Regenxbio (RGNX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $13.62 | Market Cap: $704.0 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Regenxbio (RGNX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $13.62Market Cap: $704.0 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -40% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -155 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -96% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 91% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.0% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -64%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -66% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -40% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -40% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 91% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -155 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -96% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.0% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -64%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -66% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -40% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RGNX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Regenxbio (RGNX) experienced a significant 64.92% increase in its stock price in 2025. This movement was influenced by several key developments.
1. RGX-202 Program Advancements: Regenxbio's gene therapy program for Duchenne muscular dystrophy, RGX-202, saw rapid advancements. Enrollment in the pivotal trial was completed in October 2025, ahead of previous guidance, with topline results expected in early Q2 2026 and Biologics License Application (BLA) submission in mid-2026. Positive Phase I/II data demonstrated robust microdystrophin expression and functional improvement in participants, supporting potential accelerated approval.
2. RGX-121 BLA Submission and PDUFA Date: The company initiated and expected to complete the BLA submission for RGX-121, a potential first-in-class treatment for MPS II, in Q1 2025, with a PDUFA date of February 8, 2026. Successful FDA inspections for the manufacturing facility and clinical data practices were completed without observations.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RGNX Return | 11% | -28% | -31% | -21% | -57% | 58% | -70% |
| Peers Return | 577% | 39% | -17% | -7% | 40% | -9% | 821% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RGNX Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 47% | 47% | 43% | 40% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RGNX Max Drawdown | -48% | -36% | -41% | -43% | -60% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -22% | -59% | -42% | -51% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADMA, NVAX, AVXL, EDIT, ALEC. See RGNX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RGNX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -74.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 287.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 152.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -61.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 158.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to ADMA, NVAX, AVXL, EDIT, ALEC
In The Past
Regenxbio's stock fell -74.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2021. A -74.2% loss requires a 287.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RGNX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Regenxbio
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 5.71 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| Rev LTM | 115 |
| Op Inc LTM | -90 |
| FCF LTM | -152 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -178 |
| CFO LTM | -150 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -172 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 20.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -96.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -215.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 5.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -64.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -166.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -65.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -172.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| P/S | 4.4 |
| P/EBIT | -1.6 |
| P/E | -1.8 |
| P/CFO | -2.6 |
| Total Yield | -20.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -36.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -17.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -60.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -17.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -14.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -25.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -127.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development and commercialization of gene therapies to treat an array of diseases | 90 | 113 | 470 | 155 | 35 |
| Total | 90 | 113 | 470 | 155 | 35 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development and commercialization of gene therapies to treat an array of diseases | -263 | ||||
| Total | -263 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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