CPI Aerostructures (CVU)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.79 | Market Cap: $35.6 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
CPI Aerostructures (CVU)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.79Market Cap: $35.6 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Aerospace Component Manufacturing, Defense Aviation Support, and Commercial Aviation Support. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 58% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 117x | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -27% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.3% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Aerospace Component Manufacturing, Defense Aviation Support, and Commercial Aviation Support. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 58% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 117x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -27% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.3% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CVU Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting the movement of CPI Aerostructures (CVU) stock by 14.8% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. CPI Aerostructures reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 14, 2025, which included a 49% increase in net income year-over-year and an expanded gross margin to 22.3%. The company's adjusted EBITDA also grew by 17% year-over-year. This positive earnings report indicated improved product mix and efficiencies.
2. On October 30, 2025, the company announced a strategic contract award from Raytheon to manufacture structural missile wing assemblies for an undisclosed platform, with deliveries slated to commence in 2026. This award was highlighted as a strategic win, expanding CPI Aero's presence in the missiles, targets, drones, and autonomous systems markets.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CVU Return | -43% | -29% | 17% | -15% | 48% | -32% | -59% |
| Peers Return | -20% | 19% | -8% | 21% | -33% | 3% | -27% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CVU Win Rate | 33% | 25% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 40% | 38% | 43% | 33% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CVU Max Drawdown | -80% | -41% | -43% | -33% | -19% | -49% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -64% | -7% | -29% | -12% | -41% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AIR, ZEUS, BOOM, CMTL, APEX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CVU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -69.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 228.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 825 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -80.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 405.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -48.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -59.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 147.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 429 days | 1480 days |
Compare to AIR, ZEUS, BOOM, CMTL, APEX
In The Past
CPI Aerostructures's stock fell -69.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -69.5% loss requires a 228.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CVU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for CPI Aerostructures
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 6.36 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| Rev LTM | 619 |
| Op Inc LTM | 13 |
| FCF LTM | 2 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2 |
| CFO LTM | 10 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 17 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -6.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 2.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| P/S | 0.3 |
| P/EBIT | 17.6 |
| P/E | -0.3 |
| P/CFO | 4.8 |
| Total Yield | -2.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 17.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 26.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -11.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -20.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 14.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 11.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -80.6% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8192025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3312025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4082024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8212023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4142023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11212022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 9292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 9062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 8192022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 5162022 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |