Tearsheet

First Financial Bankshares (FFIN)


Market Price (11/16/2025): $31.16 | Market Cap: $4.5 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

First Financial Bankshares (FFIN)


Market Price (11/16/2025): $31.16
Market Cap: $4.5 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%, FCF Yield is 6.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -80%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.81
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%, FCF Yield is 6.7%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -80%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.81

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

FFIN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why First Financial Bankshares (FFIN) stock moved by -9.6% from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 15, 2025: 1. Missed Q3 2025 Earnings Estimates.

First Financial Bankshares reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.36 for the third quarter of 2025, which significantly missed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.47. 2. Significant Credit Loss from Fraudulent Activity.

The company incurred a substantial $21.55 million credit loss in the third quarter of 2025, which was attributed to fraudulent activity involving a commercial borrower.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FFIN Return5%42%-31%-10%22%-12%-1%
Peers Return-10%15%-7%6%20%-5%17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FFIN Win Rate58%58%25%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate53%65%45%47%50%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FFIN Max Drawdown-33%-1%-35%-32%-9%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-50%-9%-23%-29%-11%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ONB, CADE, SNV, UBSI, EEFT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFFINS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven135.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven246 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven24.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven172 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-35.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1360 days1480 days

Compare to ONB, CADE, SNV, UBSI, EEFT


In The Past

First Financial Bankshares's stock fell -57.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/23/2021. A -57.6% loss requires a 135.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About First Financial Bankshares (FFIN)

Better Bets than First Financial Bankshares (FFIN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FFIN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.2%1.2%-4.2%
CPAY_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.2%7.2%0.0%
EEFT_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025EEFTEuronet WorldwideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.9%-6.9%-7.4%
GPN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.7%-4.7%-4.7%
APO_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025APOApollo Asset ManagementDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.5%10.5%0.0%
FFIN_12312018_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312018FFINFirst Financial BanksharesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
6.2%23.5%-4.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.2%1.2%-4.2%
CPAY_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.2%7.2%0.0%
EEFT_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025EEFTEuronet WorldwideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.9%-6.9%-7.4%
GPN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GPNGlobal PaymentsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.7%-4.7%-4.7%
APO_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025APOApollo Asset ManagementDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.5%10.5%0.0%
FFIN_12312018_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312018FFINFirst Financial BanksharesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
6.2%23.5%-4.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for First Financial Bankshares

Financials

FFINONBCADESNVUBSIEEFTMedian
NameFirst Fi.Old Nati.Cadence .Synovus .United B.Euronet . 
Mkt Price31.1420.7638.4146.7736.4370.6437.42
Mkt Cap4.58.17.16.55.22.85.8
Rev LTM6002,3241,8312,3551,1784,1832,078
Op Inc LTM-----552552
FCF LTM297729-668481334481
FCF 3Y Avg281563-1,002446576563
CFO LTM309758-702496462496
CFO 3Y Avg296596-1,042459686596

Growth & Margins

FFINONBCADESNVUBSIEEFTMedian
NameFirst Fi.Old Nati.Cadence .Synovus .United B.Euronet . 
Rev Chg LTM17.7%24.9%42.6%24.7%14.3%7.2%21.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.5%20.7%18.2%5.1%5.9%8.2%7.0%
Rev Chg Q15.8%45.1%8.8%10.2%23.6%4.2%13.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.7%10.4%2.2%2.5%5.5%1.1%3.1%
Op Mgn LTM-----13.2%13.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-----12.3%12.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-----0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM51.5%32.6%-29.8%42.1%11.1%32.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg55.8%29.0%-48.0%42.2%17.9%42.2%
FCF/Rev LTM49.5%31.4%-28.4%40.8%8.0%31.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg53.0%27.3%-46.1%40.9%15.1%40.9%

Valuation

FFINONBCADESNVUBSIEEFTMedian
NameFirst Fi.Old Nati.Cadence .Synovus .United B.Euronet . 
Mkt Cap4.58.17.16.55.22.85.8
P/S7.43.53.92.84.40.73.7
P/EBIT-----5.45.4
P/E18.413.313.28.112.09.412.6
P/CFO14.410.7-9.310.46.210.4
Total Yield7.8%7.5%9.5%15.7%12.4%10.6%10.1%
Dividend Yield2.3%0.0%1.9%3.3%4.0%0.0%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.3%9.5%-20.2%9.7%14.5%9.7%
D/E0.00.80.40.50.10.90.4
Net D/E-0.80.6-0.5-1.0-1.00.2-0.6

Returns

FFINONBCADESNVUBSIEEFTMedian
NameFirst Fi.Old Nati.Cadence .Synovus .United B.Euronet . 
1M Rtn-0.6%5.9%7.2%6.0%6.2%-18.0%6.0%
3M Rtn-11.5%-2.0%9.4%-4.8%-0.3%-26.4%-3.4%
6M Rtn-12.2%-5.0%22.7%-3.9%-0.1%-36.4%-4.5%
12M Rtn-23.1%0.3%5.2%-13.4%-10.2%-30.7%-11.8%
3Y Rtn-11.3%24.6%50.8%22.9%-2.2%-21.0%10.3%
1M Excs Rtn-2.2%4.3%5.6%4.4%4.6%-19.6%4.4%
3M Excs Rtn-16.6%-7.5%4.4%-9.6%-5.6%-30.7%-8.5%
6M Excs Rtn-25.3%-18.0%9.7%-17.0%-13.2%-49.4%-17.5%
12M Excs Rtn-37.8%-17.4%-10.1%-29.7%-23.4%-44.5%-26.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-89.0%-62.6%-23.2%-49.6%-82.6%-93.6%-72.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Community banking478520500478387
Total478520500478387


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,390,718
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-3.4%
Average Daily Volume683,994
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.81
Basic Shares Quantity143,105,224
Short % of Basic Shares5.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/24/20250.6%-0.7% 
7/17/20251.4%0.2%-3.8%
4/17/2025-1.3%2.1%9.8%
1/23/20253.4%3.0%0.6%
10/17/2024-1.2%-5.1%6.4%
7/19/20243.0%10.6%0.7%
4/19/20241.4%1.2%4.8%
1/26/20242.4%-2.4%-4.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161615
# Negative889
Median Positive2.2%2.7%7.4%
Median Negative-1.2%-3.1%-4.9%
Max Positive4.2%10.6%18.2%
Max Negative-9.1%-13.9%-14.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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