Tearsheet

Oportun Financial (OPRT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.21 | Market Cap: $243.4 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance

Oportun Financial (OPRT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.21
Market Cap: $243.4 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Consumer Finance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5%, FCF Yield is 129%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 916%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.5%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 97%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 91%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and AI-Powered Credit Underwriting.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5%, FCF Yield is 129%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 97%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 91%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and AI-Powered Credit Underwriting.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 916%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OPRT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Oportun Financial (OPRT) experienced an approximate 20% stock price decline between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, influenced by several key factors:

1. JPMorgan Chase & Co. Downgrade and Lowered Price Target: In early October 2025, JPMorgan Chase & Co. reaffirmed an "underweight" rating for Oportun Financial and reduced its price target for the stock from $8.00 to $6.00. This downgrade and a significantly lower price target likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.

2. Cautious Market Reaction to Q3 2025 Earnings Despite EPS Beat: On November 4, 2025, Oportun Financial reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.39 for the third quarter of 2025, exceeding analyst expectations. However, despite this positive earnings surprise, the stock still fell by 3.92% in after-hours trading, indicating a cautious market sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OPRT Return-19%5%-73%-29%-1%32%-78%
Peers Return1%28%-29%33%27%24%92%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OPRT Win Rate50%50%25%67%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate57%50%28%40%45%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OPRT Max Drawdown-78%-20%-80%-61%-46%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-5%-34%-15%-15%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PRAA, SUIG, AXP, COF, SOFI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOPRTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-92.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1190.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-77.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven350.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven469 days148 days

Compare to PRAA, SUIG, AXP, COF, SOFI


In The Past

Oportun Financial's stock fell -92.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/12/2021. A -92.2% loss requires a 1190.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Oportun Financial (OPRT)

Better Bets than Oportun Financial (OPRT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OPRT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Oportun Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OPRTPRAASUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NameOportun .PRA Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
Mkt Price5.2917.092.02368.13227.2429.0723.08
Mkt Cap0.20.7-254.7145.234.034.0
Rev LTM4091,142470,42848,2313,3222,232
Op Inc LTM-207----207
FCF LTM372-62618,94420,845-3,179189
FCF 3Y Avg366-69-016,90421,063-4,671183
CFO LTM396-58621,13922,335-2,951201
CFO 3Y Avg393-65-018,80122,259-4,506196

Growth & Margins

OPRTPRAASUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NameOportun .PRA Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
Rev Chg LTM49.2%15.8%76.6%9.1%25.4%34.0%29.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.5%5.2%0.3%11.6%13.4%33.4%8.4%
Rev Chg Q67.8%1.4%250.4%10.8%54.4%38.6%46.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM11.6%0.4%49.0%2.6%12.7%8.8%10.2%
Op Mgn LTM-18.1%----18.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-10.4%----10.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.8%-----0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM96.9%-5.0%158.3%30.0%46.3%-88.8%38.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg117.5%-6.4%-15.0%29.2%55.1%-204.8%11.4%
FCF/Rev LTM90.9%-5.4%158.3%26.9%43.2%-95.7%35.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg109.7%-6.9%-15.0%26.3%52.2%-211.1%9.7%

Valuation

OPRTPRAASUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NameOportun .PRA Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
Mkt Cap0.20.7-254.7145.234.034.0
P/S0.70.5-3.32.89.32.8
P/EBIT-2.5----2.5
P/E9.46.3-21.896.048.321.8
P/CFO0.7-10.1-10.96.1-10.50.7
Total Yield10.6%15.8%-4.6%2.0%2.1%4.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%-0.0%0.9%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg199.2%-9.7%-10.7%36.3%-50.4%10.7%
D/E9.56.3-0.30.40.10.4
Net D/E9.25.9-0.0-0.1-0.10.0

Returns

OPRTPRAASUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NameOportun .PRA Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
1M Rtn-1.3%16.7%-29.1%1.8%2.9%-5.1%0.2%
3M Rtn-18.7%1.2%-67.1%14.0%3.1%18.7%2.2%
6M Rtn-15.2%18.8%-25.0%18.6%116.0%18.8%
12M Rtn29.3%-16.6%-23.2%23.0%83.1%23.2%
3Y Rtn-6.9%-50.5%-143.8%145.0%518.5%143.8%
1M Excs Rtn-1.3%16.7%-29.1%1.8%2.9%-5.1%0.3%
3M Excs Rtn-27.0%-4.6%-72.5%6.3%-4.6%9.2%-4.6%
6M Excs Rtn-29.9%4.0%-10.3%3.9%101.3%4.0%
12M Excs Rtn19.4%-32.9%-8.6%6.3%63.6%8.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-79.0%-121.8%-80.5%67.6%480.5%67.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment281641530335442
Total281641530335442


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,823,962
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.2%
Average Daily Volume583,063
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.13
Basic Shares Quantity46,711,134
Short % of Basic Shares3.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022314202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021