Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -78%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -127%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -47 Mil
2   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 118%
3   Key risks
PASG key risks include [1] its history of operating losses, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -78%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -127%
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -47 Mil
4 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 118%
5 Key risks
PASG key risks include [1] its history of operating losses, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PASG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points that likely contributed to Passage Bio (PASG) stock movement around the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Reverse Stock Split and Subsequent Market Reaction

Passage Bio executed a 1-for-20 reverse stock split effective July 14, 2025, primarily to regain compliance with Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement. Following this action, the stock experienced a significant surge of 31.04% on July 25, 2025, indicating a positive immediate market reaction and a potential shift in investor sentiment. 2. Positive Clinical Trial Data for PBFT02

The company reported updated interim data from its Phase 1/2 upliFT-D clinical trial for PBFT02, a gene therapy targeting frontotemporal dementia (FTD). These updates highlighted robust and durable elevation of progranulin levels and early evidence of reduced plasma neurofilament light (NfL) levels, a biomarker for disease progression, compared to natural history data. The positive clinical trial results can act as a significant catalyst for a biotechnology stock.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PASG Return-75%-78%-27%-44%-17%
Peers Return-31%0%-9%-28%38%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PASG Win Rate70%17%25%25%25%50% 
Peers Win Rate45%38%48%43%40%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PASG Max Drawdown-76%-83%-57%-53%-54% 
Peers Max Drawdown-44%-45%-45%-41%-52% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALEC, TSHA, VYGR, RGNX, SRPT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPASGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4871.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-65.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven191.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Passage Bio's stock fell -98.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2021. A -98.0% loss requires a 4871.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Passage Bio (PASG)

Better Bets than Passage Bio (PASG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Passage Bio Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PASG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Passage Bio

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PASGALECTSHAVYGRRGNXSRPTMedian
NamePassage .Alector Taysha G.Voyager .RegenxbioSarepta . 
Mkt Price9.011.355.444.2613.1721.147.22
Mkt Cap0.00.11.90.30.72.10.5
Rev LTM0696311612,41450
Op Inc LTM-47-124-102-140-155-86-113
FCF LTM-33-198-85-119-106-389-113
FCF 3Y Avg-59-203-72-21-174-495-123
CFO LTM-33-197-85-117-103-245-110
CFO 3Y Avg-58-202-69-17-168-379-118

Growth & Margins

PASGALECTSHAVYGRRGNXSRPTMedian
NamePassage .Alector Taysha G.Voyager .RegenxbioSarepta . 
Rev Chg LTM-12.3%-36.4%-80.9%91.3%47.1%12.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--17.2%-15.7%-1.0%40.6%7.3%
Rev Chg Q--78.8%-100.0%-45.7%22.9%-14.5%-45.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--14.9%-22.1%-26.5%3.6%-2.7%-14.9%
Op Mgn LTM--179.1%-1,618.5%-447.7%-96.0%-3.6%-179.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--215.4%-986.7%-138.3%-216.3%-11.6%-215.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--13.3%-517.5%-157.9%9.6%-3.5%-13.3%
CFO/Rev LTM--285.8%-1,341.9%-372.8%-64.0%-10.1%-285.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--279.7%-811.0%-110.4%-166.2%-26.8%-166.2%
FCF/Rev LTM--286.2%-1,349.7%-379.5%-65.9%-16.1%-286.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--281.6%-837.5%-114.2%-172.6%-33.7%-172.6%

Valuation

PASGALECTSHAVYGRRGNXSRPTMedian
NamePassage .Alector Taysha G.Voyager .RegenxbioSarepta . 
Mkt Cap0.00.11.90.30.72.10.5
P/S-4.4183.18.83.10.84.4
P/EBIT--2.5-11.6--3.7-8.4-6.0
P/E-0.6-2.8-11.6-2.2-2.8-7.1-2.8
P/CFO-0.8-1.5-13.6-2.4-4.8-7.9-3.6
Total Yield-177.3%-35.5%-8.6%-46.2%-35.7%-14.1%-35.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--49.6%-11.7%--29.3%-10.0%-20.5%
D/E-0.10.1-0.20.60.1
Net D/E--0.8-0.2--0.40.2-0.3

Returns

PASGALECTSHAVYGRRGNXSRPTMedian
NamePassage .Alector Taysha G.Voyager .RegenxbioSarepta . 
1M Rtn0.3%8.9%32.0%3.6%18.2%20.5%13.5%
3M Rtn28.2%-54.2%87.6%0.0%45.8%24.0%26.1%
6M Rtn15.4%-7.5%111.7%40.1%53.7%1.8%27.7%
12M Rtn-32.8%-28.6%168.0%-31.8%55.5%-83.2%-30.2%
3Y Rtn-62.5%-85.1%154.2%-28.2%-43.3%-82.9%-52.9%
1M Excs Rtn-0.4%8.1%31.3%2.9%17.5%19.8%12.8%
3M Excs Rtn18.0%-58.2%80.6%-6.4%39.4%12.8%15.4%
6M Excs Rtn3.0%-19.9%99.3%27.7%41.3%-10.6%15.4%
12M Excs Rtn-51.7%-42.6%151.7%-43.1%48.0%-94.0%-42.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-127.1%-153.5%64.0%-99.7%-110.5%-151.0%-118.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Developing and advancing genetic medicines designed to target critical underlying pathology of151244355328179
Total151244355328179


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17,706
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-80.4%
Average Daily Volume42,302
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity3,178,710
Short % of Basic Shares0.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/202514.8%33.9%59.3%
8/12/2025-4.9%22.4%19.7%
5/13/2025-4.3%-3.3%48.7%
3/4/2025-11.4%-15.0%-19.6%
11/13/2024-12.9%-27.8%17.2%
8/1/20246.6%-7.5%-16.3%
5/14/2024-10.5%-11.5%-29.7%
3/4/20241.2%-14.2%-23.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive13810
# Negative81311
Median Positive1.9%8.2%19.4%
Median Negative-9.1%-7.4%-10.8%
Max Positive14.8%33.9%64.8%
Max Negative-12.9%-27.8%-29.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024304202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023304202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022306202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021303202210-K 12/31/2021