Pelagos Insurance Capital (PLGO)
Market Price (7/6/2026): $25.56 | Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Multi-line Insurance
Pelagos Insurance Capital (PLGO)
Market Price (7/6/2026): $25.56Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Multi-line Insurance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Algorithmic Trading, and ESG Investing & Green Bonds. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.9% Key risksPLGO key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the performance and continuity of its Framework Agreement with Fidelis MGU and [2] a critical reliance on its key management team. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Algorithmic Trading, and ESG Investing & Green Bonds. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.9% |
| Key risksPLGO key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the performance and continuity of its Framework Agreement with Fidelis MGU and [2] a critical reliance on its key management team. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Pelagos Insurance Capital (PLGO) stock has gained about 35% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceptional Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Results.
Pelagos Insurance Capital reported strong financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended on March 31, 2026, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company achieved net income of $108.0 million, or $0.94 per diluted common share, marking a 27.85% surprise over analyst estimates of $0.74 per share. Furthermore, the combined ratio dramatically improved to 86.6% from 115.6% in fiscal Q1 2025, indicating excellent underwriting performance. This strong performance contributed to a 7.2% increase in book value per diluted share, including dividends, reaching $26.22, which management described as their "best ever quarter of value creation."
2. Robust Capital Management and Shareholder Returns.
During the period, Pelagos Insurance Capital demonstrated proactive capital management and a commitment to shareholder value. In fiscal Q1 2026, the company repurchased $219 million of shares. Additionally, between March 31, 2026, and May 8, 2026, Pelagos repurchased 705,752 common shares at an aggregate cost of $14.4 million. The company also redeemed $125 million in junior subordinated notes in April 2026, which reduced its pro forma debt-to-capital ratio to 24.2% as of March 31, 2026. A quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share was declared on May 7, 2026, payable on June 26, 2026, further signaling shareholder-friendly policies.
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Pelagos Insurance Capital (PLGO) stock has gained about 35% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceptional Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Results.
Pelagos Insurance Capital reported strong financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended on March 31, 2026, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company achieved net income of $108.0 million, or $0.94 per diluted common share, marking a 27.85% surprise over analyst estimates of $0.74 per share. Furthermore, the combined ratio dramatically improved to 86.6% from 115.6% in fiscal Q1 2025, indicating excellent underwriting performance. This strong performance contributed to a 7.2% increase in book value per diluted share, including dividends, reaching $26.22, which management described as their "best ever quarter of value creation."
2. Robust Capital Management and Shareholder Returns.
During the period, Pelagos Insurance Capital demonstrated proactive capital management and a commitment to shareholder value. In fiscal Q1 2026, the company repurchased $219 million of shares. Additionally, between March 31, 2026, and May 8, 2026, Pelagos repurchased 705,752 common shares at an aggregate cost of $14.4 million. The company also redeemed $125 million in junior subordinated notes in April 2026, which reduced its pro forma debt-to-capital ratio to 24.2% as of March 31, 2026. A quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share was declared on May 7, 2026, payable on June 26, 2026, further signaling shareholder-friendly policies.
3. Positive Outlook and Favorable Analyst Sentiment.
Management's positive outlook and subsequent analyst reassessments bolstered investor confidence in Pelagos Insurance Capital. The company projected mid-single-digit top-line growth and anticipated Q2 2026 reinsurance net earned premiums of $65 million to $75 million. This forward-looking guidance, combined with strong recent performance, led to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) rating as of June 2, 2026. Analyst price targets were also adjusted upwards, with Goldman Sachs raising its price target to $22.50 on July 1, 2026. The stock's ascent to an all-time high of $24.74 on June 25, 2026, reflected this positive market sentiment.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 34.6% change in PLGO stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 70.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.99 | 25.56 | 34.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,172 | 2,127 | -2.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.4% | 17.7% | 70.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.4 | 6.3 | -25.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 100 | 93 | 7.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 34.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PLGO | 34.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.5% | -0.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 12.7% | 31.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 32.5% change in PLGO stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 25.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.29 | 25.56 | 32.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,267 | 2,127 | -6.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.9 | 1.1 | 25.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 104 | 93 | 12.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 32.5% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PLGO | 32.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.5% | 6.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 2.1% | 25.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 59.0% change in PLGO stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 39.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.07 | 25.56 | 59.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,244 | 2,127 | -5.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.8 | 1.1 | 39.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 112 | 93 | 20.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 59.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PLGO | 59.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 21.6% | 9.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.5% | 30.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 100.1% change in PLGO stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.77 | 25.56 | 100.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 2,127 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | 6.3 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 194 | 93 | 109.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PLGO | 100.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.0% | 27.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 72.4% | 38.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PLGO Return | - | - | -2% | 46% | 11% | 29% | 107% |
| Peers Return | 15% | 14% | 13% | 37% | 10% | -1% | 122% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PLGO Win Rate | - | - | 71% | 50% | 58% | 86% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 57% | 53% | 58% | 60% | 49% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PLGO Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -22% | -21% | -11% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -19% | -23% | -20% | -17% | -19% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ACGL, RNR, AXS, MKL, KNSL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PLGO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -12.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -12.1% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.8% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 24 days |
In The Past
Pelagos Insurance Capital's stock fell -12.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 14.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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In The Past
Pelagos Insurance Capital's stock fell -12.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 14.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Pelagos Insurance Capital (PLGO)
Pelagos Insurance Capital (PLGO), operating as Fidelis, is a global provider of specialty and bespoke insurance and reinsurance products. The company focuses on delivering tailor-made and unique insurance solutions, along with reinsurance coverage, to a diverse client base worldwide. Its core strategy revolves around differentiated underwriting capabilities designed to achieve strong returns across various insurance cycles.
A significant competitive advantage for Pelagos is its exclusive access to the underwriting expertise of Fidelis MGU, an underwriting management company led by industry veteran Mr. Richard Brindle and a highly experienced management team. This strategic partnership provides Pelagos with robust underwriting processes, advanced technology, and real-time market insights, enabling it to swiftly identify emerging opportunities and cross-sell across its product offerings. The company concentrates its efforts on capitalizing on current market trends, dislocations, and emerging risk solutions within the specialty and bespoke insurance sectors, as well as the property reinsurance markets.
Pelagos has a strong track record of both growth and underwriting performance, consistently demonstrating lower loss and combined ratios compared to its peer group. The company has achieved substantial growth in Gross Written Premiums (GPW) and Net Earned Premiums (NPE) over recent years. With a significant gross Unearned Premium Reserve (UPR) balance, Pelagos Insurance Capital also possesses considerable embedded earnings potential from its existing book of business, positioning it for sustained profitable growth.
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Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Pelagos Insurance Capital:
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It's like an investment fund that exclusively partners with a legendary, top-performing hedge fund manager to pick all its investments, but for insurance policies.
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Think of it as a highly specialized, more agile, and consistently higher-performing version of an insurer like Markel or W.R. Berkley.
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- Specialty Insurance: Providing specialized insurance coverage for unique or complex risks across various sectors.
- Bespoke Insurance: Offering custom-tailored insurance solutions designed to meet specific client needs that may not fit standard policies.
- Reinsurance (including Property Reinsurance): Underwriting insurance for other insurance companies, particularly in the property sector, to help them manage their own risk exposures.
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Pelagos Insurance Capital (PLGO), operating as Fidelis, primarily sells its "bespoke and specialty insurance and reinsurance products" to other companies and insurance entities. Based on the provided background information, specific major customer companies are not named or identified.
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The key risks for Pelagos Insurance Capital (PLGO) are:
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Dependence on Fidelis MGU and the Framework Agreement: Pelagos Insurance Capital's business model relies heavily on its "exclusive right of first access to Fidelis MGU’s underwriting business during the term of the Framework Agreement." The continuity and favorable terms of this agreement, as well as the underwriting performance of Fidelis MGU, are critical to Pelagos Insurance Capital's ability to generate strong returns and grow its business.
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Regulatory and Supervisory Risk: The company operates in various jurisdictions and is subject to different insurance laws and regulations administered and enforced by numerous governmental and non-governmental authorities. Changes in these regulations, increased compliance costs, or adverse regulatory actions in any of its operating regions could negatively impact its business, financial condition, and results of operations.
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Reliance on Key Personnel and Management Team: The background emphasizes the significant experience and track record of its leadership, including Mr. Daniel Burrows and Mr. Brindle, and their respective management teams. The company’s historical success and future ability to deliver strong underwriting performance and strategic innovation are presented as highly dependent on the continued presence, expertise, and effective leadership of these key individuals and their teams.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Pelagos Insurance Capital (PLGO)
Over the next 2-3 years, Pelagos Insurance Capital (PLGO) expects to drive revenue growth through several key initiatives and inherent strengths:
- Exclusive Access to Fidelis MGU's Underwriting Business: Pelagos Insurance Capital has an exclusive right of first access to Fidelis MGU's underwriting business through a long-term Framework Agreement. This strategic relationship is expected to provide a consistent pipeline of new business opportunities and highly selective underwriting capabilities, enabling the company to capitalize on current insurance market trends and deliver growth.
- Capitalizing on Current Market Trends, Dislocations, and Emerging Risk Solutions: The company plans to continue focusing on nimble underwriting to identify and capitalize on current market trends, dislocations, and emerging risk solutions. This proactive approach, supported by robust processes and technology from Fidelis MGU, allows for quick assessment of opportunities and strong underwriting.
- Cross-Selling Across its Diverse Product Range: Through daily Underwriting and Marketing Conference Calls (UMCC) and a coordinated approach, Pelagos Insurance Capital aims to cross-sell effectively across its specialty, bespoke, and reinsurance product offerings. This strategy leverages existing client relationships and broadens the scope of business written.
- Recognition of Unearned Premiums from Previously Written Business: A significant portion of future earnings is embedded in previously written business, reflected in the substantial gross unearned premium reserve (UPR) balance of $3.3 billion as of March 31, 2023. As these premiums are earned over the life of the policies, they will contribute to revenue growth.
- Continued Strong and Differentiated Underwriting Performance: The company's belief in its differentiated underwriting, coupled with a track record of strong underwriting results (evidenced by historically low loss and combined ratios compared to peers), is expected to underpin profitable growth. Maintaining and enhancing these underwriting standards will continue to attract and retain profitable business.
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 219.83 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.8 |
| Rev LTM | 9,069 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 2,188 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,381 |
| CFO LTM | 2,401 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,625 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | -5.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 30.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.5% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $25.56 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/29/2023 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $22.28 | $19.51 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 14.7% | 31.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 41.3% | 28.8% |
| Downside Capture | -91.73 | -8.60 |
| Upside Capture | 60.03 | 51.62 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 2.3% | 10.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.66 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.16 | 0.24 | 0.58 |
| Up Beta | -0.12 | 0.46 | 0.41 | 0.36 | 0.50 | 0.62 |
| Down Beta | -0.31 | -0.87 | -0.96 | -0.22 | 0.02 | 0.55 |
| Up Capture | -17% | 41% | 48% | 40% | 38% | 33% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 19 | 29 | 65 | 139 | 386 |
| Down Capture | -167% | -70% | -66% | -6% | -5% | 76% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 21 | 33 | 58 | 107 | 344 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PLGO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLGO | 56.9% | 28.9% | 1.55 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 6.9% | 14.7% | 0.24 | 30.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.7% | 12.5% | 1.29 | 10.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.1% | 27.7% | 0.73 | -1.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 21.3% | 18.6% | 0.90 | -16.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.6% | 13.8% | 0.68 | 24.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -42.0% | 42.7% | -1.15 | 13.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PLGO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLGO | 16.2% | 32.1% | 0.81 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.6% | 18.6% | 0.44 | 38.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.3% | 17.1% | 0.60 | 28.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.9% | 18.3% | 0.79 | 5.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.9% | 19.5% | 0.25 | 1.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.1% | 18.9% | 0.06 | 31.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.2% | 53.8% | 0.41 | 14.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PLGO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLGO | 7.8% | 32.1% | 0.81 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.7% | 22.2% | 0.56 | 38.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 28.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.1% | 0.61 | 5.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.7% | 18.0% | 0.25 | 1.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.5% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 31.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 59.0% | 66.2% | 0.99 | 14.5% |
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Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/13/2026 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/05/2026 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/12/2025 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/11/2025 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/20/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/22/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 06/30/2023 | 424B4 |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/01/2023 | DRS/A |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/13/2026 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/05/2026 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/12/2025 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/11/2025 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/20/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/22/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 06/30/2023 | 424B4 |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/01/2023 | DRS/A |
Industry Resources
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| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Multi-line Insurance Resources |
| Insurance Business America |
| A.M. Best |
| National Underwriter |
| Insurance News |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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