Tearsheet

Hayward (HAYW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $15.77 | Market Cap: $3.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Hayward (HAYW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $15.77
Market Cap: $3.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  Key risks
HAYW key risks include [1] potential substantial liability from an ongoing securities fraud lawsuit alleging "channel-stuffing" and [2] an estimated $85 million annual cost from a potential 145% tariff on its Chinese imports.
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.8%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, Electrification of Everything, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more.
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.8%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, Electrification of Everything, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.0%
7 Key risks
HAYW key risks include [1] potential substantial liability from an ongoing securities fraud lawsuit alleging "channel-stuffing" and [2] an estimated $85 million annual cost from a potential 145% tariff on its Chinese imports.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HAYW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Hayward (HAYW) experienced a -1.9% stock movement in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, influenced by a mix of economic concerns and company-specific events. 1. 1. Economic Concerns and Weakening Job Market: Hayward's stock saw a 2.9% drop on September 9, 2025, due to broader concerns about the U.S. economy. This was triggered by a significant downward revision of job market data, indicating that employers added 911,000 fewer jobs from April 2024 through March than initially estimated. This weaker-than-expected data fueled investor anxiety regarding potential economic uncertainty. 2. 2. Analyst Downgrades Amid Macroeconomic Headwinds: On April 3, 2025, Wolfe Research downgraded Hayward Holdings to "Peer Perform" from "Outperform." The downgrade was attributed to mounting pressures, including risks to U.S. consumer spending and ongoing weakness in the housing market, stemming from macroeconomic headwinds and elevated interest rates. 3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HAYW Return-64%45%12%4%
Peers Return-57%26%64%-10%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HAYW Win Rate78%17%58%58%33% 
Peers Win Rate60%22%53%64%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HAYW Max Drawdown-69%0%-13%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-61%-12%-16%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PNR, POOL, SWIM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHAYWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-70.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven238.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to POWL, AIGO, SONC, ETN, EMR


In The Past

Hayward's stock fell -70.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -70.5% loss requires a 238.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Hayward (HAYW)

Better Bets than Hayward (HAYW)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HAYW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hayward

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HAYWPNRPOOLSWIMMedian
NameHayward Pentair Pool Latham  
Mkt Price15.78103.66236.286.4559.72
Mkt Cap3.417.08.80.86.1
Rev LTM1,1004,1285,2955332,614
Op Inc LTM23086458928410
FCF LTM19178339524293
FCF 3Y Avg19067560955399
CFO LTM21985045646338
CFO 3Y Avg21774867082444

Growth & Margins

HAYWPNRPOOLSWIMMedian
NameHayward Pentair Pool Latham  
Rev Chg LTM9.7%0.8%-0.6%4.1%2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.0%0.2%-4.7%-9.3%-5.4%
Rev Chg Q7.4%2.9%1.3%7.6%5.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%0.7%0.3%2.2%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM20.9%20.9%11.1%5.3%16.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.0%18.8%12.3%3.5%15.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.5%-0.0%1.4%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM19.9%20.6%8.6%8.7%14.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.2%18.2%12.3%14.9%16.5%
FCF/Rev LTM17.4%19.0%7.5%4.5%12.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg18.5%16.4%11.2%10.1%13.8%

Valuation

HAYWPNRPOOLSWIMMedian
NameHayward Pentair Pool Latham  
Mkt Cap3.417.08.80.86.1
P/S3.04.42.21.72.6
P/EBIT14.122.019.529.620.8
P/E23.827.727.9-80.425.8
P/CFO15.021.325.219.220.3
Total Yield4.2%4.5%5.2%-1.2%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%1.6%0.0%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.9%4.5%4.6%11.6%5.2%
D/E0.30.10.10.40.2
Net D/E0.20.10.10.30.1

Returns

HAYWPNRPOOLSWIMMedian
NameHayward Pentair Pool Latham  
1M Rtn3.2%1.8%-0.7%1.4%1.6%
3M Rtn4.4%-5.1%-26.6%-16.8%-10.9%
6M Rtn16.9%7.4%-16.4%10.8%9.1%
12M Rtn-1.9%-0.7%-33.0%-16.8%-9.3%
3Y Rtn72.5%147.6%-21.3%100.3%86.4%
1M Excs Rtn2.5%1.1%-1.4%0.7%0.9%
3M Excs Rtn1.7%-8.2%-28.3%-19.1%-13.6%
6M Excs Rtn4.5%-5.0%-28.8%-1.6%-3.3%
12M Excs Rtn-14.0%-13.4%-44.9%-25.4%-19.7%
3Y Excs Rtn1.8%65.4%-94.1%30.0%15.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Residential pool9041,2301,325816
Flow control49504635
Commercial pool39343124
Total9921,3141,402875


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,458,149
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.9%
Average Daily Volume1,696,902
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.57
Basic Shares Quantity216,826,626
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/202512.0%5.6%8.0%
7/30/20253.1%4.1%8.8%
2/27/20252.6%1.8%-2.6%
10/29/20245.9%9.4%10.3%
7/30/20249.4%2.7%9.9%
2/29/202413.0%6.6%17.0%
10/31/2023-8.7%-7.1%1.6%
8/2/20233.3%11.3%8.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9810
# Negative675
Median Positive5.9%4.9%8.1%
Median Negative-5.1%-5.4%-7.5%
Max Positive13.0%11.3%17.0%
Max Negative-18.2%-14.6%-17.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023504202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022729202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022429202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021309202210-K 12/31/2021