PEDEVCO (PED)
Market Price (10/21/2026): $14.395 | Market Cap: $191.5 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
PEDEVCO (PED)
Market Price (10/21/2026): $14.395Market Cap: $191.5 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 229% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 16% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 2249% Key risksPED key risks include [1] material weaknesses in its internal controls over financial reporting that necessitated the restatement of prior financial statements. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 229% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 16% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 2249% |
| Key risksPED key risks include [1] material weaknesses in its internal controls over financial reporting that necessitated the restatement of prior financial statements. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Updated on 10/19/2026
PEDEVCO (PED) stock has gained about 5% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceptional Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Performance Exceeded Analyst Expectations.
PEDEVCO reported robust financial results for fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) on August 13, 2026. The company significantly surpassed analyst estimates, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.31 against a consensus of $0.36, and revenue reaching $46.11 million compared to expectations of $38 million. This represented a substantial year-over-year revenue increase of 561% and net income of $17.5 million, contrasting with a $1.7 million loss in fiscal Q2 2025.
2. Significant Increase in Production Volumes and Favorable Realized Oil Prices.
The company's production volumes in fiscal Q2 2026 surged by 348% year-over-year to 618,912 Boe (6,801 Boe/d). This increase was primarily driven by the asset base acquired in the Q4 2025 merger. Concurrently, PEDEVCO benefited from a 53% year-over-year rise in realized oil prices, averaging $94.7 per barrel. These factors collectively boosted the company's top-line growth and profitability.
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PEDEVCO (PED) stock has gained about 5% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceptional Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Performance Exceeded Analyst Expectations.
PEDEVCO reported robust financial results for fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) on August 13, 2026. The company significantly surpassed analyst estimates, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.31 against a consensus of $0.36, and revenue reaching $46.11 million compared to expectations of $38 million. This represented a substantial year-over-year revenue increase of 561% and net income of $17.5 million, contrasting with a $1.7 million loss in fiscal Q2 2025.
2. Significant Increase in Production Volumes and Favorable Realized Oil Prices.
The company's production volumes in fiscal Q2 2026 surged by 348% year-over-year to 618,912 Boe (6,801 Boe/d). This increase was primarily driven by the asset base acquired in the Q4 2025 merger. Concurrently, PEDEVCO benefited from a 53% year-over-year rise in realized oil prices, averaging $94.7 per barrel. These factors collectively boosted the company's top-line growth and profitability.
Show more
Updated on 10/19/2026
PEDEVCO (PED) stock has gained about 5% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceptional Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Performance Exceeded Analyst Expectations.
PEDEVCO reported robust financial results for fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) on August 13, 2026. The company significantly surpassed analyst estimates, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.31 against a consensus of $0.36, and revenue reaching $46.11 million compared to expectations of $38 million. This represented a substantial year-over-year revenue increase of 561% and net income of $17.5 million, contrasting with a $1.7 million loss in fiscal Q2 2025.
2. Significant Increase in Production Volumes and Favorable Realized Oil Prices.
The company's production volumes in fiscal Q2 2026 surged by 348% year-over-year to 618,912 Boe (6,801 Boe/d). This increase was primarily driven by the asset base acquired in the Q4 2025 merger. Concurrently, PEDEVCO benefited from a 53% year-over-year rise in realized oil prices, averaging $94.7 per barrel. These factors collectively boosted the company's top-line growth and profitability.
3. Strategic Expansion and Operational Cost Efficiencies.
PEDEVCO demonstrated a clear strategy for growth and efficiency within the specified period. On September 16, 2026, the company acquired 5,678 net acres in Wyoming, expanding its Mowry Shale position. Furthermore, during the Lytham Partners Fall 2026 Investor Conference on September 29, 2026, PEDEVCO outlined a strategy centered on Rockies growth, lower costs, and selective acquisitions, reporting that more than half of a planned $10 million-plus annualized Lease Operating Expense (LOE) savings initiative had been completed.
4. Improved Financial Health Through Debt Reduction.
The company strengthened its balance sheet by reducing borrowings under its revolving credit facility. During fiscal Q2 2026, PEDEVCO decreased its debt from $98.0 million to $85.0 million, repaying $13 million. This debt reduction, alongside a decrease in its working capital deficit, signaled improved financial stability and capital management to investors.
Show less
PEDEVCO (PED) stock has gained about 5% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceptional Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Performance Exceeded Analyst Expectations.
PEDEVCO reported robust financial results for fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) on August 13, 2026. The company significantly surpassed analyst estimates, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.31 against a consensus of $0.36, and revenue reaching $46.11 million compared to expectations of $38 million. This represented a substantial year-over-year revenue increase of 561% and net income of $17.5 million, contrasting with a $1.7 million loss in fiscal Q2 2025.
2. Significant Increase in Production Volumes and Favorable Realized Oil Prices.
The company's production volumes in fiscal Q2 2026 surged by 348% year-over-year to 618,912 Boe (6,801 Boe/d). This increase was primarily driven by the asset base acquired in the Q4 2025 merger. Concurrently, PEDEVCO benefited from a 53% year-over-year rise in realized oil prices, averaging $94.7 per barrel. These factors collectively boosted the company's top-line growth and profitability.
3. Strategic Expansion and Operational Cost Efficiencies.
PEDEVCO demonstrated a clear strategy for growth and efficiency within the specified period. On September 16, 2026, the company acquired 5,678 net acres in Wyoming, expanding its Mowry Shale position. Furthermore, during the Lytham Partners Fall 2026 Investor Conference on September 29, 2026, PEDEVCO outlined a strategy centered on Rockies growth, lower costs, and selective acquisitions, reporting that more than half of a planned $10 million-plus annualized Lease Operating Expense (LOE) savings initiative had been completed.
4. Improved Financial Health Through Debt Reduction.
The company strengthened its balance sheet by reducing borrowings under its revolving credit facility. During fiscal Q2 2026, PEDEVCO decreased its debt from $98.0 million to $85.0 million, repaying $13 million. This debt reduction, alongside a decrease in its working capital deficit, signaled improved financial stability and capital management to investors.
Show less
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.8% change in PED stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 50.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302026 | 10202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.46 | 14.24 | 5.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 77 | 116 | 50.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.4 | 1.6 | 19.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 13 | -41.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.8% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2026 to 10/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PED | 5.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | -0.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | 28.0% | 24.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -11.0% change in PED stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -64.4% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 10202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.00 | 14.24 | -11.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 46 | 116 | 154.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.7 | 1.6 | -1.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 5 | 13 | -64.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -11.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 10/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PED | -11.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 18.6% | -25.1% |
| Sector (XLE) | 11.8% | 35.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 23.1% change in PED stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 229.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 10202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.56 | 14.24 | 23.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 35 | 116 | 229.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.5 | 1.6 | 8.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 5 | 13 | -65.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 23.1% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 10/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PED | 23.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.4% | -5.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 55.6% | 2.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -29.5% change in PED stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -67.3% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302023 | 10202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.20 | 14.24 | -29.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 30 | 116 | 286.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.9 | 1.6 | -44.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 4 | 13 | -67.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -29.5% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2023 to 10/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PED | -29.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 86.1% | -2.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 64.4% | 2.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PED Return | -30% | 4% | -30% | 1% | -28% | 31% | -51% |
| Peers Return | 113% | 67% | -1% | -8% | -4% | 49% | 367% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 104% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PED Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 53% | 45% | 60% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PED Max Drawdown | -68% | -55% | -33% | -33% | -52% | -96% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -31% | -23% | -29% | -28% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: COP, EOG, OXY, FANG, DVN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/20/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PED | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 339 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -11.1% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 54 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 129 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -18.7% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 16 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -19.2% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 12 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -38.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 164 days | 140 days |
In The Past
PEDEVCO's stock fell -36.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 56.2% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | PED | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 339 days | 79 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -38.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 164 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -75.3% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 305.7% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 70 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -71.7% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 253.3% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 414 days | 6 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -50.0% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 100.0% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -58.8% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 142.9% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 111 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.5% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 9 days | 47 days |
In The Past
PEDEVCO's stock fell -36.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 56.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About PEDEVCO (PED)
PEDEVCO Corp. (NYSE: PED) is an independent oil and gas company primarily focused on the acquisition, development, and production of hydrocarbon resources within the United States. The company's business model centers on identifying, acquiring, and operating oil and natural gas properties, aiming to extract and deliver these energy commodities to the market.
The company's main products are crude oil and natural gas, which it produces from its acreage in two significant U.S. basins. PEDEVCO holds substantial interests in the Permian Basin, located in Chaves and Roosevelt Counties, New Mexico, and the Denver-Julesberg (D-J) Basin, situated in Weld and Morgan Counties, Colorado. As of late 2021, its assets included a significant number of net acres and operating wells across these productive regions.
PEDEVCO serves the broader U.S. energy market, with its primary customers typically being refiners, utility companies, and other industrial users who purchase crude oil and natural gas for processing and consumption. By producing these essential energy commodities, the company contributes to the domestic supply of fuels and raw materials crucial for transportation, electricity generation, heating, and various industrial applications.
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- A smaller, independent oil and gas driller, similar to a regional version of Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) or EOG Resources (EOG).
- They're an oil and gas company focused on acquiring land and drilling wells, much like a scaled-down version of Marathon Oil (MRO) or Hess Corporation (HES).
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- Oil: Crude oil extracted and sold from its Permian Basin and Denver-Julesberg Basin assets.
- Natural Gas: Natural gas extracted and sold from its Permian Basin and Denver-Julesberg Basin assets.
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PEDEVCO (PED) Major Customers
PEDEVCO Corp. (PED) is an oil and gas company that focuses on the acquisition, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas. As such, it sells its commodities primarily to other businesses, not to individual consumers.
Like many upstream oil and gas producers, PEDEVCO does not publicly disclose the specific names of its major customers in its financial filings or other public statements. Its crude oil and natural gas production is typically sold to various purchasers under short-term contracts, with pricing tied to prevailing market rates.
Based on the nature of the oil and gas industry, PEDEVCO's customers would typically fall into the following categories:
- Midstream Companies: These companies are involved in the gathering, processing, storage, and transportation of crude oil and natural gas from the wellhead to refineries, power plants, or other end-users. This includes pipeline operators and natural gas processing plants.
- Refineries: For its crude oil production, customers would include companies that operate refineries to process crude oil into refined petroleum products such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel.
- Utility Companies/Power Generators: For its natural gas production, customers would include companies that use natural gas as fuel to generate electricity or distribute it to residential, commercial, and industrial consumers.
- Commodity Traders: Firms that specialize in buying and selling large volumes of crude oil and natural gas in the wholesale market.
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J. Douglas Schick - President & CEO
Mr. Schick has over twenty years of experience in the oil and gas industry. Prior to joining PEDEVCO, he co-founded American Resources, Inc., a privately-held oil and gas investment, development, and operating company, where he served as Chief Executive Officer and previously as Chief Financial Officer and Vice President of Business Development. He also founded J. Douglas Enterprises, an energy industry focused business development and financial consulting firm. Mr. Schick served as Vice President of Finance for Highland Oil and Gas, a private equity-backed E&P company, until its sale.
Robert "Bobby" J. Long - CFO, Treasurer and Principal Accounting & Financial Officer
Mr. Long has nearly 25 years of financial experience in management, corporate finance, and principal investing in the energy industry. Before joining PEDEVCO in October 2025, he served as Chief Financial Officer of Century Natural Resources, LLC, a privately held oil and gas exploration and production company whose assets were acquired by PEDEVCO. At Century Natural Resources, he managed all accounting, finance, and commercial functions for four oil and gas companies operating in the Powder River Basin. Mr. Long also held positions at CIBC Capital Markets, Rivington Holdings, LLC, BNP Paribas, and JP Morgan Chase & Co..
Reagan Tuck (R.T.) Dukes - Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Dukes has nearly 20 years of experience in the oil and gas industry, with extensive experience in oil and gas investing, finance, research, and consulting. Prior to joining PEDEVCO in October 2025, he served as Chief Financial Officer and then Chief Executive Officer of Century Natural Resources, LLC, a privately held oil and gas exploration and production company that previously managed certain assets acquired by PEDEVCO.
Clark R. Moore - Executive VP, General Counsel
Mr. Moore has over fifteen years of experience in the oil and gas industry. He is a co-founder of PEDEVCO. Prior to PEDEVCO, Mr. Moore served as acting General Counsel for Erin Energy Corporation (formerly CAMAC Energy, Inc.), an independent energy company. He also launched a legal consulting practice focused on the energy and high-tech industries.
Jody Crook - Chief Commercial Officer
Mr. Crook has over twenty-five years of experience in the energy industry. Prior to joining PEDEVCO, he co-founded Tenet Advisory Group LLC, a Houston-based consulting firm, and Bronze Four Resources, LLC, an Austin-based contract operating company. He also held various leadership roles at Jones Energy, Ltd..
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Key Business Risks for PEDEVCO (PED)
- Commodity Price Volatility: PEDEVCO's financial performance is highly sensitive to the volatile prices of crude oil and natural gas, which are outside the company's control. Fluctuations in these commodity prices directly impact the company's revenue and profitability. The company does not hedge its commodity price exposure, further increasing this risk.
- Internal Control Weaknesses and Financial Restatements: The company has reported recent financial restatements for 2022, 2023, and 2024, citing material weaknesses in internal controls. These weaknesses were primarily related to errors in accounting for prior-period net operating losses in tax provision calculations and depletion expense. Such issues elevate audit and reporting risk and can impact investor confidence in the reliability of the company's financial reporting.
- Regulatory and Environmental Risks: PEDEVCO faces increasing regulatory scrutiny and tightening laws in New Mexico and Colorado, where its assets are concentrated. These regulations pertain to areas such as air quality, methane emissions, hydraulic fracturing, and water disposal, which could lead to increased operating costs and limitations on development activities. Approximately 17% of PEDEVCO's New Mexico acreage is on federal land, potentially subjecting it to additional federal environmental policies.
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The accelerating global energy transition, driven by the rapid adoption of electric vehicles and renewable energy sources, poses an emerging threat by potentially reducing long-term demand for crude oil and natural gas. This shift could impact future profitability, asset valuations, and the economic viability of new exploration and production projects for companies like PEDEVCO.
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PEDEVCO Corp. operates within the United States oil and natural gas market, with assets primarily located in the Permian Basin and the Denver-Julesberg (D-J) Basin. The addressable market for its main products, crude oil and natural gas, can be defined by the overall U.S. oil and gas market and the production volumes within its specific operating regions.
The U.S. oil and gas market, which encompasses exploration, extraction, refining, transportation, and distribution, was valued at approximately USD 474.5 billion in 2025. Specifically, the upstream sector, which includes exploration and production activities like those undertaken by PEDEVCO, constituted 58.5% of this market in 2025. This market size pertains to the United States.
Within its key operating regions:
- Permian Basin (U.S.): This basin is a significant contributor to U.S. energy production. Crude oil output in the Permian Basin is projected to reach 6.6 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2026. Marketed natural gas production in the Permian Basin is expected to grow to 25.8 billion cubic feet per day (bcf/d) in 2026. The Permian Basin accounted for 46.1% of U.S. oil production in December 2023 and 51% of U.S. Lower 48 oil production in 2024.
- Denver-Julesberg (D-J) Basin (U.S.): Oil production from the D-J Basin was approximately 500,000 barrels per day (Mb/d) in late 2024. In 2020, the D-J Basin accounted for 7.02% of oil and 6.65% of natural gas production in the United States Lower 48.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for PEDEVCO (PED)
- Increased Production from Development Programs: PEDEVCO anticipates revenue growth through its ongoing drilling and development activities in both the Permian and D-J Basins. The company has reported success with new wells in both basins, with production from initial horizontal San Andres wells in the Permian Basin exceeding expectations. Future plans include the drilling and completion of a minimum of five horizontal Niobrara wells annually for the next five years in a joint Area of Mutual Interest (AMI) in the D-J Basin, along with further development in the Permian Basin. The company also has 71 planned horizontal drilling locations across Colorado, Wyoming, and New Mexico.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Mergers: The transformative merger with Juniper Capital Rockies, which closed on October 31, 2025, is expected to be a significant driver of future revenue. This combination establishes a "Unique Rockies Focus" for PEDEVCO, substantially expanding its asset footprint with over 328,000 net acres primarily in the D-J Basin and Powder River Basin, in addition to its Permian assets. This merger is projected to lead to a pro forma combined average production of approximately 8.5 MBoepd (88% liquids) and generate around $96 million in EBITDA.
- Capital Investment in Growth Initiatives: PEDEVCO plans significant capital expenditures to fund its development programs, with an estimated $27-$33 million allocated for 2025. A substantial portion of this, 70%-75%, is earmarked for the D-J Basin under joint development arrangements. This investment is crucial for expanding the company's production capacity and bringing new wells online.
- Favorable Commodity Prices: As an oil and gas exploration and production company, PEDEVCO's revenue is directly tied to the market prices of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Recent revenue increases have been partially attributed to favorable price variances for these commodities. While external, sustained strong commodity prices will positively impact the company's top line.
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Capital Allocation Decisions (2021-2025)
Share Issuances
- On February 27, 2026, PEDEVCO executed an automatic conversion of all Series A Preferred Stock into common shares at a 10-to-1 ratio, resulting in the issuance of 136,837,563 new common shares.
- Concurrent with a merger in Q4 2025, PIPE Investors purchased 6,363,637 Series A Preferred Shares at $5.50 per share, which later converted into common shares.
- The company increased the maximum number of shares available for awards under its 2021 Equity Incentive Plan from 8 million to 13 million in August 2024, and further to 18 million in March 2026.
Inbound Investments
- PIPE Investors purchased 6,363,637 Series A Preferred Shares at $5.50 per share, representing a capital injection of approximately $34.9 million, with major participants including SGK 2018 Revocable Trust ($15.4 million), American Resources, Inc., and other PEDEVCO insiders.
- On October 31, 2025, PEDEVCO completed a transformative merger with North Peak Oil & Gas, LLC and Century Oil and Gas Sub-Holdings, LLC, involving the issuance of Series A Convertible Preferred Stock.
Outbound Investments
- On October 31, 2025, PEDEVCO acquired substantial oil-weighted producing assets and leasehold interests in the Northern DJ and Powder River Basins through its merger with North Peak Oil & Gas, LLC and Century Oil and Gas Sub-Holdings, LLC.
Capital Expenditures
- In May 2022, PEDEVCO participated in the drilling of six horizontal Niobrara wells in its D-J Basin Asset, incurring an estimated net cost of approximately $12.5 million for its ~34.38% working interest.
- The company also participated in an additional eight new non-operated horizontal D-J Basin wells drilled in May 2022, with an estimated net cost of approximately $2.5 million for its ~4.7% working interest.
- Forecasted capital expenditures for 2025 and beyond were reported as $28.03 million and $36.1 million for future periods.
Peer Outperformance in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
PED has trailed 90% of its 50 Oil & Gas Exploration & Production peers over 5Y. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ranks 4th of 7 industries in Energy by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Oil & Gas Exploration & Production constituents that PED has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
43%
of 60 industry peers · 24.1% return
3Y
20%
of 56 industry peers · -25.7% return
5Y
10%
of 50 industry peers · -58.1% return
No Oil & Gas Exploration & Production peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten PED by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Energy sector, ranked by 5Y. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production is PED's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | 11 | 131.6% | 151.8% | 331.6% | MPC 690% · VLO 524% · PBF 497% |
| Integrated Oil & Gas | 7 | 55.8% | 76.3% | 224.5% | IMO 337% · SU 320% · XOM 232% |
| Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation | 18 | 39.3% | 117.8% | 167.7% | INSW 838% · LPG 782% · TRGP 473% |
| Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ← | 51 | 36.0% | 12.4% | 56.0% | BTE 1003% · PR 317% · CNQ 224% |
| Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | 33 | 28.5% | 10.8% | 54.9% | SEI 805% · FTI 770% · TDW 533% |
| Oil & Gas Drilling | 7 | 66.6% | 3.9% | 44.2% | VAL 137% · NE 82% · PTEN 44% |
| Coal & Consumable Fuels | 14 | -28.3% | 4.0% | 24.8% | CNR 213% · CCJ 204% · LEU 107% |
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| PEDEVCO Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| How Low Can PEDEVCO Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 104.01 |
| Mkt Cap | 59.6 |
| Rev LTM | 20,674 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,970 |
| FCF LTM | 4,238 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,217 |
| CFO LTM | 10,560 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 9,577 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 56.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 14.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 22.2% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -3.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 4.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 46.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 45.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 21.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil sales | 40 | 36 | 28 | 28 | 15 |
| Natural gas liquids sales | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Natural gas sales | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Total | 46 | 40 | 31 | 30 | 16 |
| $ Mil | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Down-hole Solutions | -0 | -1 | -0 | -0 | |
| Corporate | -1 | -1 | -1 | -2 | |
| Oil and Gas Properties | -2 | -0 | |||
| Satellite communications | 0 | -0 | -0 | ||
| Down-hole solution | -1 | ||||
| Total | -3 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -1 |
| $ Mil | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Down-hole solution | 1 | 2 | |
| Drilling services | 48 | ||
| Satellite communications | 0 | 181 | |
| Downhole services | 2,137 | ||
| Total | 1 | 50 | 2,317 |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $14.24 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/02/2003 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -21.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $13.50 | $13.24 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 5.5% | 7.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 58.9% | 2,249.4% |
| Downside Capture | -59.13 | -152.09 |
| Upside Capture | 17.83 | -103.74 |
| Correlation (S&P 500) | 2.2% | -5.8% |
PED Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.19 | 0.10 | -0.34 | -1.77 | -9.46 | -1.95 |
| Up Beta | 0.26 | -2.04 | -0.37 | -3.17 | -2.72 | -0.27 |
| Down Beta | -2.62 | 2.04 | -0.33 | -0.79 | 0.40 | 1.97 |
| Up Capture | -8% | 112% | -34% | -83% | -40% | -3% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 6 | 16 | 27 | 66 | 132 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 21 | 28 | 58 | 130 | 365 |
| Down Capture | 24% | -59% | -25% | -229% | -296% | -25% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 16 | 26 | 37 | 60 | 120 | 328 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 20 | 35 | 67 | 121 | 380 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PED | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PED | 24.8% | 2,249.4% | 0.98 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 62.0% | 22.1% | 2.09 | 2.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.8% | 12.7% | 0.93 | -5.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | -2.9% | 29.3% | -0.10 | -4.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 52.5% | 20.7% | 1.93 | -2.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 13.8% | 0.11 | 0.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.7% | 43.6% | -0.50 | 1.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PED | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PED | -19.0% | 1,007.3% | 0.42 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 23.4% | 25.5% | 0.80 | 3.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.6% | 17.1% | 0.61 | -0.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.1% | 18.9% | 0.77 | -2.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.7% | 19.5% | 0.38 | 0.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.4% | 18.9% | -0.03 | 0.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.7% | 51.7% | 0.33 | 0.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PED | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PED | -8.3% | 749.0% | 0.40 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 11.0% | 29.6% | 0.40 | 3.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.72 | -0.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.4% | 0.60 | -2.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 18.1% | 0.37 | 2.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 0.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 62.9% | 66.2% | 1.03 | 1.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 9/21/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/13/2026 | 3.7% | 8.1% | 29.9% |
| 5/14/2026 | 4.3% | -4.8% | -18.9% |
| 3/19/2026 | 0.3% | -14.0% | -14.4% |
| 11/17/2025 | -2.5% | -10.4% | -4.1% |
| 8/14/2025 | -3.4% | -5.0% | -4.8% |
| 5/20/2025 | -0.2% | -2.6% | 11.5% |
| 3/31/2025 | -0.5% | -26.4% | -22.2% |
| 2/4/2025 | 1.5% | 0.9% | -10.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| # Negative | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| Median Positive | 2.9% | 4.4% | 11.5% |
| Median Negative | -3.1% | -4.9% | -10.8% |
| Max Positive | 4.5% | 13.4% | 33.3% |
| Max Negative | -16.9% | -26.4% | -29.4% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/13/2026 | 3.7% | 8.1% | 29.9% |
| 5/14/2026 | 4.3% | -4.8% | -18.9% |
| 3/19/2026 | 0.3% | -14.0% | -14.4% |
| 11/17/2025 | -2.5% | -10.4% | -4.1% |
| 8/14/2025 | -3.4% | -5.0% | -4.8% |
| 5/20/2025 | -0.2% | -2.6% | 11.5% |
| 3/31/2025 | -0.5% | -26.4% | -22.2% |
| 2/4/2025 | 1.5% | 0.9% | -10.5% |
| 11/14/2024 | -2.8% | -1.8% | -12.2% |
| 8/14/2024 | -4.7% | -5.9% | -1.5% |
| 5/15/2024 | 2.5% | 4.4% | -5.7% |
| 3/18/2024 | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% |
| 11/9/2023 | -0.6% | 0.9% | -11.0% |
| 8/14/2023 | -5.6% | 0.6% | 12.5% |
| 5/15/2023 | -4.4% | -1.5% | -7.7% |
| 3/29/2023 | -2.9% | 13.4% | -0.4% |
| 11/14/2022 | -2.5% | -3.3% | -7.4% |
| 8/15/2022 | -8.1% | -8.1% | -13.0% |
| 5/16/2022 | -12.1% | -2.3% | 2.3% |
| 3/11/2022 | -16.9% | -6.2% | -29.4% |
| 11/15/2021 | -3.7% | -16.4% | -20.1% |
| 8/16/2021 | -1.9% | -3.8% | 33.3% |
| 5/17/2021 | 2.9% | -1.5% | 10.3% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| # Negative | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| Median Positive | 2.9% | 4.4% | 11.5% |
| Median Negative | -3.1% | -4.9% | -10.8% |
| Max Positive | 4.5% | 13.4% | 33.3% |
| Max Negative | -16.9% | -26.4% | -29.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/13/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/14/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/31/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/15/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/18/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/29/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/13/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/14/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/31/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/15/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/18/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/29/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/16/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/11/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/15/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/16/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/17/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/23/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/16/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/14/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/15/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/30/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/08/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 10/4/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/13/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2026 Production | Reported | |||||||
Insider Activity
Updated 10/13/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kukes, Simon G | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 10122026 | 13.00 | 147,070 | 1,911,910 | 53,788,059 | Form |
| 2 | Clark, Moore | Executive VP | Direct | Sell | 8192026 | 12.37 | 1,218 | 15,067 | 546,346 | Form |
| 3 | Clark, Moore | Executive VP | Direct | Sell | 8192026 | 12.53 | 5,277 | 66,121 | 568,674 | Form |
| 4 | Clark, Moore | Executive VP | Direct | Sell | 8192026 | 12.81 | 3,765 | 48,230 | 648,980 | Form |
| 5 | Clark, Moore | Executive VP | Direct | Sell | 7022026 | 14.67 | 18,797 | 275,790 | 798,568 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kukes, Simon G | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 10122026 | 13.00 | 147,070 | 1,911,910 | 53,788,059 | Form |
| 2 | Clark, Moore | Executive VP | Direct | Sell | 8192026 | 12.37 | 1,218 | 15,067 | 546,346 | Form |
| 3 | Clark, Moore | Executive VP | Direct | Sell | 8192026 | 12.53 | 5,277 | 66,121 | 568,674 | Form |
| 4 | Clark, Moore | Executive VP | Direct | Sell | 8192026 | 12.81 | 3,765 | 48,230 | 648,980 | Form |
| 5 | Clark, Moore | Executive VP | Direct | Sell | 7022026 | 14.67 | 18,797 | 275,790 | 798,568 | Form |
| 6 | Willsher, Martyn | Direct | Buy | 5272026 | 14.29 | 13,428 | 191,859 | 367,587 | Form | |
| 7 | Willsher, Martyn | Direct | Buy | 5272026 | 14.74 | 6,572 | 96,865 | 181,275 | Form | |
| 8 | Clark, Moore | Executive VP | Direct | Sell | 11252025 | 0.46 | 58,333 | 26,588 | 693,728 | Form |
| 9 | Schick, John Douglas | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 11252025 | 0.46 | 66,666 | 30,400 | 1,600,773 | Form |
| 10 | Crook, Jody D | CHIEF COMMERCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 11252025 | 0.46 | 34,314 | 15,651 | 287,254 | Form |
| 11 | Pinkston, Paul Anthony | CAO | Direct | Sell | 11252025 | 0.46 | 19,000 | 8,662 | 363,671 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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Core Cache Last Updated: 10/20/2026