Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -40%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -155 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -96%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 91%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.0%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -64%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -66%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -40%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -40%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 91%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -155 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -96%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.0%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -64%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -66%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -40%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RGNX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Regenxbio (RGNX) experienced a significant 64.92% increase in its stock price in 2025. This movement was influenced by several key developments.

1. RGX-202 Program Advancements: Regenxbio's gene therapy program for Duchenne muscular dystrophy, RGX-202, saw rapid advancements. Enrollment in the pivotal trial was completed in October 2025, ahead of previous guidance, with topline results expected in early Q2 2026 and Biologics License Application (BLA) submission in mid-2026. Positive Phase I/II data demonstrated robust microdystrophin expression and functional improvement in participants, supporting potential accelerated approval.

2. RGX-121 BLA Submission and PDUFA Date: The company initiated and expected to complete the BLA submission for RGX-121, a potential first-in-class treatment for MPS II, in Q1 2025, with a PDUFA date of February 8, 2026. Successful FDA inspections for the manufacturing facility and clinical data practices were completed without observations.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RGNX Return11%-28%-31%-21%-57%58%-70%
Peers Return577%39%-17%-7%40%-9%821%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RGNX Win Rate42%42%33%33%33%70% 
Peers Win Rate52%47%47%43%40%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RGNX Max Drawdown-48%-36%-41%-43%-60%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-22%-59%-42%-51%-39% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADMA, NVAX, AVXL, EDIT, ALEC. See RGNX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRGNXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-74.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven287.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven152.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-61.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven158.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to ADMA, NVAX, AVXL, EDIT, ALEC


In The Past

Regenxbio's stock fell -74.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2021. A -74.2% loss requires a 287.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Regenxbio (RGNX)

Better Bets than Regenxbio (RGNX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RGNX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Regenxbio

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RGNXADMANVAXAVXLEDITALECMedian
NameRegenxbioADMA Bio.Novavax Anavex L.Editas M.Alector  
Mkt Price12.8819.726.844.572.371.145.71
Mkt Cap0.74.71.10.40.20.10.5
Rev LTM1614891,02403969115
Op Inc LTM-155167405-56-161-124-90
FCF LTM-10641-385-37-205-198-152
FCF 3Y Avg-17432-408-31-182-203-178
CFO LTM-10365-378-37-201-197-150
CFO 3Y Avg-16845-375-31-177-202-172

Growth & Margins

RGNXADMANVAXAVXLEDITALECMedian
NameRegenxbioADMA Bio.Novavax Anavex L.Editas M.Alector  
Rev Chg LTM91.3%27.6%20.9%--42.0%12.3%20.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.0%56.9%14.1%-55.3%-17.2%14.1%
Rev Chg Q22.9%12.0%-16.6%-597.5%-78.8%12.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.6%3.0%-1.4%-8.6%-14.9%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM-96.0%34.2%39.5%--413.4%-179.1%-96.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-216.3%21.6%-27.4%--616.5%-215.4%-215.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM9.6%1.4%5.6%-164.9%-13.3%5.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-64.0%13.3%-36.9%--517.6%-285.8%-64.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-166.2%9.6%-45.9%--538.7%-279.7%-166.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-65.9%8.3%-37.6%--526.8%-286.2%-65.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-172.6%6.3%-50.2%--552.8%-281.6%-172.6%

Valuation

RGNXADMANVAXAVXLEDITALECMedian
NameRegenxbioADMA Bio.Novavax Anavex L.Editas M.Alector  
Mkt Cap0.74.71.10.40.20.10.5
P/S3.17.21.4-4.84.44.4
P/EBIT-3.721.33.8-17.0-0.8-2.5-1.6
P/E-2.816.74.1-16.3-0.8-2.8-1.8
P/CFO-4.853.8-3.7-21.2-0.9-1.5-2.6
Total Yield-35.7%6.0%24.3%-6.1%-127.5%-35.5%-20.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-29.3%-0.0%-43.3%-5.7%-61.3%-49.6%-36.3%
D/E0.20.00.20.00.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.40.0-0.4-0.1-0.8-0.8-0.4

Returns

RGNXADMANVAXAVXLEDITALECMedian
NameRegenxbioADMA Bio.Novavax Anavex L.Editas M.Alector  
1M Rtn7.4%28.3%-13.5%-41.0%-22.7%-20.8%-17.2%
3M Rtn30.6%16.7%-7.6%-51.9%-5.4%-59.1%-6.5%
6M Rtn27.8%-3.0%-4.3%-40.8%29.9%-26.5%-3.7%
12M Rtn38.5%-1.0%-18.7%-49.1%19.4%-54.8%-9.8%
3Y Rtn-46.9%486.9%-58.6%-62.1%-76.9%-87.5%-60.3%
1M Excs Rtn7.5%28.3%-13.5%-40.9%-22.7%-20.8%-17.1%
3M Excs Rtn31.4%11.3%-17.5%-56.5%-11.5%-64.9%-14.5%
6M Excs Rtn13.1%-17.7%-19.1%-55.5%15.2%-41.2%-18.4%
12M Excs Rtn16.3%-15.5%-35.1%-65.2%-8.0%-69.5%-25.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-116.0%435.8%-131.7%-122.6%-148.8%-157.6%-127.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Development and commercialization of gene therapies to treat an array of diseases9011347015535
Total9011347015535


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Development and commercialization of gene therapies to treat an array of diseases-263    
Total-263    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,741,368
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.2%
Average Daily Volume577,203
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.21
Basic Shares Quantity51,689,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021