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Optex Systems (OPXS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $14.55 | Market Cap: $100.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Optex Systems (OPXS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $14.55
Market Cap: $100.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, FCF Yield is 6.9%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 51%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Defense Technology. Themes include Advanced Optics & Sensing, Autonomous Defense Systems, and Surveillance & Reconnaissance Technology.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, FCF Yield is 6.9%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Defense Technology. Themes include Advanced Optics & Sensing, Autonomous Defense Systems, and Surveillance & Reconnaissance Technology.
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 51%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OPXS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 30.7% stock movement for Optex Systems (OPXS) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance. Optex Systems reported a significant increase in its third-quarter fiscal 2025 financial results, with revenue rising by 22.6% to $11.1 million and net income growing by 19.7% to $1.5 million compared to the prior year period. The company also saw its Earnings Per Share (EPS) climb to $0.22 from $0.18.

2. Significant New Contract Awards. The company secured several new contracts, including a $10.2 million five-year contract for optical sighting systems. Other notable awards included a $2.8 million order for the XM30 program and a $1.6 million award for laser filters.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OPXS Return-6%0%0%252%5%109%629%
Peers Return-11%-2%-3%14%-2%47%40%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OPXS Win Rate17%0%0%58%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate8%8%10%12%5%31% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OPXS Max Drawdown-20%0%0%0%-21%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-5%-7%-0%-2%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, PEW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOPXSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-16.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven61 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1094 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven147 days120 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, PEW


In The Past

Optex Systems's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2023. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Optex Systems (OPXS)

Better Bets than Optex Systems (OPXS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OPXS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Optex Systems

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OPXSFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameOptex Sy.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Mkt Price14.3618.5551.7229.503.543.5616.45
Mkt Cap0.1-1.8---1.0
Rev LTM39101831-4-70
Op Inc LTM6-21150--9--1
FCF LTM5-19951--9--2
FCF 3Y Avg1-8--11-1
CFO LTM6-16574--9--1
CFO 3Y Avg2-22--10-2

Growth & Margins

OPXSFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameOptex Sy.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Rev Chg LTM21.0%-6.2%-166.4%-21.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg24.2%-19.5%-94.3%-24.2%
Rev Chg Q22.6%-3.8%-330.2%-22.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.5%-0.9%-35.8%-5.5%
Op Mgn LTM16.1%-209.3%6.0%--209.1%--101.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.0%-2.2%--699.5%-2.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-1.7%-86.7%-1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM15.5%-164.1%8.9%--212.3%--77.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.6%-2.5%--716.7%-2.5%
FCF/Rev LTM13.8%-197.5%6.1%--216.3%--95.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.0%-0.8%--777.8%-0.8%

Valuation

OPXSFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameOptex Sy.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Mkt Cap0.1-1.8---1.0
P/S2.0-1.9---2.0
P/EBIT12.4-32.3---22.4
P/E15.4--523.2----253.9
P/CFO12.9-22.0---17.4
Total Yield6.5%--0.2%---3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.1%--0.5%----0.2%
D/E0.0-0.2---0.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.2---0.1

Returns

OPXSFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameOptex Sy.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
1M Rtn-15.3%-22.0%6.1%--10.6%-20.0%-15.3%
3M Rtn22.3%-58.2%40.5%-19.6%-33.0%19.6%
6M Rtn52.0%-61.1%---56.5%
12M Rtn71.0%-215.2%---143.1%
3Y Rtn672.0%-466.5%---569.3%
1M Excs Rtn-15.3%-22.0%6.1%--10.6%-20.0%-15.3%
3M Excs Rtn19.0%-62.0%27.1%-13.0%-42.0%13.0%
6M Excs Rtn37.2%-46.4%---41.8%
12M Excs Rtn47.8%-206.7%---127.2%
3Y Excs Rtn599.2%-493.7%---546.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Applied Optics Center Dallas14147106
Optex Systems Richardson1210121711
Other (non-allocated costs and intersegment eliminations)-1-1-1-2 
Total2622182617


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Applied Optics Center Dallas22-11-0
Optex Systems Richardson1-0020
Other (non-allocated costs and intersegment eliminations)-0-0-0-0-1
Total32-03-1


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Optex Systems Richardson141114159
Applied Optics Center Dallas87764
Other (non-allocated costs and intersegment eliminations)0000 
Total2219212013


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity35,021
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-11.5%
Average Daily Volume44,928
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity6,884,429
Short % of Basic Shares0.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024210202510-Q 12/29/2024
93020241219202410-K 9/29/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023212202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231218202310-K 10/1/2023
6302023816202310-Q 7/2/2023
3312023516202310-Q 4/2/2023
12312022213202310-Q 1/1/2023
93020221219202210-K 10/2/2022
6302022815202210-Q 7/3/2022
3312022516202210-Q 4/3/2022
12312021214202210-Q 1/2/2022
93020211220202110-K 10/3/2021