Tearsheet

Offerpad Solutions (OPAD)


Market Price (4/15/2026): $0.7781 | Market Cap: $29.0 Mil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Operating Companies

Offerpad Solutions (OPAD)


Market Price (4/15/2026): $0.7781
Market Cap: $29.0 Mil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Real Estate Operating Companies

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -75%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 223%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Real Estate Data Analytics, Online Marketplaces, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -123%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -160%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%

Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.8

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.9%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 228%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -45%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -35%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -161%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 211%

Key risks
OPAD key risks include [1] persistent unprofitability and a notable probability of bankruptcy, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -75%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 223%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Real Estate Data Analytics, Online Marketplaces, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -123%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -160%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
6 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.8
7 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.9%
8 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 228%
9 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -45%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -35%
10 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -161%
11 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 211%
12 Key risks
OPAD key risks include [1] persistent unprofitability and a notable probability of bankruptcy, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Offerpad Solutions (OPAD) stock has lost about 35% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Weak Q1 2026 Revenue Outlook Significantly Missed Analyst Expectations. Offerpad's management provided first-quarter 2026 revenue guidance in the range of $70 million to $95 million, with the midpoint of $82.5 million falling 40.3% below the analyst consensus estimate of $138.3 million. This weak outlook, anticipating 250 to 300 real estate transactions, was a primary driver for the stock's negative movement, with shares trading down approximately 7.4% in after-hours action following the Q4 2025 earnings release.

2. Disappointing Q4 2025 Revenue Performance. For the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025, Offerpad reported revenue of $114.1 million, which was approximately 3.9% below the analyst consensus estimate of $118.8 million. This represented a substantial 34.5% decline from the $174.3 million reported in the same quarter of the prior year, with homes sold decreasing to 312 units.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -34.9% change in OPAD stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -16.1% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)123120254142026Change
Stock Price ($)1.210.79-34.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)628568-9.6%
P/S Multiple0.10.1-14.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3137-16.1%
Cumulative Contribution-34.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OPAD-34.9% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%35.7%
Sector (XLRE)7.6%8.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -81.1% change in OPAD stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -68.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254142026Change
Stock Price ($)4.170.79-81.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)703568-19.3%
P/S Multiple0.20.1-68.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2837-25.5%
Cumulative Contribution-81.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OPAD-81.1% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%39.1%
Sector (XLRE)4.2%17.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -52.5% change in OPAD stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)33120254142026Change
Stock Price ($)1.660.79-52.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)919568-38.2%
P/S Multiple0.00.14.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2737-26.3%
Cumulative Contribution-52.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OPAD-52.5% 
Market (SPY)16.3%13.3%
Sector (XLRE)6.7%6.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -90.0% change in OPAD stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -91.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)33120234142026Change
Stock Price ($)7.910.79-90.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5680.0%
P/S Multiple0.10.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)337-91.0%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OPAD-90.0% 
Market (SPY)63.3%17.8%
Sector (XLRE)28.0%10.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
OPAD Return-42%-93%48%-72%-58%-40%-100%
Peers Return-30%-57%96%-5%62%-36%-41%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%81%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OPAD Win Rate8%8%42%25%17%25% 
Peers Win Rate39%33%52%42%37%10% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OPAD Max Drawdown-42%-93%-9%-74%-68%-52% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-67%-8%-36%-28%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: OPEN, Z, COMP, EXPI, CSGP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/14/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOPADS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4654.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to OPEN, Z, COMP, EXPI, CSGP

In The Past

Offerpad Solutions's stock fell -97.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/16/2021. A -97.9% loss requires a 4654.8% gain to breakeven.

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About Offerpad Solutions (OPAD)

Offerpad Solutions Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in buying, selling, renting, and renovating properties to homeowners in the United States. It operates iBuying, a real estate solutions platform for on-demand customer. The company provides customer-centric experience, which enables them to sell and buy homes online with streamlined access to ancillary services, such as mortgage and title insurance services. Offerpad Solutions Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Chandler, Arizona.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Offerpad Solutions (OPAD):

  • Carvana for houses
  • Amazon for home sales

AI Analysis | Feedback

```html
  • iBuying (Direct Home Purchase): Offerpad directly buys homes from homeowners, providing a quick and convenient selling option.
  • Home Sales: Offerpad sells properties, including those it has renovated, to customers looking to buy homes.
  • Home Purchases for Customers: Offerpad assists customers in finding and purchasing homes through its online platform.
  • Property Rentals: Offerpad offers properties from its portfolio for rent to tenants.
  • Ancillary Real Estate Services: Offerpad provides or facilitates access to additional services such as mortgage and title insurance for its customers.
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

Major Customers of Offerpad Solutions (OPAD)

Offerpad Solutions Inc. primarily serves individual customers, specifically homeowners, through its real estate solutions platform. The company engages in buying, renovating, and then selling properties directly to individuals. Below are up to three categories of individual customers it serves:

  • Individuals Seeking Move-In Ready Homes: These are primarily homebuyers (including first-time buyers, move-up buyers, or those relocating) who prioritize convenience and efficiency. They are looking to purchase a home that has already been renovated and updated by Offerpad, thereby avoiding the time, cost, and effort associated with traditional home renovations. They value the assurance of a quality, ready-to-live-in property.
  • Customers Prioritizing a Streamlined Transaction: This category includes individuals who value a modern, efficient, and potentially faster home buying experience. They are attracted to Offerpad's online platform and its promise of a more direct transaction compared to traditional real estate processes, potentially leveraging the integrated ancillary services such as mortgage and title insurance for a one-stop-shop approach.
  • Home Sellers Using Offerpad's Platform (as part of the ecosystem): While technically selling *to* Offerpad, these individuals are "customers" of Offerpad's iBuying service. They are homeowners who choose to sell their properties directly to Offerpad for a quick, certain, and hassle-free sale, bypassing traditional market challenges like showings, staging, and agent commissions. This group prioritizes speed and convenience in their selling process.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Brian Bair, Founder, Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman of the Board

Brian Bair founded Offerpad in 2015 with a mission to simplify the home buying and selling experience. Prior to Offerpad, he founded and led Bair Group Real Estate from 2008 to 2015. He also co-founded Lexington Financial Services and Bridgeport Financial Services, businesses focused on residential acquisition, renovation, and resale strategies. With over 20 years of leadership experience in residential real estate, Brian continues to shape Offerpad's long-term strategy. He was recognized as a 2026 Inman Power Player and an EY Entrepreneur Of The Year® Award winner in 2018.

Peter Knag, Chief Financial Officer

Peter Knag was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Offerpad, effective June 5, 2024. He brings over two decades of finance leadership experience, having served as Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer for Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. (parent company of CNN, TNT, and TBS), joining after AT&T's acquisition of Time Warner in 2018. He also held the role of Executive Vice President of WarnerMedia Finance from 2020 to 2022. Before his tenure at Turner, Knag held leadership roles at AT&T Inc., starting his career there in 1999 and contributing to transactions exceeding $200 billion. His career began in investment banking with Lehman Brothers and First Albany Corporation. He currently serves on the board of TAP Advisors.

Chris Carpenter, Chief Operating Officer

Chris Carpenter was appointed Chief Operating Officer of Offerpad, effective November 3, 2025. He is a seasoned operating executive with over 20 years of experience leading large-scale transformation, operations, and strategy initiatives across Fortune 500 corporations, private equity-backed ventures, and mid-market companies. He previously served as the lead transformation executive at WarnerMedia and Turner Broadcasting, where he drove major integrations and business reorganizations. Most recently, he co-founded WellOrg Partners, a boutique consulting firm specializing in strategic organization design, process excellence, and cost optimization.

Rich Ford, Chief Strategy Officer & President of Cash Offer Marketplace

Rich Ford serves as Chief Strategy Officer and President of Offerpad's Cash Offer Marketplace, leading long-term strategy development and overseeing the company's marketplace-driven transaction ecosystem. He brings over 25 years of experience across residential real estate, capital markets, and marketplace technology. He was a co-founder and senior executive at Roofstock, a leading single-family rental marketplace. Earlier in his career, Rich held roles at Jefferies, Bank of America, Lehman Brothers, and Morgan Stanley, supporting large-scale housing and capital markets transactions. Rich was also an early seed investor in Offerpad.

Adam Martinez, Chief Legal Officer

Adam Martinez serves as Offerpad's Chief Legal Officer, responsible for the company's legal strategy, corporate governance, securities compliance, enterprise risk management, and people operations. He joined Offerpad in 2018, having previously served as Deputy General Counsel and Senior Vice President of Corporate Operations. Prior to Offerpad, he held leadership roles at Rose Law Group, where he chaired the Litigation Department, and at Combs Law Group as a Partner, advising clients on complex corporate, real estate, and regulatory matters.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Offerpad Solutions (OPAD) include:
  1. Sensitivity to Housing Market Conditions and Macroeconomic Factors

    Offerpad's iBuying business model is highly susceptible to fluctuations in the U.S. housing market and broader macroeconomic conditions. Elevated mortgage rates, persistent affordability issues, and a structurally constrained housing market directly impact transaction volumes and consumer confidence, making it challenging for Offerpad to acquire and sell homes at favorable margins. The company's model thrives on rapid inventory turnover and consistent market appreciation, which are severely tested in a cooling or unstable real estate environment.

  2. Capital-Intensive Business Model and Financial Health

    The iBuying model inherently requires significant capital for home acquisitions, exposing Offerpad to substantial financial risk. The company has historically faced challenges with profitability, reporting net losses and experiencing revenue declines. Offerpad also carries a high debt-to-equity ratio and a significant reliance on debt financing, with some analyses indicating a potential risk of bankruptcy. Maintaining adequate liquidity and managing this debt load are critical challenges for the company.

  3. Operational Execution and Pricing Accuracy

    The success and profitability of Offerpad's business heavily depend on its ability to accurately value homes, efficiently manage renovations, and execute rapid inventory turnover. In a volatile or competitive market, any misjudgment in property pricing or unexpected renovation costs can significantly erode the company's thin gross profit margins and lead to substantial losses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

For Offerpad Solutions (symbol: OPAD), the addressable markets for their main products and services in the United States are as follows:

iBuying (Buying and Selling Homes)

Offerpad's core business revolves around iBuying, which involves purchasing and selling homes online. The overall U.S. residential real estate market, representing the total transaction value of homes sold, was approximately $1.8 trillion in 2025, with 4.4 million homes sold. The total value of the U.S. housing market reached a record $55.1 trillion in June 2025.

Specifically, Offerpad targets homes priced up to $750,000. This segment represented a potential addressable market opportunity of approximately $1.0 trillion in the United States during 2025.

Ancillary Services

Mortgage Services

The U.S. residential mortgage market had an outstanding debt of approximately $14.3 trillion. The total single-family mortgage origination volume in the U.S. is projected to reach $2.2 trillion in 2026, increasing from $2.0 trillion in 2025. The U.S. home loan market size is estimated at $2.42 trillion in 2026 and is expected to grow to $3.17 trillion by 2031.

Title Insurance Services

The U.S. title insurance industry generated over $16.5 billion in business in 2023. The market is anticipated to increase to $17.1 billion in 2025. The North American title insurance market, predominantly the U.S., was valued at an estimated $2 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $2.8 billion by 2032. In the second quarter of 2025, the title insurance industry generated $4.5 billion in premiums.

Renovating Properties

Offerpad also engages in renovating properties through its Renovate services. While the U.S. residential renovation market is noted as steadily increasing with an expected acceleration in growth, a specific overall addressable market size for this service in the U.S. was not readily available in the provided information.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Offerpad Solutions Inc. (OPAD) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its future revenue growth over the next two to three years:

  1. Expansion and Growth of Diversified Real Estate Solutions: Offerpad has strategically transitioned into a diversified real estate platform, offering four distinct solutions: Cash Offer, Cash Offer Marketplace, Brokerage Services, and RENOVATE. This allows the company to monetize across various transaction types. Notably, its asset-light RENOVATE segment saw a 50% revenue increase in 2025, contributing significantly to margin alongside its Direct Plus and agent partnership programs.

  2. Increased Transaction Volume: The company has a stated objective to ramp up its transaction volume, aiming to exit 2026 at approximately 1,000 real estate transactions per quarter across its Cash Offer, Cash Offer Marketplace, and Brokerage Services. This targeted increase in the number of homes transacted through its platform is a direct driver of revenue growth.

  3. Growth of Partner Ecosystem: Offerpad is focused on expanding its partner network, which includes homebuilder services, an agent partnership program, and an agent referral network. By incentivizing these partners, the company aims to broaden its reach and serve customers in markets beyond its direct service areas, effectively increasing deal flow and revenue generation through collaborative channels.

  4. Deepening Market Penetration in Existing Markets: Rather than aggressive geographical expansion, Offerpad plans to achieve revenue growth by targeting a 3-4% market share within its existing operating markets. This strategy emphasizes increasing the density and utilization of its diverse services in established regions, thereby capturing a larger portion of the available market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • In January 2026, Offerpad Solutions Inc. completed a registered direct offering of 10 million shares of common stock at $1.80 per share, raising approximately $18 million in gross proceeds.
  • Offerpad Solutions Inc. registered 1.43 million Class A common stock resale shares in February 2026, which are issuable upon the exercise of outstanding warrants; the company will not receive proceeds from these sales.
  • In February 2026, Offerpad Solutions Inc. filed a shelf registration to potentially offer up to $250 million of various securities, including Class A common stock, preferred stock, and debt securities.

Inbound Investments

  • First American Financial Corporation disclosed a 10.83% beneficial ownership stake in Offerpad Solutions Inc. in February 2026.

Capital Expenditures

  • Offerpad Solutions Inc.'s capital expenditures in the last 12 months were approximately -$1.08 million.
  • The net proceeds from the $18 million registered direct offering in Q1 2026 are intended for general working capital, including growth initiatives, inventory optimization, and balance sheet strengthening.

Better Bets vs. Offerpad Solutions (OPAD)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to OPAD.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
SBAC_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026SBACSBA CommunicationsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.0%3.0%0.0%
HIW_3132026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03132026HIWHighwoods PropertiesDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.2%-0.2%-4.1%
ARE_3062026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V203062026AREAlexandria Real Estate EquitiesInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-7.8%
VNO_3062026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V203062026VNOVornado Realty TrustInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
-3.5%-3.5%-8.3%
KRC_2272026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02272026KRCKilroy RealtyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.6%-3.6%-5.4%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OPADOPENZCOMPEXPICSGPMedian
NameOfferpad.Opendoor.Zillow Compass eXp WorldCoStar  
Mkt Price0.794.5140.897.096.1537.606.62
Mkt Cap0.03.99.94.11.015.74.0
Rev LTM5684,3712,5836,9624,7723,2473,809
Op Inc LTM-33-277-32-28-21-72-33
FCF LTM661,03710120310841105
FCF 3Y Avg1149081829116448139
CFO LTM671,049368217119430292
CFO 3Y Avg116933383104173438278

Growth & Margins

OPADOPENZCOMPEXPICSGPMedian
NameOfferpad.Opendoor.Zillow Compass eXp WorldCoStar  
Rev Chg LTM-38.2%-15.2%15.5%23.7%4.5%18.7%10.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-45.0%-32.1%9.9%6.7%1.5%14.2%4.1%
Rev Chg Q-34.5%-32.1%18.1%23.1%8.5%26.9%13.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-9.6%-7.4%4.0%4.8%2.0%6.2%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM-5.9%-6.3%-1.2%-0.4%-0.4%-2.2%-1.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-6.3%-5.9%-7.5%-2.9%-0.0%3.2%-4.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-2.0%2.4%0.2%-0.1%0.4%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM11.8%24.0%14.2%3.1%2.5%13.2%12.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.3%15.4%17.2%1.6%3.9%15.9%13.4%
FCF/Rev LTM11.6%23.7%3.9%2.9%2.3%1.3%3.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.1%15.0%8.4%1.3%3.7%2.1%6.0%

Valuation

OPADOPENZCOMPEXPICSGPMedian
NameOfferpad.Opendoor.Zillow Compass eXp WorldCoStar  
Mkt Cap0.03.99.94.11.015.74.0
P/S0.10.93.80.60.24.80.7
P/EBIT-0.9-3.4230.2-70.1-45.7-217.8-24.5
P/E-0.6-3.0430.3-69.3-43.22,240.4-1.8
P/CFO0.43.726.918.78.336.513.5
Total Yield-157.4%-33.1%0.2%-1.4%0.8%0.0%-0.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.1%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg86.3%14.3%1.2%1.6%8.8%0.1%5.2%
D/E3.20.30.00.10.00.10.1
Net D/E2.30.1-0.10.1-0.1-0.00.0

Returns

OPADOPENZCOMPEXPICSGPMedian
NameOfferpad.Opendoor.Zillow Compass eXp WorldCoStar  
1M Rtn1.9%-8.9%-4.7%-14.4%7.5%-13.8%-6.8%
3M Rtn-50.8%-33.4%-40.6%-41.7%-33.6%-39.2%-39.9%
6M Rtn-74.8%-41.0%-43.5%-1.4%-43.3%-50.3%-43.4%
12M Rtn-45.3%373.1%-34.7%-6.8%-33.2%-52.7%-33.9%
3Y Rtn-90.4%165.3%-10.4%126.5%-47.8%-45.7%-28.1%
1M Excs Rtn-3.2%-13.9%-9.7%-19.4%2.5%-18.9%-11.8%
3M Excs Rtn-55.6%-35.6%-39.9%-41.8%-35.0%-36.5%-38.2%
6M Excs Rtn-79.0%-46.8%-47.7%-5.6%-46.6%-56.6%-47.2%
12M Excs Rtn-79.4%325.2%-66.1%-37.5%-63.6%-82.4%-64.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-159.7%98.7%-78.4%51.8%-114.9%-114.7%-96.6%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Cash Offer1,284   
Other30   
Single Segment 3,9522,0701,064
Total1,3143,9522,0701,064


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$0.79 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.0 
First Trading Date12/11/2020 
Distance from 52W High-87.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$0.78$1.93
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA1.6%-59.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility82.2%212.0%
Downside Capture1.871.92
Upside Capture34.25207.18
Correlation (SPY)39.0%13.5%
OPAD Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.853.023.543.541.481.67
Up Beta-4.502.375.704.910.901.49
Down Beta2.432.151.622.391.261.45
Up Capture204%299%309%116%236%181%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days1118264896317
Down Capture213%314%325%278%168%113%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days11233573145413

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with OPAD
OPAD-55.3%210.8%0.36-
Sector ETF (XLRE)16.4%13.9%0.863.7%
Equity (SPY)24.2%12.9%1.4913.8%
Gold (GLD)53.4%27.6%1.554.4%
Commodities (DBC)26.8%16.2%1.470.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)18.7%13.8%1.005.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-6.8%42.9%-0.053.7%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with OPAD
OPAD-66.2%130.0%-0.32-
Sector ETF (XLRE)4.7%19.0%0.1516.1%
Equity (SPY)11.1%17.0%0.5023.3%
Gold (GLD)22.5%17.8%1.034.4%
Commodities (DBC)11.7%18.8%0.515.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.9%18.8%0.1118.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)5.8%56.5%0.3212.3%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with OPAD
OPAD-41.9%126.2%-0.31-
Sector ETF (XLRE)6.6%20.4%0.2815.9%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.9%0.6723.2%
Gold (GLD)14.3%15.9%0.754.4%
Commodities (DBC)8.8%17.6%0.425.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2317.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.7%66.9%1.0711.9%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3152026-2.7%
Average Daily Volume0.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity37.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares13.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/23/2026-3.7%-3.3%-18.3%
11/3/2025-24.8%-13.0%-13.9%
8/4/2025-6.7%3.3%315.0%
5/5/2025-7.6%15.5%0.0%
2/24/2025-3.6%-25.0%-16.4%
11/4/2024-3.4%18.0%49.5%
8/5/2024-15.3%-32.1%-5.6%
5/6/2024-7.2%-1.1%-33.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive268
# Negative161210
Median Positive16.0%17.2%27.2%
Median Negative-4.9%-16.3%-17.3%
Max Positive26.4%35.5%315.0%
Max Negative-24.8%-32.1%-33.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/24/202610-K
09/30/202511/03/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/05/202510-Q
12/31/202402/25/202510-K
09/30/202411/04/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/28/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/23/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue70.00 Mil82.50 Mil95.00 Mil-26.7% LoweredGuidance: 112.50 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Real estate transactions250275300-15.4% LoweredGuidance: 325 for Q4 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/3/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue100.00 Mil112.50 Mil125.00 Mil-19.6% LoweredGuidance: 140.00 Mil for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Homes Sold300325350-19.8% LoweredGuidance: 405 for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA -4.60 Mil 0 Same NewActual: -4.60 Mil for Q3 2025