Tearsheet

PACCAR (PCAR)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $112.25 | Market Cap: $59.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

PACCAR (PCAR)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $112.25
Market Cap: $59.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.6%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 6.2%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.2%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -19%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 4.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.2 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%
Key risks
PCAR key risks include [1] navigating regulatory uncertainty and increased expenditures from new emissions mandates, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Future of Freight. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.6%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 6.2%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 4.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.2 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Future of Freight. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.2%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -19%
7 Key risks
PCAR key risks include [1] navigating regulatory uncertainty and increased expenditures from new emissions mandates, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PCAR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) experienced significant events between August 31, 2025, and December 17, 2025, that likely influenced its stock performance. While the exact 12.6% stock movement cannot be directly confirmed from the provided search results, the following key points highlight relevant developments during the specified period:

1. Q3 2025 Earnings Report and Revenue Beat: PACCAR reported its Q3 2025 earnings on October 21, 2025, with consolidated revenues of $6.67 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $6.18 billion to $6.37 billion. This revenue beat, despite a decline from the prior year, demonstrated resilience in a challenging market. However, earnings per share (EPS) of $1.12 slightly missed some analyst estimates.

2. Strong Performance in PACCAR Parts and Financial Services: Despite a decline in global truck sales, PACCAR's Parts division achieved record revenues of $1.72 billion in Q3 2025, with increased pretax profit. PACCAR Financial Services also reported increased pretax income, benefiting from an improving used truck market. These segments contributed significantly to the company's overall financial health amidst a weaker truck sales environment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PCAR Return12%6%17%55%11%10%161%
Peers Return157%16%-7%39%43%33%636%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PCAR Win Rate58%50%42%67%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate62%60%42%55%67%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PCAR Max Drawdown-37%-8%-10%-1%-6%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-10%-30%-11%-14%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CAT, CMI, OSK, TSLA, ALSN. See PCAR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPCARS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-20.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven400 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven119 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-30.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven376 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-67.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven211.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1817 days1480 days

Compare to GM, F, RIVN, OSK, LCID


In The Past

PACCAR's stock fell -20.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -20.9% loss requires a 26.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PACCAR (PCAR)

Better Bets than PACCAR (PCAR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PCAR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PACCAR

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PCARCATCMIOSKTSLAALSNMedian
NamePACCAR Caterpil.Cummins Oshkosh Tesla Allison . 
Mkt Price112.16588.93514.53128.52489.8898.69309.20
Mkt Cap59.0276.071.08.21,580.88.365.0
Rev LTM29,53264,67133,58110,33295,6333,06931,556
Op Inc LTM3,36511,4153,7549574,8689443,560
FCF LTM3,1947,5602,2787556,8346282,736
FCF 3Y Avg3,0058,6161,5943164,7196472,299
CFO LTM4,71711,5413,50997415,7488044,113
CFO 3Y Avg4,45011,9362,78659914,1308013,618

Growth & Margins

PCARCATCMIOSKTSLAALSNMedian
NamePACCAR Caterpil.Cummins Oshkosh Tesla Allison . 
Rev Chg LTM-15.2%-1.5%-1.8%-2.5%-1.6%-4.2%-2.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.8%4.9%9.4%9.9%9.3%4.6%7.1%
Rev Chg Q-19.0%9.5%-1.6%-1.9%11.6%-15.9%-1.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-5.0%2.4%-0.4%-0.5%3.1%-4.1%-0.5%
Op Mgn LTM11.4%17.7%11.2%9.3%5.1%30.8%11.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.4%18.9%10.4%9.2%8.3%30.4%12.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%-0.6%0.0%-0.0%-1.1%-0.5%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM16.0%17.8%10.4%9.4%16.5%26.2%16.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.7%18.2%8.3%6.0%14.7%26.0%14.2%
FCF/Rev LTM10.8%11.7%6.8%7.3%7.1%20.5%9.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.2%13.1%4.8%3.1%4.9%21.0%7.1%

Valuation

PCARCATCMIOSKTSLAALSNMedian
NamePACCAR Caterpil.Cummins Oshkosh Tesla Allison . 
Mkt Cap59.0276.071.08.21,580.88.365.0
P/S1.84.31.70.815.02.32.0
P/EBIT15.418.314.08.5205.97.514.7
P/E19.229.821.812.5282.610.220.5
P/CFO11.023.916.68.591.18.913.8
Total Yield9.6%4.3%6.3%9.6%0.4%10.1%7.9%
Dividend Yield4.4%1.0%1.8%1.5%0.0%0.3%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.1%4.9%3.8%4.1%0.5%9.6%4.5%
D/E0.30.20.10.10.00.30.2
Net D/E0.10.20.10.1-0.00.20.1

Returns

PCARCATCMIOSKTSLAALSNMedian
NamePACCAR Caterpil.Cummins Oshkosh Tesla Allison . 
1M Rtn17.3%6.3%11.2%3.2%21.2%20.8%14.3%
3M Rtn9.4%34.0%24.4%-5.1%16.2%12.9%14.6%
6M Rtn23.9%65.7%65.0%17.9%54.9%6.3%39.4%
12M Rtn4.1%57.8%43.0%32.0%5.8%-12.8%18.9%
3Y Rtn89.1%166.3%134.5%58.8%226.1%143.2%138.9%
1M Excs Rtn16.4%5.3%10.2%2.2%20.2%19.8%13.3%
3M Excs Rtn8.6%28.0%22.5%-6.6%12.0%10.4%11.2%
6M Excs Rtn10.3%52.1%51.3%4.3%41.2%-7.3%25.7%
12M Excs Rtn-8.7%44.6%29.2%16.5%4.8%-26.6%10.7%
3Y Excs Rtn15.7%99.9%59.2%-16.9%100.8%69.0%64.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Truck27,25722,00617,37913,16519,990
Parts6,4865,8295,0053,9134,025
Financial Services1,8121,5051,6881,5741,480
Other55649077105
Intersegment-483-584-640  
Total35,12728,82023,52218,72825,600


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Financial Services20,96417,18015,41915,80016,071
Cash and marketable securities8,6596,1594,8134,8345,169
Truck8,0387,2186,9125,9725,609
Parts1,9121,7421,5051,2561,172
Other1,250977860399339
Total40,82333,27629,50928,26028,361


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,821,675
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202525.2%
Average Daily Volume3,388,115
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.08
Basic Shares Quantity525,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/20252.4%3.7%-0.2%
7/22/20256.1%8.3%7.4%
4/29/2025-1.9%-2.8%2.5%
1/28/2025-2.4%-0.7%-3.2%
10/22/2024-4.4%-2.3%1.0%
7/23/2024-11.0%-9.8%-12.0%
4/30/2024-6.6%-7.5%-7.1%
1/23/20244.0%4.4%12.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101212
# Negative141212
Median Positive3.6%4.4%6.6%
Median Negative-2.3%-2.8%-3.7%
Max Positive8.6%8.3%15.6%
Max Negative-11.0%-9.8%-12.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021