Tearsheet

Ranpak (PACK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.895 | Market Cap: $413.0 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

Ranpak (PACK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.895
Market Cap: $413.0 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Consumption, and Automation & Robotics. Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -22 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.7%
1   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 81%
2   Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 47x
3   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Consumption, and Automation & Robotics. Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -22 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.7%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 81%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 47x
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PACK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock movement for Ranpak (PACK) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, can be attributed to several factors.

1. Q3 2025 Financial Results Showing Increased Net Loss: Ranpak Holdings Corp. reported a net loss of $10.4 million for the third quarter of 2025, compared to a net loss of $8.1 million in the prior year period. This widening loss, despite an increase in net revenue, could have negatively impacted investor sentiment.

2. Q3 2025 Earnings Call and Strategic Growth Amid Challenges: While the company reported an 8.0% year-over-year increase in net revenue for Q3 2025, reaching $99.6 million, and a 63.0% increase in Automation net revenue, the overall net loss deepened. Discussions during the Q3 2025 earnings call highlighted strategic growth efforts, but the persistent net loss may have been a concern.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PACK Return65%180%-85%1%18%-29%-40%
Peers Return16%14%1%-1%-5%8%35%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PACK Win Rate58%75%33%42%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate53%58%45%42%47%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PACK Max Drawdown-27%0%-92%-53%-29%-56% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-8%-22%-17%-15%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SLGN, GEF, OI, TRS, BALL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPACKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1468.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven132 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-55.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven393 days120 days

Compare to SLGN, GEF, OI, TRS, BALL


In The Past

Ranpak's stock fell -93.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -93.6% loss requires a 1468.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ranpak (PACK)

Better Bets than Ranpak (PACK)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PACK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ranpak

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PACKSLGNGEFOITRSBALLMedian
NameRanpak Silgan Greif O-I GlassTriMas Ball  
Mkt Price5.0639.2666.1913.9634.1848.7836.72
Mkt Cap0.44.23.82.11.413.23.0
Rev LTM3886,4265,9866,4551,01412,6946,206
Op Inc LTM-22640534577691,362555
FCF LTM-2365335694414067
FCF 3Y Avg-5243336153011170
CFO LTM10372490516103551431
CFO 3Y Avg3650253262885851517

Growth & Margins

PACKSLGNGEFOITRSBALLMedian
NameRanpak Silgan Greif O-I GlassTriMas Ball  
Rev Chg LTM9.5%11.1%18.5%-2.8%11.8%7.4%10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.3%0.4%-1.3%-1.3%4.6%-4.4%-0.4%
Rev Chg Q8.0%15.1%-2.6%-1.5%17.4%9.6%8.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%4.3%-0.5%-0.4%4.1%2.4%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM-5.7%10.0%8.9%8.9%6.8%10.7%8.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-4.5%10.1%9.5%9.3%6.5%9.8%9.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%-0.1%0.2%1.5%0.7%-0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM2.6%5.8%8.2%8.0%10.2%4.3%6.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.4%8.4%9.7%9.2%9.0%7.6%9.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.9%1.0%5.6%1.1%4.4%1.1%1.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.4%4.1%6.1%0.2%3.2%1.0%2.1%

Valuation

PACKSLGNGEFOITRSBALLMedian
NameRanpak Silgan Greif O-I GlassTriMas Ball  
Mkt Cap0.44.23.82.11.413.23.0
P/S1.20.70.60.31.51.10.9
P/EBIT-30.67.88.46.720.611.48.1
P/E-12.014.519.9-13.735.620.117.2
P/CFO46.912.37.73.915.224.813.8
Total Yield-8.4%8.7%8.3%-7.3%3.2%6.6%4.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.9%3.3%0.0%0.4%1.6%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.4%4.5%8.9%0.2%2.4%0.9%1.7%
D/E0.91.10.82.60.30.50.8
Net D/E0.81.00.72.30.30.50.8

Returns

PACKSLGNGEFOITRSBALLMedian
NameRanpak Silgan Greif O-I GlassTriMas Ball  
1M Rtn-1.2%1.6%16.6%18.7%-5.4%4.0%2.8%
3M Rtn5.9%-11.5%9.6%11.9%-11.3%-2.3%1.8%
6M Rtn48.0%-25.9%22.3%7.1%33.1%-7.7%14.7%
12M Rtn-36.8%-29.6%-3.7%11.3%29.4%-20.3%-12.0%
3Y Rtn-11.7%-24.0%2.9%-17.1%24.3%-8.8%-10.2%
1M Excs Rtn-1.1%1.6%16.7%18.7%-5.3%4.0%2.8%
3M Excs Rtn-3.1%-17.4%3.5%5.2%-18.2%-8.2%-5.7%
6M Excs Rtn33.2%-40.6%7.6%-7.7%18.4%-22.4%-0.0%
12M Excs Rtn-48.6%-43.9%-17.0%-2.8%16.6%-33.6%-25.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-77.5%-93.5%-70.6%-86.7%-41.6%-80.2%-78.9%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,366,119
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202517.7%
Average Daily Volume507,925
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.60
Basic Shares Quantity84,363,456
Short % of Basic Shares5.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024317202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021