PAR Technology (PAR)
Market Price (5/13/2026): $15.52 | Market Cap: $636.3 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
PAR Technology (PAR)
Market Price (5/13/2026): $15.52Market Cap: $636.3 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -59% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -126% Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.87 | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -67 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -14% Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.7% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16% Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 30% Key risksPAR key risks include [1] intense competition, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -59% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -126% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.87 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -67 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -14% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.7% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 30% |
| Key risksPAR key risks include [1] intense competition, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA Miss and Subsequent Stock Decline. PAR Technology reported its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on February 26, 2026. While the company exceeded analyst expectations for revenue at $120.1 million and non-GAAP EPS of $0.06, its adjusted EBITDA unfortunately missed estimates. This mixed financial performance led to a significant 28.3% drop in PAR's stock price following the announcement.
2. Significant Analyst Price Target Reductions. Following the Q4 2025 earnings report and ongoing profitability concerns, several Wall Street analyst firms substantially lowered their price targets and revised earnings estimates for PAR Technology. For instance, Goldman Sachs reduced its price target from $40 to $18 on March 3, 2026, and Benchmark adjusted its target from $77 to $42 on March 5, 2026, and further to $33 on March 16, 2026. These downward revisions indicated reduced confidence in the company's future valuation and growth prospects.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -40.7% change in PAR stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -44.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.21 | 15.53 | -40.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 440 | 476 | 8.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.4 | 1.3 | -44.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 41 | 41 | -1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -40.7% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PAR | -40.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.0% | 26.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | 5.7% | 3.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -56.1% change in PAR stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -60.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 35.34 | 15.53 | -56.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 418 | 476 | 13.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.4 | 1.3 | -60.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 41 | 41 | -1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -56.1% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PAR | -56.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.8% | 27.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 13.1% | 10.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -73.4% change in PAR stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -77.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 58.40 | 15.53 | -73.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 350 | 476 | 35.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.8 | 1.3 | -77.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 35 | 41 | -15.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -73.4% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PAR | -73.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 34.6% | 28.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 34.7% | 19.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -49.2% change in PAR stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -57.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 30.59 | 15.53 | -49.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 262 | 476 | 81.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.2 | 1.3 | -57.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 27 | 41 | -33.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -49.2% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PAR | -49.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 84.4% | 44.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 82.3% | 39.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PAR Return | -16% | -51% | 67% | 67% | -50% | -58% | -75% |
| Peers Return | -6% | 4% | -1% | 39% | 4% | -27% | 2% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PAR Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 58% | 67% | 25% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 52% | 53% | 60% | 50% | 24% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PAR Max Drawdown | -21% | -61% | 0% | -8% | -56% | -67% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -19% | -32% | -23% | -12% | -28% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TOST, AGYS, VYX, LDOS, CACI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/12/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PAR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -13.5% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 14 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -22.0% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -48.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 638 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -65.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 188.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 96 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -28.4% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.6% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 64 days | 105 days |
In The Past
PAR Technology's stock fell -23.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 30.9% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | PAR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -22.0% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -48.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 638 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -65.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 188.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 96 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -28.4% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.6% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 64 days | 105 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -30.7% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.2% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1948 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -62.4% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 166.1% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3066 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
PAR Technology's stock fell -23.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 30.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About PAR Technology (PAR)
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- Like Toast for restaurants and general retail, providing a comprehensive suite of cloud-based point-of-sale, loyalty, and back-office technology.
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- Brink POS: An open cloud point-of-sale solution that integrates with various third-party products and in-house systems.
- Punchh: An enterprise-grade customer loyalty and engagement software solution designed for restaurant and convenience store brands.
- Data Central: A cloud software solution providing back-office applications for restaurants.
- PAR Payment Services: A merchant services offering that provides payment processing solutions.
- POS Hardware Platforms: A range of point-of-sale hardware systems including the PAR Infinity, PAR Phase, PAR Helix, and EverServ 8000 series.
- Drive-Thru Headset Solutions: POS integrated solutions for wireless headsets used in drive-thru order-taking.
- Restaurant/Retail Support Services: Comprehensive services including training, installation, technical support, and repair for their restaurant and retail technology.
- Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) Solutions: Technology solutions providing critical information and support to the U.S. Department of Defense and other federal agencies.
- Systems Engineering and Software Solutions: Support and software development services tailored for federal agencies.
- Satellite Operations & Maintenance Services: Services encompassing operations, maintenance, engineering, and installation for satellite and teleport facilities, as well as satellite control center operations.
- IT Infrastructure Library (ITIL) Services: Information technology infrastructure library services offered to federal agencies.
- Government Licensed Software Products: Proprietary software products offered under license to government customers.
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PAR Technology (PAR) primarily sells its technology solutions to other businesses and government entities.
Major Customers:
- The United States Department of Defense
- Other federal agencies of the United States
- Companies within the restaurant industry (e.g., restaurant and convenience store brands)
- Companies within the retail industry
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Savneet Singh, Chief Executive Officer & President
Savneet Singh joined PAR Technology as a board member in April 2018 and was appointed CEO and President in December 2018 (or March 2019, depending on the source). He is credited with leading a significant transformation of PAR Technology, restructuring and recapitalizing the business from near bankruptcy to a market capitalization of over $1 billion (reported as $2.75 billion by early 2025). Prior to PAR, Singh co-founded GBI in 2009, a financial software platform for trading and storing physical precious metals. He is also a partner at CoVenture, LLC, a multi-asset management firm with funds in venture capital, direct lending, and cryptocurrency, indicating experience with private equity and venture capital. His career also includes experience in investment banking at Morgan Stanley. Singh has served on the boards of various public and private companies, including CDON and TCGPlayer. He has been involved in strategic moves for PAR, including leading acquisitions and the divestiture of the government systems arm.
Bryan Menar, Chief Financial Officer
Bryan Menar has served as the Chief Financial Officer of PAR Technology Corporation since January 2017. Before joining PAR, he was the Vice President of Financial Planning & Analysis (FP&A) at Chobani, LLC, where he managed financial planning, forecasting, budgeting, and business reviews. Menar's background also includes senior finance roles at JC Jones & Associates, Goldman Sachs & Co., and Ernst & Young LLP. Notably, he worked as a turnaround advisor for small to middle-market clients and led the system integration of a new IT system for the private equity division of a leading investment bank, demonstrating his exposure to private equity operations. He holds certifications as a Certified Public Accountant (CPA) and a Certified Valuation Analyst (CVA).
Cathy King, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary
Cathy King serves as the Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary for PAR Technology Corporation. Her role involves overseeing the company's legal matters and ensuring corporate governance. No further detailed background information was available in the provided search results.
Steven Berkovitz, Chief Technology Officer
Steven Berkovitz is the Chief Technology Officer at PAR Technology Corporation. He is described as a pragmatic and hands-on technology leader with expertise in building scalable SaaS products. Berkovitz co-founded OrderDynamics (now Tecsys), a company he guided through two acquisitions, and has also served as an advisor to several early-stage startups.
Beth Codner, Chief Human Resources Officer
Beth Codner holds the position of Chief Human Resources Officer at PAR Technology Corporation. Her responsibilities include leading the company's human resources strategies and initiatives. No further detailed background information was available in the provided search results.
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Key Risks to PAR Technology (PAR)
The key risks to PAR Technology's business include:
- Intense Competition and Rapid Technological Change in the Restaurant and Retail Technology Market: PAR Technology operates in a highly competitive and rapidly evolving restaurant and retail technology landscape. The company's core offerings, such as point-of-sale (POS) systems (Brink POS, PAR Infinity, PAR Phase, PAR Helix, EverServ 8000 series), customer loyalty solutions (Punchh), and back-office software (Data Central), face ongoing competition from numerous established and emerging technology providers. The need for continuous innovation, adapting to new payment technologies, cybersecurity threats, and evolving customer demands is critical to maintain market share and prevent technological obsolescence.
- Dependency on Government Contracts and Spending: A significant portion of PAR Technology's business is derived from its Government segment, which provides specialized solutions like intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance; systems engineering; satellite operations; and IT infrastructure services to the United States Department of Defense and other federal agencies. This segment is inherently exposed to risks associated with government budgetary constraints, changes in spending priorities, competitive bidding processes for contracts, and the potential for non-renewal of existing contracts. Fluctuations in government funding or policy shifts could materially impact the financial performance of this segment.
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The emergence of highly integrated, cloud-native restaurant technology platforms that bundle point-of-sale (POS), payment processing, online ordering, and customer loyalty into a single, seamless, and often more cost-effective subscription service, directly threatening PAR's more modular or hardware-centric solutions by offering a unified, simplified ecosystem to restaurants and retailers.
The increasing reliance of United States Department of Defense and other federal agencies on commercial space technologies and services for intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance, potentially diminishing the need for traditional, bespoke government-owned satellite infrastructure and the associated operations, maintenance, and engineering services that PAR provides.
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PAR Technology operates in significant and growing addressable markets within both its Restaurant/Retail and Government segments.Restaurant/Retail Segment
- Point-of-Sale (POS) Technology Solutions: The global restaurant POS systems market was valued at approximately USD 15.38 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 27.8 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.8%. In the U.S. specifically, the restaurant POS software market was valued at USD 1.15 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 2.07 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 7.6%.
- Punchh (Customer Loyalty and Engagement Solution): The global loyalty management market was valued at USD 14.37 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 60.88 billion by 2033, demonstrating a CAGR of 17.4%. North America held the largest share of this market in 2024.
- Data Central (Cloud Software for Back-Office Applications): The global restaurant management software market size was valued at USD 5.64 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 21.21 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 15.9%. The North American restaurant management software market was valued at USD 2.0 billion in 2023.
- PAR Payment Services (Merchant Services): The global merchant service provider market sales revenue was recorded at USD 69.4 billion in 2025 and is forecasted to reach USD 206.403 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 14.596%. The North American merchant service provider market is projected to reach USD 68.319 billion by 2033.
- POS Integrated Solutions for Wireless Headsets for Drive-Thru Order-Taking: The drive-thru segment within the U.S. Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) industry was valued at USD 289.68 billion in 2024, with over 50% of that revenue generated from drive-thru sales. More than 75% of fast-food restaurant sales in the U.S. now come from drive-thrus.
Government Segment
- Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) Solutions: The global intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) market is expected to grow from USD 44.4 billion in 2025 to USD 76.5 billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 5.6%. North America leads this market with a 38% share.
- Systems Engineering Support, Software-Based Solutions, Satellite and Teleport Facility Operations and Maintenance, Engineering and Installation Services, Satellite Control Center, and Information Technology Infrastructure Library (ITIL) Services: The global defense IT spending market was valued at USD 97.22 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 152.11 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 5.1%. North America remains the largest market for Defense IT spending, accounting for approximately 60% of the global share.
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PAR Technology (NYSE: PAR) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives:
- Growth in Subscription Services and Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR): PAR Technology has consistently emphasized its focus on expanding subscription services, which represent a significant portion of its total revenue. The company reported a 15% organic growth in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) to $315.4 million at the end of Q4 2025 and targets mid-teens organic ARR growth. This sustained focus on recurring revenue streams is a fundamental driver of future growth.
- Expansion through Multi-Product Deals and New Enterprise Customer Wins: A significant driver for PAR Technology is its successful strategy of securing multi-product deals and acquiring new, large enterprise customers. In Q4 2025, approximately 90% of operator deals included multiple products, showcasing effective cross-selling. A notable example is the decades-long partnership with Papa John's to deploy PAR POS and operational solutions to 3,200 sites, which significantly expands PAR's market reach. The company is also making strategic inroads into the convenience store market.
- Commercialization and Adoption of AI-Driven Solutions: PAR Technology is strategically positioning itself as an AI-driven hospitality platform company. The launch and commercialization of new AI-powered products, such as CoachAI (active in nearly 1,000 stores) and PAR Retail Drive AI for convenience and fuel retail, are expected to enhance operational efficiency for customers and open up new expansion opportunities. Future AI-driven functionalities, like marketing intelligence assistants, are also planned to contribute to revenue growth.
- International Market Expansion: The company is actively pursuing international expansion to broaden its market reach. This is evidenced by the acquisition of TASK Group in Q4 2024 and the formation of strategic partnerships with global brands. These efforts are aimed at increasing PAR Technology's global footprint and diversifying its revenue streams.
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Share Repurchases
- PAR Technology's Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program of up to $100 million of its common stock, effective through February 26, 2028.
- Concurrently with a convertible senior notes offering in March 2026, PAR agreed to repurchase approximately 2.09 million shares of common stock for approximately $33.1 million in privately negotiated transactions.
- In March 2026, proceeds from a $250.0 million convertible senior notes offering were intended to be used, in part, to repurchase a portion of the company's 1.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2027 and to buy back common stock.
Share Issuance
- In December 2024, PAR Technology acquired Delaget, LLC for $132.0 million, with the payment principally made in shares of PAR common stock.
- As part of the acquisition of Stuzo Holdings, LLC in March 2024, PAR Technology issued stock along with cash for the approximately $190 million transaction.
- In July 2024, PAR Technology agreed to acquire TASK Group Holdings Limited for an implied value of approximately $206 million, paid for with cash and PAR common stock.
Outbound Investments
- PAR Technology acquired Delaget, LLC, a provider of restaurant analytics and business intelligence, for $132.0 million in December 2024.
- In July 2024, PAR Technology acquired TASK Group Holdings Limited, an Australia-based global foodservice transaction platform, for an implied value of approximately $206 million.
- In March 2024, the company acquired Stuzo Holdings, LLC, a digital engagement software provider to C-Stores, for approximately $190 million.
Capital Expenditures
- PAR Technology's capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 were $3.323 million.
- Capital expenditures in 2023 peaked at $5.018 million.
- The company's capital expenditures averaged $2.382 million annually from fiscal years 2021 to 2025, primarily funding long-term assets and infrastructure.
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| 04302026 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04172026 | RSG | Republic Services | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.1% |
| 04102026 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.3% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -1.0% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 46.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.5 |
| Rev LTM | 4,561 |
| Op Inc LTM | 200 |
| FCF LTM | 318 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 221 |
| CFO LTM | 363 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 250 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.8% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 40.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 35.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.5 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/Op Inc | 25.2 |
| P/EBIT | 25.2 |
| P/E | 17.4 |
| P/CFO | 12.4 |
| Total Yield | 3.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -22.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -36.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -24.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 4.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -28.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -45.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -53.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -71.1% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $15.53 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/16/1988 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -78.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $14.46 | $32.17 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 7.4% | -51.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 92.0% | 64.7% |
| Downside Capture | 419.33 | 306.33 |
| Upside Capture | 156.39 | 43.98 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 22.4% | 27.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.94 | 0.97 | 1.83 | 1.75 | 1.52 | 1.58 |
| Up Beta | -0.60 | -0.61 | -0.28 | 0.11 | 0.83 | 1.42 |
| Down Beta | 8.35 | -0.05 | 0.51 | 2.05 | 2.16 | 1.51 |
| Up Capture | 146% | 116% | 151% | 102% | 31% | 277% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 19 | 29 | 57 | 117 | 380 |
| Down Capture | 753% | 237% | 344% | 237% | 185% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 24 | 35 | 68 | 134 | 366 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PAR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAR | -76.8% | 64.7% | -1.99 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 30.0% | 15.6% | 1.48 | 18.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 32.5% | 12.4% | 1.98 | 28.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 41.3% | 26.9% | 1.26 | -4.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.3% | 18.5% | 2.06 | 2.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.8% | 13.5% | 0.65 | 22.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -21.0% | 41.7% | -0.46 | 30.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PAR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAR | -27.9% | 55.1% | -0.38 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.7% | 17.4% | 0.57 | 43.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.7% | 17.1% | 0.63 | 51.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.0% | 17.9% | 0.95 | 3.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.4% | 19.4% | 0.47 | 10.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.9% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 42.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.2% | 55.9% | 0.34 | 29.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with PAR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAR | 9.5% | 56.4% | 0.40 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.0% | 20.0% | 0.62 | 42.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 47.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 3.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.9% | 0.39 | 13.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 41.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.2% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 21.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -3.9% | ||
| 2/26/2026 | -27.0% | -13.1% | -43.0% |
| 11/6/2025 | 16.6% | 17.8% | 7.1% |
| 8/8/2025 | -19.5% | -10.7% | -17.3% |
| 5/9/2025 | 3.7% | 11.3% | 8.3% |
| 2/28/2025 | 13.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| 11/8/2024 | 11.6% | 9.7% | 16.0% |
| 8/8/2024 | 10.3% | 15.9% | 17.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| # Negative | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 9.3% | 9.6% | 16.0% |
| Median Negative | -7.0% | -9.9% | -6.3% |
| Max Positive | 16.6% | 17.8% | 25.3% |
| Max Negative | -27.0% | -13.1% | -43.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steenberge, Michael Anthony | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 3052026 | 18.27 | 582 | 10,633 | 467,474 | Form |
| 2 | Singh, Savneet | CEO & President | Direct | Sell | 3052026 | 18.27 | 14,310 | 261,444 | 4,352,407 | Form |
| 3 | Menar, Bryan A | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3052026 | 18.27 | 1,636 | 29,890 | 1,155,705 | Form |
| 4 | King, Cathy A | CLO & Corporate Secretary | Direct | Sell | 3052026 | 18.27 | 1,517 | 27,716 | 1,034,557 | Form |
| 5 | Steenberge, Michael Anthony | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 3052026 | 17.49 | 2,342 | 40,962 | 462,418 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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