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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, and Wastewater Management.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, and Wastewater Management.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PCYO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Pure Cycle (PCYO) experienced an 18.2% movement between approximately August 31, 2025, and December 15, 2025. Here are key points that likely contributed to this movement:

1. Pure Cycle Announced Strong Financial Results for the Year Ended August 31, 2025. The company reported $13.1 million in net income, marking a 13% increase from 2024. Earnings per fully diluted common share rose to $0.54, up 12.5% from $0.48 in the prior year. This also represented their eighth consecutive year and twenty-fifth consecutive fiscal quarter with positive net income.

2. Significant Increase in Oil and Gas Royalty Income. Pure Cycle reported a substantial 738% increase in royalty income from its oil and gas mineral interest for the year ended August 31, 2025. This was attributed to six wells completed at Sky Ranch in 2024 that began producing during this fiscal year.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PCYO Return-11%30%-28%-0%21%-7%-6%
Peers Return-0%26%-15%17%-10%-5%7%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PCYO Win Rate33%50%42%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate45%70%48%52%40%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PCYO Max Drawdown-37%-5%-47%-17%-14%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-5%-35%-19%-16%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GWRS, AWR, CWT, FOR, TRC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPCYOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven110.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven365 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven377 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-79.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven389.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3370 days1480 days

Compare to CWT, MSEX, CWCO, AWK, WTRG


In The Past

Pure Cycle's stock fell -52.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/16/2021. A -52.5% loss requires a 110.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Pure Cycle (PCYO)

Better Bets than Pure Cycle (PCYO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PCYO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.2%-2.2%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.2%-2.2%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Pure Cycle

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PCYOGWRSAWRCWTFORTRCMedian
NamePure Cyc.Global W.American.Californ.Forestar Tejon Ra. 
Mkt Price11.948.4773.9544.1726.5916.4621.52
Mkt Cap0.30.22.92.61.40.40.9
Rev LTM26556371,0021,66246346
Op Inc LTM88197189209-899
FCF LTM4-3935-181-199-70-54
FCF 3Y Avg-4-15-47-1731-42-28
CFO LTM1323267323-198918
CFO 3Y Avg42316526931016

Growth & Margins

PCYOGWRSAWRCWTFORTRCMedian
NamePure Cyc.Global W.American.Californ.Forestar Tejon Ra. 
Rev Chg LTM-9.3%7.1%10.3%-2.6%10.1%15.7%8.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.1%8.3%10.2%8.2%3.3%-11.8%8.3%
Rev Chg Q-10.8%8.4%12.9%3.9%21.6%10.3%9.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-5.0%2.2%3.4%1.2%7.7%2.5%2.3%
Op Mgn LTM29.4%14.6%30.9%18.9%12.6%-17.5%16.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg28.7%18.8%31.3%17.0%14.3%-18.3%17.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-5.3%-2.3%0.0%-0.3%-0.5%4.3%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM50.5%42.3%41.8%32.2%-11.9%19.7%37.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.2%42.9%27.1%28.4%1.0%22.0%24.6%
FCF/Rev LTM14.0%-70.9%5.5%-18.0%-12.0%-150.0%-15.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-28.7%-27.1%-8.2%-18.9%0.9%-96.7%-23.0%

Valuation

PCYOGWRSAWRCWTFORTRCMedian
NamePure Cyc.Global W.American.Californ.Forestar Tejon Ra. 
Mkt Cap0.30.22.92.61.40.40.9
P/S10.24.24.42.70.89.34.3
P/EBIT-23.713.412.56.5-52.912.5
P/E20.353.321.720.08.1144.321.0
P/CFO20.29.910.68.5-6.946.910.3
Total Yield4.9%5.2%7.2%7.6%12.4%0.7%6.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.4%2.6%2.7%0.0%0.0%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--5.2%-1.5%-6.1%0.8%-9.4%-5.2%
D/E-0.50.30.60.60.20.5
Net D/E-0.40.30.50.30.20.3

Returns

PCYOGWRSAWRCWTFORTRCMedian
NamePure Cyc.Global W.American.Californ.Forestar Tejon Ra. 
1M Rtn7.5%-4.9%-0.9%-3.7%8.9%-0.1%-0.5%
3M Rtn8.3%-13.5%1.8%-3.9%-3.9%-1.3%-2.6%
6M Rtn17.8%-17.1%-4.1%-3.4%34.7%2.5%-0.5%
12M Rtn-10.6%-30.2%-8.8%-6.4%-4.5%7.5%-7.6%
3Y Rtn14.3%-29.6%-16.1%-23.0%71.1%-11.8%-14.0%
1M Excs Rtn6.7%-14.1%-1.3%-2.5%7.9%1.6%0.1%
3M Excs Rtn4.2%-17.4%-0.3%-4.8%-6.8%-4.1%-4.5%
6M Excs Rtn3.5%-31.3%-18.3%-17.7%20.5%-11.7%-14.7%
12M Excs Rtn-26.0%-43.6%-21.5%-19.8%-19.0%-9.3%-20.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-57.3%-108.5%-91.5%-98.2%-1.1%-86.4%-89.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Corporate695739 27
Water and wastewater resource development6563635856
Land development9826337
Single-family rental55227 
Total14713312911790


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity343,948
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.5%
Average Daily Volume48,551
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.08
Basic Shares Quantity24,073,704
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/2025-1.6%-2.1% 
7/10/2025-2.3%-3.9%-6.6%
4/10/2025-4.5%-7.2%-3.9%
11/14/2024-2.1%5.8%1.0%
7/11/20247.0%14.7%5.0%
4/11/20241.8%-1.5%4.6%
11/16/2023-2.9%0.8%6.4%
7/14/20236.2%11.9%7.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive698
# Negative967
Median Positive6.4%2.4%5.1%
Median Negative-1.6%-3.0%-5.2%
Max Positive9.6%14.7%11.5%
Max Negative-4.5%-7.2%-10.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251112202510-K 8/31/2025
5312025709202510-Q 5/31/2025
2282025409202510-Q 2/28/2025
11302024108202510-Q 11/30/2024
83120241113202410-K 8/31/2024
5312024710202410-Q 5/31/2024
2292024410202410-Q 2/29/2024
11302023116202410-Q 11/30/2023
83120231115202310-K 8/31/2023
5312023714202310-Q 5/31/2023
2282023414202310-Q 2/28/2023
11302022113202310-Q 11/30/2022
83120221114202210-K 8/31/2022
5312022711202210-Q 5/31/2022
2282022411202210-Q 2/28/2022
11302021110202210-Q 11/30/2021