Tearsheet

Hayward (HAYW)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $15.31 | Market Cap: $3.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Hayward (HAYW)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $15.31
Market Cap: $3.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.0%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.8%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, Electrification of Everything, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.8%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, Electrification of Everything, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.0%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

HAYW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Hayward (HAYW) experienced a -0.6% stock movement from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025. This period was marked by significant corporate news, primarily the company's third-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings report.

1. Strong Third Quarter Earnings Beat Expectations: Hayward Holdings reported robust financial results for the third quarter of its 2025 fiscal year, which concluded on September 27, 2025. The company surpassed analyst estimates for both revenue and earnings per share. Net sales increased by 7% year-over-year to $244.3 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of approximately $236.8 million. Adjusted diluted EPS rose by 27.3% to $0.14, comfortably beating the analyst estimate of $0.12. This strong performance was attributed to positive net pricing, increased sales volume, and favorable foreign currency translation, along with operational efficiencies and disciplined cost management.

2. Increased Full-Year 2025 Guidance: Following the impressive third-quarter results, Hayward's management raised its financial guidance for the full 2025 fiscal year. The company now expects net sales in the range of $1.095 billion to $1.110 billion, an increase from the prior guidance of $1.070 billion to $1.100 billion. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also raised to a range of $292 million to $297 million, up from the previous $280 million to $290 million range. This upward revision signaled increased confidence in business momentum and ongoing demand for Hayward's products.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HAYW Return---64%45%12%0%-42%
Peers Return-8%1%19%45%50%-24%81%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HAYW Win Rate-78%17%58%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate8%15%33%27%65%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HAYW Max Drawdown---69%0%-13%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-14%-4%-22%-22%-14%-49% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: POWL, ADSE, CCTG, ELPW, EPOW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHAYWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-70.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven238.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to POWL, ADSE, CCTG, ELPW, EPOW


In The Past

Hayward's stock fell -70.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -70.5% loss requires a 238.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Hayward (HAYW)

Better Bets than Hayward (HAYW)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HAYW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%-10.3%-14.1%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-10.2%-10.2%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.4%-3.4%-4.8%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.1%-7.1%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-4.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%-10.3%-14.1%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-10.2%-10.2%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.4%-3.4%-4.8%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.1%-7.1%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-4.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hayward

Financials

HAYWPOWLADSECCTGELPWEPOWMedian
NameHayward Powell I.ADS-TEC .CCSC Tec.Elong Po.Sunrise . 
Mkt Price15.29317.819.990.250.201.195.59
Mkt Cap3.33.8----3.6
Rev LTM1,1001,081----1,091
Op Inc LTM230211----220
FCF LTM19181----136
FCF 3Y Avg190130----160
CFO LTM219101----160
CFO 3Y Avg217141----179

Growth & Margins

HAYWPOWLADSECCTGELPWEPOWMedian
NameHayward Powell I.ADS-TEC .CCSC Tec.Elong Po.Sunrise . 
Rev Chg LTM9.7%14.3%----12.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.0%30.0%----12.0%
Rev Chg Q7.4%-0.7%----3.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%-0.2%----0.7%
Op Mgn LTM20.9%19.5%----20.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.0%14.1%----16.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.3%----0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM19.9%9.3%----14.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.2%16.5%----18.8%
FCF/Rev LTM17.4%7.5%----12.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg18.5%15.4%----16.9%

Valuation

HAYWPOWLADSECCTGELPWEPOWMedian
NameHayward Powell I.ADS-TEC .CCSC Tec.Elong Po.Sunrise . 
Mkt Cap3.33.8----3.6
P/S3.03.5----3.3
P/EBIT14.218.2----16.2
P/E24.021.9----23.0
P/CFO15.138.0----26.6
Total Yield4.2%4.7%----4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.2%----0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.9%10.4%----8.2%
D/E0.30.0----0.1
Net D/E0.2-0.1----0.0

Returns

HAYWPOWLADSECCTGELPWEPOWMedian
NameHayward Powell I.ADS-TEC .CCSC Tec.Elong Po.Sunrise . 
1M Rtn0.5%-3.9%-3.8%-77.0%-44.9%3.5%-3.9%
3M Rtn-3.0%22.4%-11.5%-76.4%-94.2%16.7%-7.2%
6M Rtn6.0%74.3%-15.8%-78.8%-97.1%26.7%-4.9%
12M Rtn-4.8%14.5%-24.5%-83.3%-32.2%-4.8%
3Y Rtn60.1%1,115.4%82.3%---67.3%71.2%
1M Excs Rtn0.3%-4.0%-4.0%-77.2%-45.0%3.4%-4.0%
3M Excs Rtn-9.3%21.0%-18.4%-80.5%-97.9%19.9%-13.9%
6M Excs Rtn-5.9%62.5%-27.7%-90.7%-109.0%14.8%-16.8%
12M Excs Rtn-14.6%-10.9%-36.8%-96.0%-19.3%-14.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-21.9%1,058.3%20.4%---129.4%-0.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,926,026
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-15.0%
Average Daily Volume2,450,101
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.05
Basic Shares Quantity216,826,626
Short % of Basic Shares4.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/202512.0%5.6% 
7/30/20253.1%4.1%8.8%
2/27/20252.6%1.8%-2.6%
10/29/20245.9%9.4%10.3%
7/30/20249.4%2.7%9.9%
2/29/202413.0%6.6%17.0%
10/31/2023-8.7%-7.1%1.6%
8/2/20233.3%11.3%8.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive989
# Negative676
Median Positive5.9%4.9%8.2%
Median Negative-5.1%-5.4%-7.5%
Max Positive13.0%11.3%17.0%
Max Negative-18.2%-14.6%-17.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023504202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022729202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022429202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021309202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0MSD Partners, L.P. 6052025Sell16.3873,4591,203,25820,179,095Form