Tearsheet

Hayward (HAYW)


Market Price (12/22/2025): $15.93 | Market Cap: $3.5 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Hayward (HAYW)


Market Price (12/22/2025): $15.93
Market Cap: $3.5 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -0.2%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  Key risks
HAYW key risks include [1] potential substantial liability from an ongoing securities fraud lawsuit alleging "channel-stuffing" and [2] an estimated $85 million annual cost from a potential 145% tariff on its Chinese imports.
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.5%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, Electrification of Everything, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more.
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.5%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, Electrification of Everything, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -0.2%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.0%
7 Key risks
HAYW key risks include [1] potential substantial liability from an ongoing securities fraud lawsuit alleging "channel-stuffing" and [2] an estimated $85 million annual cost from a potential 145% tariff on its Chinese imports.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HAYW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining why Hayward (HAYW) stock moved by -0.6% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Market Overvaluation Concerns. Despite some positive news and strong analyst ratings, Hayward Holdings (HAYW) stock has been noted to trade at a higher earnings multiple (25.4 times earnings) compared to the industry average (19.9 times earnings). This suggests that the stock may be optimistically priced, potentially limiting further upside or leading to slight corrections if market expectations are not fully met.

2. Industry Headwinds from Declining New Pool Construction. The company faces challenges from a decline in new pool construction, which decreased by 4% (representing a significant 14% year-over-year decline to 62,000 units). This, combined with a stagnating installed base with a modest compound annual growth rate of 0.2% from 2022 to 2024, hinders Hayward's growth potential in a market experiencing subdued demand for new builds.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HAYW Return-64%45%12%5%
Peers Return-57%26%64%-11%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HAYW Win Rate78%17%58%58%33% 
Peers Win Rate60%22%53%64%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HAYW Max Drawdown-69%0%-13%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-61%-12%-16%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PNR, POOL, SWIM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHAYWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-70.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven238.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to POWL, ETN, EMR, VRT, AME


In The Past

Hayward's stock fell -70.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -70.5% loss requires a 238.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Hayward (HAYW)

Better Bets than Hayward (HAYW)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HAYW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hayward

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HAYWPNRPOOLSWIMMedian
NameHayward Pentair Pool Latham  
Mkt Price15.99103.87232.016.2959.93
Mkt Cap3.517.08.60.76.0
Rev LTM1,1004,1285,2955332,614
Op Inc LTM23086458928410
FCF LTM19178339524293
FCF 3Y Avg19067560955399
CFO LTM21985045646338
CFO 3Y Avg21774867082444

Growth & Margins

HAYWPNRPOOLSWIMMedian
NameHayward Pentair Pool Latham  
Rev Chg LTM9.7%0.8%-0.6%4.1%2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.0%0.2%-4.7%-9.3%-5.4%
Rev Chg Q7.4%2.9%1.3%7.6%5.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%0.7%0.3%2.2%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM20.9%20.9%11.1%5.3%16.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.0%18.8%12.3%3.5%15.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.5%-0.0%1.4%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM19.9%20.6%8.6%8.7%14.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.2%18.2%12.3%14.9%16.5%
FCF/Rev LTM17.4%19.0%7.5%4.5%12.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg18.5%16.4%11.2%10.1%13.8%

Valuation

HAYWPNRPOOLSWIMMedian
NameHayward Pentair Pool Latham  
Mkt Cap3.517.08.60.76.0
P/S3.24.11.61.42.4
P/EBIT14.920.714.624.517.8
P/E25.126.020.9-66.523.0
P/CFO15.820.018.915.817.4
Total Yield4.0%4.8%6.9%-1.5%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%2.1%0.0%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.9%4.5%4.6%11.6%5.2%
D/E0.30.10.20.40.2
Net D/E0.20.10.10.30.1

Returns

HAYWPNRPOOLSWIMMedian
NameHayward Pentair Pool Latham  
1M Rtn2.8%-0.9%-3.3%-4.1%-2.1%
3M Rtn7.2%-5.6%-26.7%-18.1%-11.9%
6M Rtn19.3%7.3%-18.9%6.6%6.9%
12M Rtn3.6%2.9%-32.4%-10.5%-3.8%
3Y Rtn72.3%143.5%-20.7%99.7%86.0%
1M Excs Rtn2.9%-1.6%-3.7%-3.1%-2.3%
3M Excs Rtn5.6%-7.5%-27.5%-20.3%-13.9%
6M Excs Rtn4.1%-8.6%-33.8%-10.3%-9.5%
12M Excs Rtn-13.5%-13.5%-47.2%-31.8%-22.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-0.2%64.1%-98.8%27.4%13.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Residential pool9041,2301,325816
Flow control49504635
Commercial pool39343124
Total9921,3141,402875


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,458,149
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.9%
Average Daily Volume1,696,902
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.57
Basic Shares Quantity216,826,626
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/202512.0%5.6%8.0%
7/30/20253.1%4.1%8.8%
2/27/20252.6%1.8%-2.6%
10/29/20245.9%9.4%10.3%
7/30/20249.4%2.7%9.9%
2/29/202413.0%6.6%17.0%
10/31/2023-8.7%-7.1%1.6%
8/2/20233.3%11.3%8.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9810
# Negative675
Median Positive5.9%4.9%8.1%
Median Negative-5.1%-5.4%-7.5%
Max Positive13.0%11.3%17.0%
Max Negative-18.2%-14.6%-17.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023504202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022729202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022429202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021309202210-K 12/31/2021