Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%, Dividend Yield is 20%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 113%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 90%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 62%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 82x
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and AI for Fraud Detection.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%, Dividend Yield is 20%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 113%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 62%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 63%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and AI for Fraud Detection.
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 90%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 82x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OPFI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining OppFi's (OPFI) stock movement by -0.6% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Increased Net Charge-Offs: OppFi experienced a rise in net charge-offs as a percentage of revenue, increasing to 35.1% in the third quarter of 2025 from 34.3% in the third quarter of 2024. This indicates a modest tightening of credit quality and reflects elevated charge-offs from earlier loan vintages, despite some offset by higher recoveries.

2. Slight Yield Compression: The company observed a minor decrease in its average yield, which fell to 133.2% in Q3 2025 from 133.9% year-over-year. Management attributed this slight compression partially to losses impacting accrual dynamics.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OPFI Return--55%-55%150%56%30%2%
Peers Return1%28%-29%33%27%24%92%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OPFI Win Rate100%25%25%50%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate57%50%28%40%45%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OPFI Max Drawdown--58%-58%-15%-54%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-5%-34%-15%-15%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PRAA, SUIG, AXP, COF, SOFI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOPFIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven549.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven665 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-1.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven12 days148 days

Compare to PRAA, SUIG, AXP, COF, SOFI


In The Past

OppFi's stock fell -84.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -84.6% loss requires a 549.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About OppFi (OPFI)

Better Bets than OppFi (OPFI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OPFI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for OppFi

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OPFIPRAASUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NameOppFi PRA Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
Mkt Price10.1517.092.02368.13227.2429.0723.08
Mkt Cap0.30.7-254.7145.234.034.0
Rev LTM5741,142470,42848,2313,3222,232
Op Inc LTM358207----282
FCF LTM360-62618,94420,845-3,179183
FCF 3Y Avg312-69-016,90421,063-4,671156
CFO LTM379-58621,13922,335-2,951192
CFO 3Y Avg325-65-018,80122,259-4,506163

Growth & Margins

OPFIPRAASUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NameOppFi PRA Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
Rev Chg LTM9.6%15.8%76.6%9.1%25.4%34.0%20.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.3%5.2%0.3%11.6%13.4%33.4%10.9%
Rev Chg Q13.5%1.4%250.4%10.8%54.4%38.6%26.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.3%0.4%49.0%2.6%12.7%8.8%6.0%
Op Mgn LTM62.3%18.1%----40.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg55.9%10.4%----33.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%-0.8%----0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM66.1%-5.0%158.3%30.0%46.3%-88.8%38.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg61.0%-6.4%-15.0%29.2%55.1%-204.8%11.4%
FCF/Rev LTM62.8%-5.4%158.3%26.9%43.2%-95.7%35.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg58.6%-6.9%-15.0%26.3%52.2%-211.1%9.7%

Valuation

OPFIPRAASUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NameOppFi PRA Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
Mkt Cap0.30.7-254.7145.234.034.0
P/S0.60.5-3.32.89.32.8
P/EBIT0.92.5----1.7
P/E82.46.3-21.896.048.348.3
P/CFO0.8-10.1-10.96.1-10.50.8
Total Yield21.6%15.8%-4.6%2.0%2.1%4.6%
Dividend Yield20.4%0.0%-0.0%0.9%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg359.0%-9.7%-10.7%36.3%-50.4%10.7%
D/E1.06.3-0.30.40.10.4
Net D/E0.95.9-0.0-0.1-0.10.0

Returns

OPFIPRAASUIGAXPCOFSOFIMedian
NameOppFi PRA Sui American.Capital .SoFi Tec. 
1M Rtn1.0%16.7%-29.1%1.8%2.9%-5.1%1.4%
3M Rtn0.4%1.2%-67.1%14.0%3.1%18.7%2.2%
6M Rtn-24.8%18.8%-25.0%18.6%116.0%18.8%
12M Rtn36.3%-16.6%-23.2%23.0%83.1%23.2%
3Y Rtn328.2%-50.5%-143.8%145.0%518.5%145.0%
1M Excs Rtn1.0%16.7%-29.1%1.8%2.9%-5.1%1.4%
3M Excs Rtn-8.2%-4.6%-72.5%6.3%-4.6%9.2%-4.6%
6M Excs Rtn-39.5%4.0%-10.3%3.9%101.3%4.0%
12M Excs Rtn14.8%-32.9%-8.6%6.3%63.6%8.6%
3Y Excs Rtn267.5%-121.8%-80.5%67.6%480.5%80.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,588,613
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-7.0%
Average Daily Volume669,497
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.85
Basic Shares Quantity28,163,404
Short % of Basic Shares16.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024311202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023327202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022329202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021