Offerpad Solutions (OPAD)
Market Price (2/3/2026): $1.03 | Market Cap: $32.2 MilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Services
Offerpad Solutions (OPAD)
Market Price (2/3/2026): $1.03Market Cap: $32.2 MilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Real Estate Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -68% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -130%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -162% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -40 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.3% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 135% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 386% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Real Estate Data Analytics, Online Marketplaces, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -36%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -46%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -36% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -171% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 211% | ||
| Key risksOPAD key risks include [1] persistent unprofitability and a notable probability of bankruptcy, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -68% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 135% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Real Estate Data Analytics, Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -130%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -162% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -40 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.3% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 386% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -36%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -46%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -36% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -171% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 211% |
| Key risksOPAD key risks include [1] persistent unprofitability and a notable probability of bankruptcy, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Poor Q3 2025 Earnings Performance.
Offerpad Solutions reported its Q3 2025 earnings on November 3, 2025, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.34, which missed analysts' expectations ranging from -$0.27 to -$0.29. Additionally, the company's quarterly revenue of $132.68 million fell short of analysts' consensus estimate of $173.01 million. This significant miss on both earnings and revenue likely contributed to a loss of investor confidence and subsequent stock decline.
2. Registered Direct Offering Leading to Share Dilution.
On January 12, 2026, Offerpad Solutions announced a registered direct offering to institutional investors for the purchase and sale of 10,000,000 shares of its common stock at $1.80 per share, aiming to raise approximately $18 million. Such offerings can dilute the value of existing shares, especially if priced at a discount or perceived as necessary to shore up working capital and the balance sheet, which often leads to a negative market reaction. The stock traded down significantly on January 12, 2026, by -14.58% and -18.72%.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -55.1% change in OPAD stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -43.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.34 | 1.05 | -55.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 703 | 628 | -10.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | -43.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 28 | 31 | -11.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -55.1% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OPAD | -55.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.0% | 39.8% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 0.1% | 8.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -15.3% change in OPAD stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -20.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.24 | 1.05 | -15.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 794 | 628 | -20.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.0 | 0.1 | 21.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 28 | 31 | -11.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -15.3% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OPAD | -15.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.3% | 15.4% |
| Sector (XLRE) | -0.3% | -0.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -55.1% change in OPAD stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -36.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.34 | 1.05 | -55.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 985 | 628 | -36.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | -19.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 27 | 31 | -12.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -55.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OPAD | -55.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.6% | 12.6% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 1.2% | 4.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -92.4% change in OPAD stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -84.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.76 | 1.05 | -92.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,143 | 628 | -84.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | -4.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 16 | 31 | -47.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -92.4% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OPAD | -92.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 77.5% | 18.8% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 10.7% | 11.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OPAD Return | -42% | -93% | 48% | -72% | -58% | -16% | -99% |
| Peers Return | -30% | -57% | 96% | -5% | 62% | -2% | -10% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OPAD Win Rate | 8% | 8% | 42% | 25% | 17% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 39% | 33% | 52% | 42% | 37% | 10% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OPAD Max Drawdown | -42% | -93% | -9% | -74% | -68% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -40% | -67% | -8% | -36% | -28% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: OPEN, Z, COMP, EXPI, CSGP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OPAD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -97.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4654.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -1.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 13 days | 148 days |
Compare to OPEN, Z, COMP, EXPI, CSGP
In The Past
Offerpad Solutions's stock fell -97.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/16/2021. A -97.9% loss requires a 4654.8% gain to breakeven.
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About Offerpad Solutions (OPAD)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Offerpad Solutions (OPAD):
Carvana for houses
Amazon for home sales
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Direct Home Purchase (iBuying): Offerpad provides cash offers to homeowners looking to sell their homes quickly and conveniently, bypassing traditional listing processes.
- Real Estate Listing Services (Offerpad FLEX): This service assists homeowners in selling their property on the open market, often providing additional support like home preparation or a backup offer.
- Ancillary Real Estate Services: Offerpad offers integrated mortgage, title, and escrow services to streamline the home buying and selling experience for its customers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Offerpad Solutions (symbol: OPAD) sells primarily to individuals rather than other companies. The company's business model involves purchasing homes directly from sellers, making necessary renovations, and then reselling these homes on the open market. Therefore, its major customers are the end-user homebuyers.
Here are up to three categories of individual customers that Offerpad serves:
- Primary Residence Homebuyers: This is the largest customer segment for Offerpad. These individuals or families purchase homes to live in as their primary residence. This category includes a wide range of buyers such as first-time homebuyers, those looking to upgrade or downsize, and individuals or families relocating to a new area. Offerpad's offering of move-in ready homes often appeals to those seeking convenience and a streamlined buying process.
- Individual Real Estate Investors: While Offerpad's primary focus is on owner-occupants, some individual investors may purchase their renovated properties. These customers acquire homes not for primary residence, but for investment purposes, such as generating rental income or for future resale. They often look for turn-key properties that require minimal additional work.
- Second Home Buyers: This category includes individuals who purchase properties as vacation homes or secondary residences. They may be attracted to Offerpad's renovated and ready-to-occupy homes, which offer convenience for a property not intended for daily living.
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Brian Bair, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Brian Bair founded Offerpad in July 2015 and also serves as its Chairman of the Board since September 2021. He has significantly influenced the real estate industry over 15 years, pioneering several successful real estate service models. Prior to Offerpad, he was the founder and president of Bair Group Real Estate from April 2008 to June 2015. Additionally, Bair co-founded Lexington Financial in March 2011 and Bridgeport Financial Services in May 2008, a company that specialized in acquiring distressed homes. He also consulted for national companies on acquiring, renovating, and selling homes. Bair was recognized as an Ernst & Young Entrepreneur Of The Year® 2018 Award winner.
Peter Knag, Chief Financial Officer
Peter Knag was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Offerpad, effective June 5, 2024. He brings over two decades of finance leadership experience, having previously served as the Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer for Turner Broadcasting System, Inc., which includes CNN, TNT, and TBS. From 2020 to 2022, he was the Executive Vice President of WarnerMedia Finance, responsible for various financial functions including FP&A, treasury, and corporate development. Before Turner, Knag was Vice President of AT&T Inc. merger planning and Managing Director of Corporate Development, where he managed client relationships and led negotiations for mergers, acquisitions, and divestitures, executing transactions totaling over $200 billion. His career began in investment banking with Lehman Brothers and First Albany Corporation. Knag also serves on the board of TAP Advisors, a boutique advisory and investment banking firm.
Chris Carpenter, Chief Operating Officer
Chris Carpenter was appointed Chief Operating Officer of Offerpad, effective November 3, 2025. He has over 20 years of experience leading transformation, operations, and strategy initiatives across Fortune 500 corporations, private equity-backed ventures, and mid-market companies. Carpenter previously served as the lead transformation executive at WarnerMedia and Turner Broadcasting, where he directed major integrations and business reorganizations. Most recently, he co-founded WellOrg Partners, a boutique consulting firm specializing in strategic organization design, process excellence, and cost optimization.
Vaughn Bair, Chief Real Estate Officer
Vaughn Bair is the Chief Real Estate Officer at Offerpad, overseeing the company's real estate operations, including property acquisitions, renovations, dispositions, and transaction management. He has more than two decades of experience in the financial and mortgage sectors. Vaughn also co-founded Bridgeport Financial Services and Lexington Financial. He worked for Bair Group Real Estate, where he oversaw property valuation and investment divisions, securing and purchasing over 2,500 single-family residential homes.
Adam Martinez, Chief Legal Officer
Adam Martinez is Offerpad's Chief Legal Officer, responsible for all legal, governance, compliance, and government affairs functions, and also directs the company's people operations. His tenure at Offerpad includes previous leadership roles as Deputy General Counsel and Senior Vice President of Corporate Operations. Prior to joining Offerpad, Martinez was a corporate and real estate attorney at Rose Law Group and is an active member of the State Bar of Arizona.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Offerpad Solutions (OPAD) primarily revolve around its ongoing financial viability, its exposure to the volatile real estate market, and the inherent capital-intensive nature of its business model.
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Financial Challenges and Lack of Profitability
Offerpad Solutions is facing significant financial strain, characterized by persistent unprofitability and a challenging financial standing. The company has reported negative EBIT and pre-tax profit margins, modest gross margins, and a significant net loss from continuing operations. Its revenue has decreased substantially over recent years, and it has consistently failed to achieve positive net income, leading to a negative EBITDA. Analysts have expressed concerns about the company's strategies for sustainable growth and its long-term viability, with a notable probability of bankruptcy in the next 24 months.
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Volatile Housing Market Conditions
The iBuying business model employed by Offerpad is highly sensitive to the cyclical and volatile nature of the real estate market. The company faces risks associated with challenging housing conditions, sluggish economic sentiment, and a high-interest-rate environment, which can lead to reduced housing affordability and transaction volumes. A rapid decline in home prices poses a direct threat, as it could force inventory write-downs and result in significant losses on the homes Offerpad holds in inventory.
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Capital Intensity and Liquidity Constraints
Offerpad's iBuying model is inherently capital-intensive, requiring substantial reliance on external financing, particularly warehouse lines of credit, to fund its real estate inventory. This exposes the company to interest rate volatility, which directly impacts holding costs. The company has exhibited limited liquidity, high leverage, and ongoing cash burn, indicating an insufficient supply of liquid resources. This capital intensity, coupled with limited liquidity and high debt levels, presents significant financial risk and has led to concerns about potential equity dilution or even bankruptcy.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The emergence and growth of "power buyer" or "buy-before-you-sell" companies pose a clear emerging threat to Offerpad Solutions. These companies, such as Knock, Orchard, and Homeward, address a core pain point that iBuyers like Offerpad aim to solve: providing speed and certainty to homeowners who need to sell their current home to buy a new one, particularly avoiding the stress of contingent offers.
While Offerpad offers an instant cash offer, often at a discount to market value for the convenience, power buyers facilitate a non-contingent purchase of a new home for the seller, often by providing bridge financing or making an all-cash offer on behalf of the client. The seller's old home is then listed on the open market, typically allowing them to achieve a higher sale price than an iBuyer might offer, while still enjoying significant convenience and certainty in their move. This model directly competes for the same segment of sellers who prioritize both speed/convenience and maximizing their net proceeds, potentially offering a superior value proposition for many homeowners compared to a direct iBuyer sale.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Offerpad Solutions (OPAD) operates primarily within the U.S. residential real estate market, offering a range of services centered around simplifying home buying and selling. The addressable markets for its main products and services are as follows:
- iBuying (Cash Offer Service): This service involves Offerpad directly purchasing homes from sellers. The iBuying segment, while growing, represented a small portion of the overall U.S. housing market, accounting for less than 0.5% of all home purchases in the U.S. in 2023, with approximately 1,000 homes bought per month. In 2022, iBuyers accounted for about 1% of total U.S. single-family home sales. The projected transaction volume for iBuyers in the U.S. could reach $66 billion in 2025. The broader U.S. residential real estate market, in which iBuying operates, was valued at approximately $1.71 trillion in 2024.
- Flexible Home Listing Service and Real Estate Advisory Services (Real Estate Sales & Brokerage): Offerpad also provides services that facilitate the traditional listing and selling of homes. The market size for Real Estate Sales & Brokerage in the U.S. was valued at $238.9 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $241.3 billion in 2025. This market is part of the larger U.S. real estate services market, which is estimated at $159.42 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach $205.05 billion by 2030.
- Home Improvement & Renovation Services: null
- Mortgage, Title and Escrow Services: null
- Homebuilder Alliance Program: null
AI Analysis | Feedback
Offerpad Solutions (OPAD) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:
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Growth of Asset-Light Services: Offerpad is significantly focused on expanding its asset-light services, including HomePro, Renovate, and Direct+. These services are anticipated to represent a larger share of the company's revenue and gross margin in the future, as they aim to increase transaction volume and high-margin revenue streams.
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Expansion of Agent Partnership Program: The company's Agent Partnership Program is a crucial driver, aiming to increase agent engagement and transaction volume. This program has also been effective in improving customer acquisition costs and strengthening Offerpad's acquisition strategy, which contributes to overall revenue growth.
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Increased Acquisition Activity and Homes Sold: Despite market challenges, Offerpad remains focused on increasing its acquisition activity and the number of homes sold. The company has a stated aim to sell 1,000 homes per quarter in the future, which would directly lead to higher revenue as market conditions stabilize and improve.
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Leveraging AI and Operational Efficiencies: Offerpad is implementing AI technologies, such as picture recognition and smart scoping, to enhance operational efficiency and scalability. While primarily aimed at cost reduction and margin improvement, these efficiencies can indirectly drive revenue growth by enabling the company to handle a greater volume of transactions and optimize its processes for quicker home turnover.
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Share Repurchases
Offerpad Solutions has not reported any significant share repurchase programs or actual buybacks in the last 3-5 years. The company's 10-K filings for 2021, 2022, and 2024 explicitly state that no shares of Class A common stock were repurchased during the final three months of those respective years.Share Issuance
- In July 2025, Offerpad Solutions completed a registered direct offering, generating approximately $6.0 million in gross proceeds from the sale of 2,857,143 shares of common stock and warrants to purchase an additional 1,428,571 shares. These proceeds were intended for general working capital.
- During the third quarter of 2025, the company raised approximately $21.7 million in gross proceeds through At-The-Market (ATM) sales of 4,295,542 shares.
- In September 2021, as part of its business combination to become publicly traded, Offerpad Solutions received approximately $284 million in gross proceeds. This included funds from Supernova Partners Acquisition Company's trust account, a $200 million Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE), and a $50 million direct investment from affiliates of Supernova.
Inbound Investments
- First American Financial Corporation holds a significant stake in Offerpad Solutions, reporting beneficial ownership of 5,119,314 shares of Class A common stock, representing 14.03% of the class, as of October 17, 2025.
- The company's transition to a public entity in September 2021 was accompanied by approximately $284 million in gross cash proceeds, comprising a $200 million PIPE and a $50 million direct investment from Supernova affiliates.
Capital Expenditures
- Offerpad Solutions' capital expenditures for purchases of property and equipment were approximately $5.33 million in 2024, $0.13 million in 2023, $1.07 million in 2022, and $11.66 million in 2021.
- For the first quarter of 2025, capital expenditures for purchases of property and equipment amounted to approximately $0.994 million.
- The primary focus of these capital expenditures includes investments in infrastructure and the continuous improvement of the company's software.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Offerpad Solutions Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Is Offerpad Solutions Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | 10/17/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Offerpad Stock Worth The Risk? | 08/29/2025 |
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.59 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| Rev LTM | 3,868 |
| Op Inc LTM | -60 |
| FCF LTM | 129 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 177 |
| CFO LTM | 282 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 310 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -3.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -4.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | -108.8 |
| P/E | -41.9 |
| P/CFO | 23.1 |
| Total Yield | -0.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -14.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -11.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -20.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 7.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -10.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -14.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -21.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -35.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -61.5% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.05 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/11/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -83.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.54 | $2.00 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -31.6% | -47.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 144.1% | 212.5% |
| Downside Capture | 749.09 | 279.86 |
| Upside Capture | 236.63 | 155.64 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 39.3% | 12.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 5.85 | 4.07 | 5.01 | 3.76 | 1.38 | 1.78 |
| Up Beta | 18.30 | 10.08 | 6.52 | 5.82 | 0.98 | 1.62 |
| Down Beta | 1.52 | 1.87 | 3.83 | 4.06 | 1.30 | 1.57 |
| Up Capture | 274% | 34% | 236% | 375% | 166% | 205% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 13 | 23 | 47 | 91 | 317 |
| Down Capture | 730% | 579% | 481% | 290% | 156% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 26 | 36 | 74 | 146 | 415 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OPAD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPAD | -62.1% | 211.4% | 0.29 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 1.0% | 16.3% | -0.12 | 4.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.0% | 19.2% | 0.64 | 13.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 66.9% | 23.7% | 2.11 | 1.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.0% | 16.3% | 0.23 | 3.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 16.5% | -0.00 | 5.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.7% | 39.9% | -0.46 | 1.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OPAD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPAD | -65.0% | 129.1% | -0.30 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 5.0% | 19.0% | 0.17 | 16.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.1% | 17.1% | 0.66 | 22.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.9% | 16.6% | 0.97 | 3.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.4% | 18.9% | 0.49 | 5.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.5% | 18.8% | 0.15 | 17.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 20.9% | 57.6% | 0.56 | 11.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OPAD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPAD | -40.2% | 127.6% | -0.28 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 6.8% | 20.5% | 0.29 | 15.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.9% | 17.9% | 0.76 | 22.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.0% | 15.3% | 0.81 | 3.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 5.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.8% | 0.25 | 17.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 71.1% | 66.4% | 1.10 | 11.1% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -24.8% | -13.0% | -13.9% |
| 8/4/2025 | -6.7% | 3.3% | 315.0% |
| 5/5/2025 | -7.6% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 2/24/2025 | -3.6% | -25.0% | -16.4% |
| 11/4/2024 | -3.4% | 18.0% | 49.5% |
| 8/5/2024 | -15.3% | -32.1% | -5.6% |
| 5/6/2024 | -7.2% | -1.1% | -33.9% |
| 2/26/2024 | -3.4% | -10.3% | -10.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| # Negative | 15 | 11 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 16.0% | 17.2% | 27.2% |
| Median Negative | -6.1% | -17.5% | -16.4% |
| Max Positive | 26.4% | 35.5% | 315.0% |
| Max Negative | -24.8% | -32.1% | -33.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/07/2022 | 10-K |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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