to the Koach financing transaction. On July 9, 2026, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance issued approximately 4.3 million new common shares at $14.53 per share, representing about 16.8% of post-issuance shares outstanding. These shares were exchanged for approximately $62.5 million of second-lien notes. While this transaction was part of a broader strategic move, including a pending merger with Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. expected to close in fiscal Q4 2026, the substantial increase in the fully diluted share count could have put downward pressure on the stock price by diluting existing shareholder value.

Show more
Updated on 10/12/2026

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance (REFI) stock has lost about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance reported a significant miss on its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings, announced on August 11, 2026. The company reported diluted distributable earnings of $0.43 per share, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.48 per share by $0.05, representing a 10.42% negative surprise. Furthermore, fiscal Q2 2026 net income declined to $7.5 million, or $0.34 per share, from $8.9 million, or $0.41 per share, in the prior-year quarter. The reported basic distributable earnings of $0.44 per share were also below the declared quarterly dividend of $0.47 per share. This was partially attributed to the timing of capital deployment, with repayments occurring earlier and new deployments later in the period. Additionally, the current expected credit loss reserve increased to $9.4 million as of June 30, 2026, up from $5.1 million at December 31, 2025, indicating higher provisioning.

2. The company experienced significant share dilution in early fiscal Q3 2026 due to the Koach financing transaction. On July 9, 2026, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance issued approximately 4.3 million new common shares at $14.53 per share, representing about 16.8% of post-issuance shares outstanding. These shares were exchanged for approximately $62.5 million of second-lien notes. While this transaction was part of a broader strategic move, including a pending merger with Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. expected to close in fiscal Q4 2026, the substantial increase in the fully diluted share count could have put downward pressure on the stock price by diluting existing shareholder value.

3. Macroeconomic headwinds, specifically the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike in fiscal Q3 2026, contributed to a challenging environment for real estate finance companies. On September 16, 2026, the Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate by 0.25%. This move by the Fed generally increases borrowing costs across the economy and can negatively impact real estate investment trusts (REITs) like REFI, which are sensitive to interest rate changes. The broader commercial real estate market in fiscal Q3 2026 faced ongoing concerns about elevated interest rates and inflation, with capital markets remaining cautious. Mortgage rates also trended higher, further reflecting the tightening monetary policy.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -10.8% change in REFI stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -5.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)630202610142026Change
Stock Price ($)10.259.14-10.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5553-3.6%
Net Income Margin (%)55.6%55.0%-1.0%
P/E Multiple7.06.6-5.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2121-0.8%
Cumulative Contribution-10.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 10/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
REFI-10.8% 
Market (SPY)3.1%14.5%
Sector (XLF)1.7%8.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -11.8% change in REFI stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -15.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)331202610142026Change
Stock Price ($)10.369.14-11.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5653-3.8%
Net Income Margin (%)64.8%55.0%-15.1%
P/E Multiple6.16.68.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2121-0.8%
Cumulative Contribution-11.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 10/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
REFI-11.8% 
Market (SPY)18.6%16.4%
Sector (XLF)10.8%12.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -15.5% change in REFI stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -19.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)930202510142026Change
Stock Price ($)10.829.14-15.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5653-4.5%
Net Income Margin (%)68.0%55.0%-19.0%
P/E Multiple6.06.610.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2121-1.1%
Cumulative Contribution-15.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 10/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
REFI-15.5% 
Market (SPY)16.5%28.6%
Sector (XLF)2.4%30.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -3.3% change in REFI stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -14.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)930202310142026Change
Stock Price ($)9.459.14-3.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5653-5.0%
Net Income Margin (%)64.6%55.0%-14.9%
P/E Multiple4.76.640.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1821-14.8%
Cumulative Contribution-3.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 10/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
REFI-3.3% 
Market (SPY)86.2%33.0%
Sector (XLF)71.6%36.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
REFI Return1%3%24%9%-9%-15%8%
Peers Return16%-20%20%4%22%-20%14%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
REFI Win Rate100%50%67%42%33%30% 
Peers Win Rate55%50%53%60%63%36% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
REFI Max Drawdown--26%-18%-10%-18%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-37%-29%-13%-18%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NLY, AGNC, RITM, STWD, BXMT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/14/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventREFIS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-13.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.4%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven56 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-12.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven20 days427 days

Compare to NLY, AGNC, RITM, STWD, BXMT

In The Past

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance's stock fell -3.9% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 4.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

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Compare to NLY, AGNC, RITM, STWD, BXMT

In The Past

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance's stock fell -3.9% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 4.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance (REFI)

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) is a commercial real estate finance company with a distinct specialization. The company's core business involves originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and other structured financings that are secured by commercial real estate properties. REFI distinguishes itself by primarily serving state-licensed operators and property owners within the rapidly developing cannabis industry.

The company's main offerings are senior loans, which provide critical capital to its target customers in the cannabis sector for their real estate needs. These loans are backed by the underlying commercial properties. As an added aspect of its corporate structure, REFI has elected to be taxed as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), which means it aims to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to stockholders to avoid federal corporate income taxes.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Annaly Capital Management (NLY) for cannabis real estate.

Starwood Property Trust (STWD) for cannabis properties.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • First Mortgage Loans: Provides primary debt financing secured by commercial real estate properties.
  • Alternative Structured Financings: Offers customized debt solutions beyond standard mortgages, also secured by commercial real estate properties.
  • Senior Loans to Cannabis Industry: Specializes in providing senior debt to state-licensed cannabis operators and property owners.
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Tony Cappell Co-Chief Executive Officer

Tony Cappell is a Co-founder of Chicago Atlantic and Co-CEO of Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. He possesses over 15 years of experience as a debt investor in the specialty finance sector, having completed more than 150 deals totaling over $5 billion in credit. Before co-founding Chicago Atlantic, Mr. Cappell served as a Managing Director and Head of Underwriting at Stonegate Capital, a private credit investment firm, where he was responsible for credit, underwriting, and the growth strategy of the loan portfolio for lower middle market businesses and emerging brands. His earlier career included roles as a Senior Underwriter at First Midwest Bank and Gibraltar Business Capital.

Peter Sack Co-Chief Executive Officer

Peter Sack is a Managing Partner at Chicago Atlantic and Co-CEO of Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. He is a credit investor and portfolio manager with experience investing across the capital structure. Prior to joining Chicago Atlantic, Mr. Sack was a Principal at BC Partners Credit, where he was involved in sourcing and underwriting across opportunistic and senior lending strategies in various industries, including cannabis-related direct lending. He also managed the portfolio of BC Partners Lending Corporation, a private business development company. Previously, he was an Associate at Atlas Holdings LLC, a private equity firm focused on supporting distressed manufacturing and distribution companies globally. Mr. Sack also serves as Chief Executive Officer of Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc.

Phil Silverman Chief Financial Officer

Phil Silverman serves as the Chief Financial Officer of Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. He is a licensed Certified Public Accountant with over 10 years of finance and accounting experience, specializing in financial reporting, operations, and internal controls for investment management firms. Mr. Silverman was Interim Chief Financial Officer from September 2022 until March 2024, before being appointed CFO in March 2024. From June 2021 to September 2022, he held the positions of Controller of the Company and CFO of Chicago Atlantic Group, L.P. Before Chicago Atlantic, he spent nearly nine years at BDO USA, LLP, as a Senior Manager in the Financial Services and Private Equity group, where he was responsible for audits of private equity and venture capital funds, business development companies, and other asset managers.

John Mazarakis Executive Chairman

John Mazarakis is a Partner at Chicago Atlantic and has served as Executive Chairman since the company's inception. He is an entrepreneur and operator with over 20 years of experience across real estate, retail, and hospitality sectors. Mr. Mazarakis has launched successful companies, built and operated more than 35 restaurants, developed a real estate portfolio exceeding 30 properties, completed over 1 million square feet of commercial real estate development, and executed multiple real estate financing transactions. He also successfully grew a distribution company from $12 million to over $90 million in annual sales in under two years.

Andreas Bodmeier, Ph.D. President

Andreas Bodmeier is a Partner of Chicago Atlantic and serves as President of Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. He brings over 15 years of experience in finance and analytics. Before joining Chicago Atlantic, Dr. Bodmeier co-founded a boutique technology and consulting firm specializing in FX and commodity risk management for multinational corporations, as well as advising on capital structure decisions and investor relations. He also co-founded an SEC-registered online investment adviser for retirement accounts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance (REFI), a commercial real estate finance company specializing in senior loans to state-licensed cannabis operators, faces several key risks inherent to its unique market. Here are the key risks to its business:
  1. Federal Illegality of Cannabis and Regulatory Uncertainty

    Despite state-level legalization, cannabis remains illegal at the federal level in the United States, creating significant legal and operational risks for REFI and its borrowers. Properties used for cannabis-related activities are technically subject to forfeiture by the U.S. government, which could render REFI's mortgage collateral unsecured. Additionally, federally regulated financial institutions are often hesitant to engage with cannabis businesses due to the risk of violating anti-money laundering laws, limiting traditional banking and financing options for REFI's clients and potentially affecting REFI's own access to capital. Any changes in federal or state cannabis regulations, whether favorable or unfavorable, introduce uncertainty and could significantly impact the market for cannabis properties and the operational viability of REFI's borrowers.

  2. Credit Risk and Borrower Defaults

    As a lender, REFI is directly exposed to the risk of its borrowers defaulting on their loans. The cannabis industry faces unique financial challenges, including intense competition that can compress business margins, thereby increasing the likelihood of borrower defaults. In the event of a default, the specialized nature of cannabis real estate can make it difficult to repurpose properties for non-cannabis uses, which could negatively impact the recovery value of collateral. REFI has noted ongoing "credit stress in spots," including loans that are non-accrual or have required workouts, indicating the presence of credit risk within its portfolio.

  3. Liquidity and Capital Availability

    REFI's ability to fund its robust loan pipeline and execute its growth strategy is contingent on sufficient liquidity and access to capital. The company has indicated "constrained liquidity relative to the pipeline," suggesting that limited available cash could restrict its capacity to fund new lending opportunities quickly. While REFI manages its debt and has a strong pipeline, a prolonged period of limited capital availability or increased borrowing costs could impede its ability to originate new loans and expand its business effectively.

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The clear emerging threat to Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance (REFI) is the potential for federal regulatory changes regarding cannabis, particularly the passage of legislation like the SAFE Banking Act or outright federal legalization. REFI currently thrives by providing financing to the cannabis industry, a sector largely underserved by traditional banks and financial institutions due to federal illegality. If federal legislation is enacted that allows traditional banks to service cannabis businesses without penalty or legalizes cannabis nationwide, these institutions would likely enter the market. This influx of traditional capital providers, often with lower costs of capital and broader service offerings, would significantly increase competition for REFI, potentially eroding its current competitive advantage, reducing loan yields, and impacting its market share.

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The addressable market for Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance (REFI) is primarily within the U.S. cannabis industry, focusing on real estate financing.

The cannabis real estate market in the U.S. represents a significant opportunity, estimated at approximately $100 billion. This market size is for the United States.

More broadly, the U.S. cannabis industry is projected to require between $65.6 billion and $130.7 billion in sustainable growth capital over the next decade to support new and existing cannabis businesses. Furthermore, the U.S. cannabis industry's retail revenue was estimated at $35 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $69 billion by 2031.

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Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance (REFI) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key factors:

  1. Expansion of Lending Opportunities within the Evolving Cannabis Industry: Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance specializes in providing senior loans to state-licensed operators and property owners in the cannabis industry. The company anticipates significant benefits from potential federal regulatory changes, such as the rescheduling of cannabis from Schedule I to Schedule III. This policy shift is expected to reduce punitive federal tax burdens, enhance access to capital, and increase investment opportunities for cannabis businesses, thereby expanding the addressable market and demand for REFI's specialized lending services. Management views these regulatory developments as encouraging progress for the industry, leading to a robust pipeline of investment opportunities in states like Maryland, Missouri, and Ohio.
  2. Execution on a Robust Investment Pipeline and New Loan Originations: The company consistently reports a substantial investment pipeline, which stood at approximately $616 million as of March 2026, indicating strong demand for its financing solutions. Management expresses confidence in its ability to execute on this pipeline, targeting net portfolio growth through new originations. This growth comes from both new borrowers and additional funding to existing portfolio companies, expanding its client base and deepening relationships within its niche market.
  3. Strategic Portfolio Structuring to Maintain High Yields Amidst Interest Rate Dynamics: Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance has strategically structured its loan portfolio to include a significant portion of fixed-rate loans or floating-rate loans with high interest rate floors. This approach insulates over 90% of its portfolio from potential interest rate declines, helping to preserve net interest income and maintain a consistent weighted-average portfolio yield, which was around 16.3% as of December 2025. By mitigating the adverse effects of declining interest rates, REFI aims to sustain its high-margin lending in cannabis real estate, thereby supporting stable revenue generation.

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Share Repurchases

  • Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance has not made significant share repurchases, with a reported buyback yield of 0.0% for the period of 2021-2024.

Share Issuance

  • In early 2023, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance issued 395,779 shares of common stock through a registered direct placement at a price of $15.16 per share, resulting in approximately $5.985 million in net proceeds.
  • As of December 31, 2025, there were approximately 21.5 million common shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis.
  • The company has a shelf registration capacity of $452.1 million for future offerings under a 2026 S-3 shelf.

Outbound Investments

  • Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance advanced approximately $79.4 million in gross loan principal during 2025.
  • The company's total loan principal outstanding reached $411.1 million across 26 portfolio companies as of December 31, 2025.
  • From January 1, 2026, to March 12, 2026, approximately $51.1 million in new gross loan principal was advanced, comprising $16.2 million to a new borrower and $34.9 million to existing borrowers.

Capital Expenditures

  • No specific dollar value information for capital expenditures is available over the last 3-5 years.

Peer Outperformance in Mortgage REITs

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Share of Mortgage REITs constituents that REFI has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
64%
of 36 industry peers · -12.3% return
3Y
51%
of 35 industry peers · -5.2% return
5Y
—
insufficient peer history
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Median price return by industry across the Financials sector, ranked by 5Y. Mortgage REITs is REFI's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Reinsurance 6 20.1%65.2%115.7% SPNT 172% · RNR 142% · RGA 141%
Diversified Banks 12 30.2%130.5%97.2% CM 142% · JPM 133% · RY 125%
Investment Banking & Brokerage 13 -5.0%100.3%93.3% IBKR 406% · SNEX 198% · HOOD 173%
Life & Health Insurance 20 12.8%52.5%84.5% JXN 486% · UNM 296% · MFC 178%
Multi-Sector Holdings 4 4.8%53.2%72.5% BRK-B 87% · VOYA 58% · JEF 36%
Property & Casualty Insurance 42 9.0%72.5%63.4% PGR 174% · TRV 162% · WRB 146%
Multi-line Insurance 9 7.3%64.8%57.9% GNW 105% · L 96% · AIZ 84%
Regional Banks 263 28.1%91.6%50.7% CBC 219% · FCNCA 153% · FBP 139%
Financial Exchanges & Data 15 3.5%44.0%30.2% VIRT 162% · CBOE 150% · CME 68%
Consumer Finance 30 6.4%86.2%24.2% ENVA 391% · EZPW 303% · FCFS 177%
Diversified Financial Services 4 -6.2%18.6%10.8% FRHC 174% · EQH 89%
Insurance Brokers 15 -20.9%-2.3%7.7% LIFE 317% · ARX 88% · AJG 55%
Asset Management & Custody Banks 82 -11.0%16.6%6.9% WT 330% · AAMI 255% · SII 255%
Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance 13 -58.4%15.9%-7.6% FNMA 384% · FMCC 341% · ACT 171%
Specialized Finance 3 11.8%35.4%-13.5% CACC -13% · HASI -17%
Mortgage REITs ← 33 -18.1%-5.3%-32.9% RITM 25% · DX 18% · AGNC 7%
Transaction & Payment Processing Services 17 2.4%-2.8%-43.2% V 85% · MA 82% · CPAY 55%
Diversified Capital Markets 20 -50.0%16.7%-62.3% LPLA 100% · TW 35% · RIOT -35%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

REFINLYAGNCRITMSTWDBXMTMedian
NameChicago .Annaly C.AGNC Inv.Rithm Ca.Starwood.Blacksto. 
Mkt Price9.1218.168.588.3712.3810.589.85
Mkt Cap0.213.49.94.74.51.84.6
Rev LTM533,1722,4013,3368126091,606
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM27-314886-1,886481353190
FCF 3Y Avg271,265420-1,292531367394
CFO LTM27886886-1,8811,091353620
CFO 3Y Avg272,157420-1,247752367394

Growth & Margins

REFINLYAGNCRITMSTWDBXMTMedian
NameChicago .Annaly C.AGNC Inv.Rithm Ca.Starwood.Blacksto. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.5%238.3%384.1%19.4%1.8%25.7%22.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.7%231.2%252.2%14.7%-10.0%-2.6%6.5%
Rev Chg Q-13.6%705.6%710.7%8.5%-5.7%18.1%13.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.6%32.7%49.6%2.0%-1.2%4.1%3.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM-------
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM50.4%27.9%36.9%-56.4%134.4%57.9%43.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg49.1%-37.7%-43.5%89.9%65.6%49.1%
FCF/Rev LTM50.4%-9.9%36.9%-56.5%59.3%57.9%43.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg49.1%-37.7%-45.3%62.8%65.6%49.1%

Valuation

REFINLYAGNCRITMSTWDBXMTMedian
NameChicago .Annaly C.AGNC Inv.Rithm Ca.Starwood.Blacksto. 
Mkt Cap0.213.49.94.74.51.84.6
P/S3.64.24.11.45.62.93.9
P/Op Inc-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E6.64.54.410.019.9115.88.3
P/CFO7.215.111.2-2.54.25.16.1
Total Yield36.1%37.6%40.3%24.4%20.5%18.7%30.3%
Dividend Yield20.9%15.6%17.6%14.5%15.4%17.9%16.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.0%13.4%4.0%-24.4%8.5%13.8%9.2%
D/E0.72.80.07.73.18.83.0
Net D/E0.72.8-0.06.33.08.62.9

Returns

REFINLYAGNCRITMSTWDBXMTMedian
NameChicago .Annaly C.AGNC Inv.Rithm Ca.Starwood.Blacksto. 
1M Rtn-11.9%-13.7%-13.9%-11.9%-17.0%-16.5%-13.8%
3M Rtn-11.0%-18.6%-21.5%-6.7%-23.1%-35.7%-20.0%
6M Rtn-16.6%-13.9%-14.5%-13.1%-27.3%-43.8%-15.5%
12M Rtn-13.5%0.3%-1.8%-14.8%-26.3%-36.0%-14.2%
3Y Rtn-5.1%55.6%51.8%21.1%-10.5%-30.2%8.0%
1M Excs Rtn-15.6%-14.8%-15.7%-12.9%-18.6%-20.2%-15.6%
3M Excs Rtn-15.7%-23.1%-25.9%-12.3%-28.7%-40.4%-24.5%
6M Excs Rtn-27.7%-25.1%-25.6%-24.3%-38.5%-55.0%-26.7%
12M Excs Rtn-29.4%-17.4%-18.9%-31.1%-43.0%-52.3%-30.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-84.1%-29.1%-33.2%-60.4%-91.5%-110.5%-72.3%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Single Segment56555749
Total56555749


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$9.14 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.2 
First Trading Date12/08/2021 
Distance from 52W High-19.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$10.06$10.40
DMA Trendindeterminateindeterminate
Distance from DMA-9.1%-12.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility19.7%23.5%
Downside Capture83.7884.17
Upside Capture10.9155.84
Correlation (S&P 500)17.7%28.9%
REFI Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.080.260.350.340.540.45
Up Beta-1.62-0.33-0.260.000.180.28
Down Beta0.25-0.260.63-0.010.410.39
Up Capture16%69%39%37%52%22%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days12253365124377
Down Capture44%13%62%80%88%85%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days10173157119349

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with REFI
REFI-12.0%23.5%-0.61-
Sector ETF (XLF)4.8%14.6%0.0929.5%
Equity (SPY)17.1%12.7%0.9627.2%
Gold (GLD)-0.6%29.4%-0.028.5%
Commodities (DBC)49.3%20.7%1.82-15.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%13.7%0.1534.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.9%43.7%-0.6316.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with REFI
REFI1.7%24.2%0.03-
Sector ETF (XLF)8.9%18.3%0.3530.8%
Equity (SPY)13.6%17.1%0.6028.7%
Gold (GLD)17.9%18.9%0.768.7%
Commodities (DBC)10.0%19.5%0.393.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.2%18.8%-0.0536.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.5%51.8%0.3412.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with REFI
REFI0.8%24.2%0.03-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.0%22.1%0.5330.8%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7328.7%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.4%0.608.7%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%18.1%0.373.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.1936.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.5%66.2%1.0312.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 915202636.3%
Average Daily Volume0.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity21.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares8.8%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/14/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/11/2026-0.0%0.3%5.1%
5/7/2026-5.1%-7.4%-7.9%
3/12/2026-0.5%1.9%-1.3%
11/4/2025-1.3%-1.8%-2.8%
8/7/20252.7%8.5%8.8%
5/7/20250.4%3.1%-2.1%
3/12/2025-3.5%-2.3%-11.4%
11/7/20241.2%-0.3%2.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive899
# Negative1099
Median Positive0.8%3.2%5.1%
Median Negative-0.8%-2.3%-2.8%
Max Positive3.3%10.4%12.4%
Max Negative-5.1%-7.4%-11.4%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/11/2026-0.0%0.3%5.1%
5/7/2026-5.1%-7.4%-7.9%
3/12/2026-0.5%1.9%-1.3%
11/4/2025-1.3%-1.8%-2.8%
8/7/20252.7%8.5%8.8%
5/7/20250.4%3.1%-2.1%
3/12/2025-3.5%-2.3%-11.4%
11/7/20241.2%-0.3%2.8%
8/7/2024-2.4%-2.7%1.9%
5/7/2024-0.2%-1.3%-1.7%
3/12/2024-1.1%-1.8%-4.2%
11/8/20232.3%3.4%3.7%
8/9/20230.3%-3.6%-0.9%
5/9/2023-0.2%0.5%8.1%
11/9/20223.3%10.4%12.4%
8/9/20220.2%3.2%-4.4%
5/12/20220.4%-2.8%4.0%
3/22/2022-0.5%4.5%7.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive899
# Negative1099
Median Positive0.8%3.2%5.1%
Median Negative-0.8%-2.3%-2.8%
Max Positive3.3%10.4%12.4%
Max Negative-5.1%-7.4%-11.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/11/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202503/12/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202403/12/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202303/12/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202203/09/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/11/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202503/12/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202403/12/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202303/12/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202203/09/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
06/30/202208/09/202210-Q
03/31/202205/12/202210-Q
12/31/202104/14/202210-K
09/30/202112/09/2021424B4

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 10/8/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/11/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Dividend Payout RatioReported0.90.951 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 0.95 for 2026

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Insider Activity

Updated 8/28/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Mazarakis, JohnExecutive ChairmanDirectBuy828202610.677,53080,3455,618,417Form
2Mazarakis, JohnExecutive ChairmanDirectBuy828202610.6740,181428,5955,536,307Form
3Mazarakis, JohnExecutive ChairmanDirectBuy825202610.671451,5475,109,340Form
4Sack, PeterCo-Chief Executive OfficerDirectBuy821202610.453,50036,5751,289,070Form
5Sack, PeterCo-Chief Executive OfficerDirectBuy821202610.431,50015,6451,250,098Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Mazarakis, JohnExecutive ChairmanDirectBuy828202610.677,53080,3455,618,417Form
2Mazarakis, JohnExecutive ChairmanDirectBuy828202610.6740,181428,5955,536,307Form
3Mazarakis, JohnExecutive ChairmanDirectBuy825202610.671451,5475,109,340Form
4Sack, PeterCo-Chief Executive OfficerDirectBuy821202610.453,50036,5751,289,070Form
5Sack, PeterCo-Chief Executive OfficerDirectBuy821202610.431,50015,6451,250,098Form
6Mazarakis, JohnExecutive ChairmanDirectBuy819202610.2525,000256,3254,908,173Form
7Cappell, AnthonyCo-Chief Executive OfficerDirectBuy819202610.4045,000468,2254,856,076Form
8Mazarakis, JohnExecutive ChairmanDirectBuy1016202512.758,000102,0005,311,739Form
9Papastavrou, Jason D DirectBuy1016202512.6210,000126,150625,023Form
10Papastavrou, Jason D Self as Trustee for Michael Athans TrustBuy1016202512.715,00063,55063,550Form
11Papastavrou, Jason D Self as Custodian for Michael AthansBuy1016202512.683,00038,04038,040Form
12Kite, DavidChief Operating OfficerDirectBuy1016202512.702,50031,750755,853Form
13Kite, DavidChief Operating OfficerDirectBuy1016202512.312,50030,775701,867Form
14Konigsberg, Brandon DirectBuy1016202512.337,00086,296339,587Form
15Sack, PeterCo-Chief Executive OfficerDirectBuy1016202512.438,150101,3041,010,025Form
16Mazarakis, JohnExecutive ChairmanDirectBuy1002202512.437,50093,2255,078,985Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 10/14/2026