Pure Cycle (PCYO)


Market Price (9/13/2026): $11.12 | Market Cap: $268.0 MilSector: Utilities | Industry: Water Utilities

Pure Cycle (PCYO)


Market Price (9/13/2026): $11.12
Market Cap: $268.0 Mil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Water Utilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 38%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, and Wastewater Management.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 7.9x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 35x

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%

Key risks
PCYO key risks include [1] legal, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 38%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, and Wastewater Management.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 7.9x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 35x
8 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%
9 Key risks
PCYO key risks include [1] legal, Show more.

PCYO in ETFs

Weight = PCYO's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
IWM0.01%
IWN0.01%
VTWO0.01%
DFAS0.01%
DFAC0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/1/2026

Pure Cycle (PCYO) stock has gained about 5% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q3 2026 Financial Performance: Pure Cycle reported robust results for its fiscal Q3 2026, which ended May 31, 2026. The company saw a 60% year-over-year increase in total revenue, reaching $8.2 million. Net income rose 31% to $2.9 million, and earnings per fully diluted common share (EPS) grew 33% to $0.12 compared to the same period in the prior fiscal year. This marked the company's 28th consecutive fiscal quarter with positive net income.

2. Accelerated Land Development and Increased Industrial Water Sales: The significant financial growth was driven by a 19% increase in lot sales revenue for fiscal Q3 2026, resulting from accelerated development activity at the Sky Ranch master-planned community. Concurrently, the water and wastewater segment revenue saw a substantial 119% increase during the quarter, primarily due to higher demand for water from oil and gas operations.

Show more
Updated on 9/1/2026

Pure Cycle (PCYO) stock has gained about 5% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q3 2026 Financial Performance: Pure Cycle reported robust results for its fiscal Q3 2026, which ended May 31, 2026. The company saw a 60% year-over-year increase in total revenue, reaching $8.2 million. Net income rose 31% to $2.9 million, and earnings per fully diluted common share (EPS) grew 33% to $0.12 compared to the same period in the prior fiscal year. This marked the company's 28th consecutive fiscal quarter with positive net income.

2. Accelerated Land Development and Increased Industrial Water Sales: The significant financial growth was driven by a 19% increase in lot sales revenue for fiscal Q3 2026, resulting from accelerated development activity at the Sky Ranch master-planned community. Concurrently, the water and wastewater segment revenue saw a substantial 119% increase during the quarter, primarily due to higher demand for water from oil and gas operations.

3. Positive Technical Momentum: Pure Cycle's stock experienced a bullish technical indicator in late August 2026 when its price crossed above its 200-day moving average, reaching as high as $11.70. This movement is often interpreted by investors as a sign of underlying strength and positive momentum, contributing to the stock's overall gain in the specified period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 7.4% change in PCYO stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 10.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)53120269122026Change
Stock Price ($)10.3511.127.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)313410.1%
Net Income Margin (%)45.8%43.7%-4.7%
P/E Multiple17.818.22.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)24240.0%
Cumulative Contribution7.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PCYO7.4% 
Market (SPY)1.0%-10.1%
Sector (XLU)-4.6%22.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 5.2% change in PCYO stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820269122026Change
Stock Price ($)10.5711.125.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)293414.4%
Net Income Margin (%)46.6%43.7%-6.3%
P/E Multiple18.518.2-1.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2424-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution5.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PCYO5.2% 
Market (SPY)11.7%15.8%
Sector (XLU)-10.6%15.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 10.1% change in PCYO stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 22.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120259122026Change
Stock Price ($)10.1011.1210.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)273422.9%
Net Income Margin (%)49.6%43.7%-11.9%
P/E Multiple17.918.21.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2424-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution10.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PCYO10.1% 
Market (SPY)19.5%19.0%
Sector (XLU)2.7%18.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.2% change in PCYO stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 52.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120239122026Change
Stock Price ($)10.9911.121.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)223452.6%
Net Income Margin (%)41.7%43.7%4.7%
P/E Multiple28.718.2-36.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2424-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution1.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PCYO1.2% 
Market (SPY)75.7%34.2%
Sector (XLU)46.4%21.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
PCYO Return30%-28%-0%21%-13%1%-2%
Peers Return26%-15%17%-10%-7%11%15%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%11%102%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PCYO Win Rate50%42%50%50%42%44% 
Peers Win Rate70%48%52%40%42%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PCYO Max Drawdown-21%-47%-28%-17%-23%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-35%-27%-22%-22%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GWRS, AWR, CWT, FOR, TRC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/11/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventPCYOS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-16.4%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven234 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-27.3%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.5%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven384 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-46.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven86.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven777 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-41.4%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven70.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven357 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-18.5%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.8%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven373 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-18.7%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven23.0%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven167 days6 days

Compare to GWRS, AWR, CWT, FOR, TRC

In The Past

Pure Cycle's stock fell -16.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 19.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventPCYOS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-27.3%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.5%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven384 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-46.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven86.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven777 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-41.4%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven70.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven357 days140 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-45.7%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven84.2%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven841 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-21.9%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.1%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven20 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-46.4%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven86.5%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven465 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-76.2%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven321.1%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven3064 days1085 days

Compare to GWRS, AWR, CWT, FOR, TRC

In The Past

Pure Cycle's stock fell -16.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 19.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Pure Cycle (PCYO)

Pure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) is a Colorado-based company primarily involved in two core business segments: Wholesale Water and Wastewater Services, and Land Development. The company designs, constructs, operates, and maintains critical water and wastewater infrastructure across the Denver metropolitan area and the Colorado Front Range. Founded in 1976, Pure Cycle positions itself as a key infrastructure provider in a growing region.

In its Wholesale Water and Wastewater Services segment, Pure Cycle provides comprehensive solutions spanning water production, storage, treatment, and distribution systems. Concurrently, it develops and manages wastewater collection and treatment systems. This segment's main products are clean water delivery and wastewater treatment, serving a diverse customer base that includes domestic, commercial, and industrial clients.

The Land Development segment focuses on developing master-planned communities, which often entails preparing and selling land parcels for residential and commercial construction. This activity leverages the company's water assets to support regional growth. Additionally, Pure Cycle has a smaller involvement in oil and gas leasing, further diversifying its revenue streams within its primary geographic market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Pure Cycle (PCYO):

  • It's like a regional water utility similar to American Water Works (AWK), that also develops master-planned communities like Howard Hughes Corporation (HHC).
  • Imagine a master-planned community developer like Howard Hughes Corporation (HHC), but one that owns and operates all the essential water and wastewater infrastructure for its developments.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • Wholesale Water Services: Production, storage, treatment, and distribution of water.
  • Wastewater Services: Collection and treatment of wastewater.
  • Land Development: Development of master-planned communities.
  • Oil and Gas Leasing: Business involving the leasing of land for oil and gas activities.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

Pure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) serves a diverse customer base in the Denver metropolitan area and Colorado Front Range. Based on the company's description, it directly serves various end-user categories rather than primarily selling to other companies for resale.

The major customer categories for Pure Cycle are:

  1. Domestic/Residential Customers: These include individual households and residents within the areas where Pure Cycle operates its water and wastewater systems, particularly within its master-planned communities like Sky Ranch.
  2. Commercial Customers: This category encompasses various businesses that require water and wastewater services for their operations within Pure Cycle's service territory.
  3. Industrial Customers: These are larger industrial entities or facilities that have specific needs for water supply and wastewater treatment services provided by Pure Cycle.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Mark W. Harding, President, CEO, and Director

Mr. Harding joined Pure Cycle in 1990. He has been responsible for acquiring over $100 million of water and land interests during his tenure. He also serves as a director on several advisory boards related to water and wastewater issues in the Denver region, focusing on addressing water shortages in Front Range cities. Mr. Harding holds a Bachelor's in Computer Science and a Master's in Business Administration, both from the University of Denver. He has been the Chief Executive Officer of Pure Cycle Corporation since April 2005 and its President since April 2001. Additionally, he serves as President & Director at Rangeview Metropolitan District, Director at HMN Resources, Inc. since 2016, President & Director at Red Sky Ranch Metropolitan District (Colorado), Director at Sky Ranch Community Authority Board (Colorado), and President at South Metro Water Supply Authority. He previously served as an Independent Director at Hawaiian Macadamia Nut Orchards LP.

Marc Spezialy, Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Principal Accounting Officer and Principal Financial Officer

Mr. Spezialy joined Pure Cycle in 2023 and brings over 20 years of accounting and finance experience. Prior to Pure Cycle, he was the VP, Controller, of Pulte Mortgage LLC, a subsidiary of PulteGroup, Inc. in Denver, Colorado. He also served as VP Finance for Alviere, a financial services technology platform, and as Chief Financial Officer of Equinox, a land development and water management company in Denver, Colorado. Mr. Spezialy began his career with PricewaterhouseCoopers in San Francisco in the Audit and Advisory Business Services group, where he was promoted to Audit Manager. He obtained his bachelor's degrees in Accounting and Finance from the University of San Francisco and is a licensed Certified Public Accountant in California.

Dirk Lashnits, Vice President, Land Development

Mr. Lashnits joined Pure Cycle in 2017. He holds a degree in Civil Engineering from the Colorado School of Mines and has over 20 years of experience in land development across the Front Range of Colorado. His expertise spans acquisitions, entitlements, and construction within the local development industry, and he contributes to establishing corporate objectives, mitigating risks, and optimizing results.

Brent Brouillard, Vice President, Engineering

Mr. Brouillard joined Pure Cycle in 2017 and oversees the planning, design, construction, and operations of water and wastewater systems in the Denver-Metro area. He is a Professional Engineer (PE) with fifteen years of experience in the water resources sector. Mr. Brouillard received his Bachelor's in Civil Engineering from the University of Wyoming and holds a Master of Science in Hydrology and a PhD in Civil Engineering from the Colorado School of Mines.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Pure Cycle Corporation's business include:
  1. Dependence on the Housing Market and Land Development: Pure Cycle's revenue is significantly tied to land development and the demand from homebuilders. The company faces considerable risk from headwinds in the housing market, including rising interest rates and economic uncertainty, which can lead to deferred land development revenue. Competition among land developers is also expected to intensify, further impacting the business.
  2. Regulatory Delays and Water Rights Regulations: The company is exposed to risks associated with regulatory delays in its projects. Furthermore, changes in water rights regulations are a significant risk factor, which could impact Pure Cycle's core water and wastewater services.
  3. Cost Inflation and Rising Operating Costs: Pure Cycle experiences challenges from cost inflation and tariffs, which contribute to higher costs of revenue. Rising operating costs and overall inflation can negatively impact the company's profitability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Pure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:

  1. Continued Land Development at Sky Ranch: The company's ongoing development of its master-planned community, Sky Ranch, particularly phases 2D and 2E, is a significant revenue driver. Pure Cycle expects to complete Phase 2D in fiscal 2026 and has started platting 159 lots in Phase 2E, with completion anticipated in fiscal 2027. This phased approach ensures a steady stream of lot sales revenue and associated tap fees.
  2. Growth in Water Utility Customer Base and Tap Fees: The Wholesale Water and Wastewater Services segment is experiencing robust growth. The water utility customer base has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22%, providing a stable foundation for recurring revenue. Additionally, tap fees are increasing by approximately 6-7% annually, with management estimating over $19 million in Phase 2 tap fee revenue over the next three years.
  3. Expansion of Single-Family Rental Portfolio: Pure Cycle's single-family rental segment is contributing to stable recurring income. The company is accelerating the growth of this portfolio, with rental revenue increasing approximately 20% from Q1 2024 to Q1 2026. As of a recent report, this segment includes 19 completed and fully leased homes, with another 40 units under contract.
  4. Commercial Lot Sales Following Interchange Construction: A major anticipated driver is the commencement of commercial lot sales, which are projected to begin in 2028. This growth will be significantly boosted by the planned interchange construction, expected to start in 2027. This infrastructure development is poised to unlock substantial commercial development opportunities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Pure Cycle Corporation's repurchases of common shares amounted to approximately $397,000 in fiscal year 2025.
  • The company consistently utilizes available liquidity to support its share repurchase program, reflecting a belief that its shares are undervalued.

Share Issuance

  • Pure Cycle Corporation has maintained a relatively stable number of shares outstanding, approximately 24 million, from 2020 to 2025, indicating no significant share issuances during this period.

Outbound Investments

  • Pure Cycle Corporation has not made any significant outbound investments or acquisitions in other companies in recent years.
  • In 2023, the company reported approximately $15.3 million in proceeds from the sale of investments, indicating a divestment rather than new outbound investments.

Capital Expenditures

  • For the fiscal year ended August 31, 2024, Pure Cycle Corporation's investments in water and wastewater systems (net) were approximately $60.486 million, with an additional $3.161 million in construction in progress.
  • For the fiscal year ended August 31, 2023, investments in water and wastewater systems (net) were approximately $57.798 million, with an additional $5.457 million in construction in progress.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures is on the ongoing development of the Sky Ranch Master Planned Community, including land development for residential lots, expansion of water and wastewater infrastructure, and the construction of single-family rental homes. The company anticipates completing Phase 2D lots and commencing Phase 2E construction, along with accelerating single-family rental home deliveries in fiscal year 2026.

Better Bets vs. Pure Cycle (PCYO)

Peer Outperformance in Water Utilities

PCYO has trailed 80% of its 10 Water Utilities peers over 5Y. Water Utilities ranks 5th of 6 industries in Utilities by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Water Utilities constituents that PCYO has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
20%
of 10 industry peers · 0.9% return
3Y
80%
of 10 industry peers · 7.4% return
5Y
20%
of 10 industry peers · -18.0% return
No Water Utilities peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten PCYO by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Utilities sector, ranked by 5Y. Water Utilities is PCYO's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders 5 -13.6%123.1%193.4% HNRG 497% · OKLO 271% · NRG 193%
Gas Utilities 10 5.7%45.0%41.4% ATO 100% · NFG 84% · NJR 75%
Multi-Utilities 18 6.6%42.1%40.6% NI 97% · MDU 94% · ED 70%
Electric Utilities 24 6.6%42.4%39.2% VST 775% · GNE 171% · ETR 124%
Water Utilities ← 11 8.0%5.2%-11.4% CWCO 163% · ARTNA 14% · AWR 9%
Renewable Electricity 5 -28.5%-61.7%-94.6% ORA 38% · CWEN 31% · AGIG -95%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PCYOGWRSAWRCWTFORTRCMedian
NamePure Cyc.Global W.American.Californ.Forestar Tejon Ra. 
Mkt Price11.128.7186.4848.2226.8516.2121.53
Mkt Cap0.30.33.42.91.40.40.9
Rev LTM34606971,0541,72557379
Op Inc LTM138222204214-1108
FCF LTM-1-2421-236283-30-13
FCF 3Y Avg-3-19-24-195-35-44-29
CFO LTM82023732828412129
CFO 3Y Avg521198296-341317

Growth & Margins

PCYOGWRSAWRCWTFORTRCMedian
NamePure Cyc.Global W.American.Californ.Forestar Tejon Ra. 
Rev Chg LTM22.9%10.8%13.2%6.4%11.8%25.4%12.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.2%7.0%6.6%10.4%11.0%-0.4%8.7%
Rev Chg Q60.0%24.8%11.2%16.5%4.2%71.7%20.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM10.1%6.2%2.7%4.3%1.0%11.7%5.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM33.5%-10.9%16.7%5.7%5.7%94.8%11.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg32.6%-8.7%7.9%39.2%6.5%-36.6%7.2%
Op Mgn LTM37.7%13.6%31.8%19.4%12.4%-0.9%16.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg31.8%16.3%31.3%19.8%13.6%-15.9%18.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%2.5%1.1%1.8%0.1%8.8%1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM22.5%34.1%33.9%31.1%16.5%21.9%26.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.7%38.7%31.3%29.2%-2.8%27.0%28.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-3.2%-40.5%3.0%-22.4%16.4%-53.4%-12.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-15.8%-33.6%-4.4%-19.2%-2.9%-94.6%-17.5%

Valuation

PCYOGWRSAWRCWTFORTRCMedian
NamePure Cyc.Global W.American.Californ.Forestar Tejon Ra. 
Mkt Cap0.30.33.42.91.40.40.9
P/S7.94.24.92.80.87.74.5
P/Op Inc21.130.715.314.26.4-850.014.8
P/EBIT13.323.714.512.76.4-850.013.0
P/E18.280.023.821.88.172.522.8
P/CFO35.412.214.48.94.835.113.3
Total Yield5.5%4.7%6.5%7.2%12.4%1.4%6.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.4%2.3%2.6%0.0%0.0%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.4%-7.9%-0.9%-6.9%-6.2%-9.3%-6.6%
D/E0.10.60.30.60.60.20.4
Net D/E0.00.60.30.60.30.20.3

Returns

PCYOGWRSAWRCWTFORTRCMedian
NamePure Cyc.Global W.American.Californ.Forestar Tejon Ra. 
1M Rtn-1.9%-1.7%-1.9%-3.9%-9.0%-1.2%-1.9%
3M Rtn3.6%25.1%11.9%6.5%-8.0%-15.8%5.1%
6M Rtn8.3%20.8%15.9%8.2%6.0%-13.8%8.3%
12M Rtn0.9%-8.4%21.4%7.3%-3.0%-2.8%-0.9%
3Y Rtn7.4%-11.7%11.8%5.2%-2.9%-1.9%1.7%
1M Excs Rtn-0.7%16.0%0.1%-2.3%-6.8%0.4%-0.3%
3M Excs Rtn1.8%22.3%9.6%3.5%-10.3%-19.2%2.6%
6M Excs Rtn-4.4%9.4%2.9%-4.5%-7.1%-30.2%-4.5%
12M Excs Rtn-16.4%-24.0%4.2%-8.6%-20.0%-20.6%-18.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-67.4%-86.2%-57.7%-64.1%-76.1%-72.5%-70.0%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Land development15187137
Water and wastewater resource development101171010
Single-family rental0000 
Corporate00   
Total2629152317


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2020
Water and wastewater resource development4
Land development3
Corporate-6
Total2


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Corporate7769573927
Water and wastewater resource development6965636358
Land development11982633
Single-family rental5552 
Total162147133129117


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$11.12 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.3 
First Trading Date01/02/1997 
Distance from 52W High-6.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$10.97$10.98
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA1.4%1.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility26.4%28.6%
Downside Capture-94.0646.19
Upside Capture-61.7738.49
Correlation (SPY)-12.7%18.8%
PCYO Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.51-0.01-0.230.350.430.68
Up Beta0.600.38-0.110.550.460.83
Down Beta-0.651.150.680.320.400.51
Up Capture-47%-35%-38%26%34%29%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days12213362117358
Down Capture-245%-62%-99%31%51%91%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days8202961125371

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PCYO
PCYO0.8%28.7%0.02-
Sector ETF (XLU)2.3%15.1%-0.0618.5%
Equity (SPY)18.3%12.8%1.0319.3%
Gold (GLD)19.0%29.2%0.593.1%
Commodities (DBC)48.3%20.6%1.80-24.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.6%13.6%0.2930.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-32.4%43.8%-0.7714.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PCYO
PCYO-5.5%32.0%-0.13-
Sector ETF (XLU)6.9%17.4%0.2626.2%
Equity (SPY)12.5%17.2%0.5538.1%
Gold (GLD)18.7%18.8%0.818.4%
Commodities (DBC)11.4%19.5%0.462.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.7%18.9%-0.0739.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.4%52.6%0.3622.4%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PCYO
PCYO9.0%35.5%0.34-
Sector ETF (XLU)8.9%19.3%0.3927.5%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7241.1%
Gold (GLD)12.3%16.3%0.623.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.7%18.1%0.3910.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%20.7%0.1940.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.2%66.2%1.0314.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 81520263.8%
Average Daily Volume0.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity24.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/25/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/9/20260.9%-5.6%-0.5%
1/8/20264.8%6.1%4.6%
11/13/2025-1.6%-2.1%5.6%
7/10/2025-2.3%-3.9%-6.6%
4/10/2025-4.5%-7.2%-3.9%
1/10/2025-3.4%-3.3%-3.4%
11/14/2024-2.1%5.8%1.0%
7/11/20247.0%14.7%5.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101111
# Negative111010
Median Positive4.3%5.2%5.0%
Median Negative-1.6%-3.7%-5.1%
Max Positive9.6%14.7%11.5%
Max Negative-4.5%-7.2%-10.1%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/9/20260.9%-5.6%-0.5%
1/8/20264.8%6.1%4.6%
11/13/2025-1.6%-2.1%5.6%
7/10/2025-2.3%-3.9%-6.6%
4/10/2025-4.5%-7.2%-3.9%
1/10/2025-3.4%-3.3%-3.4%
11/14/2024-2.1%5.8%1.0%
7/11/20247.0%14.7%5.0%
4/11/20241.8%-1.5%4.6%
1/16/2024-0.3%5.2%0.3%
11/16/2023-2.9%0.8%6.4%
7/14/20236.2%11.9%7.4%
4/14/2023-0.5%1.8%2.9%
1/10/20233.8%-3.5%-6.4%
11/17/2022-0.2%2.2%-3.2%
7/18/20223.8%1.5%11.5%
1/12/20221.7%-6.5%-8.8%
11/12/2021-0.1%-1.8%-10.1%
7/7/2021-1.5%-4.9%5.3%
4/13/20219.6%5.3%-9.2%
1/4/20216.7%2.4%-1.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101111
# Negative111010
Median Positive4.3%5.2%5.0%
Median Negative-1.6%-3.7%-5.1%
Max Positive9.6%14.7%11.5%
Max Negative-4.5%-7.2%-10.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
05/31/202607/08/202610-Q
02/28/202604/08/202610-Q
11/30/202501/07/202610-Q
08/31/202511/12/202510-K
05/31/202507/09/202510-Q
02/28/202504/09/202510-Q
11/30/202401/08/202510-Q
08/31/202411/13/202410-K
05/31/202407/10/202410-Q
02/29/202404/10/202410-Q
11/30/202301/16/202410-Q
08/31/202311/15/202310-K
05/31/202307/14/202310-Q
02/28/202304/14/202310-Q
11/30/202201/13/202310-Q
08/31/202211/14/202210-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
05/31/202607/08/202610-Q
02/28/202604/08/202610-Q
11/30/202501/07/202610-Q
08/31/202511/12/202510-K
05/31/202507/09/202510-Q
02/28/202504/09/202510-Q
11/30/202401/08/202510-Q
08/31/202411/13/202410-K
05/31/202407/10/202410-Q
02/29/202404/10/202410-Q
11/30/202301/16/202410-Q
08/31/202311/15/202310-K
05/31/202307/14/202310-Q
02/28/202304/14/202310-Q
11/30/202201/13/202310-Q
08/31/202211/14/202210-K
05/31/202207/11/202210-Q
02/28/202204/11/202210-Q
11/30/202101/10/202210-Q
08/31/202111/10/202110-K
05/31/202107/09/202110-Q
02/28/202104/14/202110-Q
11/30/202001/05/202110-Q
08/31/202011/10/202010-K
05/31/202007/07/202010-Q
02/29/202004/07/202010-Q
11/30/201901/07/202010-Q
08/31/201911/12/201910-K

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/25/2026

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 7/9/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Milestone and finished lot paymentsReported 14.80 Mil -21.7% LoweredGuidance: 18.90 Mil for 2027
2029 Water and wastewater tap fee revenueReported 19.00 Mil    


Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 4/9/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Tap Fee RevenueReported 19.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 19.00 Mil for 2026-2028
2027 Milestone and Finished Lot PaymentsReported 18.90 Mil    

Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 1/8/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026-2028 Tap Fee RevenueReported 19.00 Mil -0.5% LoweredGuidance: 19.10 Mil for 2028

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 11/13/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2028 Tap Fee RevenueReported 19.10 Mil    

Insider Activity

Updated 4/26/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Kozlowski, Daniel RSee FootnoteSell1119202511.0168,778757,10828,620,800Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Kozlowski, Daniel RSee FootnoteSell1119202511.0168,778757,10828,620,800Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Sep 13, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Magnolia Group, LLC$19.3 Mil3.6%12Hold13F
Active Manager
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Magnolia Group, LLC$19.3 Mil3.6%12Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/12/2026