Tearsheet

PEDEVCO (PED)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.52 | Market Cap: $47.5 Mil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

PEDEVCO (PED)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.52
Market Cap: $47.5 Mil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 30%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -86%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -127%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.5
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14%
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.3%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -41%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 30%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -86%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -127%
5 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.5
6 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.3%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -41%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PED Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. PEDEVCO reported a significant net loss and decreased revenue for Q3 2025, contrasting with a net income in the prior year. The company's revenue for the third quarter of 2025 was $7.0 million, a decrease of $2.1 million from Q3 2024, and it posted a net loss of $325 thousand compared to a net income of $2.9 million in the same period of 2024. Operating expenses also rose by 12% to $7.8 million, leading to an operating loss of $834 thousand, a notable decline from the $2.9 million operating income in Q3 2024.

2. The company experienced a 13% decrease in production volumes during Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024. PEDEVCO produced an average of 1,471 barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOEPD) in Q3 2025, down from 1,698 BOEPD in Q3 2024. This decline was primarily attributed to the sale of 17 operated wells in April 2025 and natural production declines from existing wells.

3. A transformative merger with Juniper Capital Advisors L.P. involved the issuance of a substantial amount of new shares, potentially leading to dilution for existing shareholders. As part of the merger, which closed on October 31, 2025, PEDEVCO issued 10,650,000 Series A Convertible Preferred Shares to Juniper, convertible into 106.5 million shares of common stock, representing approximately 53% of the combined entity. Additionally, a $35 million private placement of Preferred Shares will convert into 63,636,370 million shares of common stock.

4. PEDEVCO increased its debt significantly to fund the merger, impacting its financial leverage. The company's borrowing base under its existing $250 million reserve-based lending facility with Citibank increased from $20 million to $120 million, and approximately $87 million was drawn to help finance the transaction.

5. Commodity price pressures contributed to a challenging quarter and a decrease in the average realized sales price. The President and CEO of PEDEVCO, J. Douglas Schick, acknowledged that Q3 2025 was a challenging quarter due to commodity price pressures. The combined average realized sales price for the quarter was $51.46 per Boe, an 11% decrease compared with $57.97 per Boe in Q3 2024.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PED Return-9%-30%4%-30%1%-35%-70%
Peers Return-39%91%65%8%-3%-3%93%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PED Win Rate50%50%42%42%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate37%70%58%57%48%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PED Max Drawdown-57%-38%-14%-31%-19%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-73%-1%0%-14%-12%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPEDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-73.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven279.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven145.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven62 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-81.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven428.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven763 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-87.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven680.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY


In The Past

PEDEVCO's stock fell -73.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/28/2021. A -73.7% loss requires a 279.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PEDEVCO (PED)

Better Bets than PEDEVCO (PED)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PED. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PEDEVCO

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PEDCOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NamePEDEVCO ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
Mkt Price0.5391.8134.13111.51158.3842.4567.13
Mkt Cap0.0114.371.360.345.741.853.0
Rev LTM3559,78844,52122,57915,28427,15024,864
Op Inc LTM-112,5499,0227,5395,5845,4576,562
FCF LTM187,0888,1243,891-1,0944,7764,334
FCF 3Y Avg178,9108,2845,167-1,9665,7455,456
CFO LTM1819,93514,77010,1958,75612,14611,170
CFO 3Y Avg1720,72013,87411,4536,73012,36611,909

Growth & Margins

PEDCOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NamePEDEVCO ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
Rev Chg LTM3.9%8.2%8.3%-5.0%60.1%0.1%6.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg12.1%-6.6%-2.4%-7.6%20.8%-6.8%-4.5%
Rev Chg Q-41.0%15.3%6.4%-2.3%48.2%-5.9%2.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-12.0%3.4%1.5%-0.6%9.1%-1.5%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM-2.3%21.0%20.3%33.4%36.5%20.1%20.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.2%24.1%21.9%36.4%46.8%23.4%23.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-13.7%-1.0%-4.3%-0.8%-1.3%-2.0%-1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM50.9%33.3%33.2%45.2%57.3%44.7%44.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg51.1%35.6%32.8%49.0%62.5%43.1%46.1%
FCF/Rev LTM50.6%11.9%18.2%17.2%-7.2%17.6%17.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg50.9%15.3%19.6%22.1%-18.6%19.7%19.7%

Valuation

PEDCOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NamePEDEVCO ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
Mkt Cap0.0114.371.360.345.741.853.0
P/S1.72.01.52.72.71.51.8
P/EBIT-72.78.17.68.36.98.87.8
P/E4.713.310.011.09.917.210.5
P/CFO3.35.94.55.94.73.44.6
Total Yield21.4%10.8%17.1%12.6%12.9%5.8%12.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.3%7.1%3.5%2.7%0.0%3.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg23.5%6.9%12.0%7.6%-5.2%11.6%9.6%
D/E0.00.20.30.10.40.60.2
Net D/E-0.10.10.30.10.40.50.2

Returns

PEDCOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NamePEDEVCO ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
1M Rtn-15.3%4.6%6.8%5.6%12.9%3.7%5.1%
3M Rtn-15.4%-2.1%10.7%-6.6%12.1%-8.3%-4.4%
6M Rtn-18.8%8.7%13.4%2.5%15.3%2.4%5.6%
12M Rtn-37.0%-10.4%5.1%-12.5%-7.3%-14.0%-11.5%
3Y Rtn-54.0%-16.5%31.6%-9.3%23.4%-34.8%-12.9%
1M Excs Rtn-15.2%4.7%6.8%5.6%12.9%3.8%5.1%
3M Excs Rtn-20.1%-8.6%4.9%-12.8%6.4%-14.3%-10.7%
6M Excs Rtn-33.5%-6.0%-1.4%-12.2%0.5%-12.3%-9.1%
12M Excs Rtn-50.3%-25.9%-7.2%-27.0%-21.8%-27.9%-26.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-126.8%-90.4%-39.2%-80.6%-47.9%-107.7%-85.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Oil sales282815813
Natural gas sales12100
Natural gas liquids sales11000
Total313016813


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,837
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-61.4%
Average Daily Volume158,613
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity91,403,552
Short % of Basic Shares0.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023318202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022329202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-Q 9/30/2021