Rare Earths Americas (REA)
Market Price (6/24/2026): $16.43 | Market Cap: $318.6 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Rare Earths Americas (REA)
Market Price (6/24/2026): $16.43Market Cap: $318.6 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include Rare Earth Elements. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79% | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 107% Key risksREA key risks include [1] its status as an exploration-stage company with unproven mineral reserves and uncertain commercial viability for its projects, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include Rare Earth Elements. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 107% |
| Key risksREA key risks include [1] its status as an exploration-stage company with unproven mineral reserves and uncertain commercial viability for its projects, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Rare Earths Americas (REA) stock has lost about 10% since it went public on 5/6/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Speculative Nature of a Pre-Revenue, Exploration-Stage Company. Rare Earths Americas (REA) is an exploration-stage company without any revenue generation or proven or probable mineral reserves, positioning it as a speculative investment. The company reported a net loss of $16.8 million for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended on March 31, 2026, indicating its lack of immediate profitability and the financial risks associated with its early development phase.
2. Post-IPO Volatility and Immediate Price Correction. On its initial trading day, May 6, 2026, REA's stock opened at $25.00, marking a 31.58% increase from its $19.00 IPO price, but quickly corrected to close flat at $19.00, signifying an immediate erosion of initial speculative gains. Since its debut, the stock has experienced significant volatility, with a 52-week trading range spanning from a high of $30.02 to a low of $16.16. From its IPO price of $19.00 on May 6, 2026, the stock closed at $18.49 on June 16, 2026, representing a 2.68% decline.
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Rare Earths Americas (REA) stock has lost about 10% since it went public on 5/6/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Speculative Nature of a Pre-Revenue, Exploration-Stage Company. Rare Earths Americas (REA) is an exploration-stage company without any revenue generation or proven or probable mineral reserves, positioning it as a speculative investment. The company reported a net loss of $16.8 million for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended on March 31, 2026, indicating its lack of immediate profitability and the financial risks associated with its early development phase.
2. Post-IPO Volatility and Immediate Price Correction. On its initial trading day, May 6, 2026, REA's stock opened at $25.00, marking a 31.58% increase from its $19.00 IPO price, but quickly corrected to close flat at $19.00, signifying an immediate erosion of initial speculative gains. Since its debut, the stock has experienced significant volatility, with a 52-week trading range spanning from a high of $30.02 to a low of $16.16. From its IPO price of $19.00 on May 6, 2026, the stock closed at $18.49 on June 16, 2026, representing a 2.68% decline.
3. Long-Term Capital-Intensive Development with Undefined Commerciality. Despite successfully raising approximately $63.3 million in gross proceeds from its IPO, REA intends to deploy these funds primarily for high-capital activities such as land acquisition, extensive drilling (over 20,000 meters planned for 2026), metallurgical testing, and permitting at its Shiloh Project, along with exploration at its Alpha and Constellation Projects. This allocation of capital towards a prolonged development timeline, without established mineral resources or a clear path to commercial production, maintains a high-risk profile and contributes to sustained investor caution.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REA | ||
| Market (SPY) | 7.2% | 10.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | -4.3% | 9.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REA | ||
| Market (SPY) | 8.0% | 10.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | 14.9% | 9.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REA | ||
| Market (SPY) | 25.9% | 10.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | 20.1% | 9.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REA | ||
| Market (SPY) | 82.4% | 10.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | 43.8% | 9.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| REA Return | - | - | - | - | - | -9% | -9% |
| Peers Return | 30% | -16% | -8% | -32% | 8097% | 36% | 7604% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| REA Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 27% | 25% | 29% | 32% | 63% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| REA Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -29% | -39% | -39% | -62% | -49% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MP, USAR, UUUU, NB, CRML.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/23/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
REA has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.
| Event | XLB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -17.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 84 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -12.5% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.3% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 52 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -23.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 456 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -36.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 114 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -18.3% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 101 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -17.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.7% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 52 days | 62 days |
In The Past
State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -17.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 20.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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REA has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.
| Event | XLB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -23.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 456 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -36.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 114 days | 140 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -23.8% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.2% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 171 days | 15 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -28.2% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.3% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 459 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -56.6% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 130.3% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 701 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -17.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 20.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Rare Earths Americas (REA)
Rare Earths Americas (REA) is an exploration-stage company dedicated to discovering and advancing a portfolio of critical mineral projects, with a primary focus on high-grade heavy rare earth elements (HREEs). Operating without current revenue, the company's objective is to systematically progress its assets from initial exploration to detailed resource definition and eventual development. REA aims to establish itself as a crucial non-Chinese supplier of rare earths, aligning with Western industrial and national security initiatives for diversified and secure supply chains.
The company's material portfolio comprises three key projects. The Shiloh Project in Georgia, USA, represents a significant exploration opportunity exhibiting wide-spread and high-grade rare earth mineralization, particularly monazite. In Brazil, REA holds the Alpha and Constellation Projects, both featuring substantial inferred ionic adsorption clay (IAC) resources. These Brazilian projects are notable for containing high-value heavy rare earth elements such as neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr), dysprosium (Dy), and terbium (Tb), which are essential for advanced technological applications.
REA's future "products" will be these specialized heavy rare earth elements, primarily intended for the high-performance permanent magnet market. These magnets are integral components in a wide range of critical sectors, including robotics, defense applications, electric vehicles, wind power systems, renewable energy systems, and consumer electronics. By strategically developing projects across both the United States and Brazil, REA is positioning itself to serve industrial and national security customers seeking reliable and secure access to these vital materials.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Rare Earths Americas (REA):
- Imagine a startup version of Barrick Gold, but instead of searching for gold, they're meticulously exploring for vital rare earth deposits needed for high-tech magnets and defense.
- It's like an early-stage oil and gas exploration company, similar to how ExxonMobil might have looked when it was first discovering new oil fields, but focused on finding critical rare earth elements.
- Think of it as a focused, early-stage counterpart to a major mining company like Rio Tinto or BHP, but solely dedicated to identifying and developing future sources of heavy rare earths, crucial for modern technology.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Rare Earth Elements (REEs): The company is engaged in the exploration and development of mineral deposits to extract these critical elements, with a primary focus on heavy rare earths and other high-value elements like neodymium and praseodymium.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Rare Earths Americas (REA) is an exploration stage company. According to the provided description, the company is "currently in the exploration stage, with no revenue generated to date." Therefore, REA does not currently have any major customers.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
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Donald Swartz, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Swartz has over 20 years of experience in leadership roles across the U.S. and international resources sector. He previously served as CEO of American Rare Earths Limited and as Senior Vice President at Vista Energy Holdings, where he was involved in developing two operational mining projects. Mr. Swartz was also the Chief Commercial Officer at Westmoreland Coal Company (Nasdaq: WLB) and a Vice President at John T. Boyd Company.
Cheryl Kerr, Chief Accounting Officer and Treasurer
Cheryl Kerr serves as the Chief Accounting Officer and Treasurer for Rare Earths Americas.
Jennifer Grafton, General Counsel and COO
Jennifer Grafton is the General Counsel and Chief Operating Officer for Rare Earths Americas.
Hugo Schumann, Non-Executive Director
Mr. Schumann is a global mining and recycling executive with two decades of experience leading companies at the intersection of technology and critical minerals supply chains. He currently serves as CEO of EverMetal Capital, a private equity-backed platform building a global network of metals recycling assets. He is also the CEO – USA for Elemental Group, overseeing a $500 million portfolio of e-waste and PGM recycling operations across the United States.
Bernardo da Veiga, Managing Director
Mr. da Veiga started his career as an Investment Banker with UBS & Azure Capital, advising on mergers & acquisitions and capital raising. He has spent the last decade in senior leadership roles in several mining companies in Brazil, including as CEO of a producing tungsten mine, Managing Director of a gold exploration company, and from 2015 to 2021, CEO of South American Ferro Metals Limited, a privately owned iron ore producer that grew from a bankrupt business to a highly profitable company.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to Rare Earths Americas (REA)
- Exploration Stage and Uncertainty of Commercial Production: Rare Earths Americas is an exploration stage company with no revenue generated to date. The company has not established mineral resources or mineral reserves for its Shiloh Project, and for its Alpha and Constellation Projects, it relies on inferred mineral resources that require additional study and refinement. There is a fundamental risk that the company may not successfully define economically viable mineral deposits, secure necessary funding, or overcome technical and operational challenges to transition from exploration to resource definition and, eventually, commercial development and production.
- Dependence on Future Capital: As an exploration stage company without any revenue, Rare Earths Americas is highly dependent on its ability to raise significant additional capital to fund its ongoing exploration activities, resource definition, and eventual project development. Adverse market conditions, a lack of investor interest, or changes in the rare earth element market could impede its ability to secure necessary financing, jeopardizing the advancement of its projects and its long-term viability.
- Permitting and Regulatory Challenges: The development of rare earth projects, particularly mining operations, is subject to extensive governmental regulations and requires numerous permits and approvals. Despite favorable land positions and mentions of streamlined pathways for some projects, there remains a risk of delays, increased costs, or denial of necessary permits due to environmental concerns, changes in regulations, or other unforeseen regulatory hurdles, which could significantly impact the timeline and feasibility of its projects.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat for Rare Earths Americas (REA) is the development and widespread adoption of high-performance permanent magnet technologies that do not rely on rare earth elements, particularly heavy rare earth elements (HREEs). Rare Earths Americas explicitly states its primary focus is on HREEs for high-performance permanent magnets used in applications such as robotics, defense, electric vehicles, and wind power systems. Should alternative magnet technologies emerge that can deliver comparable or superior performance at a competitive cost without the need for rare earth elements, it would directly diminish the fundamental market demand for the critical minerals REA aims to supply, thereby undermining its core business proposition.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Advancement of Material Projects (Shiloh, Alpha, Constellation) to Resource Definition and Development Stages: A primary driver of future revenue will be the progress in delineating and confirming mineral resources at its three material projects. For the Shiloh Project in the United States, this includes funding land acquisition, drilling programs, metallurgical test work, and the preparation of SK-1300 technical reports to establish definitive mineral resources. For the Alpha and Constellation projects in Brazil, the company plans to allocate capital to exploration, evaluation, engineering studies, and permitting to refine and potentially expand their existing inferred mineral resources. These steps are crucial for de-risking the projects and attracting the necessary investment for eventual mining and revenue generation.
- Successful Exploration and Delineation of New Resources at Early-Stage Projects (Homer, Liberty Peak): The company's commitment to advancing its early-stage projects, such as Homer in Brazil and Liberty Peak in the U.S., will also be a significant driver. Rare Earths Americas commenced an active drilling campaign at Homer in the first quarter of 2026 and plans to accelerate exploration at Liberty Peak throughout 2026, including land acquisition and future drilling. Success in converting these prospects into defined mineral resources would expand the company's overall asset base and long-term production capacity, contributing to future revenue streams.
- Securing Key Permits and Approvals for Project Development: Progress in obtaining the necessary permits and approvals for its projects is vital for transitioning from exploration to development and, ultimately, production. The proceeds from the company's initial public offering are explicitly designated to fund permitting activities at the Shiloh, Alpha, and Constellation projects. Achieving these regulatory milestones will significantly de-risk the projects, making them more attractive for financing and construction, which are prerequisites for generating revenue.
- Formation of Strategic Partnerships and Offtake Agreements: Rare Earths Americas strategically positions itself as a cornerstone of non-Chinese rare earth supply, aligning with Western industrial and national security priorities. Establishing strategic partnerships or securing future offtake agreements for its high-grade heavy rare earth elements within the next 2-3 years would be a critical driver. Such agreements would provide assured market access and de-risk project financing, laying the groundwork for consistent sales and revenue once production commences.
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Share Issuance
- Rare Earths Americas priced an upsized initial public offering (IPO) on May 5, 2026, offering 3,333,331 shares of its common stock at $19.00 per share.
- The gross proceeds to the company from the IPO are expected to be $63.3 million.
- Underwriters have been granted a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 499,999 shares of common stock.
Inbound Investments
- Rare Earths Americas secured $15.0 million in investment capital from investors in January 2026 to advance its critical minerals projects.
- Investors, including Kitabella Pty Ltd and ACN 664400382 PTY LTD, had previously invested a fair market value of $46.3 million in the company.
Capital Expenditures
- Proceeds from the recent IPO are earmarked for funding land acquisition, option payments, drilling, metallurgical test work, permitting, and technical report preparation at the Shiloh Project.
- A portion of the IPO proceeds will also fund exploration, evaluation, land consolidation, metallurgy, engineering, and permitting studies at the Alpha and Constellation Projects in Brazil.
- Remaining net proceeds will be used for evaluating non-material exploration projects, including Homer and Liberty Peak, as well as for working capital and other general corporate purposes.
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 16.07 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.1 |
| Rev LTM | 46 |
| Op Inc LTM | -88 |
| FCF LTM | -124 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -84 |
| CFO LTM | -60 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -46 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 19.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 80.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 28.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -152.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -57.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -105.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -71.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 48.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -73.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -40.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -138.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -115.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil Mining Operations | 0 | 0 | |
| United States Mining Operations | 0 | 0 | |
| Single Segment | 0 | ||
| Total | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Transaction costs | -0 | |
| United States Mining Operations | -2 | 0 |
| Brazil Mining Operations | -2 | -4 |
| Corporate and other expenses | -5 | -0 |
| Total | -9 | -4 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 0 | 1 |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Price Behavior
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.33 | 0.19 | -0.74 | 0.82 | 2.59 | 1.56 |
| Up Beta | -6.77 | -0.68 | -2.62 | 2.55 | 5.56 | 4.52 |
| Down Beta | 9.94 | 11.66 | 3.46 | 1.77 | 5.88 | 12.57 |
| Up Capture | -26% | -10% | -7% | -4% | -2% | -0% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Down Capture | -638% | -390% | -112% | -64% | -40% | -20% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REA | -12.3% | 106.6% | -0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 20.1% | 17.5% | 0.89 | 9.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.6% | 12.5% | 1.48 | 10.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.8% | 27.6% | 0.70 | 29.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 16.7% | 18.8% | 0.69 | 38.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.3% | 13.8% | 0.60 | -13.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -38.0% | 42.5% | -1.01 | -9.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REA | -2.6% | 106.6% | -0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 5.8% | 19.0% | 0.20 | 9.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 10.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.8% | 18.3% | 0.74 | 29.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.3% | 19.4% | 0.28 | 38.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.4% | 18.9% | 0.03 | -13.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.7% | 54.1% | 0.38 | -9.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REA | -1.3% | 106.6% | -0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 10.2% | 20.7% | 0.44 | 9.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 10.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.9% | 16.1% | 0.61 | 29.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.25 | 38.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.5% | 20.7% | 0.23 | -13.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.0% | 66.5% | 0.97 | -9.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
Industry Resources
| Materials Resources |
| Chemical & Engineering News (C&EN) |
| Mining.com |
| Plastics News |
| Diversified Metals & Mining Resources |
| Mining Technology |
| International Mining |
| Northern Miner |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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