Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%, Dividend Yield is 20%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 113%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 90%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 62%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 82x
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63%
  Key risks
OPFI key risks include [1] regulatory and legal challenges to its core "true lender" bank partnership model and [2] significant credit default exposure inherent to its non-prime borrower base.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and AI for Fraud Detection.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%, Dividend Yield is 20%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 113%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 62%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and AI for Fraud Detection.
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 90%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 82x
7 Key risks
OPFI key risks include [1] regulatory and legal challenges to its core "true lender" bank partnership model and [2] significant credit default exposure inherent to its non-prime borrower base.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OPFI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Financial Performance and Upward Guidance
OppFi demonstrated robust financial performance with record revenue and adjusted net income in 2024 and into the first quarter of 2025. Management subsequently increased its 2025 revenue guidance to $578-605 million and adjusted net income guidance to $125-130 million, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) expected at $1.39-1.44. The third quarter of 2025 also saw record performance across several metrics, leading to an upward revision of earnings guidance.

2. Improving Credit Performance and Lower Net Charge-offs
The company reported improvements in its credit performance, with management attributing quarterly gains to lower net charge-offs and higher yields. The net charge-off rate as a percentage of average receivables improved in late 2024 and early 2025. While there was a slight rise in net charge-offs in Q3 2025, the risk was considered appropriately priced into the loans.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OPFI Return-55%-55%150%56%48%
Peers Return126%-52%83%42%26%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OPFI Win Rate100%25%25%50%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate58%27%57%47%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OPFI Max Drawdown-58%-58%-15%-54%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-5%-61%-12%-19%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ENVA, OMF, UPST, LC, WRLD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOPFIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven549.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven665 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-1.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven12 days148 days

Compare to PRAA, SUIG, AXP, COF, SOFI


In The Past

OppFi's stock fell -84.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -84.6% loss requires a 549.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About OppFi (OPFI)

Better Bets than OppFi (OPFI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1OppFi Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OPFI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for OppFi

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OPFIENVAOMFUPSTLCWRLDMedian
NameOppFi Enova In.OneMain Upstart LendingC.World Ac. 
Mkt Price10.74163.7467.9645.0518.38146.0256.50
Mkt Cap0.34.18.14.42.10.73.1
Rev LTM5743,0424,869959950524954
Op Inc LTM358381----369
FCF LTM3601,7053,019-385-2,151255308
FCF 3Y Avg3121,3872,716-153-1,938256284
CFO LTM3791,7513,019-367-2,009259319
CFO 3Y Avg3251,4322,716-139-1,854261293

Growth & Margins

OPFIENVAOMFUPSTLCWRLDMedian
NameOppFi Enova In.OneMain Upstart LendingC.World Ac. 
Rev Chg LTM9.6%21.1%9.3%73.6%25.7%2.0%15.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.3%23.5%5.2%10.8%-4.8%-3.3%7.7%
Rev Chg Q13.5%16.3%9.5%70.9%31.9%-0.7%14.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.3%3.8%2.3%13.6%7.3%-0.2%3.6%
Op Mgn LTM62.3%12.5%----37.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg55.9%11.8%----33.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%0.6%----0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM66.1%57.6%62.0%-38.3%-211.5%49.3%53.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg61.0%56.6%60.0%-16.7%-224.6%49.7%53.1%
FCF/Rev LTM62.8%56.1%62.0%-40.2%-226.5%48.7%52.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg58.6%54.7%60.0%-18.8%-233.9%48.8%51.8%

Valuation

OPFIENVAOMFUPSTLCWRLDMedian
NameOppFi Enova In.OneMain Upstart LendingC.World Ac. 
Mkt Cap0.34.18.14.42.10.73.1
P/S0.60.91.45.11.81.61.5
P/EBIT0.97.5----4.2
P/E82.49.89.5152.516.815.116.0
P/CFO0.81.62.2-13.4-0.93.31.2
Total Yield21.6%10.2%18.0%0.7%5.9%6.6%8.4%
Dividend Yield20.4%0.0%7.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg359.0%63.6%47.8%-4.3%-144.9%34.6%41.2%
D/E1.01.43.30.40.00.80.9
Net D/E0.91.43.20.3-0.50.70.8

Returns

OPFIENVAOMFUPSTLCWRLDMedian
NameOppFi Enova In.OneMain Upstart LendingC.World Ac. 
1M Rtn15.2%35.6%19.1%24.9%13.5%10.8%17.2%
3M Rtn-8.4%32.8%14.4%-33.9%6.7%-13.0%-0.8%
6M Rtn-14.6%67.7%31.3%-23.7%63.8%-8.4%11.4%
12M Rtn43.7%65.3%36.3%-45.7%3.3%25.7%31.0%
3Y Rtn447.6%335.4%156.9%193.7%104.7%135.3%175.3%
1M Excs Rtn14.5%34.9%18.3%24.2%12.8%10.0%16.4%
3M Excs Rtn-12.5%27.7%11.0%-35.1%2.8%-18.0%-4.8%
6M Excs Rtn-27.0%55.3%18.9%-36.1%51.4%-20.8%-1.0%
12M Excs Rtn39.9%51.1%20.6%-57.7%-0.1%12.9%16.7%
3Y Excs Rtn329.6%246.3%69.6%91.1%24.4%37.0%80.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment509453351 
Total509453351 


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment46   
Total46   


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment-1   
Total-1   


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment   245
Total   245


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,330,227
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-5.6%
Average Daily Volume562,701
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.70
Basic Shares Quantity28,163,404
Short % of Basic Shares15.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20253.8%-3.2%-2.3%
8/6/202513.4%8.0%4.6%
3/5/202510.8%-1.5%7.9%
11/7/2024-1.8%-0.8%3.3%
8/7/202413.3%38.6%24.5%
3/7/2024-23.5%-33.5%-32.5%
10/18/20237.7%6.2%46.4%
8/9/20233.1%12.5%18.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive969
# Negative585
Median Positive6.3%8.5%8.3%
Median Negative-11.2%-17.6%-15.1%
Max Positive13.4%38.6%46.4%
Max Negative-23.5%-33.5%-37.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024311202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023327202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022329202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021